Estrela 0–1 Farense – Portugal Primeira Liga, 13 Apr 2025

Match facts

Estrela Farense

13 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 3

22 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (257 league matches this season so far).

Result Estrela to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.06

Home / Draw / Away

41% 28% 31%

EstrelaDrawFarense

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.79scored / match

1.46conceded / match

6 8 14

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 22:41

Farense before this match, all matches

0.64points / match

0.68scored / match

1.43conceded / match

3 9 16

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 19:40

Estrela all matches all matches Farense

Per match

0.79 Goals scored 0.68

1.46 Goals conceded 1.43

2.25 Total goals 2.11

9.39 Shots 10.86

2.64 Shots on target 3.39

12.57 Shots faced 13.43

3.93 Corners 5.54

5.96 Corners against 5.54

15.36 Fouls 15.89

2.86 Yellow cards 2.68

0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.29

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

21% Wins 11%

29% Draws 32%

50% Losses 57%

93% Over 0.5 goals 86%

61% Over 1.5 goals 57%

36% Over 2.5 goals 39%

18% Over 3.5 goals 21%

11% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

39% Both teams scored 43%

21% Clean sheets 21%

46% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%

43% Draws 54%

43% Losses 32%

61% Over 0.5 goals 54%

25% Over 1.5 goals 18%

14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches

D

2

3

L

1

L

1

W

D

1

D

1

D

2

L

3

L

1

W

Farense all matches

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

L

1

L

2

D

1

L

2

D

1

L

2

3

L

D

Estrela before this match, at home

1.14points / match

1.14scored / match

1.57conceded / match

4 4 6

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:22

Farense before this match, away

0.71points / match

0.86scored / match

1.43conceded / match

1 7 6

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:20

Estrela at home away Farense

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.86

1.57 Goals conceded 1.43

2.71 Total goals 2.29

9.64 Shots 9.64

2.64 Shots on target 3.57

12.36 Shots faced 14.71

3.86 Corners 4.29

5.00 Corners against 6.79

15.64 Fouls 15.00

3.14 Yellow cards 2.71

0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 7%

29% Draws 50%

43% Losses 43%

93% Over 0.5 goals 79%

71% Over 1.5 goals 71%

57% Over 2.5 goals 43%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

14% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 57%

21% Clean sheets 21%

36% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%

50% Draws 50%

36% Losses 36%

57% Over 0.5 goals 57%

36% Over 1.5 goals 21%

21% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home

2

D

2

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

4

L

1

L

2

3

L

D

1

D

3

L

Farense away

2

L

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

D

1

3

L

2

D

2

D

2

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
29.03.25	Estrela – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–0)	9.00	5.00	1.33	1.73	2.08
16.03.25	Guimaraes – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.45	4.10	7.50	2.08	1.73
07.03.25	Estrela – Gil Vicente	1–1 (0–0)	2.62	3.00	2.80	2.50	1.50
02.03.25	Moreirense – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.00	4.75	2.50	1.50
23.02.25	Estrela – Santa Clara	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.70	1.44
14.02.25	Boavista – Estrela	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.50	1.50
09.02.25	Casa Pia – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.30	1.60
02.02.25	Estrela – Benfica	2–3 (1–3)	9.00	5.75	1.29	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Famalicao – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	1.82	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.65

Farense all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.04.25	Farense – Casa Pia	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.10	2.88	2.40	1.53
02.04.25	Benfica – Farense	3–2 (2–1)	1.13	8.50	19.00	1.44	2.70
15.03.25	Farense – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.85	2.25	1.62
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
02.03.25	Farense – AVS	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.50
23.02.25	Arouca – Farense	2–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.40	4.20	2.15	1.67
16.02.25	Farense – Porto	0–1 (0–0)	7.00	4.75	1.40	1.93	1.93
09.02.25	Farense – Nacional	0–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.65
02.02.25	Sp Lisbon – Farense	3–1 (2–1)	1.14	8.00	17.00	1.44	2.70
25.01.25	Farense – Rio Ave	1–2 (0–1)	2.55	2.90	3.00	2.40	1.50

Estrela at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Estrela – Sp Lisbon	0–3 (0–0)	9.00	5.00	1.33	1.73	2.08
07.03.25	Estrela – Gil Vicente	1–1 (0–0)	2.62	3.00	2.80	2.50	1.50
23.02.25	Estrela – Santa Clara	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.70	1.44
02.02.25	Estrela – Benfica	2–3 (1–3)	9.00	5.75	1.29	1.60	2.30
19.01.25	Estrela – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	3.80	1.67	1.85	2.00
05.01.25	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62
23.12.24	Estrela – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
09.12.24	Estrela – Arouca	2–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.20	2.80	2.15	1.67
10.11.24	Estrela – Nacional	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.70
27.10.24	Estrela – Guimaraes	2–2 (1–1)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.25	1.62

