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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lazio 1–0 Milan

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.10 fair 3.61
Draw 3.30 fair 3.63
Away 1.95 fair 2.23
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lazio Milan
7 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 9
7 Fouls 19
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (288 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 0.99 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
LazioDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 13% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lazio before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 28:28
Milan before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
1.57scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 44:20
Lazio all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.57
1.00 Goals conceded 0.71
2.00 Total goals 2.29
11.32 Shots 13.57
3.89 Shots on target 4.50
13.57 Shots faced 11.07
3.82 Corners 4.50
3.96 Corners against 4.54
10.36 Fouls 9.71
1.96 Yellow cards 1.61
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

32% Wins 61%
36% Draws 32%
32% Losses 7%
82% Over 0.5 goals 96%
61% Over 1.5 goals 68%
29% Over 2.5 goals 43%
18% Over 3.5 goals 18%
7% Over 4.5 goals 4%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 50%
43% Clean sheets 46%
50% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 32%
57% Draws 57%
21% Losses 11%
50% Over 0.5 goals 57%
25% Over 1.5 goals 29%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lazio all matches
Milan all matches
Lazio before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.43scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:17
Milan before this match, away
2.29points / match
1.79scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:9
Lazio at home away Milan

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.79
1.21 Goals conceded 0.64
2.64 Total goals 2.43
12.86 Shots 10.93
4.64 Shots on target 3.93
11.93 Shots faced 13.00
4.64 Corners 3.43
3.57 Corners against 5.43
10.86 Fouls 8.86
2.14 Yellow cards 1.43
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

43% Wins 64%
29% Draws 36%
29% Losses 0%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 79%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 21%
14% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 50%
36% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
43% Draws 64%
29% Losses 7%
71% Over 0.5 goals 50%
43% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lazio at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lazio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.26 Lazio – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Torino – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.883.002.70 2.50 1.53
21.02.26 Cagliari – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.002.35 2.38 1.57
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
08.02.26 Juventus – Lazio 2–2 (0–1) 1.484.207.50 2.10 1.73
30.01.26 Lazio – Genoa 3–2 (0–0) 2.202.884.00 3.00 1.40
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50
19.01.26 Lazio – Como 0–3 (0–2) 2.702.903.00 2.38 1.57
11.01.26 Verona – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.35 2.50 1.53
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83

Lazio at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.26 Lazio – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
30.01.26 Lazio – Genoa 3–2 (0–0) 2.202.884.00 3.00 1.40
19.01.26 Lazio – Como 0–3 (0–2) 2.702.903.00 2.38 1.57
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
04.01.26 Lazio – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 3.403.102.30 2.63 1.50
20.12.25 Lazio – Cremonese 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
07.12.25 Lazio – Bologna 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.102.90 2.50 1.53
23.11.25 Lazio – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.706.25 2.20 1.67
03.11.25 Lazio – Cagliari 2–0 (0–0) 1.533.807.00 1.98 1.88

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73
08.12.25 Torino – Milan 2–3 (2–1) 4.503.601.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.25 Inter – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Parma – Milan 2–2 (1–2) 5.754.001.57 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lazio winsDrawsMilan wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
44%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25I1 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
02.03.25I1 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
31.08.24I1 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
01.03.24I1 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
06.05.23I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
24.01.23I1 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
24.04.22I1 Lazio – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.91 1.99
12.09.21I1 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 29 22 2 5 65 23 +42 68
2 Milan 28 17 9 2 44 20 +24 60
3 Napoli 29 18 5 6 45 30 +15 59
4 Como 29 15 9 5 48 22 +26 54
5 Juventus 29 15 8 6 51 28 +23 53
6 Roma 29 16 3 10 39 23 +16 51
7 Atalanta 29 12 11 6 40 27 +13 47
8 Bologna 29 12 6 11 38 34 +4 42
9 Sassuolo 29 11 5 13 35 39 -4 38
10 Lazio 28 9 10 9 28 28 0 37
11 Udinese 29 10 6 13 33 42 -9 36
12 Parma 29 8 10 11 21 36 -15 34
13 Genoa 29 8 9 12 36 40 -4 33
14 Torino 29 9 6 14 32 50 -18 33
15 Cagliari 29 7 9 13 31 41 -10 30
16 Lecce 29 7 6 16 21 39 -18 27
17 Fiorentina 28 5 10 13 30 42 -12 25
18 Cremonese 28 5 9 14 22 40 -18 24
19 Pisa 29 2 12 15 23 49 -26 18
20 Verona 29 3 9 17 22 51 -29 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 2 2 39 13 +26 35
2 Napoli 14 10 4 0 25 13 +12 34
3 Juventus 14 8 5 1 29 12 +17 29
4 Como 15 8 5 2 26 11 +15 29
5 Roma 14 9 2 3 22 9 +13 29
6 Atalanta 15 8 5 2 24 13 +11 29
7 Milan 14 8 4 2 19 11 +8 28
8 Lazio 14 6 4 4 20 17 +3 22
9 Torino 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
10 Sassuolo 15 6 2 7 17 21 -4 20
11 Genoa 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
12 Udinese 15 5 4 6 16 19 -3 19
13 Bologna 14 5 2 7 14 16 -2 17
14 Cagliari 14 4 4 6 16 17 -1 16
15 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
16 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 18 19 -1 14
17 Parma 14 3 5 6 11 19 -8 14
18 Cremonese 13 2 6 5 11 17 -6 12
19 Pisa 15 2 4 9 7 18 -11 10
20 Verona 14 1 4 9 12 23 -11 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 11 0 3 26 10 +16 33
2 Milan 14 9 5 0 25 9 +16 32
3 Como 14 7 4 3 22 11 +11 25
4 Bologna 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25
5 Napoli 15 8 1 6 20 17 +3 25
6 Juventus 15 7 3 5 22 16 +6 24
7 Roma 15 7 1 7 17 14 +3 22
8 Parma 15 5 5 5 10 17 -7 20
9 Atalanta 14 4 6 4 16 14 +2 18
10 Sassuolo 14 5 3 6 18 18 0 18
11 Udinese 14 5 2 7 17 23 -6 17
12 Lazio 14 3 6 5 8 11 -3 15
13 Genoa 14 3 5 6 17 21 -4 14
14 Cagliari 15 3 5 7 15 24 -9 14
15 Torino 14 3 4 7 13 27 -14 13
16 Cremonese 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12 12
17 Lecce 14 3 2 9 10 20 -10 11
18 Fiorentina 14 2 5 7 12 23 -11 11
19 Verona 15 2 5 8 10 28 -18 11
20 Pisa 14 0 8 6 16 31 -15 8

