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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Rio Ave 3–1 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.32 fair 2.34
Draw 3.05 fair 4.07
Away 3.05 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rio Ave Casa Pia
12 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 4
10 Fouls 23
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (148 league matches this season so far).
Result Rio Ave to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Rio Ave before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.19scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:28
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.00scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:29
Rio Ave all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded 1.81
2.94 Total goals 2.81
9.25 Shots 8.31
3.69 Shots on target 2.81
17.25 Shots faced 13.06
3.50 Corners 3.94
7.13 Corners against 5.19
14.06 Fouls 15.38
3.06 Yellow cards 3.25
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

19% Wins 19%
50% Draws 31%
31% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 44%
38% Over 3.5 goals 31%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
63% Both teams scored 44%
13% Clean sheets 19%
31% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 19%
31% Draws 31%
38% Losses 50%
81% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
6% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Rio Ave before this match, at home
0.86points / match
1.00scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:12
Casa Pia before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.13scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:14
Rio Ave at home away Casa Pia

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.13
1.71 Goals conceded 1.75
2.71 Total goals 2.88
9.14 Shots 9.13
3.86 Shots on target 3.13
16.29 Shots faced 13.25
3.14 Corners 4.25
6.71 Corners against 5.50
12.86 Fouls 14.50
3.14 Yellow cards 3.63
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.38
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

14% Wins 38%
43% Draws 13%
43% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 88%
57% Over 2.5 goals 63%
29% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 38%
14% Clean sheets 25%
43% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 25%
14% Draws 25%
43% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 38%
14% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
20.12.25 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.505.00 2.10 1.70
13.12.25 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.55 2.05 1.75
06.12.25 AVS – Rio Ave 1–2 (0–1) 2.953.252.35 2.10 1.70
30.11.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–1) 2.953.052.45 2.40 1.53
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Famalicao – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.804.10 2.00 1.85

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.952.25 2.40 1.53
21.12.25 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
13.12.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 3.502.952.15 2.60 1.48
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
09.11.25 Benfica – Casa Pia 2–2 (1–0) 1.137.5013.00 1.53 2.40
01.11.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 3–5 (1–2) 2.013.053.90 2.40 1.53
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50

Rio Ave at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.55 2.05 1.75
30.11.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–1) 2.953.052.45 2.40 1.53
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
19.09.25 Rio Ave – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.001.30 1.67 2.15
31.08.25 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 2–2 (2–1) 4.753.601.68 1.85 2.00
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
16.05.25 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.202.45 1.85 2.00
05.05.25 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
18.04.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–0) 2.882.902.70 2.40 1.53

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Tondela – Casa Pia 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.25 1.62
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
09.11.25 Benfica – Casa Pia 2–2 (1–0) 1.137.5013.00 1.53 2.40
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
15.08.25 AVS – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.35 1.57
16.05.25 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.503.90 1.88 1.98
04.05.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rio Ave winsDrawsCasa Pia wins
6matches
2.17goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25P1 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.303.75 2.08 1.73
02.11.24P1 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.65
11.02.24P1 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.35 1.57
02.09.23P1 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.25 2.15 1.67
16.04.23P1 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.003.40 2.70 1.44
30.10.22P1 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.203.80 2.25 1.61

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 16 15 1 0 35 4 +31 46 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 17 13 3 1 47 9 +38 42 WDWWWD
3 Benfica 17 11 6 0 36 11 +25 39 WDWWDW
4 Gil Vicente 17 7 7 3 22 12 +10 28 LDDDDD
5 Sp Braga 17 7 6 4 31 18 +13 27 WWWLDD
6 Guimaraes 17 7 4 6 18 22 -4 25 WDWLDW
7 Moreirense 16 7 3 6 23 24 -1 24 LDDLDW
8 Famalicao 16 6 5 5 20 13 +7 23 LDLWLL
9 Estoril 17 5 5 7 28 29 -1 20 LDLWWL
10 Estrela 17 4 7 6 23 27 -4 19 LWLDWD
11 Rio Ave 16 3 8 5 19 28 -9 17 DDWLDL
12 Alverca 16 5 2 9 16 27 -11 17 DWWLLL
13 Santa Clara 15 4 4 7 11 15 -4 16 LLDWLD
14 Nacional 16 4 4 8 18 23 -5 16 DLLWDL
15 Casa Pia 16 3 5 8 16 29 -13 14 DLLDWD
16 Arouca 17 3 5 9 18 42 -24 14 LLWDDL
17 Tondela 16 3 3 10 12 28 -16 12 LWLLLW
18 AVS 17 0 4 13 11 43 -32 4 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 7 1 0 16 2 +14 22 WDWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 8 6 1 1 27 3 +24 19 WDWWWW
3 Benfica 9 5 4 0 19 7 +12 19 WWDDWW
4 Estoril 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LDWDWW
5 Guimaraes 9 4 3 2 14 13 +1 15 WLWDLW
6 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
7 Gil Vicente 8 4 2 2 10 6 +4 14 WWWLDD
8 Moreirense 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13 WWWLDL
9 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
10 Santa Clara 8 3 2 3 7 6 +1 11 WLWLWD
11 Estrela 9 2 4 3 13 12 +1 10 WLDWDD
12 Alverca 8 3 1 4 6 13 -7 10 WWLDWL
13 Arouca 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9 LDLLWD
14 Nacional 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLW
15 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6 DLWLDL
16 Tondela 8 1 2 5 6 12 -6 5 DLLLLW
17 Casa Pia 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4 DDLLDD
18 AVS 9 0 3 6 7 18 -11 3 LDDLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 19 2 +17 24 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 9 7 2 0 20 6 +14 23 WWWDWD
3 Benfica 8 6 2 0 17 4 +13 20 WDWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
5 Sp Braga 9 3 4 2 17 11 +6 13 DLWWLD
6 Famalicao 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12 WDDWDL
7 Moreirense 9 3 2 4 11 13 -2 11 LWLDDW
8 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 12 16 -4 11 DWDWDL
9 Nacional 9 2 4 3 9 9 0 10 WDDLDL
10 Casa Pia 8 3 1 4 9 14 -5 10 WLLDLW
11 Guimaraes 8 3 1 4 4 9 -5 10 WLLWWD
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
13 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
14 Tondela 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7 LWLDWL
15 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 4 9 -5 5 WDLLDL
16 Estoril 8 1 2 5 11 17 -6 5 LDWLLL
17 Arouca 8 1 2 5 8 23 -15 5 WLLLDL
18 AVS 8 0 1 7 4 25 -21 1 LLLLLL

