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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–3 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.80 fair 2.43
Draw 4.10 fair 4.82
Away ✓ 3.90 fair 2.62
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 4.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Nijmegen
11 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 3
15 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (179 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.34
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.95
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 7.5% 1–1 7.4% 2–2 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.75scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 35:32
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.84points / match
2.58scored / match
1.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 49:33
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 2.58
1.60 Goals conceded 1.74
3.35 Total goals 4.32
16.15 Shots 15.42
5.95 Shots on target 6.68
12.30 Shots faced 11.84
6.00 Corners 5.47
4.25 Corners against 4.32
10.65 Fouls 12.16
2.35 Yellow cards 1.79
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

45% Wins 53%
25% Draws 26%
30% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 95%
65% Over 2.5 goals 84%
50% Over 3.5 goals 68%
25% Over 4.5 goals 47%
15% Over 5.5 goals 21%
70% Both teams scored 79%
25% Clean sheets 16%
5% Failed to score 5%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 32%
45% Draws 37%
20% Losses 32%
75% Over 0.5 goals 95%
65% Over 1.5 goals 58%
25% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Nijmegen all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.78points / match
2.22scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:16
Nijmegen before this match, away
1.50points / match
2.40scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 24:20
AZ Alkmaar at home away Nijmegen

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 2.40
1.78 Goals conceded 2.00
4.00 Total goals 4.40
17.00 Shots 15.80
6.44 Shots on target 7.20
11.33 Shots faced 12.20
6.56 Corners 5.10
4.00 Corners against 4.60
8.67 Fouls 13.40
1.89 Yellow cards 1.90
1.56 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

44% Wins 40%
44% Draws 30%
11% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 90%
78% Over 2.5 goals 80%
67% Over 3.5 goals 80%
44% Over 4.5 goals 60%
22% Over 5.5 goals 20%
89% Both teams scored 90%
11% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 20%
22% Draws 40%
11% Losses 40%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 60%
44% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Telstar – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.40
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 5.754.331.53 1.53 2.40
10.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 1–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.30 3.50
21.12.25 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 4–3 (2–2) 4.203.801.80 1.57 2.35
07.12.25 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–1) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.70
30.11.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.703.00 1.57 2.35
23.11.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 2.884.002.20 1.50 2.50
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
02.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–1 (1–1) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.70
17.01.26 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 3–4 (1–2) 3.003.602.25 1.60 2.30
20.12.25 Nijmegen – Ajax 2–2 (1–2) 2.304.002.63 1.48 2.60
13.12.25 Telstar – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.504.001.90 1.44 2.70
07.12.25 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.44 2.70
29.11.25 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–0) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
23.11.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–4 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
02.11.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.25 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
10.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 1–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.30 3.50
07.12.25 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–1) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.70
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Telstar 2–1 (2–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
24.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 3–3 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
10.08.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 4–1 (3–1) 1.534.336.00 1.73 2.08
18.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.70

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 3–4 (1–2) 3.003.602.25 1.60 2.30
13.12.25 Telstar – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.504.001.90 1.44 2.70
07.12.25 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.44 2.70
23.11.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–4 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.36 3.10
02.11.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.25 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40
05.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 2.554.002.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
31.08.25 For Sittard – Nijmegen 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.15
16.08.25 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsNijmegen wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.25N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
29.03.25N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
17.08.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
28.04.24N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 3.204.002.05 1.70 2.10
06.12.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
21.05.23N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 4.333.801.80 1.60 2.30
01.09.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.66 2.15
06.03.22N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 (1–1) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.05
20.11.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.009.00 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 2 1 61 25 +36 53
2 Feyenoord 20 12 3 5 51 29 +22 39
3 Ajax 20 10 7 3 39 26 +13 37
4 Nijmegen 19 10 5 4 49 33 +16 35
5 AZ Alkmaar 20 9 5 6 35 32 +3 32
6 Sparta Rotterdam 20 10 2 8 25 34 -9 32
7 Twente 21 7 10 4 31 24 +7 31
8 Groningen 20 9 4 7 28 24 +4 31
9 For Sittard 20 7 4 9 30 34 -4 25
10 Heerenveen 19 6 6 7 31 30 +1 24
11 Utrecht 19 6 5 8 29 26 +3 23
12 Zwolle 20 6 5 9 26 42 -16 23
13 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 20 35 -15 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 30 33 -3 21
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 21 35 -14 17
16 Telstar 20 3 7 10 24 33 -9 16
17 NAC Breda 21 3 7 11 23 34 -11 16
18 Heracles 20 4 2 14 28 52 -24 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 33 16 +17 23
2 Ajax 11 7 2 2 19 9 +10 23
3 Feyenoord 11 7 1 3 29 18 +11 22
4 Nijmegen 9 6 2 1 25 13 +12 20
5 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 18 10 +8 17
6 For Sittard 10 5 2 3 17 15 +2 17
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 4 1 20 16 +4 16
8 Twente 10 4 4 2 13 11 +2 16
9 Zwolle 9 5 1 3 10 12 -2 16
10 Groningen 10 4 3 3 15 9 +6 15
11 Volendam 10 4 3 3 16 13 +3 15
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 5 1 15 12 +3 14
13 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 2 4 11 18 -7 14
14 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 17 18 -1 13
15 Excelsior 10 4 1 5 10 12 -2 13
16 NAC Breda 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
17 Heracles 9 3 1 5 18 23 -5 10
18 Telstar 11 1 4 6 17 23 -6 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 28 9 +19 30
2 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 0 4 14 16 -2 18
3 Feyenoord 9 5 2 2 22 11 +11 17
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 1 5 15 16 -1 16
5 Groningen 10 5 1 4 13 15 -2 16
6 Twente 11 3 6 2 18 13 +5 15
7 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 24 20 +4 15
8 Ajax 9 3 5 1 20 17 +3 14
9 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
10 Telstar 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
11 Excelsior 10 2 3 5 10 23 -13 9
12 For Sittard 10 2 2 6 13 19 -6 8
13 Go Ahead Eagles 10 1 4 5 15 21 -6 7
14 Zwolle 11 1 4 6 16 30 -14 7
15 Utrecht 9 1 3 5 11 16 -5 6
16 NAC Breda 10 0 4 6 9 18 -9 4
17 Heracles 11 1 1 9 10 29 -19 4
18 Volendam 10 0 2 8 5 22 -17 2

