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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 1–1 Waalwijk

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.25 fair 2.11
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.30
Away 3.20 fair 3.41
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.51
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Waalwijk
18 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 4
11 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (227 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawWaalwijk
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
1.52scored / match
2.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 38:56
Waalwijk before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
0.92scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 23:42
Excelsior all matches all matches Waalwijk

Per match

1.52 Goals scored 0.92
2.24 Goals conceded 1.68
3.76 Total goals 2.60
10.56 Shots 12.04
4.20 Shots on target 4.00
15.04 Shots faced 16.20
3.08 Corners 3.84
6.60 Corners against 6.76
8.16 Fouls 9.72
1.48 Yellow cards 1.64
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.84 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

16% Wins 24%
36% Draws 12%
48% Losses 64%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 72%
80% Over 2.5 goals 52%
56% Over 3.5 goals 28%
24% Over 4.5 goals 8%
24% Over 5.5 goals 0%
76% Both teams scored 48%
16% Clean sheets 12%
16% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 24%
48% Draws 40%
24% Losses 36%
68% Over 0.5 goals 72%
48% Over 1.5 goals 28%
24% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Waalwijk all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.42scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:21
Waalwijk before this match, away
0.58points / match
0.58scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 7:21
Excelsior at home away Waalwijk

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 0.58
1.75 Goals conceded 1.75
3.17 Total goals 2.33
12.92 Shots 12.42
4.67 Shots on target 4.08
13.25 Shots faced 17.50
3.33 Corners 4.08
6.33 Corners against 8.00
7.17 Fouls 9.67
1.08 Yellow cards 1.83
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

17% Wins 17%
50% Draws 8%
33% Losses 75%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 42%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 8%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 8%
17% Failed to score 58%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 8%
67% Draws 50%
8% Losses 42%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Waalwijk away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
25.02.24 Excelsior – Vitesse 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10
02.02.24 Almere City – Excelsior 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.05 1.80
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
19.01.24 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
16.12.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.62 2.25

Waalwijk all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Waalwijk – Vitesse 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.83 2.03
02.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.08
24.02.24 Waalwijk – For Sittard 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.502.88 2.05 1.80
18.02.24 Feyenoord – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0017.00 1.30 3.50
09.02.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.803.752.40 1.73 2.08
03.02.24 Twente – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
27.01.24 Waalwijk – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.752.70 1.73 2.08
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
12.01.24 Waalwijk – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 1.85 2.00
16.12.23 Utrecht – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24 Excelsior – Vitesse 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
19.01.24 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
16.12.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Excelsior – Feyenoord 2–4 (1–1) 11.007.001.20 1.33 3.40
04.11.23 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40
22.10.23 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–4 (1–0) 2.304.002.75 1.70 2.10
01.10.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.67 2.15
17.09.23 Excelsior – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.35

Waalwijk away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.08
18.02.24 Feyenoord – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.1310.0017.00 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Twente – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
16.12.23 Utrecht – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–1) 1.624.005.25 1.65 2.20
10.12.23 For Sittard – Waalwijk 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.75 2.05
25.11.23 Zwolle – Waalwijk 1–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.67 2.15
28.10.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Waalwijk 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Almere City – Waalwijk 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.802.75 1.57 2.35
16.09.23 Vitesse – Waalwijk 0–2 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsWaalwijk wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23N1 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
04.02.23N1 Excelsior – Waalwijk 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.55 1.73 2.08
04.09.22N1 Waalwijk – Excelsior 5–2 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.57 2.35

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 22 3 0 80 13 +67 69
2 Feyenoord 25 18 5 2 63 19 +44 59
3 Twente 25 16 5 4 49 24 +25 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 25 13 7 5 49 23 +26 46
5 Ajax 25 11 7 7 55 45 +10 40
6 Nijmegen 25 10 9 6 50 39 +11 39
7 Go Ahead Eagles 26 10 7 9 38 35 +3 37
8 For Sittard 26 9 7 10 33 44 -11 34
9 Utrecht 25 8 9 8 30 33 -3 33
10 Heerenveen 25 9 4 12 40 46 -6 31
11 Sparta Rotterdam 25 8 6 11 31 36 -5 30
12 Almere City 25 7 8 10 25 42 -17 29
13 Zwolle 26 7 7 12 34 47 -13 28
14 Heracles 26 7 5 14 33 58 -25 26
15 Excelsior 25 4 9 12 38 56 -18 21
16 Waalwijk 25 6 3 16 23 42 -19 21
17 Vitesse 25 4 4 17 20 52 -32 16
18 Volendam 25 3 5 17 26 63 -37 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 11 1 0 35 7 +28 34
2 Twente 13 10 1 2 27 14 +13 31
3 Feyenoord 13 9 3 1 32 8 +24 30
4 AZ Alkmaar 13 8 2 3 31 12 +19 26
5 Ajax 13 7 4 2 31 17 +14 25
6 Nijmegen 13 7 3 3 28 16 +12 24
7 For Sittard 13 7 3 3 25 17 +8 24
8 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 3 4 26 16 +10 21
9 Heerenveen 12 6 2 4 22 16 +6 20
10 Heracles 13 5 3 5 20 28 -8 18
11 Utrecht 12 4 5 3 20 20 0 17
12 Waalwijk 13 4 2 7 16 21 -5 14
13 Almere City 13 3 5 5 13 21 -8 14
14 Sparta Rotterdam 12 3 4 5 15 20 -5 13
15 Excelsior 12 2 6 4 17 21 -4 12
16 Zwolle 13 3 3 7 12 24 -12 12
17 Vitesse 12 1 4 7 8 18 -10 7
18 Volendam 12 2 1 9 11 32 -21 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 2 0 45 6 +39 35
2 Feyenoord 12 9 2 1 31 11 +20 29
3 Twente 12 6 4 2 22 10 +12 22
4 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 5 2 18 11 +7 20
5 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 16 16 0 17
6 Zwolle 13 4 4 5 22 23 -1 16
7 Utrecht 13 4 4 5 10 13 -3 16
8 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 4 5 12 19 -7 16
9 Nijmegen 12 3 6 3 22 23 -1 15
10 Ajax 12 4 3 5 24 28 -4 15
11 Almere City 12 4 3 5 12 21 -9 15
12 Heerenveen 13 3 2 8 18 30 -12 11
13 For Sittard 13 2 4 7 8 27 -19 10
14 Excelsior 13 2 3 8 21 35 -14 9
15 Vitesse 13 3 0 10 12 34 -22 9
16 Heracles 13 2 2 9 13 30 -17 8
17 Waalwijk 12 2 1 9 7 21 -14 7
18 Volendam 13 1 4 8 15 31 -16 7

