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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.40 fair 3.16
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.58
Away 2.15 fair 2.48
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.41

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Fiorentina
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 2
8 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (329 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.08 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 12.1% 1–0 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
0.66scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 21:45
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.16scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 37:44
Lecce all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

0.66 Goals scored 1.16
1.41 Goals conceded 1.38
2.06 Total goals 2.53
9.78 Shots 13.25
2.31 Shots on target 3.53
13.06 Shots faced 13.09
4.47 Corners 4.56
5.56 Corners against 4.66
12.78 Fouls 12.59
1.66 Yellow cards 2.22
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

22% Wins 25%
19% Draws 34%
59% Losses 41%
88% Over 0.5 goals 91%
63% Over 1.5 goals 72%
38% Over 2.5 goals 56%
13% Over 3.5 goals 25%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
34% Both teams scored 63%
25% Clean sheets 22%
53% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%
50% Draws 38%
28% Losses 41%
59% Over 0.5 goals 66%
22% Over 1.5 goals 22%
3% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.69scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:22
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.06scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:24
Lecce at home away Fiorentina

Per match

0.69 Goals scored 1.06
1.38 Goals conceded 1.50
2.06 Total goals 2.56
10.69 Shots 10.75
2.69 Shots on target 2.81
11.69 Shots faced 14.94
4.56 Corners 3.50
4.38 Corners against 5.19
12.63 Fouls 13.31
1.81 Yellow cards 2.13
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 31%
50% Losses 44%
81% Over 0.5 goals 88%
69% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
6% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 56%
25% Clean sheets 19%
56% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 19%
63% Draws 56%
19% Losses 25%
56% Over 0.5 goals 50%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Bologna – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
06.04.26 Lecce – Atalanta 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.751.75 2.03 1.83
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Napoli – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Lecce – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.004.00 2.75 1.44
28.02.26 Como – Lecce 3–1 (3–1) 1.384.509.50 2.03 1.83
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
16.02.26 Cagliari – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.63 1.50
08.02.26 Lecce – Udinese 2–1 (1–1) 3.102.882.63 2.75 1.44
01.02.26 Torino – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.104.50 2.63 1.50

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.26 Fiorentina – Lazio 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.67
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
02.03.26 Udinese – Fiorentina 3–0 (1–0) 3.253.202.35 2.05 1.80
23.02.26 Fiorentina – Pisa 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Como – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.733.754.75 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Fiorentina – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.753.754.75 1.93 1.93
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Lecce – Atalanta 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.751.75 2.03 1.83
08.03.26 Lecce – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.004.00 2.75 1.44
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
08.02.26 Lecce – Udinese 2–1 (1–1) 3.102.882.63 2.75 1.44
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.301.80 2.30 1.62
12.12.25 Lecce – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.502.883.30 2.75 1.44
30.11.25 Lecce – Torino 2–1 (2–0) 3.002.882.70 2.75 1.44

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Udinese – Fiorentina 3–0 (1–0) 3.253.202.35 2.05 1.80
14.02.26 Como – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.733.754.75 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
18.01.26 Bologna – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.303.40 2.00 1.85
07.01.26 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
27.12.25 Parma – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.002.25 2.20 1.67
06.12.25 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3–1 (2–1) 2.883.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lecce winsDrawsFiorentina wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
43%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.20 1.67
28.02.25I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
20.10.24I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 0–6 (0–3) 3.203.302.30 2.04 1.86
02.02.24I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 3–2 (1–0) 3.753.202.10 2.15 1.67
27.08.23I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 2–2 (2–0) 1.574.205.75 2.10 1.73
19.03.23I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
17.10.22I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.72

