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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.44
Draw 6.25 fair 5.57
Away 10.00 fair 7.85
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax NAC Breda
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 0
8 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (251 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 2.29 – 0.87
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawNAC Breda
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.1% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.48points / match
2.11scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 57:20
NAC Breda before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.07scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 29:45
Ajax all matches all matches NAC Breda

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 1.07
0.74 Goals conceded 1.67
2.85 Total goals 2.74
13.56 Shots 11.56
5.44 Shots on target 3.81
10.44 Shots faced 16.26
4.89 Corners 4.19
3.37 Corners against 5.81
10.56 Fouls 10.26
1.44 Yellow cards 1.59
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

78% Wins 30%
15% Draws 22%
7% Losses 48%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
85% Over 1.5 goals 78%
52% Over 2.5 goals 52%
30% Over 3.5 goals 26%
11% Over 4.5 goals 19%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
44% Both teams scored 56%
56% Clean sheets 19%
0% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 33%
44% Draws 37%
4% Losses 30%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 30%
7% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
NAC Breda all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.69points / match
2.46scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 32:9
NAC Breda before this match, away
0.62points / match
0.85scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:28
Ajax at home away NAC Breda

Per match

2.46 Goals scored 0.85
0.69 Goals conceded 2.15
3.15 Total goals 3.00
15.38 Shots 11.00
6.23 Shots on target 3.46
8.85 Shots faced 18.23
6.38 Corners 3.69
2.23 Corners against 6.38
10.00 Fouls 9.77
1.08 Yellow cards 1.62
1.23 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.15 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

85% Wins 15%
15% Draws 15%
0% Losses 69%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 85%
69% Over 2.5 goals 54%
46% Over 3.5 goals 38%
15% Over 4.5 goals 23%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 46%
54% Clean sheets 8%
0% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

77% Wins 23%
23% Draws 38%
0% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 69%
46% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
NAC Breda away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
09.03.25 Zwolle – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.67 2.15
02.03.25 Almere City – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.40 1.65 2.20
23.02.25 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.50 2.50
16.02.25 Ajax – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
09.02.25 For Sittard – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15
19.01.25 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.101.60 1.62 2.25
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00

NAC Breda all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25 NAC Breda – Groningen 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.202.90 2.10 1.70
14.03.25 Almere City – NAC Breda 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.05 1.75
07.03.25 NAC Breda – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 1.95 1.90
01.03.25 Utrecht – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
15.02.25 NAC Breda – Feyenoord 0–0 (0–0) 4.334.751.60 1.57 2.35
09.02.25 Waalwijk – NAC Breda 5–0 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.70 2.10
31.01.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 1.85 2.00
25.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 3–2 (2–1) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
19.01.25 NAC Breda – Twente 2–1 (2–0) 4.754.101.65 1.73 2.08
12.01.25 NAC Breda – Heerenveen 2–4 (1–3) 2.153.603.20 1.90 1.95

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
23.02.25 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.50 2.50
16.02.25 Ajax – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
15.12.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.36 3.10
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88
02.11.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–1) 2.883.752.25 1.57 2.35
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40

NAC Breda away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.25 Almere City – NAC Breda 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.05 1.75
01.03.25 Utrecht – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
09.02.25 Waalwijk – NAC Breda 5–0 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.70 2.10
25.01.25 PSV Eindhoven – NAC Breda 3–2 (2–1) 1.1110.0019.00 1.25 4.00
21.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – NAC Breda 2–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95
07.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.303.90 2.00 1.85
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Heracles – NAC Breda 2–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 1.85 2.00
20.10.24 Zwolle – NAC Breda 1–2 (0–0) 1.913.504.10 1.80 2.00
29.09.24 Twente – NAC Breda 1–0 (0–0) 1.208.509.50 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsNAC Breda wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.08.24N1 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 27 21 4 2 57 20 +37 67
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 19 4 5 81 33 +48 61
3 Feyenoord 28 16 8 4 62 32 +30 56
4 Utrecht 28 15 8 5 50 41 +9 53
5 Twente 28 13 8 7 54 40 +14 47
6 AZ Alkmaar 28 13 7 8 47 32 +15 46
7 Go Ahead Eagles 28 13 6 9 51 45 +6 45
8 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 35 49 -14 34
9 For Sittard 28 9 6 13 33 47 -14 33
10 Heracles 28 7 11 10 35 48 -13 32
11 Groningen 28 8 8 12 27 41 -14 32
12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 7 10 11 30 35 -5 31
13 Nijmegen 28 8 6 14 40 42 -2 30
14 Zwolle 28 7 9 12 34 43 -9 30
15 NAC Breda 27 8 6 13 29 45 -16 30
16 Willem II 28 6 6 16 29 47 -18 24
17 Waalwijk 28 4 7 17 34 56 -22 19
18 Almere City 28 4 7 17 20 52 -32 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 13 11 2 0 32 9 +23 35
2 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 3 1 42 13 +29 33
3 Twente 14 9 4 1 31 15 +16 31
4 Go Ahead Eagles 15 9 4 2 31 19 +12 31
5 Feyenoord 14 9 3 2 30 15 +15 30
6 Heerenveen 14 7 6 1 25 14 +11 27
7 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 25 15 +10 23
8 Groningen 14 6 5 3 15 10 +5 23
9 Utrecht 14 7 2 5 20 22 -2 23
10 Heracles 14 5 7 2 26 21 +5 22
11 NAC Breda 14 6 4 4 18 17 +1 22
12 Zwolle 14 6 2 6 20 18 +2 20
13 For Sittard 13 6 0 7 15 22 -7 18
14 Nijmegen 14 4 5 5 30 22 +8 17
15 Sparta Rotterdam 14 3 6 5 16 18 -2 15
16 Willem II 14 3 3 8 17 21 -4 12
17 Waalwijk 14 3 3 8 17 23 -6 12
18 Almere City 14 2 3 9 12 32 -20 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 14 10 2 2 25 11 +14 32
2 Utrecht 14 8 6 0 30 19 +11 30
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 9 1 4 39 20 +19 28
4 Feyenoord 14 7 5 2 32 17 +15 26
5 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 5 3 22 17 +5 23
6 Twente 14 4 4 6 23 25 -2 16
7 Sparta Rotterdam 14 4 4 6 14 17 -3 16
8 For Sittard 15 3 6 6 18 25 -7 15
9 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 2 7 20 26 -6 14
10 Nijmegen 14 4 1 9 10 20 -10 13
11 Willem II 14 3 3 8 12 26 -14 12
12 Zwolle 14 1 7 6 14 25 -11 10
13 Almere City 14 2 4 8 8 20 -12 10
14 Heracles 14 2 4 8 9 27 -18 10
15 Groningen 14 2 3 9 12 31 -19 9
16 NAC Breda 13 2 2 9 11 28 -17 8
17 Waalwijk 14 1 4 9 17 33 -16 7
18 Heerenveen 14 2 1 11 10 35 -25 7

