Nacional 1–2 Benfica – Portugal Primeira Liga, 29 Nov 2025

Match facts

Nacional Benfica

6 Shots 31

2 Shots on target 8

2 Corners 11

10 Fouls 8

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (102 league matches this season so far).

Result Benfica to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.08 – 1.61

Home / Draw / Away

25% 25% 50%

NacionalDrawBenfica

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 0–1 10.9% 1–2 9.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches

1.09points / match

1.00scored / match

1.36conceded / match

3 3 5

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:15

Benfica before this match, all matches

2.27points / match

2.09scored / match

0.55conceded / match

7 4

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 23:6

Nacional all matches all matches Benfica

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.09

1.36 Goals conceded 0.55

2.36 Total goals 2.64

11.27 Shots 15.64

3.91 Shots on target 6.00

14.09 Shots faced 9.27

4.82 Corners 5.36

5.91 Corners against 3.36

15.18 Fouls 12.55

3.00 Yellow cards 2.73

0.64 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.09

How often Full Time

27% Wins 64%

27% Draws 36%

45% Losses 0%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

73% Over 1.5 goals 82%

27% Over 2.5 goals 64%

18% Over 3.5 goals 18%

18% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

55% Both teams scored 45%

18% Clean sheets 55%

27% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 55%

18% Draws 45%

36% Losses 0%

91% Over 0.5 goals 55%

27% Over 1.5 goals 36%

0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches

1

D

1

4

L

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

L

1

D

Benfica all matches

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

3

W

1

D

2

1

W

D

5

W

3

W

2

D

Nacional before this match, at home

0.60points / match

1.00scored / match

2.20conceded / match

1 4

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:11

Benfica before this match, away

2.60points / match

1.80scored / match

0.20conceded / match

4 1

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:1

Nacional at home away Benfica

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.80

2.20 Goals conceded 0.20

3.20 Total goals 2.00

11.60 Shots 13.40

4.20 Shots on target 4.40

15.80 Shots faced 10.40

5.00 Corners 3.20

7.60 Corners against 3.60

15.20 Fouls 13.80

2.60 Yellow cards 3.20

0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

20% Wins 80%

0% Draws 20%

80% Losses 0%

100% Over 0.5 goals 80%

80% Over 1.5 goals 60%

60% Over 2.5 goals 60%

40% Over 3.5 goals 0%

40% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 20%

0% Clean sheets 80%

40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%

40% Draws 60%

40% Losses 0%

80% Over 0.5 goals 40%

40% Over 1.5 goals 20%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home

3

1

W

1

L

3

L

1

2

L

3

D

2

L

1

4

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

L

Benfica away

3

W

4

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

D

3

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.25	Estrela – Nacional	1–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.50	2.15	1.67
01.11.25	Nacional – Famalicao	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75
26.10.25	Estoril – Nacional	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.25	3.30	2.05	1.75
04.10.25	Nacional – Moreirense	3–2 (1–1)	2.32	3.10	3.10	2.35	1.57
28.09.25	Sp Braga – Nacional	0–1 (0–1)	1.39	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
20.09.25	Nacional – Arouca	1–2 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.85	2.08	1.73
13.09.25	Porto – Nacional	1–0 (1–0)	1.15	6.50	17.00	1.57	2.35
30.08.25	Casa Pia – Nacional	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.25	1.62
23.08.25	Nacional – Sp Lisbon	1–4 (1–0)	9.00	6.00	1.27	1.50	2.50
17.08.25	Rio Ave – Nacional	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.05	1.75

Benfica all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.25	Benfica – Casa Pia	2–2 (1–0)	1.13	7.50	13.00	1.53	2.40
01.11.25	Guimaraes – Benfica	0–3 (0–0)	6.00	4.75	1.42	1.75	2.05
25.10.25	Benfica – Arouca	5–0 (3–0)	1.15	7.00	13.00	1.44	2.70
05.10.25	Porto – Benfica	0–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.40	3.70	2.05	1.80
26.09.25	Benfica – Gil Vicente	2–1 (2–1)	1.30	4.50	10.00	1.75	2.05
23.09.25	Benfica – Rio Ave	1–1 (0–0)	1.17	7.00	11.00	1.40	2.88
20.09.25	AVS – Benfica	0–3 (0–1)	15.00	6.50	1.15	1.57	2.35
12.09.25	Benfica – Santa Clara	1–1 (0–0)	1.30	5.00	9.50	2.10	1.70
31.08.25	Alverca – Benfica	1–2 (0–2)	15.00	6.00	1.17	1.60	2.30
23.08.25	Benfica – Tondela	3–0 (2–0)	1.17	7.00	17.00	1.53	2.40

