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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Ajax

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.10 fair 2.28
Draw 3.60 fair 4.32
Away 2.20 fair 3.03
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Ajax
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
16 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.74 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.86scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:15
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.36points / match
2.21scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 31:14
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 2.21
1.07 Goals conceded 1.00
2.93 Total goals 3.21
15.29 Shots 14.00
5.50 Shots on target 5.64
9.93 Shots faced 10.93
5.64 Corners 5.71
3.93 Corners against 2.93
9.93 Fouls 11.07
1.50 Yellow cards 1.79
0.79 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

50% Wins 71%
14% Draws 21%
36% Losses 7%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 86%
64% Over 2.5 goals 57%
21% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 21%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 57%
36% Clean sheets 43%
14% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
36% Draws 43%
14% Losses 7%
79% Over 0.5 goals 79%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Ajax all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.43points / match
2.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:9
Ajax before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:9
AZ Alkmaar at home away Ajax

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 2.00
1.29 Goals conceded 1.29
3.57 Total goals 3.29
18.86 Shots 13.14
6.71 Shots on target 4.86
10.29 Shots faced 12.14
5.57 Corners 4.43
3.00 Corners against 4.00
8.14 Fouls 11.57
0.86 Yellow cards 2.29
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 57%
14% Draws 29%
43% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 100%
71% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
71% Both teams scored 71%
29% Clean sheets 29%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 14%
29% Draws 71%
29% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 57%
57% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.40
24.11.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.402.05 1.83 2.03
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.24 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 3–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
06.10.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 6.253.801.57 1.83 2.03
29.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.25 1.70 2.10
20.09.24 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 6.505.001.42 1.53 2.40
14.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 9–1 (2–1) 1.424.757.50 1.57 2.35

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.12.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–2 (2–1) 1.454.337.00 1.50 2.50
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
02.11.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–1) 2.883.752.25 1.57 2.35
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.40
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
29.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.25 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 9–1 (2–1) 1.424.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.08.24 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
19.05.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 3–3 (3–0) 1.444.756.50 1.48 2.60
05.05.24 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98
13.04.24 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 3–2 (0–2) 1.305.2510.00 1.50 2.50

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10
05.05.24 Volendam – Ajax 1–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.29 3.60
07.04.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 6–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsAjax wins
6matches
2.50goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
08.10.23N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
06.05.23N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.53 2.40
18.09.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
08.05.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.001.72 1.61 2.25
12.12.21N1 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.30 3.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 0 1 56 12 +44 42
2 Ajax 14 10 3 1 31 14 +17 33
3 Feyenoord 15 9 5 1 35 16 +19 32
4 Utrecht 14 10 2 2 26 19 +7 32
5 Twente 15 8 4 3 30 20 +10 28
6 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 26 15 +11 23
7 NAC Breda 15 7 1 7 17 23 -6 22
8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 3 6 25 23 +2 21
9 For Sittard 15 5 4 6 17 21 -4 19
10 Nijmegen 15 5 1 9 21 19 +2 16
11 Willem II 14 4 4 6 15 16 -1 16
12 Zwolle 15 4 4 7 15 24 -9 16
13 Groningen 15 4 4 7 14 24 -10 16
14 Heerenveen 14 4 3 7 14 27 -13 15
15 Heracles 15 3 5 7 16 28 -12 14
16 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 13 23 -10 11
17 Waalwijk 15 1 3 11 15 37 -22 6
18 Almere City 14 1 3 10 6 31 -25 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 29 3 +26 21
2 Ajax 7 6 1 0 17 5 +12 19
3 Twente 7 4 3 0 15 6 +9 15
4 Heerenveen 7 4 3 0 12 4 +8 15
5 NAC Breda 7 5 0 2 10 7 +3 15
6 Utrecht 7 5 0 2 12 12 0 15
7 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 2 2 18 11 +7 14
8 Feyenoord 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
9 Groningen 8 3 3 2 9 5 +4 12
10 For Sittard 7 4 0 3 10 8 +2 12
11 Zwolle 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
12 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 1 3 16 9 +7 10
13 Nijmegen 8 3 1 4 15 9 +6 10
14 Heracles 8 2 4 2 13 13 0 10
15 Willem II 7 2 2 3 8 7 +1 8
16 Sparta Rotterdam 8 0 4 4 7 14 -7 4
17 Waalwijk 8 1 1 6 8 17 -9 4
18 Almere City 7 1 1 5 4 19 -15 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 7 0 1 27 9 +18 21
2 Feyenoord 8 5 3 0 23 9 +14 18
3 Utrecht 7 5 2 0 14 7 +7 17
4 Ajax 7 4 2 1 14 9 +5 14
5 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 1 2 10 6 +4 13
6 Twente 8 4 1 3 15 14 +1 13
7 Willem II 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2 8
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
10 For Sittard 8 1 4 3 7 13 -6 7
11 NAC Breda 8 2 1 5 7 16 -9 7
12 Nijmegen 7 2 0 5 6 10 -4 6
13 Zwolle 8 0 4 4 4 14 -10 4
14 Heracles 7 1 1 5 3 15 -12 4
15 Groningen 7 1 1 5 5 19 -14 4
16 Almere City 7 0 2 5 2 12 -10 2
17 Waalwijk 7 0 2 5 7 20 -13 2
18 Heerenveen 7 0 0 7 2 23 -21 0

