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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 4–3 Arouca

Full time · half time 2–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 1.89
Draw 3.60 fair 4.41
Away 3.70 fair 4.11
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Arouca
19 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 2
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (90 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.86 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawArouca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.5% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:14
Arouca before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.00scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:26
Estoril all matches all matches Arouca

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.40 Goals conceded 2.60
2.90 Total goals 3.60
13.10 Shots 9.30
4.00 Shots on target 2.80
11.40 Shots faced 13.80
3.80 Corners 3.80
4.70 Corners against 5.40
13.30 Fouls 15.00
3.20 Yellow cards 2.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 30%
40% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
10% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 50%
10% Clean sheets 0%
30% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
20% Draws 30%
40% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Arouca all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:5
Arouca before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.75scored / match
3.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:13
Estoril at home away Arouca

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded 3.25
2.00 Total goals 4.00
11.60 Shots 7.75
3.60 Shots on target 1.75
11.00 Shots faced 15.75
3.80 Corners 2.25
6.00 Corners against 5.00
13.20 Fouls 15.00
4.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.75

How often Full Time

20% Wins 25%
40% Draws 25%
40% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
20% Over 2.5 goals 75%
20% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
60% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 0%
20% Draws 50%
40% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 75%
20% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Arouca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.30 1.60
13.09.25 Estoril – AVS 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.704.00 2.15 1.67
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
31.08.25 Tondela – Estoril 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.45 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Guimaraes – Estoril 3–2 (1–1) 1.703.605.00 2.05 1.75
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
25.10.25 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.157.0013.00 1.44 2.70
05.10.25 Arouca – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.252.01 2.10 1.70
29.09.25 Arouca – Porto 0–4 (0–1) 7.504.751.35 1.75 2.05
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
30.08.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 1–1 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arouca – Rio Ave 3–3 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.05 1.80
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
09.08.25 Arouca – AVS 3–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 2.05 1.75

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
13.09.25 Estoril – AVS 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.704.00 2.15 1.67
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
03.05.25 Estoril – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 11.008.001.18 1.37 2.87
19.04.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–2) 3.803.401.95 2.03 1.83
30.03.25 Estoril – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 6.254.101.53 2.00 1.85
08.03.25 Estoril – Farense 2–2 (0–0) 2.053.203.80 2.25 1.62

Arouca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.157.0013.00 1.44 2.70
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
30.08.25 Guimaraes – Arouca 1–1 (1–1) 1.763.604.33 2.03 1.83
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
10.05.25 Gil Vicente – Arouca 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.00 2.10 1.70
26.04.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.104.50 2.30 1.60
13.04.25 Benfica – Arouca 2–2 (0–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.44 2.70
29.03.25 Sp Braga – Arouca 2–1 (2–0) 1.703.754.75 1.90 1.95
08.03.25 AVS – Arouca 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.102.38 2.25 1.62
15.02.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–2 (1–2) 1.255.5012.00 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsArouca wins
8matches
3.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.25P1 Arouca – Estoril 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 2.05 1.75
26.10.24P1 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
20.01.24P1 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.402.88 1.98 1.88
13.08.23P1 Arouca – Estoril 4–3 (1–1) 2.053.203.40 2.30 1.60
15.05.23P1 Estoril – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.102.80 2.20 1.65
07.01.23P1 Arouca – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.30 2.08 1.73
27.01.22P1 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.25 1.61
07.08.21P1 Arouca – Estoril 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.40 2.30 1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 9 1 0 23 3 +20 28 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 25 5 +20 25 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 10 7 3 0 21 4 +17 24 WDWDWW
4 Gil Vicente 10 7 1 2 15 4 +11 22 WWLWWW
5 Famalicao 10 5 4 1 11 4 +7 19 LDDDWW
6 Moreirense 10 6 0 4 15 13 +2 18 WLWLLW
7 Sp Braga 10 3 4 3 17 10 +7 13 LDLDWL
8 Santa Clara 10 3 2 5 8 11 -3 11 DWLLWL
9 Nacional 10 3 2 5 10 14 -4 11 LLWWDL
10 Rio Ave 10 2 5 3 13 18 -5 11 LDDWWL
11 Guimaraes 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11 WDLWLL
12 Estoril 10 2 4 4 15 14 +1 10 WLLDDW
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 12 13 -1 10 LDWLLW
14 Alverca 10 3 1 6 11 18 -7 10 WLWWLL
15 Arouca 10 2 3 5 10 26 -16 9 LWLDLL
16 Casa Pia 10 2 2 6 11 22 -11 8 WDLDLL
17 Tondela 10 1 3 6 6 19 -13 6 LDWLLD
18 AVS 10 0 2 8 7 24 -17 2 LLLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 4 1 0 10 1 +9 13 WWWDW
2 Moreirense 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12 WWWWL
3 Gil Vicente 5 4 0 1 7 2 +5 12 LWWWW
4 Benfica 5 3 2 0 12 3 +9 11 WDDWW
5 Sp Lisbon 5 3 1 1 13 3 +10 10 WLWDW
6 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 6 2 +4 8 WDLDW
7 Guimaraes 5 2 2 1 7 8 -1 8 WDDWL
8 Sp Braga 5 2 1 2 9 4 +5 7 WDLLW
9 Santa Clara 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7 LDWLW
10 Alverca 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6 LLWWL
11 Estoril 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5 DLWLD
12 Rio Ave 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5 DDLWL
13 Arouca 6 1 2 3 7 13 -6 5 WDLLDL
14 Estrela 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4 LDLWL
15 Nacional 5 1 0 4 5 11 -6 3 LLLWL
16 Tondela 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2 LDDL
17 Casa Pia 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2 LLDDL
18 AVS 5 0 1 4 3 11 -8 1 LLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 13 2 +11 15 WWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 12 2 +10 15 WWWWW
3 Benfica 5 4 1 0 9 1 +8 13 WWWDW
4 Famalicao 5 3 2 0 5 2 +3 11 WWDDW
5 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 8 2 +6 10 WDWLW
6 Nacional 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8 DWLWD
7 Sp Braga 5 1 3 1 8 6 +2 6 WDDDL
8 Estrela 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6 DDDLW
9 Rio Ave 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6 DLDDW
10 Moreirense 5 2 0 3 5 8 -3 6 WLLLW
11 Casa Pia 5 2 0 3 5 10 -5 6 WLWLL
12 Estoril 5 1 2 2 10 9 +1 5 LDLDW
13 Alverca 5 1 1 3 7 9 -2 4 LDLWL
14 Santa Clara 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4 LWDLL
15 Tondela 6 1 1 4 4 13 -9 4 LLLWLD
16 Arouca 4 1 1 2 3 13 -10 4 LDWL
17 Guimaraes 5 1 0 4 2 9 -7 3 LLWLL
18 AVS 5 0 1 4 4 13 -9 1 LDLLL

