Estoril 1–1 Nacional – Portugal Primeira Liga, 26 Oct 2025

Match facts

Estoril Nacional

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 5

13 Fouls 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (76 league matches this season so far).

Result Estoril to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.87

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.24

Home / Draw / Away

41% 26% 33%

EstorilDrawNacional

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.4% 1–0 10% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches

0.75points / match

1.25scored / match

1.63conceded / match

1 3 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:13

Nacional before this match, all matches

1.25points / match

1.13scored / match

1.50conceded / match

3 1 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:12

Estoril all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.13

1.63 Goals conceded 1.50

2.88 Total goals 2.63

11.75 Shots 11.25

3.75 Shots on target 4.00

12.88 Shots faced 13.50

3.25 Corners 4.88

5.25 Corners against 5.88

13.25 Fouls 15.25

3.50 Yellow cards 2.75

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

13% Wins 38%

38% Draws 13%

50% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 75%

50% Over 2.5 goals 38%

50% Over 3.5 goals 25%

13% Over 4.5 goals 25%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

63% Both teams scored 50%

0% Clean sheets 25%

38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%

25% Draws 25%

38% Losses 38%

88% Over 0.5 goals 88%

38% Over 1.5 goals 38%

13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches

2

D

4

W

1

D

2

3

L

2

D

1

L

3

1

W

2

L

1

L

2

D

Nacional all matches

3

D

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

4

L

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

Estoril before this match, at home

1.00points / match

1.00scored / match

1.00conceded / match

1 1 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:4

Nacional before this match, away

1.75points / match

1.00scored / match

0.50conceded / match

2 1 1

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:2

Estoril at home away Nacional

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded 0.50

2.00 Total goals 1.50

11.25 Shots 10.00

3.50 Shots on target 3.50

11.50 Shots faced 12.25

3.25 Corners 4.25

6.25 Corners against 4.75

13.25 Fouls 15.25

4.25 Yellow cards 3.25

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%

25% Draws 25%

50% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

50% Over 1.5 goals 50%

25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

25% Over 3.5 goals 0%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 25%

0% Clean sheets 50%

50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%

25% Draws 0%

25% Losses 50%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

25% Over 1.5 goals 25%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home

2

1

W

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

4

W

1

D

1

L

3

1

W

1

L

Nacional away

1

L

3

L

1

L

1

W

1

D

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.10.25	Casa Pia – Estoril	2–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.30	2.65	2.05	1.80
27.09.25	Estoril – Sp Lisbon	0–1 (0–1)	9.50	5.50	1.25	1.53	2.40
21.09.25	Gil Vicente – Estoril	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.20	3.30	2.30	1.60
13.09.25	Estoril – AVS	3–1 (2–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	2.15	1.67
06.09.25	Estoril – Santa Clara	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.40	1.53
31.08.25	Tondela – Estoril	2–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.10	2.45	2.25	1.62
16.08.25	Guimaraes – Estoril	3–2 (1–1)	1.70	3.60	5.00	2.05	1.75
11.08.25	Estoril – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.75
17.05.25	Estoril – Estrela	4–0 (4–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.03	1.83
11.05.25	Moreirense – Estoril	2–2 (1–0)	2.35	3.40	2.90	2.08	1.73

Nacional all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.10.25	Nacional – Moreirense	3–2 (1–1)	2.32	3.10	3.10	2.35	1.57
28.09.25	Sp Braga – Nacional	0–1 (0–1)	1.39	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
20.09.25	Nacional – Arouca	1–2 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.85	2.08	1.73
13.09.25	Porto – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.15	6.50	17.00	1.57	2.35
30.08.25	Casa Pia – Nacional	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.25	1.62
23.08.25	Nacional – Sp Lisbon	1–4 (1–0)	9.00	6.00	1.27	1.50	2.50
17.08.25	Rio Ave – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.05	1.75
09.08.25	Nacional – Gil Vicente	0–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.10	2.90	2.10	1.70
17.05.25	Porto – Nacional	3–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.25	9.50	1.57	2.35
10.05.25	Nacional – Rio Ave	3–3 (0–3)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.93	1.93

Estoril at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.09.25	Estoril – Sp Lisbon	0–1 (0–1)	9.50	5.50	1.25	1.53	2.40
13.09.25	Estoril – AVS	3–1 (2–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	2.15	1.67
06.09.25	Estoril – Santa Clara	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.40	1.53
11.08.25	Estoril – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.75
17.05.25	Estoril – Estrela	4–0 (4–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.03	1.83
03.05.25	Estoril – Benfica	1–2 (0–2)	11.00	8.00	1.18	1.37	2.87
19.04.25	Estoril – Sp Braga	0–2 (0–2)	3.80	3.40	1.95	2.03	1.83
30.03.25	Estoril – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	6.25	4.10	1.53	2.00	1.85
08.03.25	Estoril – Farense	2–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
22.02.25	Estoril – Rio Ave	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80

