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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Tondela 1–2 Casa Pia

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.15 fair 2.65
Draw 3.25 fair 3.83
Away ✓ 3.40 fair 2.77
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Tondela Casa Pia
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (130 league matches this season so far).
Result Tondela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
TondelaDrawCasa Pia
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 9.5% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Tondela before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.57scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 8:25
Casa Pia before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:28
Tondela all matches all matches Casa Pia

Per match

0.57 Goals scored 1.00
1.79 Goals conceded 2.00
2.36 Total goals 3.00
12.29 Shots 8.29
3.86 Shots on target 2.71
14.07 Shots faced 13.21
4.00 Corners 4.07
5.79 Corners against 5.29
14.71 Fouls 14.79
2.93 Yellow cards 3.21
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.07

How often Full Time

14% Wins 14%
21% Draws 29%
64% Losses 57%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 93%
57% Over 2.5 goals 43%
21% Over 3.5 goals 36%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
29% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 14%
64% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 21%
50% Draws 21%
43% Losses 57%
57% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tondela all matches
Casa Pia all matches
Tondela before this match, at home
0.33points / match
0.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 2:9
Casa Pia before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:13
Tondela at home away Casa Pia

Per match

0.33 Goals scored 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded 1.86
1.83 Total goals 2.86
13.50 Shots 8.71
4.00 Shots on target 2.86
15.67 Shots faced 13.57
3.00 Corners 4.29
4.83 Corners against 5.43
12.67 Fouls 14.29
2.17 Yellow cards 3.71
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

0% Wins 29%
33% Draws 14%
67% Losses 57%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 86%
33% Over 2.5 goals 57%
17% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
17% Both teams scored 29%
17% Clean sheets 29%
83% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 29%
67% Draws 14%
33% Losses 57%
33% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tondela at home
Casa Pia away

Last 10 matches before this match

Tondela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Tondela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.55 2.25 1.62
02.11.25 AVS – Tondela 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.052.30 2.15 1.67
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Santa Clara – Tondela 1–2 (0–0) 1.663.405.50 2.40 1.53
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
12.09.25 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60

Casa Pia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 3.502.952.15 2.60 1.48
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
09.11.25 Benfica – Casa Pia 2–2 (1–0) 1.137.5013.00 1.53 2.40
01.11.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 3–5 (1–2) 2.013.053.90 2.40 1.53
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50
21.09.25 Casa Pia – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.25 2.40 1.53
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67

Tondela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
08.11.25 Tondela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.55 2.25 1.62
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
31.08.25 Tondela – Estoril 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.45 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Tondela – Famalicao 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.202.45 2.20 1.65
14.05.22 Tondela – Boavista 2–2 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 1.85 2.00
24.04.22 Tondela – Guimaraes 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.501.95 1.90 1.95
09.04.22 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 1–3 (0–2) 9.004.331.30 1.80 2.00
19.03.22 Tondela – Arouca 2–2 (2–1) 2.623.002.75 2.15 1.66

Casa Pia away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25 Santa Clara – Casa Pia 1–0 (1–0) 1.813.055.00 2.60 1.48
09.11.25 Benfica – Casa Pia 2–2 (1–0) 1.137.5013.00 1.53 2.40
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
15.08.25 AVS – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.35 1.57
16.05.25 Famalicao – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.503.90 1.88 1.98
04.05.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.70
19.04.25 AVS – Casa Pia 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.202.40 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 14 13 1 0 30 4 +26 40 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 14 11 2 1 38 7 +31 35 WWWWDW
3 Benfica 14 9 5 0 30 8 +22 32 WWDWDW
4 Gil Vicente 15 7 5 3 19 9 +10 26 WDLDDD
5 Sp Braga 15 7 4 4 26 13 +13 25 LWWWWL
6 Famalicao 14 6 5 3 18 9 +9 23 WWLDLW
7 Guimaraes 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21 LLWWDW
8 Moreirense 15 6 3 6 21 24 -3 21 WLDDLD
9 Estoril 15 4 5 6 23 25 -2 17 WWLDLW
10 Rio Ave 15 3 8 4 19 24 -5 17 LDDWLD
11 Alverca 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17 LLDWWL
12 Nacional 15 4 4 7 17 21 -4 16 LDLLWD
13 Santa Clara 14 4 3 7 11 15 -4 15 WLLDWL
14 Estrela 15 3 6 6 17 22 -5 15 WDLWLD
15 Arouca 14 3 3 8 15 37 -22 12 LLLLLW
16 Casa Pia 14 2 4 8 14 28 -14 10 LLDLLD
17 Tondela 14 2 3 9 8 25 -17 9 LDLWLL
18 AVS 15 0 4 11 11 39 -28 4 DDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 6 1 0 14 2 +12 19 WWDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 23 3 +20 16 LWDWWW
3 Benfica 7 3 4 0 15 6 +9 13 DDWWDD
4 Sp Braga 7 4 1 2 12 5 +7 13 DLLWWW
5 Gil Vicente 7 4 1 2 9 5 +4 13 WWWWLD
6 Moreirense 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13 WWWLDL
7 Guimaraes 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12 DDWLWD
8 Estoril 8 3 3 2 13 11 +2 12 WLDWDW
9 Famalicao 8 3 2 3 11 5 +6 11 LDWLLW
10 Santa Clara 7 3 1 3 7 6 +1 10 DWLWLW
11 Alverca 7 3 1 3 6 10 -4 10 LWWLDW
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 9 +1 9 LWLDWD
13 Arouca 8 2 2 4 8 17 -9 8 LLDLLW
14 Nacional 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLW
15 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6 DLWLDL
16 Casa Pia 7 0 3 4 7 15 -8 3 LDDLLD
17 AVS 8 0 3 5 7 16 -9 3 LLDDLD
18 Tondela 6 0 2 4 2 9 -7 2 LDDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 7 0 0 16 2 +14 21 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 7 6 1 0 15 2 +13 19 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19 WWWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 10 4 +6 13 WLWDDD
5 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 14 8 +6 12 DDLWWL
6 Famalicao 6 3 3 0 7 4 +3 12 WWDDWD
7 Rio Ave 8 2 5 1 12 12 0 11 DDWDWD
8 Nacional 8 2 4 2 8 7 +1 10 LWDDLD
9 Guimaraes 7 3 0 4 4 9 -5 9 LWLLWW
10 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 9 13 -4 8 LLWLDD
11 Alverca 7 2 1 4 9 10 -1 7 DLWLWL
12 Casa Pia 7 2 1 4 7 13 -6 7 LWLLDL
13 Tondela 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7 LWLDWL
14 Estrela 7 1 3 3 7 13 -6 6 DDLWLL
15 Estoril 7 1 2 4 10 14 -4 5 DLDWLL
16 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 4 9 -5 5 WDLLDL
17 Arouca 6 1 1 4 7 20 -13 4 LDWLLL
18 AVS 7 0 1 6 4 23 -19 1 DLLLLL

