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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 4–0 Chaves

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 1.74
Draw 3.60 fair 4.91
Away 3.75 fair 4.52
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 3.06
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Chaves
14 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 6
16 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (115 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 2.17 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawChaves
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 8.8% 2–0 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.67scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:23
Chaves before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.25scored / match
2.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:31
Estoril all matches all matches Chaves

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.25
1.92 Goals conceded 2.58
3.58 Total goals 3.83
11.67 Shots 13.33
4.58 Shots on target 5.08
14.83 Shots faced 12.08
5.17 Corners 5.08
5.92 Corners against 5.08
13.92 Fouls 13.25
2.75 Yellow cards 3.33
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.58

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
8% Draws 8%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 42%
17% Over 5.5 goals 17%
58% Both teams scored 58%
25% Clean sheets 8%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 0%
58% Draws 42%
25% Losses 58%
58% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 58%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Chaves all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:5
Chaves before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.67scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:18
Estoril at home away Chaves

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 0.67
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
2.80 Total goals 3.67
13.60 Shots 12.83
4.80 Shots on target 5.33
13.40 Shots faced 13.67
5.20 Corners 5.50
5.00 Corners against 6.00
15.60 Fouls 13.00
2.80 Yellow cards 3.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 2.17

How often Full Time

40% Wins 17%
20% Draws 0%
40% Losses 83%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 67%
40% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 33%
40% Clean sheets 17%
20% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
60% Draws 33%
20% Losses 67%
40% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 67%
20% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Chaves away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Sp Braga – Estoril 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.256.50 1.44 2.70
10.11.23 Estoril – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 2.453.252.88 2.10 1.70
03.11.23 Porto – Estoril 0–1 (0–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.40 2.88
28.10.23 Portimonense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
07.10.23 Estoril – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 8.505.251.25 1.44 2.70
01.10.23 Guimaraes – Estoril 3–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.33 1.95 1.90
23.09.23 Estoril – Vizela 2–2 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 1.98 1.88
17.09.23 Gil Vicente – Estoril 5–3 (3–0) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
03.09.23 Estoril – Boavista 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.252.90 2.05 1.75
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57

Chaves all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.23 Chaves – Vizela 2–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.60 2.03 1.83
11.11.23 Portimonense – Chaves 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.10 1.98 1.88
04.11.23 Chaves – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.751.29 1.44 2.70
28.10.23 Guimaraes – Chaves 5–0 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Chaves – Gil Vicente 4–2 (1–2) 2.453.252.60 1.90 1.95
01.10.23 Arouca – Chaves 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.20 1.93 1.93
24.09.23 Chaves – Estrela 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 1.90 1.95
18.09.23 Boavista – Chaves 4–1 (4–0) 1.704.004.50 1.70 2.10
03.09.23 Chaves – Moreirense 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.252.88 2.10 1.70
26.08.23 Farense – Chaves 5–0 (4–0) 2.253.203.20 2.15 1.67

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.23 Estoril – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 2.453.252.88 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Estoril – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 8.505.251.25 1.44 2.70
23.09.23 Estoril – Vizela 2–2 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 1.98 1.88
03.09.23 Estoril – Boavista 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.252.90 2.05 1.75
20.08.23 Estoril – Rio Ave 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.65
27.05.23 Estoril – Maritimo 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.95 1.90
15.05.23 Estoril – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.102.80 2.20 1.65
30.04.23 Estoril – Santa Clara 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
15.04.23 Estoril – Portimonense 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
31.03.23 Estoril – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.55 2.02 1.83

Chaves away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Portimonense – Chaves 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.10 1.98 1.88
28.10.23 Guimaraes – Chaves 5–0 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.75 2.05
01.10.23 Arouca – Chaves 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.20 1.93 1.93
18.09.23 Boavista – Chaves 4–1 (4–0) 1.704.004.50 1.70 2.10
26.08.23 Farense – Chaves 5–0 (4–0) 2.253.203.20 2.15 1.67
13.08.23 Rio Ave – Chaves 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.50 2.10 1.70
20.05.23 Arouca – Chaves 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.20 2.05 1.75
08.05.23 Famalicao – Chaves 1–2 (0–0) 1.953.303.75 2.10 1.70
23.04.23 Santa Clara – Chaves 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.102.75 2.25 1.62
10.04.23 Gil Vicente – Chaves 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsChaves wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23P1 Estoril – Chaves 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
01.10.22P1 Chaves – Estoril 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.15 1.66

