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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.45 fair 2.53
Draw ✓ 4.20 fair 4.49
Away 2.45 fair 2.62
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 3.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax PSV Eindhoven
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 4
7 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (281 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.2% 2–1 8.2% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
1.90scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 59:37
PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.48points / match
2.90scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 90:41
Ajax all matches all matches PSV Eindhoven

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 2.90
1.19 Goals conceded 1.32
3.10 Total goals 4.23
14.45 Shots 17.84
5.94 Shots on target 7.35
13.42 Shots faced 11.52
4.77 Corners 7.23
5.10 Corners against 4.10
10.19 Fouls 10.35
1.68 Yellow cards 1.48
1.13 1st-half goals scored 1.45
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

45% Wins 81%
39% Draws 6%
16% Losses 13%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
97% Over 1.5 goals 97%
58% Over 2.5 goals 84%
42% Over 3.5 goals 55%
13% Over 4.5 goals 35%
3% Over 5.5 goals 29%
68% Both teams scored 74%
29% Clean sheets 23%
6% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 55%
32% Draws 23%
16% Losses 23%
90% Over 0.5 goals 97%
58% Over 1.5 goals 65%
10% Over 2.5 goals 35%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
PSV Eindhoven all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.93scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 29:13
PSV Eindhoven before this match, away
2.60points / match
2.47scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 37:16
Ajax at home away PSV Eindhoven

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 2.47
0.87 Goals conceded 1.07
2.80 Total goals 3.53
16.33 Shots 16.13
6.73 Shots on target 7.27
12.33 Shots faced 12.60
5.33 Corners 7.07
4.20 Corners against 4.33
10.53 Fouls 10.80
1.40 Yellow cards 1.87
1.27 1st-half goals scored 1.27
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

60% Wins 87%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 93%
47% Over 2.5 goals 73%
27% Over 3.5 goals 40%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
53% Both teams scored 67%
40% Clean sheets 33%
7% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

73% Wins 60%
13% Draws 20%
13% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
53% Over 1.5 goals 47%
7% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
PSV Eindhoven away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 NAC Breda – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.902.05 1.67 2.15
11.04.26 Heracles – Ajax 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.331.57 1.50 2.50
04.04.26 Ajax – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.752.88 1.53 2.40
22.03.26 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.803.30 1.50 2.50
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
07.03.26 Groningen – Ajax 3–1 (1–1) 2.803.602.45 1.62 2.25
01.03.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 4.104.201.75 1.50 2.50
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
14.02.26 Ajax – For Sittard 4–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.00 1.53 2.40
08.02.26 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.803.00 1.57 2.35

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 6–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.22 4.20
11.04.26 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.40 2.88
04.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 4–3 (1–2) 1.504.755.50 1.44 2.70
22.03.26 Telstar – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–0) 5.755.501.44 1.33 3.40
14.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–2) 1.454.756.00 1.29 3.60
07.03.26 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.00 1.33 3.40
28.02.26 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–3) 8.006.501.29 1.30 3.50
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
13.02.26 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.33 3.40
08.02.26 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 3.804.331.80 1.50 2.50

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Ajax – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.752.88 1.53 2.40
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
14.02.26 Ajax – For Sittard 4–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.00 1.53 2.40
24.01.26 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (2–0) 1.306.508.00 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–0) 1.484.506.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.902.15 1.53 2.40
02.12.25 Ajax – Groningen 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.204.33 1.67 2.15
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
01.11.25 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.70