Estoril   Arouca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Porto 10 3 7 2.3 0.3 9 1 0 23 3 28 UOOUOO
2 10 Rio Ave 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 2 5 3 13 18 11 OUUOOO
3 14 Alverca 10 3 7 1.1 1.8 3 1 6 11 18 10 UOUOOU
4 17 Tondela 10 3 7 0.6 1.9 1 3 6 6 19 6 UUOOOO
5 18 AVS 10 3 7 0.7 2.4 0 2 8 7 24 2 OOOOUO
6 2 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.5 0.5 8 1 1 25 5 25 OOUUOU
7 3 Benfica 10 4 6 2.1 0.4 7 3 0 21 4 24 OUOUOO
8 6 Moreirense 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 6 0 4 15 13 18 OOOOOU
9 7 Sp Braga 10 4 6 1.7 1.0 3 4 3 17 10 13 UUUUOO
10 15 Arouca 10 4 6 1.0 2.6 2 3 5 10 26 9 UOOUOU
11 12 Estoril 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 2 4 4 15 14 10 OUUOUO
12 16 Casa Pia 10 5 5 1.1 2.2 2 2 6 11 22 8 UUOOOO
13 8 Santa Clara 10 6 4 0.8 1.1 3 2 5 8 11 11 UOOOUU
14 11 Guimaraes 10 6 4 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11 UUUOUO
15 13 Estrela 10 6 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 4 12 13 10 UUOUOO
16 9 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 5 10 14 11 UOUOUU
17 4 Gil Vicente 10 8 2 1.5 0.4 7 1 2 15 4 22 UUOUOU
18 5 Famalicao 10 8 2 1.1 0.4 5 4 1 11 4 19 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Moreirense 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12 OUOOO
2 10 Rio Ave 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5 UOOOO
3 1 Porto 5 2 3 2.0 0.2 4 1 0 10 1 13 OOUUO
4 2 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.6 0.6 3 1 1 13 3 10 OOOUU
5 3 Benfica 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 3 2 0 12 3 11 OUUOO
6 7 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 2 1 2 9 4 7 OOUUO
7 9 Nacional 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 4 5 11 3 UOOOU
8 11 Guimaraes 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 2 2 1 7 8 8 OUUOO
9 13 Estrela 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4 UOUOO
10 14 Alverca 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 3 4 9 6 OOUUO
11 15 Arouca 6 3 3 1.2 2.2 1 2 3 7 13 5 OOUOUU
12 18 AVS 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 1 4 3 11 1 UUOOO
13 5 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 2 2 1 6 2 8 OUOUU
14 8 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7 UUOOU
15 16 Casa Pia 5 3 2 1.2 2.4 0 2 3 6 12 2 UUUOO
16 17 Tondela 4 2 2 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2 UOUO
17 12 Estoril 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5 UUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 5 5 0 1.4 0.4 4 0 1 7 2 12 UUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Tondela 6 1 5 0.7 2.2 1 1 4 4 13 4 OOUOOO
2 1 Porto 5 1 4 2.6 0.4 5 0 0 13 2 15 UOOOO
3 12 Estoril 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 1 2 2 10 9 5 OOUOO
4 14 Alverca 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 1 1 3 7 9 4 OOOOU
5 18 AVS 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 0 1 4 4 13 1 OOOOU
6 2 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.4 0.4 5 0 0 12 2 15 UOOUO
7 3 Benfica 5 2 3 1.8 0.2 4 1 0 9 1 13 UOOUO
8 7 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 1 3 1 8 6 6 OOUUO
9 10 Rio Ave 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6 OOUUO
10 15 Arouca 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 1 1 2 3 13 4 OUOO
11 16 Casa Pia 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 3 5 10 6 UOUOO
12 4 Gil Vicente 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 3 1 1 8 2 10 UUUOO
13 6 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 2 0 3 5 8 6 UUOOU
14 8 Santa Clara 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4 OUUOU
15 11 Guimaraes 5 4 1 0.4 1.8 1 0 4 2 9 3 OUUUU
16 13 Estrela 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6 UUUUO
17 5 Famalicao 5 5 0 1.0 0.4 3 2 0 5 2 11 UUUUU
18 9 Nacional 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8 UUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47