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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 3–0 Portimonense

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 2.18
Draw 3.60 fair 4.23
Away 4.20 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Portimonense
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 7
7 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (179 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawPortimonense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
0.95scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:32
Portimonense before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.15scored / match
2.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:41
Estrela all matches all matches Portimonense

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.15
1.60 Goals conceded 2.05
2.55 Total goals 3.20
9.40 Shots 9.40
3.15 Shots on target 3.65
13.70 Shots faced 13.65
4.65 Corners 3.75
6.00 Corners against 6.85
11.75 Fouls 14.60
2.20 Yellow cards 3.05
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

20% Wins 30%
30% Draws 15%
50% Losses 55%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
65% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 55%
30% Over 3.5 goals 35%
20% Over 4.5 goals 30%
5% Over 5.5 goals 10%
55% Both teams scored 65%
15% Clean sheets 10%
35% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 30%
50% Draws 30%
35% Losses 40%
55% Over 0.5 goals 75%
10% Over 1.5 goals 40%
5% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Portimonense all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.10scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:18
Portimonense before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.30scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:25
Estrela at home away Portimonense

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.30
1.80 Goals conceded 2.50
2.90 Total goals 3.80
9.70 Shots 8.20
3.30 Shots on target 3.20
12.90 Shots faced 14.70
5.00 Corners 3.70
5.60 Corners against 8.10
13.00 Fouls 14.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.70
0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
10% Draws 10%
60% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 50%
30% Over 4.5 goals 50%
10% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
10% Clean sheets 0%
30% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
10% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Portimonense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
14.01.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
15.12.23 Farense – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.30 1.93 1.93
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80

Portimonense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Portimonense – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.402.38 2.03 1.83
28.01.24 Boavista – Portimonense 1–4 (0–3) 1.953.404.00 2.03 1.83
21.01.24 Portimonense – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–1) 2.553.302.80 2.05 1.80
12.01.24 Portimonense – Farense 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 2.05 1.80
07.01.24 Rio Ave – Portimonense 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 2.03 1.83
30.12.23 Portimonense – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.53 2.40
17.12.23 Moreirense – Portimonense 5–2 (2–1) 1.703.605.00 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Portimonense – Famalicao 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.252.45 2.08 1.73
02.12.23 Casa Pia – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.303.60 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Portimonense – Chaves 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.10 1.98 1.88