Farense away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.04.25	Benfica – Farense	3–2 (2–1)	1.13	8.50	19.00	1.44	2.70
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
23.02.25	Arouca – Farense	2–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.40	4.20	2.15	1.67
02.02.25	Sp Lisbon – Farense	3–1 (2–1)	1.14	8.00	17.00	1.44	2.70
19.01.25	Moreirense – Farense	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.20	4.33	2.50	1.50
05.01.25	Santa Clara – Farense	0–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.40	6.00	2.35	1.57
21.12.24	Famalicao – Farense	1–2 (0–1)	1.75	3.40	5.25	2.15	1.67
08.12.24	Boavista – Farense	1–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.10	3.10	2.25	1.62
09.11.24	Casa Pia – Farense	1–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.20	1.65
27.10.24	Sp Braga – Farense	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	6.00	7.00	1.54	2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Estrela winsDrawsFarense wins

3matches

1.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.11.24P1	Farense – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.30	1.60
29.04.24P1	Estrela – Farense	0–3 (0–1)	2.20	3.25	3.50	1.98	1.88
15.12.23P1	Farense – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	29	21	6	2	75	24	+51	69
2	Benfica	28	22	2	4	69	23	+46	68
3	Porto	29	18	5	6	55	25	+30	59
4	Sp Braga	28	17	6	5	45	24	+21	57
5	Guimaraes	29	12	12	5	41	29	+12	48
6	Santa Clara	29	14	4	11	28	28	0	46
7	Famalicao	29	11	10	8	38	31	+7	43
8	Casa Pia	29	11	7	11	34	37	-3	40
9	Estoril	29	10	9	10	38	46	-8	39
10	Moreirense	28	9	8	11	34	39	-5	35
11	Nacional	29	9	5	15	27	38	-11	32
12	Arouca	28	7	8	13	27	43	-16	29
13	Rio Ave	28	7	8	13	30	47	-17	29
14	Gil Vicente	29	6	8	15	27	43	-16	26
15	Estrela	28	6	8	14	22	41	-19	26
16	AVS	28	4	11	13	21	44	-23	23
17	Farense	28	3	9	16	19	40	-21	18
18	Boavista	29	4	6	19	19	47	-28	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	14	13	0	1	43	9	+34	39
2	Sp Lisbon	14	11	2	1	33	11	+22	35
3	Porto	14	10	3	1	31	9	+22	33
4	Guimaraes	14	8	5	1	25	14	+11	29
5	Sp Braga	14	8	3	3	27	16	+11	27
6	Santa Clara	15	8	2	5	14	13	+1	26
7	Casa Pia	15	7	4	4	19	15	+4	25
8	Famalicao	15	6	6	3	17	10	+7	24
9	Moreirense	14	6	6	2	19	16	+3	24
10	Nacional	14	7	2	5	19	19	0	23
11	Estoril	14	6	4	4	18	19	-1	22
12	Rio Ave	14	5	6	3	21	22	-1	21
13	Gil Vicente	15	4	4	7	16	18	-2	16
14	Estrela	14	4	4	6	16	22	-6	16
15	Arouca	14	3	5	6	11	18	-7	14
16	AVS	14	3	5	6	11	20	-9	14
17	Farense	14	2	2	10	7	20	-13	8
18	Boavista	15	1	3	11	7	24	-17	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	15	10	4	1	42	13	+29	34
2	Sp Braga	14	9	3	2	18	8	+10	30
3	Benfica	14	9	2	3	26	14	+12	29
4	Porto	15	8	2	5	24	16	+8	26
5	Santa Clara	14	6	2	6	14	15	-1	20
6	Guimaraes	15	4	7	4	16	15	+1	19
7	Famalicao	14	5	4	5	21	21	0	19
8	Estoril	15	4	5	6	20	27	-7	17
9	Casa Pia	14	4	3	7	15	22	-7	15
10	Arouca	14	4	3	7	16	25	-9	15
11	Boavista	14	3	3	8	12	23	-11	12
12	Moreirense	14	3	2	9	15	23	-8	11
13	Farense	14	1	7	6	12	20	-8	10
14	Estrela	14	2	4	8	6	19	-13	10
15	Gil Vicente	14	2	4	8	11	25	-14	10
16	Nacional	15	2	3	10	8	19	-11	9
17	AVS	14	1	6	7	10	24	-14	9
18	Rio Ave	14	2	2	10	9	25	-16	8

