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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.30 fair 1.78
Draw ✓ 6.00 fair 4.94
Away 8.50 fair 4.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 3.10 fair 3.30
Over 2.5 1.36 fair 1.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 5
8 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (169 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 2.21 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.3% 1–1 8.4% 3–1 6.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.83scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 33:31
Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.06scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:34
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.06
1.72 Goals conceded 1.89
3.56 Total goals 2.94
16.56 Shots 11.94
6.17 Shots on target 4.11
12.67 Shots faced 16.50
6.39 Corners 4.00
4.17 Corners against 5.33
10.50 Fouls 13.39
2.33 Yellow cards 1.61
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

44% Wins 33%
22% Draws 11%
33% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
72% Over 2.5 goals 67%
56% Over 3.5 goals 28%
28% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 6%
72% Both teams scored 61%
22% Clean sheets 17%
6% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 33%
39% Draws 39%
22% Losses 28%
83% Over 0.5 goals 72%
72% Over 1.5 goals 33%
28% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Excelsior all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.88points / match
2.38scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 19:15
Excelsior before this match, away
0.88points / match
1.13scored / match
2.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:22
AZ Alkmaar at home away Excelsior

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 1.13
1.88 Goals conceded 2.75
4.25 Total goals 3.88
17.50 Shots 11.63
6.75 Shots on target 4.38
11.75 Shots faced 15.50
6.88 Corners 4.25
3.88 Corners against 6.00
8.75 Fouls 14.00
1.75 Yellow cards 1.50
1.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
38% Draws 13%
13% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 100%
88% Over 2.5 goals 88%
75% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 38%
25% Over 5.5 goals 13%
88% Both teams scored 75%
13% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 25%
13% Draws 25%
13% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 5.754.331.53 1.53 2.40
10.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 1–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.30 3.50
21.12.25 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 4–3 (2–2) 4.203.801.80 1.57 2.35
07.12.25 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–1) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.70
30.11.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.703.00 1.57 2.35
23.11.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 2.884.002.20 1.50 2.50
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
02.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Volendam 1–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.30 3.50
07.12.25 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–1) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.70
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Telstar 2–1 (2–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
24.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 3–3 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
10.08.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 4–1 (3–1) 1.534.336.00 1.73 2.08
18.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.70
11.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 1.75 2.05

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
19.05.24 Feyenoord – Excelsior 4–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.22 4.20
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsExcelsior wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
04.11.23N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40
10.02.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 5–0 (5–0) 1.296.508.00 1.40 2.88
23.10.22N1 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 17 1 1 59 23 +36 52
2 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 47 27 +20 36
3 Ajax 19 9 7 3 37 26 +11 34
4 Nijmegen 18 9 5 4 47 32 +15 32
5 Groningen 19 9 4 6 27 22 +5 31
6 Twente 19 7 8 4 29 22 +7 29
7 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 2 8 24 34 -10 29
8 AZ Alkmaar 18 8 4 6 33 31 +2 28
9 Heerenveen 19 6 6 7 31 30 +1 24
10 Utrecht 18 6 5 7 29 25 +4 23
11 Zwolle 19 6 5 8 25 40 -15 23
12 For Sittard 19 6 4 9 28 33 -5 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 30 33 -3 21
14 Excelsior 18 6 2 10 19 34 -15 20
15 Volendam 19 4 5 10 21 33 -12 17
16 Telstar 19 3 7 9 24 32 -8 16
17 NAC Breda 19 3 5 11 19 30 -11 14
18 Heracles 19 4 2 13 26 48 -22 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 1 1 31 14 +17 22
2 Ajax 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
3 Feyenoord 10 6 1 3 25 16 +9 19
4 Nijmegen 8 5 2 1 23 12 +11 17
5 Utrecht 9 5 2 2 18 9 +9 17
6 For Sittard 10 5 2 3 17 15 +2 17
7 Zwolle 9 5 1 3 10 12 -2 16
8 Groningen 9 4 3 2 14 7 +7 15
9 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 3 1 19 15 +4 15
10 Volendam 10 4 3 3 16 13 +3 15
11 Twente 9 4 3 2 13 11 +2 15
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 5 1 15 12 +3 14
13 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 2 4 11 18 -7 14
14 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 17 18 -1 13
15 Excelsior 10 4 1 5 10 12 -2 13
16 NAC Breda 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11
17 Heracles 9 3 1 5 18 23 -5 10
18 Telstar 10 1 4 5 17 22 -5 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 28 9 +19 30
2 Feyenoord 9 5 2 2 22 11 +11 17
3 Groningen 10 5 1 4 13 15 -2 16
4 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 24 20 +4 15
5 Sparta Rotterdam 9 5 0 4 13 16 -3 15
6 Twente 10 3 5 2 16 11 +5 14
7 Ajax 9 3 5 1 20 17 +3 14
8 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
9 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
10 Telstar 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
11 Go Ahead Eagles 10 1 4 5 15 21 -6 7
12 Zwolle 10 1 4 5 15 28 -13 7
13 Excelsior 8 2 1 5 9 22 -13 7
14 Utrecht 9 1 3 5 11 16 -5 6
15 For Sittard 9 1 2 6 11 18 -7 5
16 Heracles 10 1 1 8 8 25 -17 4
17 NAC Breda 9 0 3 6 7 16 -9 3
18 Volendam 9 0 2 7 5 20 -15 2