Excelsior   Waalwijk

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 25 5 20 2.2 1.8 11 7 7 55 45 40
2 15 Excelsior 25 5 20 1.5 2.2 4 9 12 38 56 21
3 14 Heracles 26 7 19 1.3 2.2 7 5 14 33 58 26
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 25 7 18 3.2 0.5 22 3 0 80 13 69
5 10 Heerenveen 25 7 18 1.6 1.8 9 4 12 40 46 31
6 2 Feyenoord 25 8 17 2.5 0.8 18 5 2 63 19 59
7 3 Twente 25 8 17 2.0 1.0 16 5 4 49 24 53
8 6 Nijmegen 25 8 17 2.0 1.6 10 9 6 50 39 39
9 8 For Sittard 26 9 17 1.3 1.7 9 7 10 33 44 34
10 18 Volendam 25 8 17 1.0 2.5 3 5 17 26 63 14
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 25 10 15 2.0 0.9 13 7 5 49 23 46
12 13 Zwolle 26 11 15 1.3 1.8 7 7 12 34 47 28
13 17 Vitesse 25 11 14 0.8 2.1 4 4 17 20 52 16
14 12 Almere City 25 12 13 1.0 1.7 7 8 10 25 42 29
15 16 Waalwijk 25 12 13 0.9 1.7 6 3 16 23 42 21
16 7 Go Ahead Eagles 26 14 12 1.5 1.3 10 7 9 38 35 37
17 11 Sparta Rotterdam 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 8 6 11 31 36 30
18 9 Utrecht 25 17 8 1.2 1.3 8 9 8 30 33 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Twente 13 3 10 2.1 1.1 10 1 2 27 14 31
2 5 Ajax 13 3 10 2.4 1.3 7 4 2 31 17 25
3 14 Heracles 13 3 10 1.5 2.2 5 3 5 20 28 18
4 4 AZ Alkmaar 13 4 9 2.4 0.9 8 2 3 31 12 26
5 8 For Sittard 13 4 9 1.9 1.3 7 3 3 25 17 24
6 10 Heerenveen 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 6 2 4 22 16 20
7 1 PSV Eindhoven 12 4 8 2.9 0.6 11 1 0 35 7 34
8 2 Feyenoord 13 5 8 2.5 0.6 9 3 1 32 8 30
9 6 Nijmegen 13 5 8 2.2 1.2 7 3 3 28 16 24
10 7 Go Ahead Eagles 13 5 8 2.0 1.2 6 3 4 26 16 21
11 15 Excelsior 12 4 8 1.4 1.8 2 6 4 17 21 12
12 16 Waalwijk 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 4 2 7 16 21 14
13 18 Volendam 12 4 8 0.9 2.7 2 1 9 11 32 7
14 12 Almere City 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 3 5 5 13 21 14
15 11 Sparta Rotterdam 12 6 6 1.2 1.7 3 4 5 15 20 13
16 13 Zwolle 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 3 3 7 12 24 12
17 9 Utrecht 12 7 5 1.7 1.7 4 5 3 20 20 17
18 17 Vitesse 12 8 4 0.7 1.5 1 4 7 8 18 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 13 1 12 1.6 2.7 2 3 8 21 35 9
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 3.5 0.5 11 2 0 45 6 35
3 5 Ajax 12 2 10 2.0 2.3 4 3 5 24 28 15
4 17 Vitesse 13 3 10 0.9 2.6 3 0 10 12 34 9
5 2 Feyenoord 12 3 9 2.6 0.9 9 2 1 31 11 29
6 6 Nijmegen 12 3 9 1.8 1.9 3 6 3 22 23 15
7 10 Heerenveen 13 4 9 1.4 2.3 3 2 8 18 30 11
8 13 Zwolle 13 4 9 1.7 1.8 4 4 5 22 23 16
9 14 Heracles 13 4 9 1.0 2.3 2 2 9 13 30 8
10 18 Volendam 13 4 9 1.2 2.4 1 4 8 15 31 7
11 8 For Sittard 13 5 8 0.6 2.1 2 4 7 8 27 10
12 3 Twente 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 6 4 2 22 10 22
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 12 6 6 1.5 0.9 5 5 2 18 11 20
14 11 Sparta Rotterdam 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 2 6 16 16 17
15 12 Almere City 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 4 3 5 12 21 15
16 16 Waalwijk 12 7 5 0.6 1.8 2 1 9 7 21 7
17 7 Go Ahead Eagles 13 9 4 0.9 1.5 4 4 5 12 19 16
18 9 Utrecht 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 10 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51