Estrela 0–1 Sp Braga – Portugal Primeira Liga, 19 Jan 2025

Match facts

Estrela Sp Braga

7 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

1 Corners 8

21 Fouls 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).

Result Sp Braga to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.79

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.54

Home / Draw / Away

31% 25% 44%

EstrelaDrawSp Braga

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 0–1 9.5% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches

0.94points / match

0.94scored / match

1.71conceded / match

4 4 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:29

Sp Braga before this match, all matches

1.82points / match

1.76scored / match

1.12conceded / match

9 4 4

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:19

Estrela all matches all matches Sp Braga

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.76

1.71 Goals conceded 1.12

2.65 Total goals 2.88

10.00 Shots 13.82

2.88 Shots on target 4.82

12.76 Shots faced 10.24

4.59 Corners 6.06

6.18 Corners against 3.94

14.71 Fouls 14.06

2.47 Yellow cards 2.06

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

24% Wins 53%

24% Draws 24%

53% Losses 24%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

71% Over 1.5 goals 82%

47% Over 2.5 goals 59%

24% Over 3.5 goals 29%

12% Over 4.5 goals 12%

12% Over 5.5 goals 12%

47% Both teams scored 53%

12% Clean sheets 41%

41% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 47%

29% Draws 41%

53% Losses 12%

76% Over 0.5 goals 65%

35% Over 1.5 goals 24%

18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches

3

L

2

D

1

5

L

2

W

1

L

2

1

W

2

L

1

W

1

D

2

4

L

Sp Braga all matches

1

2

L

2

W

2

1

W

2

4

L

1

W

2

D

3

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Estrela before this match, at home

1.56points / match

1.44scored / match

1.56conceded / match

4 2 3

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:14

Sp Braga before this match, away

2.38points / match

1.50scored / match

0.50conceded / match

6 1 1

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:4

Estrela at home away Sp Braga

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.50

1.56 Goals conceded 0.50

3.00 Total goals 2.00

10.67 Shots 13.25

2.89 Shots on target 3.88

13.22 Shots faced 10.88

4.22 Corners 5.13

4.89 Corners against 4.75

14.56 Fouls 13.75

2.56 Yellow cards 2.25

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

44% Wins 75%

22% Draws 13%

33% Losses 13%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

78% Over 1.5 goals 63%

67% Over 2.5 goals 50%

33% Over 3.5 goals 0%

11% Over 4.5 goals 0%

11% Over 5.5 goals 0%

56% Both teams scored 38%

22% Clean sheets 63%

22% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 38%

33% Draws 50%

44% Losses 13%

78% Over 0.5 goals 50%

44% Over 1.5 goals 13%

22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home

1

W

3

L

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

4

L

Sp Braga away

1

3

L

3

2

W

1

W

D

3

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.01.25	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62
28.12.24	AVS – Estrela	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.00	3.10	2.25	1.62
23.12.24	Estrela – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
16.12.24	Porto – Estrela	2–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.48	2.60
09.12.24	Estrela – Arouca	2–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.20	2.80	2.15	1.67
29.11.24	Farense – Estrela	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.25	3.40	2.30	1.60
10.11.24	Estrela – Nacional	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.70
01.11.24	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	5–1 (3–1)	1.08	11.00	19.00	1.30	3.50
27.10.24	Estrela – Guimaraes	2–2 (1–1)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.25	1.62
05.10.24	Gil Vicente – Estrela	3–0 (2–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.08	1.73

Sp Braga all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25	Benfica – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–2)	1.42	4.50	7.00	1.57	2.35
29.12.24	Sp Braga – Casa Pia	1–2 (1–1)	1.42	4.50	7.50	1.83	2.03
22.12.24	Santa Clara – Sp Braga	0–2 (0–0)	3.10	3.20	2.30	2.25	1.62
16.12.24	Sp Braga – Famalicao	3–3 (0–1)	1.48	4.20	6.50	1.88	1.98
06.12.24	Sp Braga – Estoril	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	10.00	1.65	2.20
01.12.24	AVS – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.50	3.90	1.60	1.85	2.00
10.11.24	Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon	2–4 (2–0)	5.25	4.20	1.57	1.57	2.35
03.11.24	Arouca – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.90	1.73	1.73	2.08
27.10.24	Sp Braga – Farense	2–0 (1–0)	1.33	6.00	7.00	1.54	2.35
06.10.24	Porto – Sp Braga	2–1 (1–0)	1.60	3.75	6.00	1.67	2.15

Estrela at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.01.25	Estrela – Estoril	2–4 (0–3)	2.25	3.10	3.30	2.25	1.62
23.12.24	Estrela – Rio Ave	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
09.12.24	Estrela – Arouca	2–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.20	2.80	2.15	1.67
10.11.24	Estrela – Nacional	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.70
27.10.24	Estrela – Guimaraes	2–2 (1–1)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.25	1.62
28.09.24	Estrela – Moreirense	2–1 (2–0)	2.90	3.20	2.45	2.30	1.60
16.09.24	Estrela – Boavista	2–2 (1–2)	1.91	3.30	4.20	2.35	1.57
31.08.24	Estrela – Casa Pia	0–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.20	2.35	1.57
19.08.24	Estrela – Famalicao	0–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.88	2.15	1.67
18.05.24	Estrela – Gil Vicente	1–0 (1–0)	1.67	3.90	4.75	1.70	2.10