Ajax   NAC Breda

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 28 5 23 2.9 1.2 19 4 5 81 33 61
2 7 Go Ahead Eagles 28 9 19 1.8 1.6 13 6 9 51 45 45
3 17 Waalwijk 28 10 18 1.2 2.0 4 7 17 34 56 19
4 3 Feyenoord 28 11 17 2.2 1.1 16 8 4 62 32 56
5 4 Utrecht 28 11 17 1.8 1.5 15 8 5 50 41 53
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 28 11 17 1.7 1.1 13 7 8 47 32 46
7 5 Twente 28 12 16 1.9 1.4 13 8 7 54 40 47
8 9 For Sittard 28 12 16 1.2 1.7 9 6 13 33 47 33
9 13 Nijmegen 28 12 16 1.4 1.5 8 6 14 40 42 30
10 8 Heerenveen 28 13 15 1.2 1.8 9 7 12 35 49 34
11 1 Ajax 27 13 14 2.1 0.7 21 4 2 57 20 67
12 10 Heracles 28 14 14 1.2 1.7 7 11 10 35 48 32
13 15 NAC Breda 27 13 14 1.1 1.7 8 6 13 29 45 30
14 18 Almere City 28 15 13 0.7 1.9 4 7 17 20 52 19
15 11 Groningen 28 16 12 1.0 1.5 8 8 12 27 41 32
16 14 Zwolle 28 16 12 1.2 1.5 7 9 12 34 43 30
17 16 Willem II 28 16 12 1.0 1.7 6 6 16 29 47 24
18 12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 17 11 1.1 1.2 7 10 11 30 35 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 14 3 11 3.0 0.9 10 3 1 42 13 33
2 13 Nijmegen 14 3 11 2.1 1.6 4 5 5 30 22 17
3 7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 9 4 2 31 19 31
4 1 Ajax 13 4 9 2.5 0.7 11 2 0 32 9 35
5 3 Feyenoord 14 5 9 2.1 1.1 9 3 2 30 15 30
6 9 For Sittard 13 4 9 1.2 1.7 6 0 7 15 22 18
7 17 Waalwijk 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 3 3 8 17 23 12
8 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 8 1.8 1.1 7 2 5 25 15 23
9 10 Heracles 14 6 8 1.9 1.5 5 7 2 26 21 22
10 14 Zwolle 14 7 7 1.4 1.3 6 2 6 20 18 20
11 15 NAC Breda 14 7 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 4 18 17 22
12 16 Willem II 14 7 7 1.2 1.5 3 3 8 17 21 12
13 18 Almere City 14 7 7 0.9 2.3 2 3 9 12 32 9
14 4 Utrecht 14 8 6 1.4 1.6 7 2 5 20 22 23
15 8 Heerenveen 14 8 6 1.8 1.0 7 6 1 25 14 27
16 5 Twente 14 9 5 2.2 1.1 9 4 1 31 15 31
17 12 Sparta Rotterdam 14 9 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 16 18 15
18 11 Groningen 14 10 4 1.1 0.7 6 5 3 15 10 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 14 2 12 2.8 1.4 9 1 4 39 20 28
2 4 Utrecht 14 3 11 2.1 1.4 8 6 0 30 19 30
3 5 Twente 14 3 11 1.6 1.8 4 4 6 23 25 16
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 9 1.6 1.2 6 5 3 22 17 23
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 9 1.5 2.0 4 2 7 20 26 14
6 8 Heerenveen 14 5 9 0.7 2.5 2 1 11 10 35 7
7 17 Waalwijk 14 5 9 1.2 2.4 1 4 9 17 33 7
8 3 Feyenoord 14 6 8 2.3 1.2 7 5 2 32 17 26
9 11 Groningen 14 6 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 9 12 31 9
10 9 For Sittard 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 3 6 6 18 25 15
11 15 NAC Breda 13 6 7 0.8 2.2 2 2 9 11 28 8
12 10 Heracles 14 8 6 0.6 1.9 2 4 8 9 27 10
13 12 Sparta Rotterdam 14 8 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 6 14 17 16
14 18 Almere City 14 8 6 0.6 1.4 2 4 8 8 20 10
15 1 Ajax 14 9 5 1.8 0.8 10 2 2 25 11 32
16 13 Nijmegen 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 4 1 9 10 20 13
17 14 Zwolle 14 9 5 1.0 1.8 1 7 6 14 25 10
18 16 Willem II 14 9 5 0.9 1.9 3 3 8 12 26 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51