Nacional at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.11.25	Nacional – Famalicao	0–1 (0–1)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75
04.10.25	Nacional – Moreirense	3–2 (1–1)	2.32	3.10	3.10	2.35	1.57
20.09.25	Nacional – Arouca	1–2 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	2.85	2.08	1.73
23.08.25	Nacional – Sp Lisbon	1–4 (1–0)	9.00	6.00	1.27	1.50	2.50
09.08.25	Nacional – Gil Vicente	0–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.10	2.90	2.10	1.70
10.05.25	Nacional – Rio Ave	3–3 (0–3)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.93	1.93
03.05.25	Nacional – Guimaraes	1–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.98	1.88
19.04.25	Nacional – Gil Vicente	0–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.20	2.25	1.62
06.04.25	Nacional – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.70	2.35	1.57
16.03.25	Nacional – Casa Pia	3–1 (1–0)	2.40	3.30	2.90	2.20	1.65

Benfica away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.11.25	Guimaraes – Benfica	0–3 (0–0)	6.00	4.75	1.42	1.75	2.05
05.10.25	Porto – Benfica	0–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.40	3.70	2.05	1.80
20.09.25	AVS – Benfica	0–3 (0–1)	15.00	6.50	1.15	1.57	2.35
31.08.25	Alverca – Benfica	1–2 (0–2)	15.00	6.00	1.17	1.60	2.30
16.08.25	Estrela – Benfica	0–1 (0–0)	13.00	6.50	1.20	1.57	2.35
17.05.25	Sp Braga – Benfica	1–1 (1–0)	5.00	4.10	1.62	1.65	2.20
03.05.25	Estoril – Benfica	1–2 (0–2)	11.00	8.00	1.18	1.37	2.87
19.04.25	Guimaraes – Benfica	0–3 (0–1)	5.25	4.00	1.60	1.90	1.95
06.04.25	Porto – Benfica	1–4 (0–2)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.05	1.80
28.03.25	Gil Vicente – Benfica	0–3 (0–1)	7.00	4.75	1.40	1.85	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2

Nacional winsDrawsBenfica wins

2matches

2.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25P1	Benfica – Nacional	3–0 (2–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.44	2.60
19.12.24P1	Nacional – Benfica	0–2 (0–0)	8.50	7.00	1.25	1.40	2.88

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	11	10	1	0	24	3	+21	31
2	Sp Lisbon	11	9	1	1	27	6	+21	28
3	Benfica	11	7	4	0	23	6	+17	25
4	Gil Vicente	11	7	2	2	16	5	+11	23
5	Famalicao	12	5	5	2	13	7	+6	20
6	Moreirense	12	6	1	5	18	17	+1	19
7	Guimaraes	12	5	2	5	14	17	-3	17
8	Sp Braga	11	4	4	3	19	11	+8	16
9	Alverca	12	4	2	6	14	19	-5	14
10	Estoril	11	3	4	4	19	17	+2	13
11	Nacional	11	3	3	5	11	15	-4	12
12	Rio Ave	11	2	6	3	14	19	-5	12
13	Estrela	11	2	5	4	13	14	-1	11
14	Santa Clara	11	3	2	6	9	13	-4	11
15	Casa Pia	12	2	3	7	13	26	-13	9
16	Arouca	11	2	3	6	13	30	-17	9
17	Tondela	11	1	3	7	6	20	-14	6
18	AVS	12	0	3	9	8	29	-21	3

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	5	4	1	0	10	1	+9	13
2	Moreirense	6	4	1	1	12	7	+5	13
3	Benfica	6	3	3	0	14	5	+9	12
4	Gil Vicente	5	4	0	1	7	2	+5	12
5	Guimaraes	6	3	2	1	11	8	+3	11
6	Sp Lisbon	5	3	1	1	13	3	+10	10
7	Sp Braga	6	3	1	2	11	5	+6	10
8	Famalicao	6	2	2	2	6	3	+3	8
9	Estoril	6	2	2	2	9	8	+1	8
10	Santa Clara	6	2	1	3	6	6	0	7
11	Alverca	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7
12	Estrela	6	1	2	3	7	8	-1	5
13	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	6	10	-4	5
14	Arouca	6	1	2	3	7	13	-6	5
15	Nacional	5	1	0	4	5	11	-6	3
16	Tondela	5	0	2	3	2	7	-5	2
17	Casa Pia	6	0	2	4	6	14	-8	2
18	AVS	6	0	2	4	4	12	-8	2

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	14	2	+12	18
2	Sp Lisbon	6	6	0	0	14	3	+11	18
3	Benfica	5	4	1	0	9	1	+8	13
4	Famalicao	6	3	3	0	7	4	+3	12
5	Gil Vicente	6	3	2	1	9	3	+6	11
6	Nacional	6	2	3	1	6	4	+2	9
7	Alverca	6	2	1	3	9	9	0	7
8	Rio Ave	6	1	4	1	8	9	-1	7
9	Casa Pia	6	2	1	3	7	12	-5	7
10	Sp Braga	5	1	3	1	8	6	+2	6
11	Estrela	5	1	3	1	6	6	0	6
12	Moreirense	6	2	0	4	6	10	-4	6
13	Guimaraes	6	2	0	4	3	9	-6	6
14	Estoril	5	1	2	2	10	9	+1	5
15	Santa Clara	5	1	1	3	3	7	-4	4
16	Tondela	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
17	Arouca	5	1	1	3	6	17	-11	4
18	AVS	6	0	1	5	4	17	-13	1