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 13 10 1 2 28 15 +13 31 WWWLWL
2 Porto 13 10 1 2 21 9 +12 31 WWLWWW
3 Benfica 13 9 3 1 24 10 +14 30 WDWWDD
4 Sp Braga 13 9 2 2 36 20 +16 29 WDWWWW
5 Guimaraes 13 8 1 4 23 16 +7 25 WWLLWW
6 Moreirense 12 6 3 3 14 10 +4 21 WDWWWD
7 Farense 13 5 2 6 22 18 +4 17 DWWWLD
8 Famalicao 13 4 5 4 12 14 -2 17 LLWDLD
9 Estrela 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15 WWLLDW
10 Boavista 13 4 3 6 20 27 -7 15 DLLLLL
11 Portimonense 13 4 3 6 14 27 -13 15 LWLWLD
12 Casa Pia 13 3 4 6 10 16 -6 13 LDLLWL
13 Gil Vicente 12 3 2 7 24 25 -1 11 WLDLDL
14 Rio Ave 13 2 5 6 15 22 -7 11 LLWDDD
15 Estoril 12 3 1 8 20 23 -3 10 LLLWWL
16 Arouca 13 2 4 7 15 19 -4 10 LLLLWD
17 Vizela 13 2 4 7 13 21 -8 10 DLWDLL
18 Chaves 12 3 1 8 15 31 -16 10 WWLLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 7 0 0 17 6 +11 21 WWWWWW
2 Guimaraes 7 5 0 2 17 9 +8 15 WLWWLW
3 Benfica 6 4 2 0 11 3 +8 14 WWWDWD
4 Sp Braga 6 4 1 1 17 7 +10 13 LDWWWW
5 Porto 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13 WDWWLW
6 Gil Vicente 6 3 2 1 18 10 +8 11 WLWWDD
7 Farense 7 3 1 3 13 9 +4 10 WWLDWL
8 Famalicao 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10 DWWLWL
9 Estrela 7 3 0 4 8 9 -1 9 WLLWLW
10 Moreirense 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8 LLWDWD
11 Rio Ave 7 2 2 3 10 12 -2 8 LDLLWD
12 Portimonense 6 2 2 2 7 10 -3 8 LDLWWD
13 Boavista 7 2 2 3 11 15 -4 8 DWDLLL
14 Estoril 5 2 1 2 9 5 +4 7 WLDLW
15 Chaves 6 2 1 3 11 13 -2 7 LLDWLW
16 Casa Pia 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5 LDDLLW
17 Arouca 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5 DLLLLD
18 Vizela 7 1 2 4 7 12 -5 5 WLLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 6 0 1 12 4 +8 18 WWLWWW
2 Sp Braga 7 5 1 1 19 13 +6 16 WLWDWW
3 Benfica 7 5 1 1 13 7 +6 16 WWWWWD
4 Moreirense 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13 DWLWWW
5 Sp Lisbon 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10 WDWWLL
6 Guimaraes 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10 WLDWLW
7 Casa Pia 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8 DWLDLL
8 Farense 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7 LLLWWD
9 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7 LDDLDD
10 Boavista 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7 WWLDLL
11 Portimonense 7 2 1 4 7 17 -10 7 DWWLLL
12 Estrela 6 1 3 2 7 9 -2 6 LDDWLD
13 Arouca 6 1 2 3 8 8 0 5 DDLLLW
14 Vizela 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5 LLDDWL
15 Rio Ave 6 0 3 3 5 10 -5 3 LDLLDD
16 Estoril 7 1 0 6 11 18 -7 3 LLLLWL
17 Chaves 6 1 0 5 4 18 -14 3 LLLWLL
18 Gil Vicente 6 0 0 6 6 15 -9 0 LLLLLL