AZ Alkmaar   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 2 13 3.7 0.8 14 0 1 56 12 42
2 17 Waalwijk 15 4 11 1.0 2.5 1 3 11 15 37 6
3 5 Twente 15 5 10 2.0 1.3 8 4 3 30 20 28
4 4 Utrecht 14 5 9 1.9 1.4 10 2 2 26 19 32
5 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 7 2 5 26 15 23
6 8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 9 1.7 1.5 6 3 6 25 23 21
7 10 Nijmegen 15 6 9 1.4 1.3 5 1 9 21 19 16
8 15 Heracles 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 3 5 7 16 28 14
9 2 Ajax 14 6 8 2.2 1.0 10 3 1 31 14 33
10 3 Feyenoord 15 7 8 2.3 1.1 9 5 1 35 16 32
11 7 NAC Breda 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 7 1 7 17 23 22
12 9 For Sittard 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 5 4 6 17 21 19
13 12 Zwolle 15 8 7 1.0 1.6 4 4 7 15 24 16
14 13 Groningen 15 8 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 7 14 24 16
15 14 Heerenveen 14 7 7 1.0 1.9 4 3 7 14 27 15
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 2 5 8 13 23 11
17 18 Almere City 14 8 6 0.4 2.2 1 3 10 6 31 6
18 11 Willem II 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 4 6 15 16 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 1 6 4.1 0.4 7 0 0 29 3 21
2 10 Nijmegen 8 2 6 1.9 1.1 3 1 4 15 9 10
3 17 Waalwijk 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 1 6 8 17 4
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 2 5 2.3 1.3 3 1 3 16 9 10
5 8 Go Ahead Eagles 8 3 5 2.2 1.4 4 2 2 18 11 14
6 9 For Sittard 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 0 3 10 8 12
7 12 Zwolle 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
8 15 Heracles 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 2 4 2 13 13 10
9 2 Ajax 7 3 4 2.4 0.7 6 1 0 17 5 19
10 4 Utrecht 7 3 4 1.7 1.7 5 0 2 12 12 15
11 7 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 5 0 2 10 7 15
12 16 Sparta Rotterdam 8 4 4 0.9 1.8 0 4 4 7 14 4
13 3 Feyenoord 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
14 5 Twente 7 4 3 2.1 0.9 4 3 0 15 6 15
15 11 Willem II 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 2 2 3 8 7 8
16 18 Almere City 7 4 3 0.6 2.7 1 1 5 4 19 4
17 13 Groningen 8 6 2 1.1 0.6 3 3 2 9 5 12
18 14 Heerenveen 7 5 2 1.7 0.6 4 3 0 12 4 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.4 1.1 7 0 1 27 9 21
2 5 Twente 8 1 7 1.9 1.8 4 1 3 15 14 13
3 3 Feyenoord 8 3 5 2.9 1.1 5 3 0 23 9 18
4 4 Utrecht 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 5 2 0 14 7 17
5 13 Groningen 7 2 5 0.7 2.7 1 1 5 5 19 4
6 14 Heerenveen 7 2 5 0.3 3.3 0 0 7 2 23 0
7 17 Waalwijk 7 2 5 1.0 2.9 0 2 5 7 20 2
8 2 Ajax 7 3 4 2.0 1.3 4 2 1 14 9 14
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 4 1.4 0.9 4 1 2 10 6 13
10 7 NAC Breda 8 4 4 0.9 2.0 2 1 5 7 16 7
11 8 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
12 15 Heracles 7 3 4 0.4 2.1 1 1 5 3 15 4
13 9 For Sittard 8 5 3 0.9 1.6 1 4 3 7 13 7
14 10 Nijmegen 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 0 5 6 10 6
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
16 18 Almere City 7 4 3 0.3 1.7 0 2 5 2 12 2
17 11 Willem II 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 2 3 7 9 8
18 12 Zwolle 8 6 2 0.5 1.8 0 4 4 4 14 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51