Nacional away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.09.25	Sp Braga – Nacional	0–1 (0–1)	1.39	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
13.09.25	Porto – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.15	6.50	17.00	1.57	2.35
30.08.25	Casa Pia – Nacional	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.25	1.62
17.08.25	Rio Ave – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.05	1.75
17.05.25	Porto – Nacional	3–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.25	9.50	1.57	2.35
27.04.25	Moreirense – Nacional	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.65
12.04.25	Boavista – Nacional	0–1 (0–1)	2.75	3.10	2.63	2.15	1.67
30.03.25	Santa Clara – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.20	4.33	2.50	1.50
08.03.25	Benfica – Nacional	3–0 (2–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.44	2.60
21.02.25	Sp Braga – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.00	1.73	2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Estoril winsDrawsNacional wins

2matches

2.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25P1	Nacional – Estoril	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.15	1.67
15.09.24P1	Estoril – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.08	1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	7	1	0	19	1	+18	22
2	Benfica	9	6	3	0	18	4	+14	21
3	Sp Lisbon	8	6	1	1	20	5	+15	19
4	Gil Vicente	9	6	1	2	14	4	+10	19
5	Moreirense	8	5	0	3	12	11	+1	15
6	Famalicao	8	3	4	1	8	4	+4	13
7	Rio Ave	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
8	Santa Clara	9	3	2	4	8	10	-2	11
9	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	9	12	-3	11
10	Sp Braga	8	2	4	2	12	8	+4	10
11	Nacional	8	3	1	4	9	12	-3	10
12	Alverca	9	3	1	5	11	16	-5	10
13	Arouca	9	2	3	4	10	24	-14	9
14	Casa Pia	8	2	2	4	8	13	-5	8
15	Estrela	9	1	4	4	7	10	-3	7
16	Estoril	8	1	3	4	10	13	-3	6
17	Tondela	8	1	2	5	4	14	-10	5
18	AVS	9	0	1	8	5	22	-17	1

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Moreirense	4	4	0	0	9	3	+6	12
2	Benfica	5	3	2	0	12	3	+9	11
3	Porto	4	3	1	0	8	0	+8	10
4	Gil Vicente	4	3	0	1	6	2	+4	9
5	Guimaraes	4	2	2	0	7	5	+2	8
6	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	11	3	+8	7
7	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	5	4	+1	7
8	Alverca	5	2	0	3	4	9	-5	6
9	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	4	2	+2	5
10	Rio Ave	4	1	2	1	6	6	0	5
11	Arouca	5	1	2	2	7	11	-4	5
12	Sp Braga	4	1	1	2	5	4	+1	4
13	Estoril	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4
14	Estrela	5	1	1	3	6	7	-1	4
15	Nacional	4	1	0	3	5	10	-5	3
16	Tondela	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2
17	Casa Pia	4	0	2	2	3	7	-4	2
18	AVS	4	0	0	4	1	9	-8	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	11	1	+10	12
2	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
3	Gil Vicente	5	3	1	1	8	2	+6	10
4	Benfica	4	3	1	0	6	1	+5	10
5	Famalicao	4	2	2	0	4	2	+2	8
6	Nacional	4	2	1	1	4	2	+2	7
7	Sp Braga	4	1	3	0	7	4	+3	6
8	Rio Ave	5	1	3	1	7	8	-1	6
9	Casa Pia	4	2	0	2	5	6	-1	6
10	Alverca	4	1	1	2	7	7	0	4
11	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	3	6	-3	4
12	Arouca	4	1	1	2	3	13	-10	4
13	Estrela	4	0	3	1	1	3	-2	3
14	Moreirense	4	1	0	3	3	8	-5	3
15	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	2	7	-5	3
16	Tondela	5	1	0	4	2	11	-9	3
17	Estoril	4	0	2	2	6	9	-3	2
18	AVS	5	0	1	4	4	13	-9	1