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.24 Estrela – Benfica 1–4 (1–2) 9.505.501.29 1.60 2.30
06.01.24 Estrela – Vizela 1–1 (1–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.70
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
10.12.23 Estrela – Boavista 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.98 1.88
11.11.23 Estrela – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.80
29.10.23 Estrela – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.80 2.20 1.65
28.09.23 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Portimonense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Boavista – Portimonense 1–4 (0–3) 1.953.404.00 2.03 1.83
07.01.24 Rio Ave – Portimonense 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.33 2.03 1.83
17.12.23 Moreirense – Portimonense 5–2 (2–1) 1.703.605.00 1.93 1.93
02.12.23 Casa Pia – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.303.60 2.10 1.70
04.11.23 Sp Braga – Portimonense 6–1 (0–1) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70
08.10.23 Porto – Portimonense 1–0 (1–0) 1.137.5015.00 1.44 2.70
30.09.23 Vizela – Portimonense 2–3 (0–2) 1.753.504.50 2.03 1.83
17.09.23 Guimaraes – Portimonense 1–2 (1–0) 1.504.007.00 1.93 1.93
26.08.23 Arouca – Portimonense 1–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.25 1.95 1.90
12.08.23 Gil Vicente – Portimonense 5–0 (2–0) 1.913.204.00 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsPortimonense wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23P1 Portimonense – Estrela 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 20 16 3 1 44 12 +32 51 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 19 16 1 2 53 19 +34 49 WWWWWW
3 Porto 20 14 3 3 33 13 +20 45 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 20 12 4 4 44 27 +17 40 WDLWDW
5 Guimaraes 20 12 3 5 32 20 +12 39 WDWWLW
6 Moreirense 20 9 5 6 25 24 +1 32 DLWLWL
7 Arouca 20 7 4 9 32 27 +5 25 WLLWWW
8 Farense 20 7 4 9 28 28 0 25 LWLWLD
9 Gil Vicente 20 6 4 10 30 34 -4 22 WLDWWL
10 Famalicao 19 5 7 7 18 23 -5 22 DLDWLL
11 Estoril 20 6 3 11 34 35 -1 21 WLLLDW
12 Boavista 20 5 6 9 27 37 -10 21 LDWLLD
13 Portimonense 20 6 3 11 23 41 -18 21 LLWLWL
14 Casa Pia 20 5 5 10 19 34 -15 20 LWLLLD
15 Rio Ave 20 3 9 8 20 29 -9 18 LWLDDD
16 Estrela 20 4 6 10 19 32 -13 18 LDDLLL
17 Chaves 20 3 5 12 20 46 -26 14 LDLDDD
18 Vizela 20 2 7 11 18 38 -20 13 DDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 10 0 0 32 7 +25 30 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 10 8 2 0 23 4 +19 26 WDWWWW
3 Guimaraes 10 8 0 2 23 10 +13 24 WLWWWW
4 Porto 10 7 2 1 17 5 +12 23 LWWWWD
5 Gil Vicente 10 5 4 1 22 12 +10 19 DDDWDW
6 Sp Braga 10 5 3 2 20 10 +10 18 WWLDDW
7 Estoril 10 5 1 4 20 10 +10 16 WWWLLW
8 Farense 10 4 2 4 15 12 +3 14 DWLDWL
9 Moreirense 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14 DWDWLW
10 Rio Ave 10 3 4 3 14 14 0 13 LWDDWD
11 Famalicao 9 3 3 3 10 12 -2 12 LWLDDL
12 Arouca 10 3 2 5 15 14 +1 11 LLDWLW
13 Portimonense 10 3 2 5 10 16 -6 11 WDLWLL
14 Boavista 10 2 4 4 14 21 -7 10 LLLDDL
15 Estrela 10 3 1 6 11 18 -7 10 WLWLDL
16 Chaves 10 2 3 5 13 20 -7 9 LWLLDD
17 Casa Pia 10 1 3 6 5 13 -8 6 LWLLLD
18 Vizela 11 1 3 7 10 22 -12 6 DLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25 WWDWWW
2 Porto 10 7 1 2 16 8 +8 22 WWWLDW
3 Sp Braga 10 7 1 2 24 17 +7 22 DWWWLW
4 Sp Lisbon 9 6 1 2 21 12 +9 19 WLLWWW
5 Moreirense 11 5 3 3 12 12 0 18 WDDWLL
6 Guimaraes 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15 LWDDLW
7 Arouca 10 4 2 4 17 13 +4 14 LWWLWW
8 Casa Pia 10 4 2 4 14 21 -7 14 DLLWWL
9 Boavista 10 3 2 5 13 16 -3 11 LLLWLD
10 Farense 10 3 2 5 13 16 -3 11 WDLLWD
11 Famalicao 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10 LDDLWL
12 Portimonense 10 3 1 6 13 25 -12 10 LLLLLW
13 Estrela 10 1 5 4 8 14 -6 8 LDDDLL
14 Vizela 9 1 4 4 8 16 -8 7 DWLDDL
15 Rio Ave 10 0 5 5 6 15 -9 5 DDLLDD
16 Estoril 10 1 2 7 14 25 -11 5 LWLDLD
17 Chaves 10 1 2 7 7 26 -19 5 LLLLDD
18 Gil Vicente 10 1 0 9 8 22 -14 3 LLLLWL