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 25 3 5 78 29 +49 78
2 Milan 33 19 9 5 48 27 +21 66
3 Napoli 33 20 6 7 48 33 +15 66
4 Juventus 33 18 9 6 57 29 +28 63
5 Como 33 16 10 7 57 28 +29 58
6 Roma 33 18 4 11 46 29 +17 58
7 Atalanta 33 14 12 7 45 29 +16 54
8 Bologna 33 14 6 13 42 39 +3 48
9 Lazio 33 12 11 10 34 30 +4 47
10 Sassuolo 33 13 6 14 41 44 -3 45
11 Udinese 33 12 7 14 38 43 -5 43
12 Torino 33 11 7 15 37 54 -17 40
13 Genoa 33 10 9 14 40 46 -6 39
14 Parma 33 9 12 12 24 40 -16 39
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37 44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 33 8 9 16 33 47 -14 33
17 Cremonese 33 6 10 17 26 47 -21 28
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21 45 -24 27
19 Verona 33 3 9 21 23 56 -33 18
20 Pisa 33 2 12 19 24 60 -36 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 2 2 47 15 +32 41
2 Napoli 16 11 4 1 26 15 +11 37
3 Juventus 17 10 6 1 34 13 +21 36
4 Roma 17 11 3 3 27 10 +17 36
5 Como 17 9 5 3 34 15 +19 32
6 Atalanta 17 9 5 3 25 14 +11 32
7 Milan 16 9 4 3 22 16 +6 31
8 Lazio 16 7 5 4 22 18 +4 26
9 Sassuolo 17 8 2 7 21 23 -2 26
10 Torino 16 7 2 7 21 24 -3 23
11 Genoa 17 6 4 7 21 22 -1 22
12 Bologna 16 6 2 8 16 18 -2 20
13 Udinese 17 5 5 7 16 20 -4 20
14 Cagliari 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
15 Fiorentina 16 4 6 6 20 20 0 18
16 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
17 Parma 16 3 6 7 12 22 -10 15
18 Cremonese 16 2 7 7 13 23 -10 13
19 Pisa 17 2 4 11 8 21 -13 10
20 Verona 16 1 4 11 12 25 -13 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 1 3 31 14 +17 37
2 Milan 17 10 5 2 26 11 +15 35
3 Napoli 17 9 2 6 22 18 +4 29
4 Bologna 17 8 4 5 26 21 +5 28
5 Juventus 16 8 3 5 23 16 +7 27
6 Como 16 7 5 4 23 13 +10 26
7 Parma 17 6 6 5 12 18 -6 24
8 Udinese 16 7 2 7 22 23 -1 23
9 Atalanta 16 5 7 4 20 15 +5 22
10 Roma 16 7 1 8 19 19 0 22
11 Lazio 17 5 6 6 12 12 0 21
12 Sassuolo 16 5 4 7 20 21 -1 19
13 Genoa 16 4 5 7 19 24 -5 17
14 Fiorentina 16 4 5 7 17 24 -7 17
15 Torino 17 4 5 8 16 30 -14 17
16 Cremonese 17 4 3 10 13 24 -11 15
17 Cagliari 17 3 5 9 16 29 -13 14
18 Lecce 16 3 2 11 10 23 -13 11
19 Verona 17 2 5 10 11 31 -20 11
20 Pisa 16 0 8 8 16 39 -23 8

