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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.70 fair 2.09
Draw 3.20 fair 3.67
Away ✓ 2.63 fair 4.00
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sassuolo Lecce
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 8
7 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (367 league matches this season so far).
Result Sassuolo to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.40 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
SassuoloDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.7% 1–1 12.7% 0–0 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sassuolo before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.22scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 44:46
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 24:48
Sassuolo all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 0.67
1.28 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 2.00
10.69 Shots 9.83
3.75 Shots on target 2.42
14.47 Shots faced 12.81
3.89 Corners 4.28
5.00 Corners against 5.42
12.06 Fouls 12.67
2.25 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

39% Wins 22%
19% Draws 22%
42% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 86%
75% Over 1.5 goals 61%
56% Over 2.5 goals 36%
19% Over 3.5 goals 11%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 36%
22% Clean sheets 25%
31% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 19%
36% Draws 50%
39% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 58%
31% Over 1.5 goals 19%
6% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo all matches
Lecce all matches
Sassuolo before this match, at home
1.61points / match
1.28scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:23
Lecce before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 12:24
Sassuolo at home away Lecce

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 0.67
1.28 Goals conceded 1.33
2.56 Total goals 2.00
10.50 Shots 8.94
3.56 Shots on target 2.06
13.78 Shots faced 14.11
3.89 Corners 4.17
4.83 Corners against 6.44
12.06 Fouls 13.28
2.11 Yellow cards 1.72
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.28
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 22%
11% Draws 17%
39% Losses 61%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
72% Over 1.5 goals 56%
56% Over 2.5 goals 28%
22% Over 3.5 goals 17%
6% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 33%
22% Clean sheets 28%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 22%
22% Draws 44%
39% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 56%
39% Over 1.5 goals 11%
11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.26 Torino – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 1.91 1.91
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
26.04.26 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98
17.04.26 Sassuolo – Como 2–1 (2–1) 5.754.331.53 1.67 2.20
12.04.26 Genoa – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
21.03.26 Juventus – Sassuolo 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.62 2.30
15.03.26 Sassuolo – Bologna 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
09.03.26 Lazio – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.05.26 Lecce – Juventus 0–1 (0–1) 6.254.501.45 1.73 2.10
01.05.26 Pisa – Lecce 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.002.30 2.63 1.50
25.04.26 Verona – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.88 2.75 1.44
20.04.26 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
12.04.26 Bologna – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
06.04.26 Lecce – Atalanta 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.751.75 2.03 1.83
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Napoli – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Lecce – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.004.00 2.75 1.44
28.02.26 Como – Lecce 3–1 (3–1) 1.384.509.50 2.03 1.83

Sassuolo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Sassuolo – Milan 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.101.73 1.73 2.10
17.04.26 Sassuolo – Como 2–1 (2–1) 5.754.331.53 1.67 2.20
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Sassuolo – Bologna 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
20.02.26 Sassuolo – Verona 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.305.25 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Sassuolo – Inter 0–5 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Sassuolo – Cremonese 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.67
06.01.26 Sassuolo – Juventus 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.901.67 1.98 1.88
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.05.26 Pisa – Lecce 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.002.30 2.63 1.50
25.04.26 Verona – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.88 2.75 1.44
12.04.26 Bologna – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Napoli – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.20 1.67
28.02.26 Como – Lecce 3–1 (3–1) 1.384.509.50 2.03 1.83
16.02.26 Cagliari – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.63 1.50
01.02.26 Torino – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.104.50 2.63 1.50
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91
14.01.26 Inter – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sassuolo winsDrawsLecce wins
5matches
1.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25I1 Lecce – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.67
21.04.24I1 Sassuolo – Lecce 0–3 (0–2) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.90
06.10.23I1 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00
25.02.23I1 Lecce – Sassuolo 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.10 1.73
20.08.22I1 Sassuolo – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.61 2.30

