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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Arouca 3–2 Porto

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 7.50 fair 2.85
Draw 4.00 fair 3.89
Away 1.50 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arouca Porto
10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 7
20 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (186 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
AroucaDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.3% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Arouca before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.60scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 32:27
Porto before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
1.65scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 33:13
Arouca all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.65
1.35 Goals conceded 0.65
2.95 Total goals 2.30
12.45 Shots 14.25
4.50 Shots on target 5.35
10.30 Shots faced 8.20
4.00 Corners 7.50
5.20 Corners against 4.10
12.85 Fouls 14.35
2.50 Yellow cards 3.25
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

35% Wins 70%
20% Draws 15%
45% Losses 15%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
60% Over 2.5 goals 45%
30% Over 3.5 goals 15%
15% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 45%
15% Clean sheets 40%
35% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
35% Draws 55%
45% Losses 5%
80% Over 0.5 goals 65%
40% Over 1.5 goals 35%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca all matches
Porto all matches
Arouca before this match, at home
1.10points / match
1.50scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:14
Porto before this match, away
2.20points / match
1.60scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:8
Arouca at home away Porto

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.60
1.40 Goals conceded 0.80
2.90 Total goals 2.40
12.90 Shots 11.90
4.60 Shots on target 4.50
10.40 Shots faced 9.40
4.60 Corners 5.80
4.50 Corners against 5.30
12.50 Fouls 15.50
2.00 Yellow cards 3.70
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

30% Wins 70%
20% Draws 10%
50% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 10%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 30%
50% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
30% Draws 50%
50% Losses 10%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Portimonense – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.402.38 2.03 1.83
28.01.24 Arouca – Vizela 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.75
20.01.24 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.402.88 1.98 1.88
15.01.24 Guimaraes – Arouca 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.05 1.75
06.01.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.70 2.10
28.12.23 Estrela – Arouca 1–4 (1–0) 2.553.302.70 2.08 1.73
16.12.23 Arouca – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.00 2.05 1.80
10.12.23 Arouca – Rio Ave 2–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.50 2.15 1.67
03.12.23 Boavista – Arouca 0–4 (0–3) 2.103.303.25 2.05 1.75
12.11.23 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.60 2.30

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Porto – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.60 2.30
28.01.24 Farense – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Porto – Moreirense 5–0 (1–0) 1.306.009.00 1.73 2.08
14.01.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.67 2.15
05.01.24 Boavista – Porto 1–1 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Porto – Chaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.48 2.60
18.12.23 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.03 1.83
09.12.23 Porto – Casa Pia 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Famalicao – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 5.003.801.57 1.93 1.93
11.11.23 Guimaraes – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 5.003.751.70 1.85 2.00

Arouca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Arouca – Vizela 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.75
06.01.24 Arouca – Benfica 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.751.50 1.70 2.10
16.12.23 Arouca – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.00 2.05 1.80
10.12.23 Arouca – Rio Ave 2–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.50 2.15 1.67
12.11.23 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.60 2.30
27.10.23 Arouca – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.10 1.70
01.10.23 Arouca – Chaves 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.604.20 1.93 1.93
17.09.23 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.10 2.15 1.67
26.08.23 Arouca – Portimonense 1–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.25 1.95 1.90
13.08.23 Arouca – Estoril 4–3 (1–1) 2.053.203.40 2.30 1.60

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.24 Farense – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.73 2.08
05.01.24 Boavista – Porto 1–1 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.73 2.08
18.12.23 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.03 1.83
02.12.23 Famalicao – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 5.003.801.57 1.93 1.93
11.11.23 Guimaraes – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 5.003.751.70 1.85 2.00
29.10.23 Vizela – Porto 0–2 (0–2) 6.004.501.45 1.73 2.08
29.09.23 Benfica – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
28.08.23 Rio Ave – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 7.504.201.45 1.73 2.08
14.08.23 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.751.36 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arouca winsDrawsPorto wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.23P1 Porto – Arouca 1–1 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
08.05.23P1 Arouca – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 7.504.751.36 1.67 2.15
28.12.22P1 Porto – Arouca 5–1 (3–0) 1.118.0023.00 1.44 2.70
06.02.22P1 Arouca – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 10.005.251.30 1.57 2.35
28.08.21P1 Porto – Arouca 3–0 (2–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.61 2.25