AZ Alkmaar   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 19 4 15 3.1 1.2 17 1 1 59 23 52
2 4 Nijmegen 18 3 15 2.6 1.8 9 5 4 47 32 32
3 18 Heracles 19 5 14 1.4 2.5 4 2 13 26 48 14
4 2 Feyenoord 19 6 13 2.5 1.4 11 3 5 47 27 36
5 8 AZ Alkmaar 18 5 13 1.8 1.7 8 4 6 33 31 28
6 9 Heerenveen 19 6 13 1.6 1.6 6 6 7 31 30 24
7 13 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 13 1.6 1.7 4 9 6 30 33 21
8 15 Volendam 19 6 13 1.1 1.7 4 5 10 21 33 17
9 3 Ajax 19 7 12 1.9 1.4 9 7 3 37 26 34
10 11 Zwolle 19 7 12 1.3 2.1 6 5 8 25 40 23
11 14 Excelsior 18 6 12 1.1 1.9 6 2 10 19 34 20
12 10 Utrecht 18 7 11 1.6 1.4 6 5 7 29 25 23
13 12 For Sittard 19 8 11 1.5 1.7 6 4 9 28 33 22
14 7 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 10 1.3 1.8 9 2 8 24 34 29
15 16 Telstar 19 9 10 1.3 1.7 3 7 9 24 32 16
16 17 NAC Breda 19 9 10 1.0 1.6 3 5 11 19 30 14
17 5 Groningen 19 11 8 1.4 1.2 9 4 6 27 22 31
18 6 Twente 19 12 7 1.5 1.2 7 8 4 29 22 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 1 8 3.4 1.6 7 1 1 31 14 22
2 16 Telstar 10 2 8 1.7 2.2 1 4 5 17 22 7
3 4 Nijmegen 8 1 7 2.9 1.5 5 2 1 23 12 17
4 8 AZ Alkmaar 8 1 7 2.4 1.9 4 3 1 19 15 15
5 9 Heerenveen 10 3 7 1.7 1.8 3 4 3 17 18 13
6 15 Volendam 10 3 7 1.6 1.3 4 3 3 16 13 15
7 18 Heracles 9 2 7 2.0 2.6 3 1 5 18 23 10
8 2 Feyenoord 10 4 6 2.5 1.6 6 1 3 25 16 19
9 10 Utrecht 9 3 6 2.0 1.0 5 2 2 18 9 17
10 12 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 2 3 17 15 17
11 13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 3 5 1 15 12 14
12 7 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 4 2 4 11 18 14
13 14 Excelsior 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 4 1 5 10 12 13
14 17 NAC Breda 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 3 2 5 12 14 11
15 3 Ajax 10 6 4 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
16 5 Groningen 9 5 4 1.6 0.8 4 3 2 14 7 15
17 6 Twente 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 3 2 13 11 15
18 11 Zwolle 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 5 1 3 10 12 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ajax 9 1 8 2.2 1.9 3 5 1 20 17 14
2 4 Nijmegen 10 2 8 2.4 2.0 4 3 3 24 20 15
3 11 Zwolle 10 2 8 1.5 2.8 1 4 5 15 28 7
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 2.8 0.9 10 0 0 28 9 30
5 2 Feyenoord 9 2 7 2.4 1.2 5 2 2 22 11 17
6 13 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 1.5 2.1 1 4 5 15 21 7
7 14 Excelsior 8 1 7 1.1 2.8 2 1 5 9 22 7
8 18 Heracles 10 3 7 0.8 2.5 1 1 8 8 25 4
9 8 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 1 5 14 16 13
10 9 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
11 15 Volendam 9 3 6 0.6 2.2 0 2 7 5 20 2
12 7 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.4 1.8 5 0 4 13 16 15
13 10 Utrecht 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 1 3 5 11 16 6
14 12 For Sittard 9 4 5 1.2 2.0 1 2 6 11 18 5
15 17 NAC Breda 9 4 5 0.8 1.8 0 3 6 7 16 3
16 5 Groningen 10 6 4 1.3 1.5 5 1 4 13 15 16
17 6 Twente 10 7 3 1.6 1.1 3 5 2 16 11 14
18 16 Telstar 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 3 4 7 10 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38