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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Sassuolo 2–0 Milan

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.50 fair 3.63
Draw 4.10 fair 3.74
Away 1.73 fair 2.19
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sassuolo Milan
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 3
16 Fouls 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (345 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.03 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
SassuoloDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 12.3% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sassuolo before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.21scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 41:44
Milan before this match, all matches
1.97points / match
1.41scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 48:27
Sassuolo all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.41
1.29 Goals conceded 0.79
2.50 Total goals 2.21
10.56 Shots 13.32
3.65 Shots on target 4.21
14.59 Shots faced 11.21
3.91 Corners 4.35
5.00 Corners against 4.41
12.03 Fouls 9.79
2.21 Yellow cards 1.53
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 56%
21% Draws 29%
41% Losses 15%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
74% Over 1.5 goals 62%
56% Over 2.5 goals 41%
21% Over 3.5 goals 18%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 44%
21% Clean sheets 44%
32% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 29%
35% Draws 56%
41% Losses 15%
76% Over 0.5 goals 59%
32% Over 1.5 goals 29%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo all matches
Milan all matches
Sassuolo before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.24scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:23
Milan before this match, away
2.06points / match
1.53scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:11
Sassuolo at home away Milan

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.53
1.35 Goals conceded 0.65
2.59 Total goals 2.18
10.35 Shots 10.76
3.53 Shots on target 3.65
14.18 Shots faced 12.47
4.00 Corners 3.59
4.94 Corners against 5.12
11.82 Fouls 9.12
2.00 Yellow cards 1.24
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

47% Wins 59%
12% Draws 29%
41% Losses 12%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
71% Over 1.5 goals 65%
59% Over 2.5 goals 35%
24% Over 3.5 goals 18%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 41%
18% Clean sheets 47%
35% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 29%
24% Draws 59%
41% Losses 12%
88% Over 0.5 goals 53%
41% Over 1.5 goals 29%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 1.88 1.98
17.04.26 Sassuolo – Como 2–1 (2–1) 5.754.331.53 1.67 2.20
12.04.26 Genoa – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
21.03.26 Juventus – Sassuolo 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.62 2.30
15.03.26 Sassuolo – Bologna 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
09.03.26 Lazio – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
20.02.26 Sassuolo – Verona 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.305.25 2.20 1.67
15.02.26 Udinese – Sassuolo 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.003.30 2.20 1.67

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 1.98 1.88
19.04.26 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.57 2.05 1.80
11.04.26 Milan – Udinese 0–3 (0–2) 1.424.508.00 1.83 2.03
06.04.26 Napoli – Milan 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.30 1.62
21.03.26 Milan – Torino 3–2 (1–1) 1.404.757.50 1.80 2.00
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Milan – Inter 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.002.25 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Milan – Parma 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Milan – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85

Sassuolo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.26 Sassuolo – Como 2–1 (2–1) 5.754.331.53 1.67 2.20
04.04.26 Sassuolo – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Sassuolo – Bologna 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
20.02.26 Sassuolo – Verona 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.305.25 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Sassuolo – Inter 0–5 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Sassuolo – Cremonese 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.67
06.01.26 Sassuolo – Juventus 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.901.67 1.98 1.88
03.01.26 Sassuolo – Parma 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.304.33 2.10 1.73
21.12.25 Sassuolo – Torino 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.67