Tondela   Casa Pia

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 4 11 11 39 4 OUOOOO
2 8 Moreirense 15 5 10 1.4 1.6 6 3 6 21 24 21 UOOOOU
3 2 Sp Lisbon 14 5 9 2.7 0.5 11 2 1 38 7 35 OUOOUO
4 3 Benfica 14 5 9 2.1 0.6 9 5 0 30 8 32 OOOOUO
5 5 Sp Braga 15 6 9 1.7 0.9 7 4 4 26 13 25 OOOOUU
6 10 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 3 8 4 19 24 17 OUUOUO
7 15 Arouca 14 5 9 1.1 2.6 3 3 8 15 37 12 OUOOOU
8 1 Porto 14 6 8 2.1 0.3 13 1 0 30 4 40 OOUUUO
9 9 Estoril 15 7 8 1.5 1.7 4 5 6 23 25 17 OOUOOU
10 17 Tondela 14 6 8 0.6 1.8 2 3 9 8 25 9 OOUUUO
11 11 Alverca 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17 OUUUUU
12 14 Estrela 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 3 6 6 17 22 15 OUOOOU
13 12 Nacional 15 9 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 7 17 21 16 UUOUOO
14 16 Casa Pia 14 8 6 1.0 2.0 2 4 8 14 28 10 OOOUUU
15 6 Famalicao 14 9 5 1.3 0.6 6 5 3 18 9 23 UUUOOO
16 7 Guimaraes 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 6 3 5 15 17 21 UOUOUU
17 13 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.8 1.1 4 3 7 11 15 15 UUOUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 15 12 3 1.3 0.6 7 5 3 19 9 26 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Moreirense 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13 UOOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 5 1 1 23 3 16 OOUUOO
3 12 Nacional 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6 OOOUOO
4 18 AVS 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 3 5 7 16 3 OOOUOO
5 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.0 0.3 6 1 0 14 2 19 OUUOUO
6 3 Benfica 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 3 4 0 15 6 13 UUOOOU
7 5 Sp Braga 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 1 2 12 5 13 OUUOOU
8 6 Famalicao 8 4 4 1.4 0.6 3 2 3 11 5 11 OUUUOO
9 7 Guimaraes 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12 UUOOOU
10 10 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6 OOOOUU
11 14 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 3 3 10 9 9 UOOUOU
12 15 Arouca 8 4 4 1.0 2.1 2 2 4 8 17 8 UOUUOU
13 9 Estoril 8 5 3 1.6 1.4 3 3 2 13 11 12 OUUOOU
14 11 Alverca 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 3 1 3 6 10 10 OUUOUU
15 13 Santa Clara 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 1 3 7 6 10 UOOUOU
16 16 Casa Pia 7 5 2 1.0 2.1 0 3 4 7 15 3 UUOOUU
17 17 Tondela 6 4 2 0.3 1.5 0 2 4 2 9 2 UOUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 7 6 1 1.3 0.7 4 1 2 9 5 13 UUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Tondela 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7 UOOOUO
2 18 AVS 7 1 6 0.6 3.3 0 1 6 4 23 1 OOOUOO
3 3 Benfica 7 2 5 2.1 0.3 6 1 0 15 2 19 OOUOOO
4 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 3 3 2 14 8 12 UUOOOU
5 9 Estoril 7 2 5 1.4 2.0 1 2 4 10 14 5 OUOOUO
6 10 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 2 5 1 12 12 11 UUOUOO
7 15 Arouca 6 1 5 1.2 3.3 1 1 4 7 20 4 OUOOOO
8 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.3 0.3 7 0 0 16 2 21 OOOOUU
9 2 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19 OOUOOU
10 8 Moreirense 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 4 9 13 8 OOUOOU
11 11 Alverca 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 1 4 9 10 7 OOOUUU
12 16 Casa Pia 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 1 4 7 13 7 OUOOOU
13 14 Estrela 7 4 3 1.0 1.9 1 3 3 7 13 6 UUUOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 8 6 2 1.2 0.5 3 4 1 10 4 13 UOOUUU
15 13 Santa Clara 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 1 2 4 4 9 5 UUOUUU
16 6 Famalicao 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 3 3 0 7 4 12 UUUUUO
17 7 Guimaraes 7 6 1 0.6 1.3 3 0 4 4 9 9 UUUUUU
18 12 Nacional 8 7 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 2 8 7 10 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47