Estoril Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Alverca	9	2	7	1.2	1.8	3	1	5	11	16	10
2	7	Rio Ave	9	3	6	1.4	1.6	2	5	2	13	14	11
3	13	Arouca	9	3	6	1.1	2.7	2	3	4	10	24	9
4	18	AVS	9	3	6	0.6	2.4	0	1	8	5	22	1
5	1	Porto	8	3	5	2.4	0.1	7	1	0	19	1	22
6	2	Benfica	9	4	5	2.0	0.4	6	3	0	18	4	21
7	3	Sp Lisbon	8	3	5	2.5	0.6	6	1	1	20	5	19
8	5	Moreirense	8	3	5	1.5	1.4	5	0	3	12	11	15
9	17	Tondela	8	3	5	0.5	1.8	1	2	5	4	14	5
10	8	Santa Clara	9	5	4	0.9	1.1	3	2	4	8	10	11
11	10	Sp Braga	8	4	4	1.5	1.0	2	4	2	12	8	10
12	16	Estoril	8	4	4	1.2	1.6	1	3	4	10	13	6
13	9	Guimaraes	8	5	3	1.1	1.5	3	2	3	9	12	11
14	11	Nacional	8	5	3	1.1	1.5	3	1	4	9	12	10
15	14	Casa Pia	8	5	3	1.0	1.6	2	2	4	8	13	8
16	15	Estrela	9	6	3	0.8	1.1	1	4	4	7	10	7
17	4	Gil Vicente	9	7	2	1.6	0.4	6	1	2	14	4	19
18	6	Famalicao	8	6	2	1.0	0.5	3	4	1	8	4	13

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Benfica	5	2	3	2.4	0.6	3	2	0	12	3	11
2	3	Sp Lisbon	4	1	3	2.8	0.8	2	1	1	11	3	7
3	5	Moreirense	4	1	3	2.2	0.8	4	0	0	9	3	12
4	7	Rio Ave	4	1	3	1.5	1.5	1	2	1	6	6	5
5	11	Nacional	4	1	3	1.2	2.5	1	0	3	5	10	3
6	12	Alverca	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	2	0	3	4	9	6
7	13	Arouca	5	2	3	1.4	2.2	1	2	2	7	11	5
8	15	Estrela	5	2	3	1.2	1.4	1	1	3	6	7	4
9	1	Porto	4	2	2	2.0	0.0	3	1	0	8	0	10
10	6	Famalicao	4	2	2	1.0	0.5	1	2	1	4	2	5
11	8	Santa Clara	5	3	2	1.0	0.8	2	1	2	5	4	7
12	9	Guimaraes	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	2	2	0	7	5	8
13	10	Sp Braga	4	2	2	1.2	1.0	1	1	2	5	4	4
14	18	AVS	4	2	2	0.2	2.2	0	0	4	1	9	0
15	14	Casa Pia	4	3	1	0.8	1.8	0	2	2	3	7	2
16	16	Estoril	4	3	1	1.0	1.0	1	1	2	4	4	4
17	17	Tondela	3	2	1	0.7	1.0	0	2	1	2	3	2
18	4	Gil Vicente	4	4	0	1.5	0.5	3	0	1	6	2	9

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Alverca	4	0	4	1.8	1.8	1	1	2	7	7	4
2	17	Tondela	5	1	4	0.4	2.2	1	0	4	2	11	3
3	18	AVS	5	1	4	0.8	2.6	0	1	4	4	13	1
4	1	Porto	4	1	3	2.8	0.2	4	0	0	11	1	12
5	7	Rio Ave	5	2	3	1.4	1.6	1	3	1	7	8	6
6	13	Arouca	4	1	3	0.8	3.2	1	1	2	3	13	4
7	16	Estoril	4	1	3	1.5	2.2	0	2	2	6	9	2
8	2	Benfica	4	2	2	1.5	0.2	3	1	0	6	1	10
9	3	Sp Lisbon	4	2	2	2.2	0.5	4	0	0	9	2	12
10	4	Gil Vicente	5	3	2	1.6	0.4	3	1	1	8	2	10
11	5	Moreirense	4	2	2	0.8	2.0	1	0	3	3	8	3
12	8	Santa Clara	4	2	2	0.8	1.5	1	1	2	3	6	4
13	10	Sp Braga	4	2	2	1.8	1.0	1	3	0	7	4	6
14	14	Casa Pia	4	2	2	1.2	1.5	2	0	2	5	6	6
15	9	Guimaraes	4	3	1	0.5	1.8	1	0	3	2	7	3
16	6	Famalicao	4	4	0	1.0	0.5	2	2	0	4	2	8
17	11	Nacional	4	4	0	1.0	0.5	2	1	1	4	2	7
18	15	Estrela	4	4	0	0.2	0.8	0	3	1	1	3	3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.