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.57 2.05 1.80
06.04.26 Napoli – Milan 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.003.00 2.30 1.62
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Cremonese – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 1.91 1.91
13.02.26 Pisa – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.201.50 1.93 1.93
03.02.26 Bologna – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 2.903.252.50 2.10 1.73
25.01.26 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.20 1.67
15.01.26 Como – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.252.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
02.01.26 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sassuolo winsDrawsMilan wins
7matches
3.57goals / match
71%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25I1 Milan – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–1) 1.424.338.00 1.83 2.03
14.04.24I1 Sassuolo – Milan 3–3 (2–1) 4.503.801.75 1.67 2.20
30.12.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
29.01.23I1 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
22.05.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
28.11.21I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 80 31 +49 79
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 52 33 +19 70
3 Milan 34 19 10 5 48 27 +21 67
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 57 29 +28 64
5 Como 35 17 11 7 59 28 +31 62
6 Roma 34 19 4 11 48 29 +19 61
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 47 32 +15 55
8 Bologna 35 14 7 14 42 41 +1 49
9 Lazio 34 12 12 10 37 33 +4 48
10 Udinese 35 13 8 14 43 46 -3 47
11 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 41 44 -3 46
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 25 40 -15 42
13 Torino 35 11 8 16 39 58 -19 41
14 Genoa 35 10 10 15 40 48 -8 40
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 38 45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 35 9 10 16 36 49 -13 37
17 Lecce 35 8 8 19 24 47 -23 32
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 26 51 -25 28
19 Verona 34 3 10 21 23 56 -33 19
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 25 63 -38 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 2 2 47 15 +32 41
2 Napoli 17 12 4 1 30 15 +15 40
3 Juventus 17 10 6 1 34 13 +21 36
4 Roma 17 11 3 3 27 10 +17 36
5 Como 18 9 6 3 34 15 +19 33
6 Atalanta 18 9 6 3 25 14 +11 33
7 Milan 17 9 5 3 22 16 +6 32
8 Lazio 17 7 6 4 25 21 +4 27
9 Sassuolo 17 8 2 7 21 23 -2 26
10 Torino 17 7 3 7 23 26 -3 24
11 Udinese 18 6 5 7 18 20 -2 23
12 Cagliari 17 6 4 7 20 20 0 22
13 Genoa 18 6 4 8 21 24 -3 22
14 Bologna 18 6 3 9 16 20 -4 21
15 Fiorentina 17 4 7 6 20 20 0 19
16 Parma 17 4 6 7 13 22 -9 18
17 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
18 Cremonese 16 2 7 7 13 23 -10 13
19 Pisa 18 2 4 12 9 23 -14 10
20 Verona 17 1 5 11 12 25 -13 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 12 2 3 33 16 +17 38
2 Milan 17 10 5 2 26 11 +15 35
3 Napoli 18 9 3 6 22 18 +4 30
4 Como 17 8 5 4 25 13 +12 29
5 Juventus 17 8 4 5 23 16 +7 28
6 Bologna 17 8 4 5 26 21 +5 28
7 Roma 17 8 1 8 21 19 +2 25
8 Udinese 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
9 Parma 17 6 6 5 12 18 -6 24
10 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 22 18 +4 22
11 Lazio 17 5 6 6 12 12 0 21
12 Sassuolo 17 5 5 7 20 21 -1 20
13 Genoa 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Fiorentina 17 4 6 7 18 25 -7 18
15 Torino 18 4 5 9 16 32 -16 17
16 Lecce 18 4 3 11 12 24 -12 15
17 Cagliari 18 3 6 9 16 29 -13 15
18 Cremonese 18 4 3 11 13 28 -15 15
19 Verona 17 2 5 10 11 31 -20 11
20 Pisa 17 0 8 9 16 40 -24 8

