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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 4–0 Heracles

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.52
Draw 7.00 fair 5.33
Away 11.00 fair 6.52
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 2.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Heracles
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
13 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (202 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 2.27 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawHeracles
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 2–0 9.8% 1–1 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.14scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 45:18
Heracles before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.27scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 28:39
Ajax all matches all matches Heracles

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 1.27
0.86 Goals conceded 1.77
3.00 Total goals 3.05
13.67 Shots 12.00
5.67 Shots on target 3.86
10.57 Shots faced 15.77
5.52 Corners 5.09
3.33 Corners against 5.05
10.90 Fouls 11.82
1.62 Yellow cards 1.68
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

76% Wins 23%
14% Draws 41%
10% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
90% Over 1.5 goals 82%
57% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 36%
14% Over 4.5 goals 23%
5% Over 5.5 goals 14%
52% Both teams scored 64%
48% Clean sheets 18%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 36%
43% Draws 41%
5% Losses 23%
71% Over 0.5 goals 73%
38% Over 1.5 goals 32%
10% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Heracles all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.80points / match
2.40scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 24:7
Heracles before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
2.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:21
Ajax at home away Heracles

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 0.80
0.70 Goals conceded 2.10
3.10 Total goals 2.90
15.10 Shots 8.60
6.40 Shots on target 2.80
9.50 Shots faced 17.30
7.20 Corners 3.60
1.90 Corners against 5.40
10.00 Fouls 12.50
1.10 Yellow cards 1.50
1.40 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

90% Wins 20%
10% Draws 20%
0% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
70% Over 2.5 goals 50%
40% Over 3.5 goals 30%
20% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 40%
50% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

90% Wins 30%
10% Draws 30%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 70%
50% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Heracles away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 For Sittard – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15
19.01.25 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.101.60 1.62 2.25
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
15.12.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.36 3.10
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.25 Heracles – Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.67 2.15
31.01.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 1.85 2.00
28.01.25 Heracles – Groningen 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.00 1.85
24.01.25 Heracles – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.701.90 1.73 2.08
19.01.25 Almere City – Heracles 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 2.00 1.85
11.01.25 Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
14.12.24 Feyenoord – Heracles 5–2 (3–1) 1.206.5015.00 1.44 2.70
07.12.24 Heracles – For Sittard 2–2 (1–2) 2.503.302.80 2.03 1.83
01.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.40
23.11.24 Heracles – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.603.00 1.67 2.15
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
15.12.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.36 3.10
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88
02.11.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–1) 2.883.752.25 1.57 2.35
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50
11.08.24 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88

Heracles away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 1.85 2.00
19.01.25 Almere City – Heracles 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.303.00 2.00 1.85
14.12.24 Feyenoord – Heracles 5–2 (3–1) 1.206.5015.00 1.44 2.70
01.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.40
08.11.24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.70 2.10
27.10.24 Twente – Heracles 5–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 2.88
06.10.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–1 (0–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.15
21.09.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Zwolle – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.70 2.10
11.08.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.506.00 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsHeracles wins
5matches
4.20goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24N1 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
27.01.24N1 Heracles – Ajax 2–4 (1–1) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.70
12.08.23N1 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
06.02.22N1 Ajax – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.25 4.00
30.10.21N1 Heracles – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 11.006.501.20 1.36 3.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 16 4 3 71 26 +45 52
2 Ajax 21 16 3 2 45 18 +27 51
3 Utrecht 23 12 7 4 42 36 +6 43
4 Feyenoord 22 11 7 4 46 26 +20 40
5 AZ Alkmaar 22 12 4 6 38 21 +17 40
6 Twente 22 11 6 5 46 30 +16 39
7 Go Ahead Eagles 22 10 5 7 40 34 +6 35
8 Groningen 23 7 6 10 22 32 -10 27
9 Heerenveen 23 7 6 10 27 42 -15 27
10 NAC Breda 23 8 3 12 26 41 -15 27
11 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 29 40 -11 26
12 Nijmegen 22 7 4 11 34 32 +2 25
13 Zwolle 23 6 7 10 27 35 -8 25
14 Willem II 23 6 6 11 26 34 -8 24
15 Heracles 22 5 9 8 28 39 -11 24
16 Sparta Rotterdam 23 4 8 11 19 33 -14 20
17 Waalwijk 23 4 5 14 31 47 -16 17
18 Almere City 22 3 5 14 14 45 -31 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 9 3 0 40 10 +30 30
2 Ajax 10 9 1 0 24 7 +17 28
3 Twente 10 7 3 0 25 8 +17 24
4 Go Ahead Eagles 12 7 3 2 25 15 +10 24
5 Feyenoord 10 6 2 2 21 11 +10 20
6 Heerenveen 11 5 5 1 18 11 +7 20
7 NAC Breda 12 6 2 4 16 15 +1 20
8 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 1 4 22 12 +10 19
9 Groningen 11 5 4 2 12 6 +6 19
10 Zwolle 12 5 2 5 18 17 +1 17
11 Utrecht 11 5 2 4 17 21 -4 17
12 Nijmegen 12 4 4 4 25 16 +9 16
13 Heracles 12 3 7 2 20 18 +2 16
14 For Sittard 11 5 0 6 14 19 -5 15
15 Willem II 12 3 3 6 15 16 -1 12
16 Waalwijk 11 3 2 6 16 18 -2 11
17 Sparta Rotterdam 11 1 5 5 9 17 -8 8
18 Almere City 11 2 1 8 9 28 -19 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 12 7 5 0 25 15 +10 26
2 Ajax 11 7 2 2 21 11 +10 23
3 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 1 3 31 16 +15 22
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 3 2 16 9 +7 21
5 Feyenoord 12 5 5 2 25 15 +10 20
6 Twente 12 4 3 5 21 22 -1 15
7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
8 Willem II 11 3 3 5 11 18 -7 12
9 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 2 5 15 19 -4 11
10 For Sittard 11 2 5 4 15 21 -6 11
11 Nijmegen 10 3 0 7 9 16 -7 9
12 Zwolle 11 1 5 5 9 18 -9 8
13 Heracles 10 2 2 6 8 21 -13 8
14 Groningen 12 2 2 8 10 26 -16 8
15 Almere City 11 1 4 6 5 17 -12 7
16 NAC Breda 11 2 1 8 10 26 -16 7
17 Heerenveen 12 2 1 9 9 31 -22 7
18 Waalwijk 12 1 3 8 15 29 -14 6