PSV Eindhoven away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.40 2.88
22.03.26 Telstar – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–0) 5.755.501.44 1.33 3.40
28.02.26 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–3) 8.006.501.29 1.30 3.50
13.02.26 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.33 3.40
08.02.26 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 3.804.331.80 1.50 2.50
17.01.26 For Sittard – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 7.505.501.36 1.40 2.88
21.12.25 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 4.504.101.70 1.48 2.60
06.12.25 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–2) 4.505.001.57 1.30 3.50
22.11.25 NAC Breda – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.751.33 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–3) 3.004.002.10 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsPSV Eindhoven wins
9matches
3.78goals / match
78%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
30.03.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.004.50 1.50 2.50
02.11.24N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–1) 2.883.752.25 1.57 2.35
03.02.24N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
29.10.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
23.04.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.57 2.35
06.11.22N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.44 2.70
23.01.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 1–2 (0–1) 3.503.801.90 1.61 2.25
24.10.21N1 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 25 2 4 90 41 +49 77
2 Feyenoord 31 17 7 7 65 42 +23 58
3 Nijmegen 31 15 10 6 73 49 +24 55
4 Ajax 31 14 12 5 59 37 +22 54
5 Twente 31 14 12 5 52 33 +19 54
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 14 7 10 52 45 +7 49
7 Utrecht 32 13 8 11 51 41 +10 47
8 Heerenveen 31 13 8 10 55 51 +4 47
9 Groningen 32 12 6 14 45 43 +2 42
10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 36 53 -17 42
11 Go Ahead Eagles 31 8 13 10 50 45 +5 37
12 For Sittard 31 10 6 15 45 57 -12 36
13 Excelsior 32 9 7 16 39 53 -14 34
14 Zwolle 31 8 10 13 41 66 -25 34
15 Volendam 31 8 7 16 33 50 -17 31
16 Telstar 31 7 9 15 43 53 -10 30
17 NAC Breda 32 5 10 17 30 55 -25 25
18 Heracles 31 5 4 22 34 79 -45 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 2 2 53 25 +28 38
2 Feyenoord 16 11 2 3 38 22 +16 35
3 Ajax 15 9 3 3 29 13 +16 30
4 Utrecht 16 9 3 4 29 13 +16 30
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 5 2 34 21 +13 29
6 Heerenveen 16 8 5 3 33 24 +9 29
7 Twente 16 8 5 3 25 16 +9 29
8 Nijmegen 15 8 4 3 38 23 +15 28
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 7 3 33 20 +13 25
10 Zwolle 15 7 4 4 20 19 +1 25
11 Volendam 15 6 5 4 23 19 +4 23
12 Groningen 16 6 4 6 25 17 +8 22
13 For Sittard 15 6 4 5 24 25 -1 22
14 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 4 5 17 22 -5 22
15 Telstar 16 4 5 7 28 28 0 17
16 Excelsior 16 5 2 9 19 21 -2 17
17 NAC Breda 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
18 Heracles 16 4 3 9 22 34 -12 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 0 2 37 16 +21 39
2 Nijmegen 16 7 6 3 35 26 +9 27
3 Twente 15 6 7 2 27 17 +10 25
4 Ajax 16 5 9 2 30 24 +6 24
5 Feyenoord 15 6 5 4 27 20 +7 23
6 Groningen 16 6 2 8 20 26 -6 20
7 AZ Alkmaar 16 6 2 8 18 24 -6 20
8 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 19 31 -12 20
9 Heerenveen 15 5 3 7 22 27 -5 18
10 Utrecht 16 4 5 7 22 28 -6 17
11 Excelsior 16 4 5 7 20 32 -12 17
12 For Sittard 16 4 2 10 21 32 -11 14
13 Telstar 15 3 4 8 15 25 -10 13
14 Go Ahead Eagles 15 2 6 7 17 25 -8 12
15 Zwolle 16 1 6 9 21 47 -26 9
16 NAC Breda 16 1 5 10 12 32 -20 8
17 Volendam 16 2 2 12 10 31 -21 8
18 Heracles 15 1 1 13 12 45 -33 4

