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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.61 fair 2.10
Draw 3.60 fair 3.80
Away 5.50 fair 3.83
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Gil Vicente Nacional
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 5
7 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (154 league matches this season so far).
Result Gil Vicente to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
Gil VicenteDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 12.3% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Gil Vicente before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.29scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:12
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.24scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:26
Gil Vicente all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.24
0.71 Goals conceded 1.53
2.00 Total goals 2.76
14.18 Shots 11.82
4.47 Shots on target 3.94
10.29 Shots faced 15.53
6.06 Corners 3.94
3.65 Corners against 6.29
14.53 Fouls 14.71
2.88 Yellow cards 2.94
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

41% Wins 24%
41% Draws 29%
18% Losses 47%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 76%
24% Over 2.5 goals 47%
18% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
35% Both teams scored 65%
53% Clean sheets 12%
24% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 29%
24% Draws 41%
29% Losses 29%
82% Over 0.5 goals 71%
35% Over 1.5 goals 29%
12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Gil Vicente all matches
Nacional all matches
Gil Vicente before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.25scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:6
Nacional before this match, away
1.11points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:9
Gil Vicente at home away Nacional

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 2.00
15.38 Shots 12.89
4.38 Shots on target 3.89
10.50 Shots faced 12.33
5.75 Corners 3.89
3.25 Corners against 4.44
14.25 Fouls 15.44
2.25 Yellow cards 2.67
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

50% Wins 22%
25% Draws 44%
25% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
13% Over 2.5 goals 22%
13% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 56%
50% Clean sheets 22%
25% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 44%
25% Draws 22%
38% Losses 33%
88% Over 0.5 goals 78%
25% Over 1.5 goals 22%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Gil Vicente at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Gil Vicente all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
28.12.25 Arouca – Gil Vicente 2–2 (2–1) 3.903.201.96 2.20 1.65
20.12.25 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.505.00 2.10 1.70
13.12.25 Casa Pia – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 3.502.952.15 2.60 1.48
08.12.25 Guimaraes – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.752.952.65 2.60 1.48
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67
09.11.25 AVS – Gil Vicente 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.601.68 2.15 1.67
03.11.25 Gil Vicente – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 2.252.953.40 2.70 1.44
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57

Gil Vicente at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
20.12.25 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.505.00 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67
03.11.25 Gil Vicente – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 2.252.953.40 2.70 1.44
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
21.09.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.30 1.60
29.08.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 2–0 (0–0) 2.552.823.10 3.10 1.36
18.08.25 Gil Vicente – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.93 1.93
10.05.25 Gil Vicente – Arouca 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.00 2.10 1.70
26.04.25 Gil Vicente – Farense 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.30 1.60

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Gil Vicente winsDrawsNacional wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.08.25P1 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
19.04.25P1 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
07.12.24P1 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 17 16 1 0 36 4 +32 49 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 18 14 3 1 50 9 +41 45 DWWWDW
3 Benfica 17 11 6 0 36 11 +25 39 WDWWDW
4 Gil Vicente 17 7 7 3 22 12 +10 28 LDDDDD
5 Sp Braga 17 7 6 4 31 18 +13 27 WWWLDD
6 Moreirense 17 8 3 6 24 24 0 27 DDLDWW
7 Guimaraes 17 7 4 6 18 22 -4 25 WDWLDW
8 Famalicao 17 6 5 6 20 14 +6 23 DLWLLL
9 Estoril 17 5 5 7 28 29 -1 20 LDLWWL
10 Rio Ave 17 4 8 5 22 29 -7 20 DWLDLW
11 Alverca 17 6 2 9 17 27 -10 20 WWLLLW
12 Estrela 17 4 7 6 23 27 -4 19 LWLDWD
13 Nacional 17 4 5 8 21 26 -5 17 LLWDLD
14 Santa Clara 17 4 5 8 14 19 -5 17 DWLDLD
15 Casa Pia 18 3 5 10 17 35 -18 14 LDWDLL
16 Arouca 17 3 5 9 18 42 -24 14 LLWDDL
17 Tondela 17 3 3 11 12 29 -17 12 WLLLWL
18 AVS 17 0 4 13 11 43 -32 4 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 7 1 1 30 3 +27 22 DWWWWW
2 Porto 8 7 1 0 16 2 +14 22 WDWWWW
3 Benfica 9 5 4 0 19 7 +12 19 WWDDWW
4 Moreirense 8 5 1 2 13 11 +2 16 WWLDLW
5 Estoril 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LDWDWW
6 Guimaraes 9 4 3 2 14 13 +1 15 WLWDLW
7 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
8 Gil Vicente 8 4 2 2 10 6 +4 14 WWWLDD
9 Alverca 9 4 1 4 7 13 -6 13 WLDWLW
10 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
11 Santa Clara 9 3 2 4 7 7 0 11 LWLWDL
12 Estrela 9 2 4 3 13 12 +1 10 WLDWDD
13 Rio Ave 8 2 3 3 10 13 -3 9 LWLDLW
14 Arouca 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9 LDLLWD
15 Nacional 8 2 1 5 12 17 -5 7 LWLLWD
16 Tondela 8 1 2 5 6 12 -6 5 DLLLLW
17 Casa Pia 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4 DDLLDD
18 AVS 9 0 3 6 7 18 -11 3 LDDLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 20 2 +18 27 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 9 7 2 0 20 6 +14 23 WWWDWD
3 Benfica 8 6 2 0 17 4 +13 20 WDWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
5 Sp Braga 9 3 4 2 17 11 +6 13 DLWWLD
6 Famalicao 8 3 3 2 7 6 +1 12 DDWDLL
7 Moreirense 9 3 2 4 11 13 -2 11 LWLDDW
8 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 12 16 -4 11 DWDWDL
9 Nacional 9 2 4 3 9 9 0 10 WDDLDL
10 Guimaraes 8 3 1 4 4 9 -5 10 WLLWWD
11 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
13 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
14 Tondela 9 2 1 6 6 17 -11 7 WLDWLL
15 Santa Clara 8 1 3 4 7 12 -5 6 DLLDLD
16 Estoril 8 1 2 5 11 17 -6 5 LDWLLL
17 Arouca 8 1 2 5 8 23 -15 5 WLLLDL
18 AVS 8 0 1 7 4 25 -21 1 LLLLLL