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 20 17 1 2 58 19 +39 52 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 21 16 4 1 46 14 +32 52 WWWWWD
3 Porto 20 14 3 3 33 13 +20 45 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 21 12 4 5 44 32 +12 40 DLWDWL
5 Guimaraes 21 12 4 5 34 22 +12 40 DWWLWD
6 Moreirense 21 10 5 6 26 24 +2 35 LWLWLW
7 Farense 21 7 5 9 29 29 0 26 WLWLDD
8 Arouca 20 7 4 9 32 27 +5 25 WLLWWW
9 Boavista 21 6 6 9 29 38 -9 24 DWLLDW
10 Famalicao 20 5 8 7 19 24 -5 23 LDWLLD
11 Gil Vicente 20 6 4 10 30 34 -4 22 WLDWWL
12 Estoril 21 6 3 12 35 37 -2 21 LLLDWL
13 Rio Ave 21 4 9 8 21 29 -8 21 WLDDDW
14 Estrela 21 5 6 10 22 32 -10 21 DDLLLW
15 Portimonense 21 6 3 12 23 44 -21 21 LWLWLL
16 Casa Pia 21 5 5 11 19 35 -16 20 WLLLDL
17 Chaves 21 3 5 13 20 47 -27 14 DLDDDL
18 Vizela 20 2 7 11 18 38 -20 13 DDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 11 11 0 0 37 7 +30 33 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 10 8 2 0 23 4 +19 26 WDWWWW
3 Guimaraes 11 8 1 2 25 12 +13 25 LWWWWD
4 Porto 10 7 2 1 17 5 +12 23 LWWWWD
5 Gil Vicente 10 5 4 1 22 12 +10 19 DDDWDW
6 Sp Braga 10 5 3 2 20 10 +10 18 WWLDDW
7 Moreirense 10 5 2 3 14 12 +2 17 WDWLWW
8 Estoril 10 5 1 4 20 10 +10 16 WWWLLW
9 Rio Ave 11 4 4 3 15 14 +1 16 WDDWDW
10 Farense 11 4 3 4 16 13 +3 15 WLDWLD
11 Estrela 11 4 1 6 14 18 -4 13 LWLDLW
12 Boavista 11 3 4 4 16 22 -6 13 LLDDLW
13 Famalicao 9 3 3 3 10 12 -2 12 LWLDDL
14 Arouca 10 3 2 5 15 14 +1 11 LLDWLW
15 Portimonense 10 3 2 5 10 16 -6 11 WDLWLL
16 Chaves 10 2 3 5 13 20 -7 9 LWLLDD
17 Casa Pia 10 1 3 6 5 13 -8 6 LWLLLD
18 Vizela 11 1 3 7 10 22 -12 6 DLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 11 8 2 1 23 10 +13 26 WDWWWD
2 Porto 10 7 1 2 16 8 +8 22 WWWLDW
3 Sp Braga 11 7 1 3 24 22 +2 22 WWWLWL
4 Sp Lisbon 9 6 1 2 21 12 +9 19 WLLWWW
5 Moreirense 11 5 3 3 12 12 0 18 WDDWLL
6 Guimaraes 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15 LWDDLW
7 Arouca 10 4 2 4 17 13 +4 14 LWWLWW
8 Casa Pia 11 4 2 5 14 22 -8 14 LLWWLL
9 Boavista 10 3 2 5 13 16 -3 11 LLLWLD
10 Farense 10 3 2 5 13 16 -3 11 WDLLWD
11 Famalicao 11 2 5 4 9 12 -3 11 DDLWLD
12 Portimonense 11 3 1 7 13 28 -15 10 LLLLWL
13 Estrela 10 1 5 4 8 14 -6 8 LDDDLL
14 Vizela 9 1 4 4 8 16 -8 7 DWLDDL
15 Rio Ave 10 0 5 5 6 15 -9 5 DDLLDD
16 Estoril 11 1 2 8 15 27 -12 5 WLDLDL
17 Chaves 11 1 2 8 7 27 -20 5 LLLDDL
18 Gil Vicente 10 1 0 9 8 22 -14 3 LLLLWL