Estrela   Portimonense

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 19 5 14 2.8 1.0 16 1 2 53 19 49 UOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 20 7 13 2.2 1.4 12 4 4 44 27 40 OUUOUU
3 11 Estoril 20 7 13 1.7 1.8 6 3 11 34 35 21 OOOOUU
4 17 Chaves 20 7 13 1.0 2.3 3 5 12 20 46 14 UOOUUU
5 7 Arouca 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 7 4 9 32 27 25 OOOOOO
6 1 Benfica 20 9 11 2.2 0.6 16 3 1 44 12 51 OOOUOO
7 5 Guimaraes 20 9 11 1.6 1.0 12 3 5 32 20 39 UUOOUU
8 8 Farense 20 9 11 1.4 1.4 7 4 9 28 28 25 OUUOOU
9 9 Gil Vicente 20 9 11 1.5 1.7 6 4 10 30 34 22 UUUUUO
10 12 Boavista 20 9 11 1.4 1.9 5 6 9 27 37 21 UUOUOU
11 13 Portimonense 20 9 11 1.1 2.0 6 3 11 23 41 21 OUUUOO
12 18 Vizela 20 10 10 0.9 1.9 2 7 11 18 38 13 UUOOOU
13 3 Porto 20 11 9 1.6 0.7 14 3 3 33 13 45 UUUOOU
14 6 Moreirense 20 11 9 1.2 1.2 9 5 6 25 24 32 UOOOUU
15 14 Casa Pia 20 11 9 0.9 1.7 5 5 10 19 34 20 OOUOOU
16 10 Famalicao 19 11 8 0.9 1.2 5 7 7 18 23 22 UOOUOU
17 16 Estrela 20 12 8 0.9 1.6 4 6 10 19 32 18 OUUOOU
18 15 Rio Ave 20 14 6 1.0 1.4 3 9 8 20 29 18 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Guimaraes 10 2 8 2.3 1.0 8 0 2 23 10 24 OOOUOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 10 3 7 3.2 0.7 10 0 0 32 7 30 OOOUOO
3 11 Estoril 10 3 7 2.0 1.0 5 1 4 20 10 16 OOOOOU
4 17 Chaves 10 3 7 1.3 2.0 2 3 5 13 20 9 UOOOUU
5 8 Farense 10 4 6 1.5 1.2 4 2 4 15 12 14 UUOUUO
6 12 Boavista 10 4 6 1.4 2.1 2 4 4 14 21 10 UOOUUO
7 18 Vizela 11 5 6 0.9 2.0 1 3 7 10 22 6 UOUOOU
8 1 Benfica 10 5 5 2.3 0.4 8 2 0 23 4 26 OUOOUO
9 4 Sp Braga 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 5 3 2 20 10 18 OOUUUU
10 7 Arouca 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 5 15 14 11 UUOOOO
11 10 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 3 10 12 12 OOOUOO
12 13 Portimonense 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 5 10 16 11 OUOUUO
13 16 Estrela 10 5 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 6 11 18 10 UUOOUO
14 3 Porto 10 6 4 1.7 0.5 7 2 1 17 5 23 UOUUOU
15 6 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14 UUUOOU
16 9 Gil Vicente 10 6 4 2.2 1.2 5 4 1 22 12 19 OUUUUU
17 14 Casa Pia 10 7 3 0.5 1.3 1 3 6 5 13 6 UUOUOU
18 15 Rio Ave 10 7 3 1.4 1.4 3 4 3 14 14 13 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 10 2 8 2.4 1.7 7 1 2 24 17 22 OUOOUO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 2.3 1.3 6 1 2 21 12 19 UOOOOO
3 7 Arouca 10 3 7 1.7 1.3 4 2 4 17 13 14 UOOOOO
4 9 Gil Vicente 10 3 7 0.8 2.2 1 0 9 8 22 3 OOOUUO
5 1 Benfica 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25 UUUUOO
6 11 Estoril 10 4 6 1.4 2.5 1 2 7 14 25 5 UUOUOU
7 13 Portimonense 10 4 6 1.3 2.5 3 1 6 13 25 10 UOUOUO
8 14 Casa Pia 10 4 6 1.4 2.1 4 2 4 14 21 14 UOOOOO
9 17 Chaves 10 4 6 0.7 2.6 1 2 7 7 26 5 OOOUOU
10 3 Porto 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 7 1 2 16 8 22 UOOUUO
11 6 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 3 12 12 18 UUUOOU
12 8 Farense 10 5 5 1.3 1.6 3 2 5 13 16 11 OUOUOU
13 12 Boavista 10 5 5 1.3 1.6 3 2 5 13 16 11 UOUOUU
14 18 Vizela 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 1 4 4 8 16 7 UUOUUO
15 5 Guimaraes 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 4 3 3 9 10 15 UOUUUU
16 10 Famalicao 10 7 3 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10 UUUOUU
17 15 Rio Ave 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 0 5 5 6 15 5 UOUOUU
18 16 Estrela 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 1 5 4 8 14 8 OUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47