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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.01 fair 2.67
Draw 3.05 fair 3.66
Away ✓ 3.90 fair 2.84
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Casa Pia Estrela
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 2
20 Fouls 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (83 league matches this season so far).
Result Casa Pia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
Casa PiaDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 10.8% 0–1 10.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.89scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:17
Estrela before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
0.78scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:10
Casa Pia all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 0.78
1.89 Goals conceded 1.11
2.78 Total goals 1.89
9.56 Shots 11.78
3.00 Shots on target 3.33
13.56 Shots faced 11.78
4.00 Corners 4.11
5.22 Corners against 4.56
15.44 Fouls 13.78
3.33 Yellow cards 2.67
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.56
1.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

22% Wins 11%
22% Draws 44%
56% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 78%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
22% Clean sheets 33%
44% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 22%
22% Draws 33%
44% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia all matches
Estrela all matches
Casa Pia before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:7
Estrela before this match, away
0.75points / match
0.25scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:3
Casa Pia at home away Estrela

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 0.25
1.75 Goals conceded 0.75
2.50 Total goals 1.00
9.25 Shots 8.75
3.25 Shots on target 3.25
14.25 Shots faced 13.25
3.75 Corners 3.25
5.50 Corners against 5.50
14.75 Fouls 13.75
2.50 Yellow cards 2.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 75%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 25%
0% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Casa Pia at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50
21.09.25 Casa Pia – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.25 2.40 1.53
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
15.08.25 AVS – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.35 1.57
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10
16.05.25 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.503.90 1.88 1.98

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
27.09.25 Estrela – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.103.80 2.40 1.53
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
14.09.25 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.25 1.62
31.08.25 Santa Clara – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.40 1.53
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Estrela – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 13.006.501.20 1.57 2.35
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83

Casa Pia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
21.09.25 Casa Pia – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.25 2.40 1.53
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10
10.05.25 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 5.753.801.57 2.05 1.75
29.04.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 1–3 (1–1) 2.053.203.90 2.15 1.67
12.04.25 Casa Pia – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.601.67 2.15 1.67
29.03.25 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.303.75 2.08 1.73
09.03.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 1–3 (1–2) 6.503.901.53 1.85 2.00
22.02.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.50 2.50 1.50

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
31.08.25 Santa Clara – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.40 1.53
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
05.05.25 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
19.04.25 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.20 2.10 1.70
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57
16.03.25 Guimaraes – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.107.50 2.08 1.73
02.03.25 Moreirense – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.004.75 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Casa Pia winsDrawsEstrela wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25P1 Casa Pia – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.50 2.30 1.60
31.08.24P1 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
08.03.24P1 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53
08.10.23P1 Casa Pia – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.203.60 2.15 1.67

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 25 5 +20 25 WWWDWW
2 Porto 9 8 1 0 21 2 +19 25 WWWWDW
3 Benfica 9 6 3 0 18 4 +14 21 DWDWDW
4 Gil Vicente 9 6 1 2 14 4 +10 19 WWWLWW
5 Famalicao 10 5 4 1 11 4 +7 19 LDDDWW
6 Moreirense 9 5 0 4 13 13 0 15 LWLWLL
7 Sp Braga 9 3 4 2 16 8 +8 13 DLDLDW
8 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 13 14 -1 11 LLDDWW
9 Santa Clara 9 3 2 4 8 10 -2 11 WDWLLW
10 Nacional 10 3 2 5 10 14 -4 11 LLWWDL
11 Guimaraes 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11 DWDLWL
12 Alverca 10 3 1 6 11 18 -7 10 WLWWLL
13 Arouca 9 2 3 4 10 24 -14 9 DLWLDL
14 Casa Pia 9 2 2 5 8 17 -9 8 LWDLDL
15 Estoril 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7 LWLLDD
16 Estrela 9 1 4 4 7 10 -3 7 DLDWLL
17 Tondela 9 1 2 6 4 17 -13 5 DLDWLL
18 AVS 9 0 1 8 5 22 -17 1 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Moreirense 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12 WWWWL
2 Benfica 5 3 2 0 12 3 +9 11 WDDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 3 1 1 13 3 +10 10 WLWDW
4 Porto 4 3 1 0 8 0 +8 10 WWWD
5 Gil Vicente 4 3 0 1 6 2 +4 9 LWWW
6 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 6 2 +4 8 WDLDW
7 Guimaraes 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8 WDDW
8 Sp Braga 5 2 1 2 9 4 +5 7 WDLLW
9 Santa Clara 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7 LDWLW
10 Alverca 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6 LLWWL
11 Rio Ave 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5 DDLW
12 Estoril 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5 DLWLD
13 Arouca 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5 WDLLD
14 Estrela 5 1 1 3 6 7 -1 4 LDLWL
15 Nacional 5 1 0 4 5 11 -6 3 LLLWL
16 Casa Pia 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2 LLDD
17 Tondela 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2 LDDL
18 AVS 4 0 0 4 1 9 -8 0 LLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 13 2 +11 15 WWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 12 2 +10 15 WWWWW
3 Famalicao 5 3 2 0 5 2 +3 11 WWDDW
4 Gil Vicente 5 3 1 1 8 2 +6 10 WDWLW
5 Benfica 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10 WWWD
6 Nacional 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8 DWLWD
7 Sp Braga 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6 WDDD
8 Rio Ave 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6 DLDDW
9 Casa Pia 5 2 0 3 5 10 -5 6 WLWLL
10 Alverca 5 1 1 3 7 9 -2 4 LDLWL
11 Santa Clara 4 1 1 2 3 6 -3 4 LWDL
12 Arouca 4 1 1 2 3 13 -10 4 LDWL
13 Estrela 4 0 3 1 1 3 -2 3 DDDL
14 Moreirense 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3 WLLL
15 Guimaraes 5 1 0 4 2 9 -7 3 LLWLL
16 Tondela 5 1 0 4 2 11 -9 3 LLLWL
17 Estoril 4 0 2 2 6 9 -3 2 LDLD
18 AVS 5 0 1 4 4 13 -9 1 LDLLL