Lazio   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Torino 29 11 18 1.1 1.7 9 6 14 32 50 33
2 20 Verona 29 11 18 0.8 1.8 3 9 17 22 51 18
3 3 Napoli 29 12 17 1.6 1.0 18 5 6 45 30 59
4 13 Genoa 29 12 17 1.2 1.4 8 9 12 36 40 33
5 17 Fiorentina 28 11 17 1.1 1.5 5 10 13 30 42 25
6 9 Sassuolo 29 13 16 1.2 1.3 11 5 13 35 39 38
7 1 Inter 29 14 15 2.2 0.8 22 2 5 65 23 68
8 11 Udinese 29 14 15 1.1 1.4 10 6 13 33 42 36
9 5 Juventus 29 15 14 1.8 1.0 15 8 6 51 28 53
10 8 Bologna 29 15 14 1.3 1.2 12 6 11 38 34 42
11 15 Cagliari 29 15 14 1.1 1.4 7 9 13 31 41 30
12 4 Como 29 16 13 1.7 0.8 15 9 5 48 22 54
13 19 Pisa 29 16 13 0.8 1.7 2 12 15 23 49 18
14 2 Milan 28 16 12 1.6 0.7 17 9 2 44 20 60
15 7 Atalanta 29 18 11 1.4 0.9 12 11 6 40 27 47
16 16 Lecce 29 18 11 0.7 1.3 7 6 16 21 39 27
17 18 Cremonese 28 17 11 0.8 1.4 5 9 14 22 40 24
18 6 Roma 29 19 10 1.3 0.8 16 3 10 39 23 51
19 12 Parma 29 19 10 0.7 1.2 8 10 11 21 36 34
20 10 Lazio 28 20 8 1.0 1.0 9 10 9 28 28 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 15 5 10 2.6 0.9 11 2 2 39 13 35
2 3 Napoli 14 4 10 1.8 0.9 10 4 0 25 13 34
3 13 Genoa 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
4 14 Torino 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
5 5 Juventus 14 6 8 2.1 0.9 8 5 1 29 12 29
6 9 Sassuolo 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 6 2 7 17 21 20
7 17 Fiorentina 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 3 5 6 18 19 14
8 20 Verona 14 6 8 0.9 1.6 1 4 9 12 23 7
9 7 Atalanta 15 8 7 1.6 0.9 8 5 2 24 13 29
10 11 Udinese 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 5 4 6 16 19 19
11 16 Lecce 15 8 7 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 19 16
12 2 Milan 14 8 6 1.4 0.8 8 4 2 19 11 28
13 4 Como 15 9 6 1.7 0.7 8 5 2 26 11 29
14 8 Bologna 14 8 6 1.0 1.1 5 2 7 14 16 17
15 10 Lazio 14 8 6 1.4 1.2 6 4 4 20 17 22
16 12 Parma 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 3 5 6 11 19 14
17 15 Cagliari 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 4 4 6 16 17 16
18 6 Roma 14 10 4 1.6 0.6 9 2 3 22 9 29
19 18 Cremonese 13 9 4 0.8 1.3 2 6 5 11 17 12
20 19 Pisa 15 11 4 0.5 1.2 2 4 9 7 18 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Verona 15 5 10 0.7 1.9 2 5 8 10 28 11
2 14 Torino 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 3 4 7 13 27 13
3 15 Cagliari 15 6 9 1.0 1.6 3 5 7 15 24 14
4 17 Fiorentina 14 5 9 0.9 1.6 2 5 7 12 23 11
5 19 Pisa 14 5 9 1.1 2.2 0 8 6 16 31 8
6 8 Bologna 15 7 8 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25
7 9 Sassuolo 14 6 8 1.3 1.3 5 3 6 18 18 18
8 11 Udinese 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 5 2 7 17 23 17
9 13 Genoa 14 6 8 1.2 1.5 3 5 6 17 21 14
10 3 Napoli 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 8 1 6 20 17 25
11 4 Como 14 7 7 1.6 0.8 7 4 3 22 11 25
12 18 Cremonese 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 3 3 9 11 23 12
13 2 Milan 14 8 6 1.8 0.6 9 5 0 25 9 32
14 5 Juventus 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 22 16 24
15 6 Roma 15 9 6 1.1 0.9 7 1 7 17 14 22
16 1 Inter 14 9 5 1.9 0.7 11 0 3 26 10 33
17 12 Parma 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 5 5 5 10 17 20
18 7 Atalanta 14 10 4 1.1 1.0 4 6 4 16 14 18
19 16 Lecce 14 10 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 9 10 20 11
20 10 Lazio 14 12 2 0.6 0.8 3 6 5 8 11 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40