Lecce   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 33 13 20 1.1 1.6 11 7 15 37 54 40
2 10 Sassuolo 33 14 19 1.2 1.3 13 6 14 41 44 45
3 13 Genoa 33 14 19 1.2 1.4 10 9 14 40 46 39
4 19 Verona 33 14 19 0.7 1.7 3 9 21 23 56 18
5 1 Inter 33 15 18 2.4 0.9 25 3 5 78 29 78
6 15 Fiorentina 32 14 18 1.2 1.4 8 11 13 37 44 35
7 3 Napoli 33 16 17 1.5 1.0 20 6 7 48 33 66
8 5 Como 33 17 16 1.7 0.8 16 10 7 57 28 58
9 11 Udinese 33 17 16 1.2 1.3 12 7 14 38 43 43
10 16 Cagliari 33 17 16 1.0 1.4 8 9 16 33 47 33
11 20 Pisa 33 17 16 0.7 1.8 2 12 19 24 60 18
12 8 Bologna 33 18 15 1.3 1.2 14 6 13 42 39 48
13 2 Milan 33 19 14 1.5 0.8 19 9 5 48 27 66
14 4 Juventus 33 19 14 1.7 0.9 18 9 6 57 29 63
15 17 Cremonese 33 20 13 0.8 1.4 6 10 17 26 47 28
16 6 Roma 33 21 12 1.4 0.9 18 4 11 46 29 58
17 7 Atalanta 33 21 12 1.4 0.9 14 12 7 45 29 54
18 18 Lecce 32 20 12 0.7 1.4 7 6 19 21 45 27
19 14 Parma 33 23 10 0.7 1.2 9 12 12 24 40 39
20 9 Lazio 33 25 8 1.0 0.9 12 11 10 34 30 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 17 5 12 2.8 0.9 13 2 2 47 15 41
2 3 Napoli 16 6 10 1.6 0.9 11 4 1 26 15 37
3 10 Sassuolo 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 8 2 7 21 23 26
4 12 Torino 16 6 10 1.3 1.5 7 2 7 21 24 23
5 13 Genoa 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 6 4 7 21 22 22
6 2 Milan 16 8 8 1.4 1.0 9 4 3 22 16 31
7 4 Juventus 17 9 8 2.0 0.8 10 6 1 34 13 36
8 5 Como 17 9 8 2.0 0.9 9 5 3 34 15 32
9 15 Fiorentina 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 4 6 6 20 20 18
10 18 Lecce 16 8 8 0.7 1.4 4 4 8 11 22 16
11 19 Verona 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 1 4 11 12 25 7
12 7 Atalanta 17 10 7 1.5 0.8 9 5 3 25 14 32
13 11 Udinese 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 5 5 7 16 20 20
14 8 Bologna 16 10 6 1.0 1.1 6 2 8 16 18 20
15 9 Lazio 16 10 6 1.4 1.1 7 5 4 22 18 26
16 17 Cremonese 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 2 7 7 13 23 13
17 6 Roma 17 12 5 1.6 0.6 11 3 3 27 10 36
18 14 Parma 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 3 6 7 12 22 15
19 16 Cagliari 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19
20 20 Pisa 17 12 5 0.5 1.2 2 4 11 8 21 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Cagliari 17 6 11 0.9 1.7 3 5 9 16 29 14
2 19 Verona 17 6 11 0.6 1.8 2 5 10 11 31 11
3 20 Pisa 16 5 11 1.0 2.4 0 8 8 16 39 8
4 12 Torino 17 7 10 0.9 1.8 4 5 8 16 30 17
5 15 Fiorentina 16 6 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 7 17 24 17
6 8 Bologna 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 5 26 21 28
7 10 Sassuolo 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 5 4 7 20 21 19
8 11 Udinese 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 7 2 7 22 23 23
9 13 Genoa 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 4 5 7 19 24 17
10 5 Como 16 8 8 1.4 0.8 7 5 4 23 13 26
11 3 Napoli 17 10 7 1.3 1.1 9 2 6 22 18 29
12 6 Roma 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 1 8 19 19 22
13 17 Cremonese 17 10 7 0.8 1.4 4 3 10 13 24 15
14 1 Inter 16 10 6 1.9 0.9 12 1 3 31 14 37
15 2 Milan 17 11 6 1.5 0.6 10 5 2 26 11 35
16 4 Juventus 16 10 6 1.4 1.0 8 3 5 23 16 27
17 7 Atalanta 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 5 7 4 20 15 22
18 14 Parma 17 12 5 0.7 1.1 6 6 5 12 18 24
19 18 Lecce 16 12 4 0.6 1.4 3 2 11 10 23 11
20 9 Lazio 17 15 2 0.7 0.7 5 6 6 12 12 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51