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 37 27 5 5 86 32 +54 86
2 Napoli 37 22 7 8 57 36 +21 73
3 Roma 37 22 4 11 57 31 +26 70
4 Milan 37 20 10 7 52 33 +19 70
5 Como 37 19 11 7 61 28 +33 68
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 59 32 +27 68
7 Atalanta 37 15 13 9 50 35 +15 58
8 Bologna 37 16 7 14 46 43 +3 55
9 Lazio 37 13 12 12 39 39 0 51
10 Udinese 36 14 8 14 45 46 -1 50
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 44 46 -2 49
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 41 59 -18 44
13 Parma 37 10 12 15 27 46 -19 42
14 Genoa 37 10 11 16 41 50 -9 41
15 Fiorentina 37 9 14 14 40 49 -9 41
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 36 51 -15 37
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 24 48 -24 32
18 Cremonese 36 7 10 19 30 53 -23 31
19 Verona 37 3 12 22 25 59 -34 21
20 Pisa 37 2 12 23 25 69 -44 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 14 3 2 50 16 +34 45
2 Roma 19 13 3 3 33 10 +23 42
3 Napoli 18 12 4 2 32 18 +14 40
4 Juventus 19 10 7 2 35 16 +19 37
5 Como 19 10 6 3 35 15 +20 36
6 Atalanta 19 9 6 4 25 15 +10 33
7 Milan 18 9 5 4 24 19 +5 32
8 Sassuolo 18 9 2 7 23 23 0 29
9 Lazio 18 7 6 5 25 24 +1 27
10 Torino 18 8 3 7 25 27 -2 27
11 Udinese 18 6 5 7 18 20 -2 23
12 Cagliari 18 6 4 8 20 22 -2 22
13 Genoa 19 6 4 9 22 26 -4 22
14 Bologna 18 6 3 9 16 20 -4 21
15 Fiorentina 18 4 8 6 20 20 0 20
16 Parma 18 4 6 8 15 25 -10 18
17 Lecce 18 4 5 9 12 24 -12 17
18 Cremonese 18 3 7 8 17 25 -8 16
19 Pisa 19 2 4 13 9 26 -17 10
20 Verona 18 1 5 12 12 26 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 18 13 2 3 36 16 +20 41
2 Milan 19 11 5 3 28 14 +14 38
3 Bologna 19 10 4 5 30 23 +7 34
4 Napoli 19 10 3 6 25 18 +7 33
5 Como 18 9 5 4 26 13 +13 32
6 Juventus 18 9 4 5 24 16 +8 31
7 Roma 18 9 1 8 24 21 +3 28
8 Udinese 18 8 3 7 27 26 +1 27
9 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 25 20 +5 25
10 Lazio 19 6 6 7 14 15 -1 24
11 Parma 19 6 6 7 12 21 -9 24
12 Fiorentina 19 5 6 8 20 29 -9 21
13 Sassuolo 18 5 5 8 21 23 -2 20
14 Genoa 18 4 7 7 19 24 -5 19
15 Torino 18 4 5 9 16 32 -16 17
16 Lecce 18 4 3 11 12 24 -12 15
17 Cagliari 18 3 6 9 16 29 -13 15
18 Cremonese 18 4 3 11 13 28 -15 15
19 Verona 19 2 7 10 13 33 -20 13
20 Pisa 18 0 8 10 16 43 -27 8