Nacional Benfica

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Moreirense	12	4	8	1.5	1.4	6	1	5	18	17	19
2	18	AVS	12	4	8	0.7	2.4	0	3	9	8	29	3
3	1	Porto	11	4	7	2.2	0.3	10	1	0	24	3	31
4	2	Sp Lisbon	11	4	7	2.5	0.5	9	1	1	27	6	28
5	3	Benfica	11	4	7	2.1	0.5	7	4	0	23	6	25
6	8	Sp Braga	11	4	7	1.7	1.0	4	4	3	19	11	16
7	9	Alverca	12	5	7	1.2	1.6	4	2	6	14	19	14
8	12	Rio Ave	11	4	7	1.3	1.7	2	6	3	14	19	12
9	16	Arouca	11	4	7	1.2	2.7	2	3	6	13	30	9
10	17	Tondela	11	4	7	0.5	1.8	1	3	7	6	20	6
11	10	Estoril	11	5	6	1.7	1.5	3	4	4	19	17	13
12	15	Casa Pia	12	6	6	1.1	2.2	2	3	7	13	26	9
13	7	Guimaraes	12	7	5	1.2	1.4	5	2	5	14	17	17
14	14	Santa Clara	11	6	5	0.8	1.2	3	2	6	9	13	11
15	13	Estrela	11	7	4	1.2	1.3	2	5	4	13	14	11
16	5	Famalicao	12	9	3	1.1	0.6	5	5	2	13	7	20
17	11	Nacional	11	8	3	1.0	1.4	3	3	5	11	15	12
18	4	Gil Vicente	11	9	2	1.5	0.5	7	2	2	16	5	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Moreirense	6	1	5	2.0	1.2	4	1	1	12	7	13
2	3	Benfica	6	2	4	2.3	0.8	3	3	0	14	5	12
3	7	Guimaraes	6	2	4	1.8	1.3	3	2	1	11	8	11
4	8	Sp Braga	6	2	4	1.8	0.8	3	1	2	11	5	10
5	12	Rio Ave	5	1	4	1.2	2.0	1	2	2	6	10	5
6	1	Porto	5	2	3	2.0	0.2	4	1	0	10	1	13
7	2	Sp Lisbon	5	2	3	2.6	0.6	3	1	1	13	3	10
8	9	Alverca	6	3	3	0.8	1.7	2	1	3	5	10	7
9	11	Nacional	5	2	3	1.0	2.2	1	0	4	5	11	3
10	13	Estrela	6	3	3	1.2	1.3	1	2	3	7	8	5
11	14	Santa Clara	6	3	3	1.0	1.0	2	1	3	6	6	7
12	16	Arouca	6	3	3	1.2	2.2	1	2	3	7	13	5
13	18	AVS	6	3	3	0.7	2.0	0	2	4	4	12	2
14	5	Famalicao	6	4	2	1.0	0.5	2	2	2	6	3	8
15	10	Estoril	6	4	2	1.5	1.3	2	2	2	9	8	8
16	15	Casa Pia	6	4	2	1.0	2.3	0	2	4	6	14	2
17	17	Tondela	5	3	2	0.4	1.4	0	2	3	2	7	2
18	4	Gil Vicente	5	5	0	1.4	0.4	4	0	1	7	2	12

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Tondela	6	1	5	0.7	2.2	1	1	4	4	13	4
2	18	AVS	6	1	5	0.7	2.8	0	1	5	4	17	1
3	1	Porto	6	2	4	2.3	0.3	6	0	0	14	2	18
4	2	Sp Lisbon	6	2	4	2.3	0.5	6	0	0	14	3	18
5	9	Alverca	6	2	4	1.5	1.5	2	1	3	9	9	7
6	10	Estoril	5	1	4	2.0	1.8	1	2	2	10	9	5
7	15	Casa Pia	6	2	4	1.2	2.0	2	1	3	7	12	7
8	16	Arouca	5	1	4	1.2	3.4	1	1	3	6	17	4
9	3	Benfica	5	2	3	1.8	0.2	4	1	0	9	1	13
10	6	Moreirense	6	3	3	1.0	1.7	2	0	4	6	10	6
11	8	Sp Braga	5	2	3	1.6	1.2	1	3	1	8	6	6
12	12	Rio Ave	6	3	3	1.3	1.5	1	4	1	8	9	7
13	4	Gil Vicente	6	4	2	1.5	0.5	3	2	1	9	3	11
14	14	Santa Clara	5	3	2	0.6	1.4	1	1	3	3	7	4
15	5	Famalicao	6	5	1	1.2	0.7	3	3	0	7	4	12
16	7	Guimaraes	6	5	1	0.5	1.5	2	0	4	3	9	6
17	13	Estrela	5	4	1	1.2	1.2	1	3	1	6	6	6
18	11	Nacional	6	6	0	1.0	0.7	2	3	1	6	4	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.