Estrela Farense

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	29	9	20	2.6	0.8	21	6	2	75	24	69
2	9	Estoril	29	9	20	1.3	1.6	10	9	10	38	46	39
3	2	Benfica	28	9	19	2.5	0.8	22	2	4	69	23	68
4	13	Rio Ave	28	13	15	1.1	1.7	7	8	13	30	47	29
5	3	Porto	29	15	14	1.9	0.9	18	5	6	55	25	59
6	4	Sp Braga	28	14	14	1.6	0.9	17	6	5	45	24	57
7	7	Famalicao	29	15	14	1.3	1.1	11	10	8	38	31	43
8	10	Moreirense	28	14	14	1.2	1.4	9	8	11	34	39	35
9	12	Arouca	28	14	14	1.0	1.5	7	8	13	27	43	29
10	14	Gil Vicente	29	16	13	0.9	1.5	6	8	15	27	43	26
11	18	Boavista	29	16	13	0.7	1.6	4	6	19	19	47	18
12	5	Guimaraes	29	17	12	1.4	1.0	12	12	5	41	29	48
13	8	Casa Pia	29	17	12	1.2	1.3	11	7	11	34	37	40
14	11	Nacional	29	18	11	0.9	1.3	9	5	15	27	38	32
15	17	Farense	28	17	11	0.7	1.4	3	9	16	19	40	18
16	15	Estrela	28	18	10	0.8	1.5	6	8	14	22	41	26
17	16	AVS	28	18	10	0.8	1.6	4	11	13	21	44	23
18	6	Santa Clara	29	21	8	1.0	1.0	14	4	11	28	28	46

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	14	2	12	3.1	0.6	13	0	1	43	9	39
2	9	Estoril	14	5	9	1.3	1.4	6	4	4	18	19	22
3	13	Rio Ave	14	5	9	1.5	1.6	5	6	3	21	22	21
4	1	Sp Lisbon	14	6	8	2.4	0.8	11	2	1	33	11	35
5	4	Sp Braga	14	6	8	1.9	1.1	8	3	3	27	16	27
6	15	Estrela	14	6	8	1.1	1.6	4	4	6	16	22	16
7	3	Porto	14	7	7	2.2	0.6	10	3	1	31	9	33
8	5	Guimaraes	14	7	7	1.8	1.0	8	5	1	25	14	29
9	10	Moreirense	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	6	6	2	19	16	24
10	11	Nacional	14	7	7	1.4	1.4	7	2	5	19	19	23
11	14	Gil Vicente	15	8	7	1.1	1.2	4	4	7	16	18	16
12	7	Famalicao	15	10	5	1.1	0.7	6	6	3	17	10	24
13	8	Casa Pia	15	10	5	1.3	1.0	7	4	4	19	15	25
14	16	AVS	14	9	5	0.8	1.4	3	5	6	11	20	14
15	17	Farense	14	9	5	0.5	1.4	2	2	10	7	20	8
16	18	Boavista	15	10	5	0.5	1.6	1	3	11	7	24	6
17	6	Santa Clara	15	11	4	0.9	0.9	8	2	5	14	13	26
18	12	Arouca	14	10	4	0.8	1.3	3	5	6	11	18	14

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	15	3	12	2.8	0.9	10	4	1	42	13	34
2	9	Estoril	15	4	11	1.3	1.8	4	5	6	20	27	17
3	12	Arouca	14	4	10	1.1	1.8	4	3	7	16	25	15
4	7	Famalicao	14	5	9	1.5	1.5	5	4	5	21	21	19
5	18	Boavista	14	6	8	0.9	1.6	3	3	8	12	23	12
6	2	Benfica	14	7	7	1.9	1.0	9	2	3	26	14	29
7	3	Porto	15	8	7	1.6	1.1	8	2	5	24	16	26
8	8	Casa Pia	14	7	7	1.1	1.6	4	3	7	15	22	15
9	10	Moreirense	14	7	7	1.1	1.6	3	2	9	15	23	11
10	4	Sp Braga	14	8	6	1.3	0.6	9	3	2	18	8	30
11	13	Rio Ave	14	8	6	0.6	1.8	2	2	10	9	25	8
12	14	Gil Vicente	14	8	6	0.8	1.8	2	4	8	11	25	10
13	17	Farense	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	1	7	6	12	20	10
14	5	Guimaraes	15	10	5	1.1	1.0	4	7	4	16	15	19
15	16	AVS	14	9	5	0.7	1.7	1	6	7	10	24	9
16	6	Santa Clara	14	10	4	1.0	1.1	6	2	6	14	15	20
17	11	Nacional	15	11	4	0.5	1.3	2	3	10	8	19	9
18	15	Estrela	14	12	2	0.4	1.4	2	4	8	6	19	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.