AZ Alkmaar   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 20 4 16 3.0 1.2 17 2 1 61 25 53
2 4 Nijmegen 19 3 16 2.6 1.7 10 5 4 49 33 35
3 18 Heracles 20 5 15 1.4 2.6 4 2 14 28 52 14
4 2 Feyenoord 20 6 14 2.5 1.4 12 3 5 51 29 39
5 5 AZ Alkmaar 20 7 13 1.8 1.6 9 5 6 35 32 32
6 10 Heerenveen 19 6 13 1.6 1.6 6 6 7 31 30 24
7 12 Zwolle 20 7 13 1.3 2.1 6 5 9 26 42 23
8 14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 13 1.6 1.7 4 9 6 30 33 21
9 15 Volendam 20 7 13 1.1 1.8 4 5 11 21 35 17
10 3 Ajax 20 8 12 1.9 1.3 10 7 3 39 26 37
11 9 For Sittard 20 8 12 1.5 1.7 7 4 9 30 34 25
12 13 Excelsior 20 8 12 1.0 1.8 6 4 10 20 35 22
13 17 NAC Breda 21 9 12 1.1 1.6 3 7 11 23 34 16
14 11 Utrecht 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 6 5 8 29 26 23
15 6 Sparta Rotterdam 20 10 10 1.2 1.7 10 2 8 25 34 32
16 16 Telstar 20 10 10 1.2 1.6 3 7 10 24 33 16
17 8 Groningen 20 11 9 1.4 1.2 9 4 7 28 24 31
18 7 Twente 21 13 8 1.5 1.1 7 10 4 31 24 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 1 9 3.3 1.6 7 2 1 33 16 23
2 4 Nijmegen 9 1 8 2.8 1.4 6 2 1 25 13 20
3 16 Telstar 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 1 4 6 17 23 7
4 2 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.6 1.6 7 1 3 29 18 22
5 5 AZ Alkmaar 9 2 7 2.2 1.8 4 4 1 20 16 16
6 10 Heerenveen 10 3 7 1.7 1.8 3 4 3 17 18 13
7 15 Volendam 10 3 7 1.6 1.3 4 3 3 16 13 15
8 18 Heracles 9 2 7 2.0 2.6 3 1 5 18 23 10
9 9 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 2 3 17 15 17
10 11 Utrecht 10 4 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 3 18 10 17
11 14 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 3 5 1 15 12 14
12 17 NAC Breda 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
13 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 4 2 4 11 18 14
14 8 Groningen 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 3 3 15 9 15
15 13 Excelsior 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 4 1 5 10 12 13
16 3 Ajax 11 7 4 1.7 0.8 7 2 2 19 9 23
17 7 Twente 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 4 2 13 11 16
18 12 Zwolle 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 5 1 3 10 12 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Zwolle 11 2 9 1.5 2.7 1 4 6 16 30 7
2 3 Ajax 9 1 8 2.2 1.9 3 5 1 20 17 14
3 4 Nijmegen 10 2 8 2.4 2.0 4 3 3 24 20 15
4 18 Heracles 11 3 8 0.9 2.6 1 1 9 10 29 4
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 2.8 0.9 10 0 0 28 9 30
6 2 Feyenoord 9 2 7 2.4 1.2 5 2 2 22 11 17
7 13 Excelsior 10 3 7 1.0 2.3 2 3 5 10 23 9
8 14 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 1.5 2.1 1 4 5 15 21 7
9 5 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 5 15 16 16
10 9 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.3 1.9 2 2 6 13 19 8
11 10 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
12 15 Volendam 10 4 6 0.5 2.2 0 2 8 5 22 2
13 17 NAC Breda 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 0 4 6 9 18 4
14 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.4 1.6 6 0 4 14 16 18
15 11 Utrecht 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 1 3 5 11 16 6
16 7 Twente 11 7 4 1.6 1.2 3 6 2 18 13 15
17 8 Groningen 10 6 4 1.3 1.5 5 1 4 13 15 16
18 16 Telstar 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 3 4 7 10 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44