Casa Pia   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Alverca 10 3 7 1.1 1.8 3 1 6 11 18 10 UOUOOU
2 1 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.5 0.5 8 1 1 25 5 25 OOUUOU
3 2 Porto 9 3 6 2.3 0.2 8 1 0 21 2 25 OUOOUO
4 6 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.4 1.4 5 0 4 13 13 15 UOOOOO
5 8 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 2 5 2 13 14 11 OOUUOO
6 13 Arouca 9 3 6 1.1 2.7 2 3 4 10 24 9 UUOOUO
7 17 Tondela 9 3 6 0.4 1.9 1 2 6 4 17 5 OUUOOO
8 18 AVS 9 3 6 0.6 2.4 0 1 8 5 22 1 UOOOOU
9 3 Benfica 9 4 5 2.0 0.4 6 3 0 18 4 21 UOUOUO
10 7 Sp Braga 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 3 4 2 16 8 13 OUUUUO
11 9 Santa Clara 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 3 2 4 8 10 11 UUOOOU
12 14 Casa Pia 9 5 4 0.9 1.9 2 2 5 8 17 8 UUUOOO
13 15 Estoril 9 5 4 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7 UOUUOU
14 10 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 5 10 14 11 UOUOUU
15 11 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11 UUUUOU
16 16 Estrela 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 1 4 4 7 10 7 UUUOUO
17 4 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 1.6 0.4 6 1 2 14 4 19 UUUOUO
18 5 Famalicao 10 8 2 1.1 0.4 5 4 1 11 4 19 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Moreirense 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12 OUOOO
2 1 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.6 0.6 3 1 1 13 3 10 OOOUU
3 3 Benfica 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 3 2 0 12 3 11 OUUOO
4 7 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 2 1 2 9 4 7 OOUUO
5 8 Rio Ave 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5 UOOO
6 10 Nacional 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 4 5 11 3 UOOOU
7 12 Alverca 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 3 4 9 6 OOUUO
8 13 Arouca 5 2 3 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5 OOUOU
9 16 Estrela 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 1 3 6 7 4 UOUOO
10 2 Porto 4 2 2 2.0 0.0 3 1 0 8 0 10 OOUU
11 5 Famalicao 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 2 2 1 6 2 8 OUOUU
12 9 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7 UUOOU
13 11 Guimaraes 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8 OUUO
14 17 Tondela 4 2 2 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2 UOUO
15 18 AVS 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 0 0 4 1 9 0 UUOO
16 14 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2 UUUO
17 15 Estoril 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5 UUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 4 4 0 1.5 0.5 3 0 1 6 2 9 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 5 1 4 2.6 0.4 5 0 0 13 2 15 UOOOO
2 12 Alverca 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 1 1 3 7 9 4 OOOOU
3 17 Tondela 5 1 4 0.4 2.2 1 0 4 2 11 3 OOUOO
4 18 AVS 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 0 1 4 4 13 1 OOOOU
5 1 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 2.4 0.4 5 0 0 12 2 15 UOOUO
6 8 Rio Ave 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6 OOUUO
7 13 Arouca 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 1 1 2 3 13 4 OUOO
8 14 Casa Pia 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 3 5 10 6 UOUOO
9 15 Estoril 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 0 2 2 6 9 2 OOUO
10 3 Benfica 4 2 2 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10 UOOU
11 4 Gil Vicente 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 3 1 1 8 2 10 UUUOO
12 6 Moreirense 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3 UUOO
13 7 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6 OOUU
14 9 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 1 1 2 3 6 4 OUUO
15 11 Guimaraes 5 4 1 0.4 1.8 1 0 4 2 9 3 OUUUU
16 5 Famalicao 5 5 0 1.0 0.4 3 2 0 5 2 11 UUUUU
17 10 Nacional 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8 UUUUU
18 16 Estrela 4 4 0 0.2 0.8 0 3 1 1 3 3 UUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11