Sp Braga away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25	Benfica – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–2)	1.42	4.50	7.00	1.57	2.35
22.12.24	Santa Clara – Sp Braga	0–2 (0–0)	3.10	3.20	2.30	2.25	1.62
01.12.24	AVS – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–0)	5.50	3.90	1.60	1.85	2.00
03.11.24	Arouca – Sp Braga	1–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.90	1.73	1.73	2.08
06.10.24	Porto – Sp Braga	2–1 (1–0)	1.60	3.75	6.00	1.67	2.15
20.09.24	Nacional – Sp Braga	0–3 (0–0)	5.25	3.80	1.65	1.62	2.25
01.09.24	Gil Vicente – Sp Braga	0–0 (0–0)	4.50	3.80	1.73	1.73	2.08
18.08.24	Boavista – Sp Braga	0–1 (0–1)	5.50	3.90	1.60	1.73	2.08
11.05.24	Guimaraes – Sp Braga	2–3 (1–1)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.67	2.15
27.04.24	Benfica – Sp Braga	3–1 (0–1)	1.55	4.33	5.75	1.50	2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Estrela winsDrawsSp Braga wins

3matches

3.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.08.24P1	Sp Braga – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	1.38	4.75	7.50	1.53	2.40
02.03.24P1	Sp Braga – Estrela	3–0 (0–0)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.57	2.35
28.09.23P1	Estrela – Sp Braga	2–4 (0–1)	4.50	3.80	1.70	1.70	2.10

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	18	14	2	2	51	14	+37	44
2	Benfica	18	13	2	3	42	11	+31	41
3	Porto	17	13	1	3	40	11	+29	40
4	Sp Braga	17	9	4	4	30	19	+11	31
5	Santa Clara	18	10	1	7	20	19	+1	31
6	Guimaraes	18	6	8	4	28	24	+4	26
7	Casa Pia	17	6	6	5	19	20	-1	24
8	Moreirense	18	6	5	7	22	25	-3	23
9	Estoril	18	5	6	7	21	30	-9	21
10	Famalicao	18	4	8	6	20	24	-4	20
11	Rio Ave	18	5	5	8	18	31	-13	20
12	Gil Vicente	17	4	7	6	19	26	-7	19
13	Nacional	18	5	4	9	16	24	-8	19
14	Estrela	17	4	4	9	16	29	-13	16
15	Arouca	18	4	4	10	15	30	-15	16
16	Farense	18	3	6	9	11	23	-12	15
17	AVS	18	2	9	7	14	27	-13	15
18	Boavista	17	2	6	9	11	26	-15	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	10	9	0	1	31	5	+26	27
2	Porto	9	9	0	0	25	2	+23	27
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	19	5	+14	21
4	Santa Clara	10	6	1	3	10	9	+1	19
5	Guimaraes	9	4	4	1	18	14	+4	16
6	Moreirense	9	4	4	1	11	9	+2	16
7	Rio Ave	9	4	4	1	14	13	+1	16
8	Nacional	9	5	1	3	11	12	-1	16
9	Estrela	9	4	2	3	13	14	-1	14
10	Gil Vicente	8	3	4	1	12	7	+5	13
11	Casa Pia	9	3	4	2	11	9	+2	13
12	Sp Braga	9	3	3	3	18	15	+3	12
13	Estoril	9	3	3	3	10	13	-3	12
14	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	7	9	-2	10
15	AVS	9	2	4	3	7	12	-5	10
16	Arouca	8	2	2	4	5	10	-5	8
17	Farense	8	2	1	5	6	13	-7	7
18	Boavista	8	0	3	5	2	12	-10	3

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sp Lisbon	10	7	2	1	32	9	+23	23
2	Sp Braga	8	6	1	1	12	4	+8	19
3	Benfica	8	4	2	2	11	6	+5	14
4	Porto	8	4	1	3	15	9	+6	13
5	Santa Clara	8	4	0	4	10	10	0	12
6	Casa Pia	8	3	2	3	8	11	-3	11
7	Guimaraes	9	2	4	3	10	10	0	10
8	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	13	15	-2	10
9	Boavista	9	2	3	4	9	14	-5	9
10	Estoril	9	2	3	4	11	17	-6	9
11	Farense	10	1	5	4	5	10	-5	8
12	Arouca	10	2	2	6	10	20	-10	8
13	Moreirense	9	2	1	6	11	16	-5	7
14	Gil Vicente	9	1	3	5	7	19	-12	6
15	AVS	9	0	5	4	7	15	-8	5
16	Rio Ave	9	1	1	7	4	18	-14	4
17	Nacional	9	0	3	6	5	12	-7	3
18	Estrela	8	0	2	6	3	15	-12	2