Sassuolo   Milan

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Torino 35 14 21 1.1 1.7 11 8 16 39 58 41
2 1 Inter 34 15 19 2.4 0.9 25 4 5 80 31 79
3 11 Sassuolo 34 15 19 1.2 1.3 13 7 14 41 44 46
4 14 Genoa 35 16 19 1.1 1.4 10 10 15 40 48 40
5 19 Verona 34 15 19 0.7 1.6 3 10 21 23 56 19
6 2 Napoli 35 17 18 1.5 0.9 21 7 7 52 33 70
7 15 Fiorentina 34 16 18 1.1 1.3 8 13 13 38 45 37
8 10 Udinese 35 18 17 1.2 1.3 13 8 14 43 46 47
9 16 Cagliari 35 18 17 1.0 1.4 9 10 16 36 49 37
10 20 Pisa 35 18 17 0.7 1.8 2 12 21 25 63 18
11 5 Como 35 19 16 1.7 0.8 17 11 7 59 28 62
12 8 Bologna 35 20 15 1.2 1.2 14 7 14 42 41 49
13 3 Milan 34 20 14 1.4 0.8 19 10 5 48 27 67
14 4 Juventus 34 20 14 1.7 0.9 18 10 6 57 29 64
15 18 Cremonese 34 20 14 0.8 1.5 6 10 18 26 51 28
16 7 Atalanta 35 22 13 1.3 0.9 14 13 8 47 32 55
17 17 Lecce 35 22 13 0.7 1.3 8 8 19 24 47 32
18 6 Roma 34 22 12 1.4 0.9 19 4 11 48 29 61
19 12 Parma 34 24 10 0.7 1.2 10 12 12 25 40 42
20 9 Lazio 34 25 9 1.1 1.0 12 12 10 37 33 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 17 5 12 2.8 0.9 13 2 2 47 15 41
2 2 Napoli 17 6 11 1.8 0.9 12 4 1 30 15 40
3 13 Torino 17 6 11 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 23 26 24
4 11 Sassuolo 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 8 2 7 21 23 26
5 14 Genoa 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 4 8 21 24 22
6 3 Milan 17 9 8 1.3 0.9 9 5 3 22 16 32
7 4 Juventus 17 9 8 2.0 0.8 10 6 1 34 13 36
8 5 Como 18 10 8 1.9 0.8 9 6 3 34 15 33
9 15 Fiorentina 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 6 20 20 19
10 17 Lecce 17 9 8 0.7 1.4 4 5 8 12 23 17
11 19 Verona 17 9 8 0.7 1.5 1 5 11 12 25 8
12 7 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 0.8 9 6 3 25 14 33
13 9 Lazio 17 10 7 1.5 1.2 7 6 4 25 21 27
14 10 Udinese 18 11 7 1.0 1.1 6 5 7 18 20 23
15 8 Bologna 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 6 3 9 16 20 21
16 16 Cagliari 17 11 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 7 20 20 22
17 18 Cremonese 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 2 7 7 13 23 13
18 20 Pisa 18 12 6 0.5 1.3 2 4 12 9 23 10
19 6 Roma 17 12 5 1.6 0.6 11 3 3 27 10 36
20 12 Parma 17 12 5 0.8 1.3 4 6 7 13 22 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Cagliari 18 7 11 0.9 1.6 3 6 9 16 29 15
2 19 Verona 17 6 11 0.6 1.8 2 5 10 11 31 11
3 20 Pisa 17 6 11 0.9 2.4 0 8 9 16 40 8
4 10 Udinese 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24
5 13 Torino 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 5 9 16 32 17
6 15 Fiorentina 17 7 10 1.1 1.5 4 6 7 18 25 18
7 8 Bologna 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 5 26 21 28
8 11 Sassuolo 17 8 9 1.2 1.2 5 5 7 20 21 20
9 14 Genoa 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 4 6 7 19 24 18
10 5 Como 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 5 4 25 13 29
11 18 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 11 13 28 15
12 1 Inter 17 10 7 1.9 0.9 12 2 3 33 16 38
13 2 Napoli 18 11 7 1.2 1.0 9 3 6 22 18 30
14 6 Roma 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 8 1 8 21 19 25
15 3 Milan 17 11 6 1.5 0.6 10 5 2 26 11 35
16 4 Juventus 17 11 6 1.4 0.9 8 4 5 23 16 28
17 7 Atalanta 17 11 6 1.3 1.1 5 7 5 22 18 22
18 12 Parma 17 12 5 0.7 1.1 6 6 5 12 18 24
19 17 Lecce 18 13 5 0.7 1.3 4 3 11 12 24 15
20 9 Lazio 17 15 2 0.7 0.7 5 6 6 12 12 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51