Arouca   Porto

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 20 5 15 2.9 0.9 17 1 2 58 19 52 OOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 21 7 14 2.1 1.5 12 4 5 44 32 40 UUOUUO
3 12 Estoril 21 7 14 1.7 1.8 6 3 12 35 37 21 OOOUUO
4 17 Chaves 21 8 13 1.0 2.2 3 5 13 20 47 14 OOUUUU
5 2 Benfica 21 9 12 2.2 0.7 16 4 1 46 14 52 OOUOOO
6 5 Guimaraes 21 9 12 1.6 1.0 12 4 5 34 22 40 UOOUUO
7 8 Arouca 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 7 4 9 32 27 25 OOOOOO
8 9 Boavista 21 9 12 1.4 1.8 6 6 9 29 38 24 UOUOUO
9 15 Portimonense 21 9 12 1.1 2.1 6 3 12 23 44 21 UUUOOO
10 7 Farense 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 7 5 9 29 29 26 UUOOUU
11 11 Gil Vicente 20 9 11 1.5 1.7 6 4 10 30 34 22 UUUUUO
12 18 Vizela 20 10 10 0.9 1.9 2 7 11 18 38 13 UUOOOU
13 3 Porto 20 11 9 1.6 0.7 14 3 3 33 13 45 UUUOOU
14 6 Moreirense 21 12 9 1.2 1.1 10 5 6 26 24 35 OOOUUU
15 14 Estrela 21 12 9 1.0 1.5 5 6 10 22 32 21 UUOOUO
16 16 Casa Pia 21 12 9 0.9 1.7 5 5 11 19 35 20 OUOOUU
17 10 Famalicao 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 5 8 7 19 24 23 OOUOUU
18 13 Rio Ave 21 15 6 1.0 1.4 4 9 8 21 29 21 UOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Guimaraes 11 2 9 2.3 1.1 8 1 2 25 12 25 OOUOOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 11 3 8 3.4 0.6 11 0 0 37 7 33 OOUOOO
3 9 Boavista 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 3 4 4 16 22 13 OOUUOO
4 12 Estoril 10 3 7 2.0 1.0 5 1 4 20 10 16 OOOOOU
5 17 Chaves 10 3 7 1.3 2.0 2 3 5 13 20 9 UOOOUU
6 7 Farense 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 3 4 16 13 15 UOUUOU
7 14 Estrela 11 5 6 1.3 1.6 4 1 6 14 18 13 UOOUOO
8 18 Vizela 11 5 6 0.9 2.0 1 3 7 10 22 6 UOUOOU
9 2 Benfica 10 5 5 2.3 0.4 8 2 0 23 4 26 OUOOUO
10 4 Sp Braga 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 5 3 2 20 10 18 OOUUUU
11 8 Arouca 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 5 15 14 11 UUOOOO
12 10 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.1 1.3 3 3 3 10 12 12 OOOUOO
13 15 Portimonense 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 5 10 16 11 OUOUUO
14 3 Porto 10 6 4 1.7 0.5 7 2 1 17 5 23 UOUUOU
15 6 Moreirense 10 6 4 1.4 1.2 5 2 3 14 12 17 UUOOUU
16 11 Gil Vicente 10 6 4 2.2 1.2 5 4 1 22 12 19 OUUUUU
17 13 Rio Ave 11 8 3 1.4 1.3 4 4 3 15 14 16 UUUUUU
18 16 Casa Pia 10 7 3 0.5 1.3 1 3 6 5 13 6 UUOUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Sp Braga 11 2 9 2.2 2.0 7 1 3 24 22 22 UOOUOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 2.3 1.3 6 1 2 21 12 19 UOOOOO
3 2 Benfica 11 4 7 2.1 0.9 8 2 1 23 10 26 UUUOOO
4 8 Arouca 10 3 7 1.7 1.3 4 2 4 17 13 14 UOOOOO
5 11 Gil Vicente 10 3 7 0.8 2.2 1 0 9 8 22 3 OOOUUO
6 12 Estoril 11 4 7 1.4 2.5 1 2 8 15 27 5 UOUOUO
7 15 Portimonense 11 4 7 1.2 2.5 3 1 7 13 28 10 OUOUOO
8 16 Casa Pia 11 5 6 1.3 2.0 4 2 5 14 22 14 OOOOOU
9 17 Chaves 11 5 6 0.6 2.5 1 2 8 7 27 5 OOUOUU
10 3 Porto 10 5 5 1.6 0.8 7 1 2 16 8 22 UOOUUO
11 6 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 3 12 12 18 UUUOOU
12 7 Farense 10 5 5 1.3 1.6 3 2 5 13 16 11 OUOUOU
13 9 Boavista 10 5 5 1.3 1.6 3 2 5 13 16 11 UOUOUU
14 18 Vizela 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 1 4 4 8 16 7 UUOUUO
15 5 Guimaraes 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 4 3 3 9 10 15 UOUUUU
16 10 Famalicao 11 8 3 0.8 1.1 2 5 4 9 12 11 UUOUUU
17 13 Rio Ave 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 0 5 5 6 15 5 UOUOUU
18 14 Estrela 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 1 5 4 8 14 8 OUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11