Rio Ave   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 17 6 11 2.8 0.5 13 3 1 47 9 42 OUOOOU
2 3 Benfica 17 6 11 2.1 0.6 11 6 0 36 11 39 OUOUOO
3 5 Sp Braga 17 6 11 1.8 1.1 7 6 4 31 18 27 OOUUOO
4 16 Arouca 17 6 11 1.1 2.5 3 5 9 18 42 14 OOUUOO
5 18 AVS 17 6 11 0.6 2.5 0 4 13 11 43 4 OOOOUU
6 7 Moreirense 16 6 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 6 23 24 24 OOOOUU
7 9 Estoril 17 7 10 1.6 1.7 5 5 7 28 29 20 UOOUOO
8 11 Rio Ave 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 3 8 5 19 28 17 UUOUOO
9 17 Tondela 16 6 10 0.8 1.8 3 3 10 12 28 12 UUUOOO
10 1 Porto 16 7 9 2.2 0.2 15 1 0 35 4 46 UUUOOU
11 10 Estrela 17 8 9 1.4 1.6 4 7 6 23 27 19 OOOUOO
12 12 Alverca 16 7 9 1.0 1.7 5 2 9 16 27 17 UUUUOO
13 6 Guimaraes 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 6 18 22 25 OUUOUO
14 14 Nacional 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 4 4 8 18 23 16 UOUOOO
15 15 Casa Pia 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 8 16 29 14 OUUUOU
16 8 Famalicao 16 10 6 1.2 0.8 6 5 5 20 13 23 UOOOUO
17 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.7 1.0 4 4 7 11 15 16 UOUUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 17 13 4 1.3 0.7 7 7 3 22 12 28 UUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 8 2 6 3.4 0.4 6 1 1 27 3 19 OUUOOO
2 6 Guimaraes 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 2 14 13 15 OOOUOO
3 7 Moreirense 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13 UOOOOO
4 3 Benfica 9 4 5 2.1 0.8 5 4 0 19 7 19 OOOUUO
5 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
6 8 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
7 10 Estrela 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 4 3 13 12 10 OOUOUO
8 14 Nacional 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6 OOOUOO
9 16 Arouca 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9 OUUOUO
10 18 AVS 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 3 6 7 18 3 OOUOOU
11 1 Porto 8 4 4 2.0 0.2 7 1 0 16 2 22 UUOUOU
12 9 Estoril 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 UUOOUO
13 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6 OOOOUU
14 12 Alverca 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 3 1 4 6 13 10 UUOUUO
15 17 Tondela 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 1 2 5 6 12 5 UOUUOO
16 13 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0.9 0.8 3 2 3 7 6 11 OOUOUU
17 15 Casa Pia 8 6 2 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4 UOOUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 8 7 1 1.2 0.8 4 2 2 10 6 14 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 8 2 6 2.1 0.5 6 2 0 17 4 20 OUOOOO
2 5 Sp Braga 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 3 4 2 17 11 13 UOOOUO
3 9 Estoril 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 1 2 5 11 17 5 UOOUOO
4 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 2 5 2 12 16 11 UOUOOO
5 16 Arouca 8 2 6 1.0 2.9 1 2 5 8 23 5 OOOOUO
6 17 Tondela 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7 UOOOUO
7 18 AVS 8 2 6 0.5 3.1 0 1 7 4 25 1 OOUOOU
8 1 Porto 8 3 5 2.4 0.2 8 0 0 19 2 24 OOOUUO
9 2 Sp Lisbon 9 4 5 2.2 0.7 7 2 0 20 6 23 UOOUOU
10 12 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
11 15 Casa Pia 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 4 9 14 10 UOOOUO
12 7 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 3 2 4 11 13 11 OUOOUU
13 10 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 13 Santa Clara 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 1 2 4 4 9 5 UUOUUU
16 14 Nacional 9 7 2 1.0 1.0 2 4 3 9 9 10 UUUUOO
17 6 Guimaraes 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 3 1 4 4 9 10 UUUUUU
18 8 Famalicao 7 6 1 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47