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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 5.75 fair 2.92
Draw 4.10 fair 4.15
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.40
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heerenveen Ajax
11 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 9
5 Corners 5
7 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (166 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.59
Home / Draw / Away
HeerenveenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.17scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:33
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
2.17scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 39:17
Heerenveen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 2.17
1.83 Goals conceded 0.94
3.00 Total goals 3.11
12.83 Shots 13.39
4.28 Shots on target 5.39
12.22 Shots faced 10.61
4.50 Corners 5.56
4.83 Corners against 3.06
11.78 Fouls 10.22
1.78 Yellow cards 1.67
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

39% Wins 72%
17% Draws 17%
44% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 61%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 17%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 56%
22% Clean sheets 44%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 50%
33% Draws 44%
44% Losses 6%
78% Over 0.5 goals 72%
33% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches
Ajax all matches
Heerenveen before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.63scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:4
Ajax before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.89scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:11
Heerenveen at home away Ajax

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.89
0.50 Goals conceded 1.22
2.13 Total goals 3.11
14.25 Shots 11.78
5.13 Shots on target 4.44
8.88 Shots faced 12.00
5.50 Corners 3.89
4.38 Corners against 4.56
11.38 Fouls 10.78
1.63 Yellow cards 2.11
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

63% Wins 56%
38% Draws 22%
0% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 56%
13% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 11%
50% Draws 78%
13% Losses 11%
75% Over 0.5 goals 44%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.01.25 NAC Breda – Heerenveen 2–4 (1–3) 2.153.603.20 1.90 1.95
21.12.24 Almere City – Heerenveen 3–0 (0–0) 3.103.702.15 1.98 1.88
14.12.24 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 1–0 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.33 3.40
08.12.24 Willem II – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.67
29.11.24 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.904.75 1.57 2.35
23.11.24 Feyenoord – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 1.275.5011.00 1.50 2.50
10.11.24 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.67 2.15
02.11.24 For Sittard – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.60 2.30
19.10.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.65 2.20

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.25 Ajax – Waalwijk 2–1 (2–0) 1.1310.0015.00 1.25 4.00
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
15.12.24 Ajax – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.36 3.10
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
02.11.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–1) 2.883.752.25 1.57 2.35
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25

Heerenveen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 1–0 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.33 3.40
29.11.24 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.904.75 1.57 2.35
10.11.24 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.67 2.15
26.10.24 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.60 2.30
06.10.24 Heerenveen – Zwolle 1–1 (1–1) 1.654.105.00 1.53 2.40
22.09.24 Heerenveen – Groningen 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.602.70 1.73 2.08
31.08.24 Heerenveen – NAC Breda 4–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.62 2.25
17.08.24 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.502.60 1.62 2.25
12.05.24 Heerenveen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–1) 1.454.756.00 1.44 2.70
25.04.24 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–8 (0–5) 8.004.751.36 1.40 2.88

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 4.754.101.67 1.67 2.15
08.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heerenveen winsDrawsAjax wins
7matches
4.14goals / match
71%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.08.24N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
11.02.24N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88
05.11.23N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
12.03.23N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 2–4 (1–3) 6.505.001.44 1.53 2.40
10.09.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.28 3.60
11.05.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (3–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.25 4.00
16.10.21N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 11.005.501.20 1.33 3.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 15 1 3 62 18 +44 46
2 Ajax 18 13 3 2 39 17 +22 42
3 Utrecht 19 12 4 3 36 29 +7 40
4 Feyenoord 19 10 6 3 42 24 +18 36
5 Twente 19 10 4 5 39 25 +14 34
6 AZ Alkmaar 19 10 4 5 33 19 +14 34
7 Go Ahead Eagles 19 9 4 6 35 28 +7 31
8 For Sittard 18 7 4 7 25 28 -3 25
9 NAC Breda 19 8 1 10 23 32 -9 25
10 Heerenveen 18 7 3 8 21 33 -12 24
11 Willem II 19 6 5 8 24 26 -2 23
12 Nijmegen 18 6 2 10 24 24 0 20
13 Zwolle 19 5 5 9 19 28 -9 20
14 Groningen 18 4 5 9 15 28 -13 17
15 Heracles 17 3 6 8 19 34 -15 15
16 Sparta Rotterdam 18 2 7 9 15 27 -12 13
17 Almere City 18 2 4 12 10 37 -27 10
18 Waalwijk 18 1 4 13 19 43 -24 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 8 1 0 34 5 +29 25
2 Ajax 9 8 1 0 22 6 +16 25
3 Twente 9 6 3 0 23 8 +15 21
4 Go Ahead Eagles 10 6 2 2 22 13 +9 20
5 Heerenveen 8 5 3 0 13 4 +9 18
6 NAC Breda 10 6 0 4 15 14 +1 18
7 Feyenoord 9 5 2 2 18 11 +7 17
8 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 17 20 -3 17
9 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 19 10 +9 16
10 Zwolle 10 5 0 5 14 13 +1 15
11 For Sittard 9 5 0 4 13 13 0 15
12 Groningen 9 3 4 2 9 5 +4 13
13 Willem II 10 3 3 4 14 11 +3 12
14 Nijmegen 9 3 2 4 16 10 +6 11
15 Heracles 9 2 5 2 14 14 0 11
16 Almere City 9 2 1 6 8 22 -14 7
17 Waalwijk 9 1 2 6 9 18 -9 5
18 Sparta Rotterdam 9 0 4 5 7 16 -9 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 9 7 2 0 19 9 +10 23
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 0 3 28 13 +15 21
3 Feyenoord 10 5 4 1 24 13 +11 19
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 5 3 2 14 9 +5 18
5 Ajax 9 5 2 2 17 11 +6 17
6 Twente 10 4 1 5 16 17 -1 13
7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
8 Willem II 9 3 2 4 10 15 -5 11
9 For Sittard 9 2 4 3 12 15 -3 10
10 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 8 11 -3 9
11 Nijmegen 9 3 0 6 8 14 -6 9
12 NAC Breda 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
13 Heerenveen 10 2 0 8 8 29 -21 6
14 Zwolle 9 0 5 4 5 15 -10 5
15 Heracles 8 1 1 6 5 20 -15 4
16 Groningen 9 1 1 7 6 23 -17 4
17 Almere City 9 0 3 6 2 15 -13 3
18 Waalwijk 9 0 2 7 10 25 -15 2