Ajax   PSV Eindhoven

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 31 5 26 2.9 1.3 25 2 4 90 41 77
2 8 Heerenveen 31 7 24 1.8 1.6 13 8 10 55 51 47
3 3 Nijmegen 31 8 23 2.4 1.6 15 10 6 73 49 55
4 18 Heracles 31 9 22 1.1 2.5 5 4 22 34 79 19
5 12 For Sittard 31 10 21 1.5 1.8 10 6 15 45 57 36
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 31 11 20 1.7 1.5 14 7 10 52 45 49
7 13 Excelsior 32 12 20 1.2 1.7 9 7 16 39 53 34
8 14 Zwolle 31 11 20 1.3 2.1 8 10 13 41 66 34
9 2 Feyenoord 31 12 19 2.1 1.4 17 7 7 65 42 58
10 15 Volendam 31 12 19 1.1 1.6 8 7 16 33 50 31
11 4 Ajax 31 13 18 1.9 1.2 14 12 5 59 37 54
12 11 Go Ahead Eagles 31 13 18 1.6 1.5 8 13 10 50 45 37
13 16 Telstar 31 13 18 1.4 1.7 7 9 15 43 53 30
14 9 Groningen 32 15 17 1.4 1.3 12 6 14 45 43 42
15 7 Utrecht 32 16 16 1.6 1.3 13 8 11 51 41 47
16 17 NAC Breda 32 16 16 0.9 1.7 5 10 17 30 55 25
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 16 15 1.2 1.7 12 6 13 36 53 42
18 5 Twente 31 17 14 1.7 1.1 14 12 5 52 33 54
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 1 15 3.3 1.6 12 2 2 53 25 38
2 3 Nijmegen 15 2 13 2.5 1.5 8 4 3 38 23 28
3 8 Heerenveen 16 4 12 2.1 1.5 8 5 3 33 24 29
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 4 11 2.3 1.4 8 5 2 34 21 29
5 11 Go Ahead Eagles 16 5 11 2.1 1.2 6 7 3 33 20 25
6 16 Telstar 16 5 11 1.8 1.8 4 5 7 28 28 17
7 2 Feyenoord 16 6 10 2.4 1.4 11 2 3 38 22 35
8 9 Groningen 16 6 10 1.6 1.1 6 4 6 25 17 22
9 12 For Sittard 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 6 4 5 24 25 22
10 15 Volendam 15 5 10 1.5 1.3 6 5 4 23 19 23
11 18 Heracles 16 6 10 1.4 2.1 4 3 9 22 34 15
12 13 Excelsior 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 5 2 9 19 21 17
13 14 Zwolle 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 4 4 20 19 25
14 4 Ajax 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 29 13 30
15 5 Twente 16 9 7 1.6 1.0 8 5 3 25 16 29
16 7 Utrecht 16 9 7 1.8 0.8 9 3 4 29 13 30
17 17 NAC Breda 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 4 5 7 18 23 17
18 10 Sparta Rotterdam 15 10 5 1.1 1.5 6 4 5 17 22 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Heerenveen 15 3 12 1.5 1.8 5 3 7 22 27 18
2 14 Zwolle 16 4 12 1.3 2.9 1 6 9 21 47 9
3 18 Heracles 15 3 12 0.8 3.0 1 1 13 12 45 4
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 2.5 1.1 13 0 2 37 16 39
5 4 Ajax 16 5 11 1.9 1.5 5 9 2 30 24 24
6 12 For Sittard 16 5 11 1.3 2.0 4 2 10 21 32 14
7 13 Excelsior 16 5 11 1.2 2.0 4 5 7 20 32 17
8 3 Nijmegen 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 7 6 3 35 26 27
9 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 6 2 8 19 31 20
10 2 Feyenoord 15 6 9 1.8 1.3 6 5 4 27 20 23
11 6 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 6 2 8 18 24 20
12 7 Utrecht 16 7 9 1.4 1.8 4 5 7 22 28 17
13 15 Volendam 16 7 9 0.6 1.9 2 2 12 10 31 8
14 17 NAC Breda 16 7 9 0.8 2.0 1 5 10 12 32 8
15 5 Twente 15 8 7 1.8 1.1 6 7 2 27 17 25
16 9 Groningen 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 26 20
17 11 Go Ahead Eagles 15 8 7 1.1 1.7 2 6 7 17 25 12
18 16 Telstar 15 8 7 1.0 1.7 3 4 8 15 25 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40