Estrela Sp Braga

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	18	5	13	2.8	0.8	14	2	2	51	14	44
2	9	Estoril	18	7	11	1.2	1.7	5	6	7	21	30	21
3	2	Benfica	18	8	10	2.3	0.6	13	2	3	42	11	41
4	3	Porto	17	7	10	2.4	0.6	13	1	3	40	11	40
5	4	Sp Braga	17	7	10	1.8	1.1	9	4	4	30	19	31
6	6	Guimaraes	18	8	10	1.6	1.3	6	8	4	28	24	26
7	8	Moreirense	18	8	10	1.2	1.4	6	5	7	22	25	23
8	10	Famalicao	18	9	9	1.1	1.3	4	8	6	20	24	20
9	11	Rio Ave	18	9	9	1.0	1.7	5	5	8	18	31	20
10	12	Gil Vicente	17	8	9	1.1	1.5	4	7	6	19	26	19
11	15	Arouca	18	9	9	0.8	1.7	4	4	10	15	30	16
12	14	Estrela	17	9	8	0.9	1.7	4	4	9	16	29	16
13	18	Boavista	17	10	7	0.6	1.5	2	6	9	11	26	12
14	5	Santa Clara	18	12	6	1.1	1.1	10	1	7	20	19	31
15	13	Nacional	18	12	6	0.9	1.3	5	4	9	16	24	19
16	16	Farense	18	12	6	0.6	1.3	3	6	9	11	23	15
17	17	AVS	18	12	6	0.8	1.5	2	9	7	14	27	15
18	7	Casa Pia	17	12	5	1.1	1.2	6	6	5	19	20	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	10	2	8	3.1	0.5	9	0	1	31	5	27
2	6	Guimaraes	9	2	7	2.0	1.6	4	4	1	18	14	16
3	3	Porto	9	3	6	2.8	0.2	9	0	0	25	2	27
4	4	Sp Braga	9	3	6	2.0	1.7	3	3	3	18	15	12
5	11	Rio Ave	9	3	6	1.6	1.4	4	4	1	14	13	16
6	14	Estrela	9	3	6	1.4	1.6	4	2	3	13	14	14
7	9	Estoril	9	4	5	1.1	1.4	3	3	3	10	13	12
8	1	Sp Lisbon	8	4	4	2.4	0.6	7	0	1	19	5	21
9	8	Moreirense	9	5	4	1.2	1.0	4	4	1	11	9	16
10	12	Gil Vicente	8	4	4	1.5	0.9	3	4	1	12	7	13
11	16	Farense	8	4	4	0.8	1.6	2	1	5	6	13	7
12	5	Santa Clara	10	7	3	1.0	0.9	6	1	3	10	9	19
13	10	Famalicao	9	6	3	0.8	1.0	2	4	3	7	9	10
14	13	Nacional	9	6	3	1.2	1.3	5	1	3	11	12	16
15	7	Casa Pia	9	7	2	1.2	1.0	3	4	2	11	9	13
16	15	Arouca	8	6	2	0.6	1.2	2	2	4	5	10	8
17	17	AVS	9	7	2	0.8	1.3	2	4	3	7	12	10
18	18	Boavista	8	6	2	0.2	1.5	0	3	5	2	12	3

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Sp Lisbon	10	1	9	3.2	0.9	7	2	1	32	9	23
2	15	Arouca	10	3	7	1.0	2.0	2	2	6	10	20	8
3	8	Moreirense	9	3	6	1.2	1.8	2	1	6	11	16	7
4	9	Estoril	9	3	6	1.2	1.9	2	3	4	11	17	9
5	10	Famalicao	9	3	6	1.4	1.7	2	4	3	13	15	10
6	12	Gil Vicente	9	4	5	0.8	2.1	1	3	5	7	19	6
7	18	Boavista	9	4	5	1.0	1.6	2	3	4	9	14	9
8	3	Porto	8	4	4	1.9	1.1	4	1	3	15	9	13
9	4	Sp Braga	8	4	4	1.5	0.5	6	1	1	12	4	19
10	17	AVS	9	5	4	0.8	1.7	0	5	4	7	15	5
11	5	Santa Clara	8	5	3	1.2	1.2	4	0	4	10	10	12
12	6	Guimaraes	9	6	3	1.1	1.1	2	4	3	10	10	10
13	7	Casa Pia	8	5	3	1.0	1.4	3	2	3	8	11	11
14	11	Rio Ave	9	6	3	0.4	2.0	1	1	7	4	18	4
15	13	Nacional	9	6	3	0.6	1.3	0	3	6	5	12	3
16	2	Benfica	8	6	2	1.4	0.8	4	2	2	11	6	14
17	14	Estrela	8	6	2	0.4	1.9	0	2	6	3	15	2
18	16	Farense	10	8	2	0.5	1.0	1	5	4	5	10	8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.