Sassuolo   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 36 14 22 1.1 1.6 12 8 16 41 59 44
2 1 Inter 37 17 20 2.3 0.9 27 5 5 86 32 86
3 2 Napoli 37 17 20 1.5 1.0 22 7 8 57 36 73
4 11 Sassuolo 36 16 20 1.2 1.3 14 7 15 44 46 49
5 14 Genoa 37 17 20 1.1 1.4 10 11 16 41 50 41
6 15 Fiorentina 37 18 19 1.1 1.3 9 14 14 40 49 41
7 19 Verona 37 18 19 0.7 1.6 3 12 22 25 59 21
8 20 Pisa 37 18 19 0.7 1.9 2 12 23 25 69 18
9 10 Udinese 36 19 17 1.2 1.3 14 8 14 45 46 50
10 16 Cagliari 36 19 17 1.0 1.4 9 10 17 36 51 37
11 4 Milan 37 21 16 1.4 0.9 20 10 7 52 33 70
12 5 Como 37 21 16 1.6 0.8 19 11 7 61 28 68
13 8 Bologna 37 21 16 1.2 1.2 16 7 14 46 43 55
14 18 Cremonese 36 20 16 0.8 1.5 7 10 19 30 53 31
15 3 Roma 37 23 14 1.5 0.8 22 4 11 57 31 70
16 6 Juventus 37 23 14 1.6 0.9 19 11 7 59 32 68
17 7 Atalanta 37 23 14 1.4 0.9 15 13 9 50 35 58
18 17 Lecce 36 23 13 0.7 1.3 8 8 20 24 48 32
19 9 Lazio 37 26 11 1.1 1.1 13 12 12 39 39 51
20 13 Parma 37 26 11 0.7 1.2 10 12 15 27 46 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 19 7 12 2.6 0.8 14 3 2 50 16 45
2 2 Napoli 18 6 12 1.8 1.0 12 4 2 32 18 40
3 12 Torino 18 6 12 1.4 1.5 8 3 7 25 27 27
4 14 Genoa 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 4 9 22 26 22
5 11 Sassuolo 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 9 2 7 23 23 29
6 4 Milan 18 9 9 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 19 32
7 5 Como 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 3 35 15 36
8 6 Juventus 19 11 8 1.8 0.8 10 7 2 35 16 37
9 9 Lazio 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 25 24 27
10 15 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.1 1.1 4 8 6 20 20 20
11 17 Lecce 18 10 8 0.7 1.3 4 5 9 12 24 17
12 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 17 25 16
13 19 Verona 18 10 8 0.7 1.4 1 5 12 12 26 8
14 7 Atalanta 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 9 6 4 25 15 33
15 10 Udinese 18 11 7 1.0 1.1 6 5 7 18 20 23
16 20 Pisa 19 12 7 0.5 1.4 2 4 13 9 26 10
17 3 Roma 19 13 6 1.7 0.5 13 3 3 33 10 42
18 8 Bologna 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 3 9 16 20 21
19 13 Parma 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 4 6 8 15 25 18
20 16 Cagliari 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 6 4 8 20 22 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Pisa 18 6 12 0.9 2.4 0 8 10 16 43 8
2 15 Fiorentina 19 8 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 8 20 29 21
3 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 0.9 1.6 3 6 9 16 29 15
4 19 Verona 19 8 11 0.7 1.7 2 7 10 13 33 13
5 8 Bologna 19 9 10 1.6 1.2 10 4 5 30 23 34
6 10 Udinese 18 8 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 7 27 26 27
7 11 Sassuolo 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 23 20
8 12 Torino 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 5 9 16 32 17
9 14 Genoa 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 4 7 7 19 24 19
10 1 Inter 18 10 8 2.0 0.9 13 2 3 36 16 41
11 2 Napoli 19 11 8 1.3 0.9 10 3 6 25 18 33
12 3 Roma 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 9 1 8 24 21 28
13 5 Como 18 10 8 1.4 0.7 9 5 4 26 13 32
14 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 11 13 28 15
15 4 Milan 19 12 7 1.5 0.7 11 5 3 28 14 38
16 7 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 1.1 6 7 5 25 20 25
17 6 Juventus 18 12 6 1.3 0.9 9 4 5 24 16 31
18 13 Parma 19 14 5 0.6 1.1 6 6 7 12 21 24
19 17 Lecce 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 11 12 24 15
20 9 Lazio 19 16 3 0.7 0.8 6 6 7 14 15 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51