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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.20 fair 2.30
Draw 4.00 fair 4.40
Away ✓ 2.05 fair 2.96
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen AZ Alkmaar
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 2
7 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (274 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.97scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 59:44
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.97scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 59:35
Nijmegen all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

1.97 Goals scored 1.97
1.47 Goals conceded 1.17
3.43 Total goals 3.13
12.67 Shots 14.47
5.77 Shots on target 5.30
16.37 Shots faced 10.33
4.30 Corners 6.27
6.57 Corners against 3.20
9.27 Fouls 8.93
1.57 Yellow cards 1.30
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 53%
37% Draws 23%
23% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
93% Over 1.5 goals 90%
67% Over 2.5 goals 63%
47% Over 3.5 goals 40%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
70% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 37%
10% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 47%
40% Draws 23%
27% Losses 30%
73% Over 0.5 goals 83%
43% Over 1.5 goals 37%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.87points / match
2.20scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 33:19
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
1.53points / match
1.53scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:21
Nijmegen at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.53
1.27 Goals conceded 1.40
3.47 Total goals 2.93
13.93 Shots 13.67
6.33 Shots on target 4.73
13.20 Shots faced 12.20
4.87 Corners 5.87
5.87 Corners against 3.60
8.07 Fouls 9.87
1.20 Yellow cards 1.53
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

53% Wins 40%
27% Draws 33%
20% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 60%
47% Over 3.5 goals 33%
20% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
67% Both teams scored 60%
33% Clean sheets 27%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
47% Draws 33%
20% Losses 33%
73% Over 0.5 goals 80%
47% Over 1.5 goals 33%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–2 (0–1) 1.554.505.25 1.53 2.40
07.04.24 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.70 2.10
02.04.24 For Sittard – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.08 1.73
30.03.24 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–1) 6.005.001.44 1.48 2.60
17.03.24 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
10.03.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.40 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–5 (0–3) 5.254.501.55 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
09.02.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.803.752.40 1.73 2.08

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 3–2 (0–2) 1.305.2510.00 1.50 2.50
06.04.24 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.60 2.30
03.04.24 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 5–0 (3–0) 6.505.001.44 1.65 2.20
30.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Vitesse 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 0–4 (0–2) 12.006.001.25 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.93 1.93
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.85 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Almere City – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.75 2.05

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–2 (0–1) 1.554.505.25 1.53 2.40
30.03.24 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–1) 6.005.001.44 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.40 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
15.12.23 Nijmegen – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.95 1.90
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15
05.11.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–3 (1–1) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.60 2.30
03.04.24 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 5–0 (3–0) 6.505.001.44 1.65 2.20
17.03.24 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 0–4 (0–2) 12.006.001.25 1.48 2.60
02.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.85 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Almere City – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.75 2.05
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05
13.01.24 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.40 1.93 1.93
03.12.23 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 4.003.751.83 1.85 2.00
12.11.23 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.25 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
21.05.23N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 4.333.801.80 1.60 2.30
01.09.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.66 2.15
06.03.22N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 (1–1) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.05
20.11.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.009.00 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 27 3 1 103 17 +86 84
2 Feyenoord 31 23 6 2 80 24 +56 75
3 Twente 31 19 6 6 59 31 +28 63
4 AZ Alkmaar 30 16 7 7 59 35 +24 55
5 Ajax 31 13 10 8 65 58 +7 49
6 Nijmegen 30 12 11 7 59 44 +15 47
7 Utrecht 30 12 9 9 43 41 +2 45
8 Go Ahead Eagles 31 11 9 11 45 42 +3 42
9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 11 7 12 45 43 +2 40
10 Heerenveen 31 10 6 15 50 64 -14 36
11 For Sittard 30 9 8 13 34 52 -18 35
12 Almere City 31 7 12 12 31 51 -20 33
13 Zwolle 30 8 8 14 40 58 -18 32
14 Heracles 30 9 5 16 40 62 -22 32
15 Excelsior 31 5 11 15 46 66 -20 26
16 Waalwijk 30 6 6 18 29 50 -21 24
17 Volendam 30 4 7 19 30 74 -44 19
18 Vitesse 30 4 5 21 22 68 -46 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 1 0 47 8 +39 43
2 Twente 16 13 1 2 33 15 +18 40
3 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 42 10 +32 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 10 2 3 36 14 +22 32
5 Ajax 16 8 6 2 36 21 +15 30
6 Nijmegen 15 8 4 3 33 19 +14 28
7 Utrecht 15 7 5 3 28 22 +6 26
8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 4 5 31 20 +11 25
9 For Sittard 15 7 4 4 26 19 +7 25
10 Heerenveen 16 6 3 7 29 33 -4 21
11 Heracles 15 6 3 6 25 30 -5 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 22 24 -2 17
13 Excelsior 15 3 7 5 22 24 -2 16
14 Waalwijk 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
15 Almere City 15 3 6 6 16 25 -9 15
16 Zwolle 15 4 3 8 15 28 -13 15
17 Volendam 15 3 2 10 14 38 -24 11
18 Vitesse 15 1 5 9 10 26 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 13 2 1 56 9 +47 41
2 Feyenoord 16 12 3 1 38 14 +24 39
3 Twente 15 6 5 4 26 16 +10 23
4 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 2 6 23 19 +4 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 23 21 +2 23
6 Nijmegen 15 4 7 4 26 25 +1 19
7 Utrecht 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
8 Ajax 15 5 4 6 29 37 -8 19
9 Almere City 16 4 6 6 15 26 -11 18
10 Zwolle 15 4 5 6 25 30 -5 17
11 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
12 Heerenveen 15 4 3 8 21 31 -10 15
13 Heracles 15 3 2 10 15 32 -17 11
14 Excelsior 16 2 4 10 24 42 -18 10
15 For Sittard 15 2 4 9 8 33 -25 10
16 Vitesse 15 3 0 12 12 42 -30 9
17 Waalwijk 15 2 2 11 12 28 -16 8
18 Volendam 15 1 5 9 16 36 -20 8