Heerenveen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 19 3 16 3.3 0.9 15 1 3 62 18 46
2 3 Utrecht 19 6 13 1.9 1.5 12 4 3 36 29 40
3 7 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 13 1.8 1.5 9 4 6 35 28 31
4 18 Waalwijk 18 5 13 1.1 2.4 1 4 13 19 43 7
5 5 Twente 19 7 12 2.1 1.3 10 4 5 39 25 34
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 19 7 12 1.7 1.0 10 4 5 33 19 34
7 9 NAC Breda 19 7 12 1.2 1.7 8 1 10 23 32 25
8 2 Ajax 18 7 11 2.2 0.9 13 3 2 39 17 42
9 4 Feyenoord 19 8 11 2.2 1.3 10 6 3 42 24 36
10 8 For Sittard 18 7 11 1.4 1.6 7 4 7 25 28 25
11 10 Heerenveen 18 8 10 1.2 1.8 7 3 8 21 33 24
12 12 Nijmegen 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 6 2 10 24 24 20
13 15 Heracles 17 7 10 1.1 2.0 3 6 8 19 34 15
14 17 Almere City 18 9 9 0.6 2.1 2 4 12 10 37 10
15 11 Willem II 19 11 8 1.3 1.4 6 5 8 24 26 23
16 13 Zwolle 19 11 8 1.0 1.5 5 5 9 19 28 20
17 14 Groningen 18 10 8 0.8 1.6 4 5 9 15 28 17
18 16 Sparta Rotterdam 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 2 7 9 15 27 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 1 8 3.8 0.6 8 1 0 34 5 25
2 7 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 2.2 1.3 6 2 2 22 13 20
3 8 For Sittard 9 2 7 1.4 1.4 5 0 4 13 13 15
4 9 NAC Breda 10 3 7 1.5 1.4 6 0 4 15 14 18
5 2 Ajax 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 8 1 0 22 6 25
6 3 Utrecht 10 4 6 1.7 2.0 5 2 3 17 20 17
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 6 2.1 1.1 5 1 3 19 10 16
8 12 Nijmegen 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 3 2 4 16 10 11
9 13 Zwolle 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 5 0 5 14 13 15
10 18 Waalwijk 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 2 6 9 18 5
11 4 Feyenoord 9 4 5 2.0 1.2 5 2 2 18 11 17
12 11 Willem II 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 4 14 11 12
13 15 Heracles 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 2 5 2 14 14 11
14 17 Almere City 9 4 5 0.9 2.4 2 1 6 8 22 7
15 5 Twente 9 5 4 2.6 0.9 6 3 0 23 8 21
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 9 5 4 0.8 1.8 0 4 5 7 16 4
17 10 Heerenveen 8 6 2 1.6 0.5 5 3 0 13 4 18
18 14 Groningen 9 7 2 1.0 0.6 3 4 2 9 5 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 2 8 2.8 1.3 7 0 3 28 13 21
2 5 Twente 10 2 8 1.6 1.7 4 1 5 16 17 13
3 10 Heerenveen 10 2 8 0.8 2.9 2 0 8 8 29 6
4 3 Utrecht 9 2 7 2.1 1.0 7 2 0 19 9 23
5 18 Waalwijk 9 2 7 1.1 2.8 0 2 7 10 25 2
6 4 Feyenoord 10 4 6 2.4 1.3 5 4 1 24 13 19
7 6 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 6 1.4 0.9 5 3 2 14 9 18
8 7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
9 14 Groningen 9 3 6 0.7 2.6 1 1 7 6 23 4
10 2 Ajax 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 2 2 17 11 17
11 9 NAC Breda 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7
12 15 Heracles 8 3 5 0.6 2.5 1 1 6 5 20 4
13 8 For Sittard 9 5 4 1.3 1.7 2 4 3 12 15 10
14 12 Nijmegen 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 3 0 6 8 14 9
15 17 Almere City 9 5 4 0.2 1.7 0 3 6 2 15 3
16 11 Willem II 9 6 3 1.1 1.7 3 2 4 10 15 11
17 16 Sparta Rotterdam 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 2 3 4 8 11 9
18 13 Zwolle 9 7 2 0.6 1.7 0 5 4 5 15 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51