Ajax   Heracles

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 23 4 19 3.1 1.1 16 4 3 71 26 52
2 3 Utrecht 23 8 15 1.8 1.6 12 7 4 42 36 43
3 7 Go Ahead Eagles 22 7 15 1.8 1.5 10 5 7 40 34 35
4 17 Waalwijk 23 8 15 1.3 2.0 4 5 14 31 47 17
5 6 Twente 22 8 14 2.1 1.4 11 6 5 46 30 39
6 10 NAC Breda 23 9 14 1.1 1.8 8 3 12 26 41 27
7 11 For Sittard 22 8 14 1.3 1.8 7 5 10 29 40 26
8 12 Nijmegen 22 8 14 1.5 1.5 7 4 11 34 32 25
9 4 Feyenoord 22 9 13 2.1 1.2 11 7 4 46 26 40
10 5 AZ Alkmaar 22 9 13 1.7 1.0 12 4 6 38 21 40
11 2 Ajax 21 9 12 2.1 0.9 16 3 2 45 18 51
12 9 Heerenveen 23 11 12 1.2 1.8 7 6 10 27 42 27
13 15 Heracles 22 11 11 1.3 1.8 5 9 8 28 39 24
14 18 Almere City 22 11 11 0.6 2.0 3 5 14 14 45 14
15 8 Groningen 23 13 10 1.0 1.4 7 6 10 22 32 27
16 13 Zwolle 23 13 10 1.2 1.5 6 7 10 27 35 25
17 14 Willem II 23 14 9 1.1 1.5 6 6 11 26 34 24
18 16 Sparta Rotterdam 23 14 9 0.8 1.4 4 8 11 19 33 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 12 2 10 3.3 0.8 9 3 0 40 10 30
2 12 Nijmegen 12 3 9 2.1 1.3 4 4 4 25 16 16
3 7 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 8 2.1 1.2 7 3 2 25 15 24
4 11 For Sittard 11 3 8 1.3 1.7 5 0 6 14 19 15
5 2 Ajax 10 3 7 2.4 0.7 9 1 0 24 7 28
6 5 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 7 2.0 1.1 6 1 4 22 12 19
7 10 NAC Breda 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 6 2 4 16 15 20
8 13 Zwolle 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 5 2 5 18 17 17
9 17 Waalwijk 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 3 2 6 16 18 11
10 3 Utrecht 11 5 6 1.5 1.9 5 2 4 17 21 17
11 4 Feyenoord 10 4 6 2.1 1.1 6 2 2 21 11 20
12 14 Willem II 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 3 6 15 16 12
13 15 Heracles 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 3 7 2 20 18 16
14 18 Almere City 11 5 6 0.8 2.5 2 1 8 9 28 7
15 6 Twente 10 6 4 2.5 0.8 7 3 0 25 8 24
16 9 Heerenveen 11 7 4 1.6 1.0 5 5 1 18 11 20
17 16 Sparta Rotterdam 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 1 5 5 9 17 8
18 8 Groningen 11 8 3 1.1 0.5 5 4 2 12 6 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Twente 12 2 10 1.8 1.8 4 3 5 21 22 15
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 2.8 1.5 7 1 3 31 16 22
3 3 Utrecht 12 3 9 2.1 1.2 7 5 0 25 15 26
4 9 Heerenveen 12 4 8 0.8 2.6 2 1 9 9 31 7
5 17 Waalwijk 12 4 8 1.2 2.4 1 3 8 15 29 6
6 4 Feyenoord 12 5 7 2.1 1.2 5 5 2 25 15 20
7 7 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 3 2 5 15 19 11
8 8 Groningen 12 5 7 0.8 2.2 2 2 8 10 26 8
9 10 NAC Breda 11 4 7 0.9 2.4 2 1 8 10 26 7
10 5 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 6 3 2 16 9 21
11 11 For Sittard 11 5 6 1.4 1.9 2 5 4 15 21 11
12 2 Ajax 11 6 5 1.9 1.0 7 2 2 21 11 23
13 12 Nijmegen 10 5 5 0.9 1.6 3 0 7 9 16 9
14 15 Heracles 10 5 5 0.8 2.1 2 2 6 8 21 8
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 5 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
16 18 Almere City 11 6 5 0.5 1.5 1 4 6 5 17 7
17 13 Zwolle 11 8 3 0.8 1.6 1 5 5 9 18 8
18 14 Willem II 11 8 3 1.0 1.6 3 3 5 11 18 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51