Nijmegen   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 31 6 25 2.1 1.9 13 10 8 65 58 49
2 15 Excelsior 31 7 24 1.5 2.1 5 11 15 46 66 26
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 31 9 22 3.3 0.5 27 3 1 103 17 84
4 10 Heerenveen 31 9 22 1.6 2.1 10 6 15 50 64 36
5 2 Feyenoord 31 10 21 2.6 0.8 23 6 2 80 24 75
6 14 Heracles 30 9 21 1.3 2.1 9 5 16 40 62 32
7 3 Twente 31 11 20 1.9 1.0 19 6 6 59 31 63
8 6 Nijmegen 30 10 20 2.0 1.5 12 11 7 59 44 47
9 17 Volendam 30 10 20 1.0 2.5 4 7 19 30 74 19
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 30 11 19 2.0 1.2 16 7 7 59 35 55
11 13 Zwolle 30 11 19 1.3 1.9 8 8 14 40 58 32
12 11 For Sittard 30 12 18 1.1 1.7 9 8 13 34 52 35
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 13 17 1.5 1.4 11 7 12 45 43 40
14 18 Vitesse 30 13 17 0.7 2.3 4 5 21 22 68 17
15 8 Go Ahead Eagles 31 16 15 1.5 1.4 11 9 11 45 42 42
16 12 Almere City 31 16 15 1.0 1.6 7 12 12 31 51 33
17 16 Waalwijk 30 15 15 1.0 1.7 6 6 18 29 50 24
18 7 Utrecht 30 18 12 1.4 1.4 12 9 9 43 41 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Heerenveen 16 3 13 1.8 2.1 6 3 7 29 33 21
2 5 Ajax 16 4 12 2.2 1.3 8 6 2 36 21 30
3 3 Twente 16 5 11 2.1 0.9 13 1 2 33 15 40
4 14 Heracles 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 6 3 6 25 30 21
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 5 10 3.1 0.5 14 1 0 47 8 43
6 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.8 0.7 11 3 1 42 10 36
7 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 5 10 2.4 0.9 10 2 3 36 14 32
8 6 Nijmegen 15 5 10 2.2 1.3 8 4 3 33 19 28
9 8 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 7 4 5 31 20 25
10 17 Volendam 15 5 10 0.9 2.5 3 2 10 14 38 11
11 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 4 5 6 22 24 17
12 11 For Sittard 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 19 25
13 15 Excelsior 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 3 7 5 22 24 16
14 12 Almere City 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 3 6 6 16 25 15
15 13 Zwolle 15 7 8 1.0 1.9 4 3 8 15 28 15
16 16 Waalwijk 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
17 7 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.9 1.5 7 5 3 28 22 26
18 18 Vitesse 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 10 26 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 16 1 15 1.5 2.6 2 4 10 24 42 10
2 5 Ajax 15 2 13 1.9 2.5 5 4 6 29 37 19
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 4 12 3.5 0.6 13 2 1 56 9 41
4 2 Feyenoord 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 12 3 1 38 14 39
5 13 Zwolle 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 4 5 6 25 30 17
6 18 Vitesse 15 4 11 0.8 2.8 3 0 12 12 42 9
7 6 Nijmegen 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 4 7 4 26 25 19
8 14 Heracles 15 5 10 1.0 2.1 3 2 10 15 32 11
9 17 Volendam 15 5 10 1.1 2.4 1 5 9 16 36 8
10 3 Twente 15 6 9 1.7 1.1 6 5 4 26 16 23
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 6 5 4 23 21 23
12 10 Heerenveen 15 6 9 1.4 2.1 4 3 8 21 31 15
13 11 For Sittard 15 6 9 0.5 2.2 2 4 9 8 33 10
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 7 2 6 23 19 23
15 12 Almere City 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 6 15 26 18
16 16 Waalwijk 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 11 12 28 8
17 7 Utrecht 15 10 5 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
18 8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44