Gil Vicente   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 18 6 12 2.8 0.5 14 3 1 50 9 45 UOOOUO
2 3 Benfica 17 6 11 2.1 0.6 11 6 0 36 11 39 OUOUOO
3 5 Sp Braga 17 6 11 1.8 1.1 7 6 4 31 18 27 OOUUOO
4 10 Rio Ave 17 6 11 1.3 1.7 4 8 5 22 29 20 UOUOOO
5 16 Arouca 17 6 11 1.1 2.5 3 5 9 18 42 14 OOUUOO
6 18 AVS 17 6 11 0.6 2.5 0 4 13 11 43 4 OOOOUU
7 6 Moreirense 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 8 3 6 24 24 27 OOOUUU
8 9 Estoril 17 7 10 1.6 1.7 5 5 7 28 29 20 UOOUOO
9 17 Tondela 17 7 10 0.7 1.7 3 3 11 12 29 12 UUOOOU
10 1 Porto 17 8 9 2.1 0.2 16 1 0 36 4 49 UUOOUU
11 11 Alverca 17 8 9 1.0 1.6 6 2 9 17 27 20 UUUOOU
12 12 Estrela 17 8 9 1.4 1.6 4 7 6 23 27 19 OOOUOO
13 15 Casa Pia 18 9 9 0.9 1.9 3 5 10 17 35 14 UUOUOO
14 13 Nacional 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 4 5 8 21 26 17 OUOOOO
15 7 Guimaraes 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 6 18 22 25 OUUOUO
16 8 Famalicao 17 11 6 1.2 0.8 6 5 6 20 14 23 OOOUOU
17 14 Santa Clara 17 11 6 0.8 1.1 4 5 8 14 19 17 UUUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 17 13 4 1.3 0.7 7 7 3 22 12 28 UUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.3 7 1 1 30 3 22 UUOOOO
2 6 Moreirense 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 5 1 2 13 11 16 OOOOOU
3 7 Guimaraes 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 2 14 13 15 OOOUOO
4 13 Nacional 8 2 6 1.5 2.1 2 1 5 12 17 7 OOUOOO
5 3 Benfica 9 4 5 2.1 0.8 5 4 0 19 7 19 OOOUUO
6 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
7 8 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
8 10 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 3 10 13 9 OOOUUO
9 12 Estrela 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 4 3 13 12 10 OOUOUO
10 16 Arouca 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9 OUUOUO
11 18 AVS 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 3 6 7 18 3 OOUOOU
12 1 Porto 8 4 4 2.0 0.2 7 1 0 16 2 22 UUOUOU
13 9 Estoril 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 UUOOUO
14 11 Alverca 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 4 1 4 7 13 13 UOUUOU
15 17 Tondela 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 1 2 5 6 12 5 UOUUOO
16 14 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 0.8 3 2 4 7 7 11 OUOUUU
17 15 Casa Pia 8 6 2 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4 UOOUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 8 7 1 1.2 0.8 4 2 2 10 6 14 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 15 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
2 3 Benfica 8 2 6 2.1 0.5 6 2 0 17 4 20 OUOOOO
3 5 Sp Braga 9 3 6 1.9 1.2 3 4 2 17 11 13 UOOOUO
4 9 Estoril 8 2 6 1.4 2.1 1 2 5 11 17 5 UOOUOO
5 10 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 2 5 2 12 16 11 UOUOOO
6 16 Arouca 8 2 6 1.0 2.9 1 2 5 8 23 5 OOOOUO
7 17 Tondela 9 3 6 0.7 1.9 2 1 6 6 17 7 OOOUOU
8 18 AVS 8 2 6 0.5 3.1 0 1 7 4 25 1 OOUOOU
9 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.2 0.2 9 0 0 20 2 27 OOUUOU
10 2 Sp Lisbon 9 4 5 2.2 0.7 7 2 0 20 6 23 UOOUOU
11 11 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
12 6 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.4 3 2 4 11 13 11 OUOOUU
13 12 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 14 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0.9 1.5 1 3 4 7 12 6 UOUUUO
16 13 Nacional 9 7 2 1.0 1.0 2 4 3 9 9 10 UUUUOO
17 7 Guimaraes 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 3 1 4 4 9 10 UUUUUU
18 8 Famalicao 8 7 1 0.9 0.8 3 3 2 7 6 12 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10