Estoril   Chaves

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 13 2 11 2.8 1.5 9 2 2 36 20 29 OOOUOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 13 4 9 2.2 1.2 10 1 2 28 15 31 OUOOOO
3 5 Guimaraes 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 8 1 4 23 16 25 OOUOOO
4 10 Boavista 13 4 9 1.5 2.1 4 3 6 20 27 15 UUUOOO
5 13 Gil Vicente 12 3 9 2.0 2.1 3 2 7 24 25 11 UOOOUO
6 18 Chaves 12 3 9 1.2 2.6 3 1 8 15 31 10 UOOUOO
7 7 Farense 13 5 8 1.7 1.4 5 2 6 22 18 17 UOUOOU
8 15 Estoril 12 4 8 1.7 1.9 3 1 8 20 23 10 OUUUOO
9 2 Porto 13 6 7 1.6 0.7 10 1 2 21 9 31 UUUOOO
10 11 Portimonense 13 6 7 1.1 2.1 4 3 6 14 27 15 UUOOUU
11 17 Vizela 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 2 4 7 13 21 10 UUUUOO
12 3 Benfica 13 7 6 1.8 0.8 9 3 1 24 10 30 UUUOUU
13 6 Moreirense 12 7 5 1.2 0.8 6 3 3 14 10 21 OUUUUU
14 8 Famalicao 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 4 5 4 12 14 17 OUOUOU
15 9 Estrela 13 8 5 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15 UUOUUO
16 14 Rio Ave 13 8 5 1.2 1.7 2 5 6 15 22 11 OOUUUO
17 16 Arouca 13 8 5 1.2 1.5 2 4 7 15 19 10 OUUUOO
18 12 Casa Pia 13 9 4 0.8 1.2 3 4 6 10 16 13 UUUOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Guimaraes 7 1 6 2.4 1.3 5 0 2 17 9 15 UOOOOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 2.4 0.9 7 0 0 17 6 21 UOUOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 6 1 5 2.8 1.2 4 1 1 17 7 13 OUOOOO
4 7 Farense 7 2 5 1.9 1.3 3 1 3 13 9 10 OOOUUO
5 10 Boavista 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 2 2 3 11 15 8 UOOUOO
6 18 Chaves 6 1 5 1.8 2.2 2 1 3 11 13 7 OOOOUO
7 13 Gil Vicente 6 2 4 3.0 1.7 3 2 1 18 10 11 OOOUOU
8 17 Vizela 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 2 4 7 12 5 UOOUUO
9 2 Porto 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13 OUOUUO
10 8 Famalicao 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10 UUUOOO
11 9 Estrela 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 3 0 4 8 9 9 OUOUUO
12 11 Portimonense 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 2 2 2 7 10 8 OUOUOU
13 14 Rio Ave 7 4 3 1.4 1.7 2 2 3 10 12 8 OUOOUU
14 15 Estoril 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 2 9 5 7 UOOUO
15 3 Benfica 6 4 2 1.8 0.5 4 2 0 11 3 14 UOUUOU
16 6 Moreirense 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8 OOUUUU
17 16 Arouca 7 5 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5 UUUUUO
18 12 Casa Pia 6 5 1 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 7 1 6 2.7 1.9 5 1 1 19 13 16 OOOOUO
2 13 Gil Vicente 6 1 5 1.0 2.5 0 0 6 6 15 0 OUOOOO
3 15 Estoril 7 2 5 1.6 2.6 1 0 6 11 18 3 OOOUUO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10 OUOUOO
5 2 Porto 7 3 4 1.7 0.6 6 0 1 12 4 18 OUUUOO
6 3 Benfica 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 5 1 1 13 7 16 OOOUUU
7 10 Boavista 6 2 4 1.5 2.0 2 1 3 9 12 7 OOOUUO
8 11 Portimonense 7 3 4 1.0 2.4 2 1 4 7 17 7 UOOUOU
9 18 Chaves 6 2 4 0.7 3.0 1 0 5 4 18 3 UOOUOO
10 5 Guimaraes 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10 UOUOUO
11 6 Moreirense 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13 UOOOUU
12 7 Farense 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7 OUUOOU
13 12 Casa Pia 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 3 7 11 8 UUUUOO
14 16 Arouca 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 1 2 3 8 8 5 OUUOUO
15 17 Vizela 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5 OUOUUO
16 8 Famalicao 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 1 4 2 6 7 7 UUOUUU
17 9 Estrela 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 1 3 2 7 9 6 UUOUOU
18 14 Rio Ave 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 0 3 3 5 10 3 UUUOUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10