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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Braga 5–0 Alverca

Full time · half time 4–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.37 fair 1.85
Draw 4.50 fair 4.32
Away 8.00 fair 4.39
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Braga Alverca
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
7 Corners 0
9 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (169 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
Sp BragaDrawAlverca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.78scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:18
Alverca before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.06scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:28
Sp Braga all matches all matches Alverca

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.06
1.00 Goals conceded 1.56
2.78 Total goals 2.61
13.00 Shots 9.61
5.11 Shots on target 3.72
8.94 Shots faced 13.11
5.50 Corners 3.33
2.94 Corners against 4.33
11.06 Fouls 13.06
2.06 Yellow cards 2.56
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

44% Wins 39%
33% Draws 11%
22% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
72% Over 1.5 goals 78%
61% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 22%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 44%
33% Clean sheets 28%
17% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 17%
22% Draws 50%
39% Losses 33%
94% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
28% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga all matches
Alverca all matches
Sp Braga before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.75scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:7
Alverca before this match, away
0.88points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:14
Sp Braga at home away Alverca

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded 1.75
2.63 Total goals 3.00
11.50 Shots 7.88
4.50 Shots on target 3.25
8.63 Shots faced 13.38
5.25 Corners 3.13
3.38 Corners against 5.75
10.38 Fouls 13.13
1.75 Yellow cards 3.00
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 13%
25% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 63%
38% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

63% Wins 13%
0% Draws 75%
38% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 63%
50% Over 1.5 goals 63%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga at home
Alverca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Tondela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.56 2.10 1.70
03.01.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 3–3 (1–1) 6.504.331.45 1.85 2.00
28.12.25 Sp Braga – Benfica 2–2 (2–1) 3.303.302.10 2.05 1.75
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
15.12.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 1.493.807.00 2.25 1.62
06.12.25 Famalicao – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–1) 3.303.502.05 2.03 1.83
01.12.25 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–3) 6.503.901.49 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Sp Braga – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 1.374.757.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.25 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.494.006.25 1.98 1.88
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Alverca – Moreirense 2–1 (0–0) 2.702.822.75 2.60 1.48
04.01.26 Alverca – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.01 2.10 1.70
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57

Sp Braga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Sp Braga – Benfica 2–2 (2–1) 3.303.302.10 2.05 1.75
15.12.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–0 (1–0) 1.493.807.00 2.25 1.62
09.11.25 Sp Braga – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 1.374.757.00 1.75 2.05
26.10.25 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 1.394.507.00 1.90 1.95
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
14.09.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–1) 1.464.336.25 1.95 1.90
24.08.25 Sp Braga – AVS 2–2 (1–2) 1.335.008.50 1.75 2.05
10.08.25 Sp Braga – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.508.00 1.75 2.05
17.05.25 Sp Braga – Benfica 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.101.62 1.65 2.20
03.05.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.733.405.25 2.40 1.50

Alverca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
04.10.25 AVS – Alverca 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.50 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Santa Clara – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.106.25 2.50 1.50
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Braga winsDrawsAlverca wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25P1 Alverca – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–3) 5.253.901.62 2.03 1.83

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 18 17 1 0 37 4 +33 52 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 19 15 3 1 52 10 +42 48 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 19 13 6 0 42 11 +31 45 WWDWWW
4 Gil Vicente 18 8 7 3 24 13 +11 31 DDDDDW
5 Sp Braga 18 8 6 4 32 18 +14 30 WWLDDW
6 Moreirense 19 9 3 7 26 26 0 30 LDWWLW
7 Famalicao 19 8 5 6 24 14 +10 29 WLLLWW
8 Estoril 19 7 5 7 37 31 +6 26 LWWLWW
9 Guimaraes 19 7 4 8 20 27 -7 25 WLDWLL
10 Alverca 18 7 2 9 19 28 -9 23 WLLLWW
11 Nacional 19 5 5 9 26 28 -2 20 WDLDLW
12 Rio Ave 19 4 8 7 22 35 -13 20 LDLWLL
13 Estrela 19 4 7 8 23 36 -13 19 LDWDLL
14 Santa Clara 19 4 5 10 14 21 -7 17 LDLDLL
15 Arouca 19 4 5 10 20 44 -24 17 WDDLWL
16 Casa Pia 19 3 6 10 20 38 -18 15 DWDLLD
17 Tondela 19 3 3 13 12 33 -21 12 LLWLLL
18 AVS 19 0 5 14 14 47 -33 5 LDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 7 1 1 30 3 +27 22 DWWWWW
2 Benfica 10 6 4 0 23 7 +16 22 WDDWWW
3 Porto 8 7 1 0 16 2 +14 22 WDWWWW
4 Moreirense 9 6 1 2 14 11 +3 19 WLDLWW
5 Estoril 10 5 3 2 21 14 +7 18 DWDWWW
6 Gil Vicente 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WWLDDW
7 Alverca 10 5 1 4 9 14 -5 16 LDWLWW
8 Guimaraes 10 4 3 3 14 14 0 15 LWDLWL
9 Famalicao 10 4 2 4 16 8 +8 14 WLLWLW
10 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
11 Santa Clara 10 3 2 5 7 8 -1 11 WLWDLL
12 Nacional 9 3 1 5 16 17 -1 10 WLLWDW
13 Estrela 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10 LDWDDL
14 Rio Ave 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9 WLDLWL
15 Arouca 10 2 3 5 11 21 -10 9 DLLWDL
16 Tondela 9 1 2 6 6 13 -7 5 LLLLWL
17 Casa Pia 9 0 5 4 10 18 -8 5 DLLDDD
18 AVS 10 0 3 7 7 19 -12 3 DDLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 10 0 0 21 2 +19 30 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 22 7 +15 26 WWDWDW
3 Benfica 9 7 2 0 19 4 +15 23 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 10 4 4 2 18 11 +7 16 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 9 4 3 2 8 6 +2 15 DWDLLW
6 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
7 Moreirense 10 3 2 5 12 15 -3 11 WLDDWL
8 Rio Ave 10 2 5 3 12 20 -8 11 WDWDLL
9 Nacional 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DDLDLL
10 Guimaraes 9 3 1 5 6 13 -7 10 LLWWDL
11 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
12 Estrela 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9 LWLLWL
13 Estoril 9 2 2 5 16 17 -1 8 DWLLLW
14 Arouca 9 2 2 5 9 23 -14 8 LLLDLW
15 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
16 Tondela 10 2 1 7 6 20 -14 7 LDWLLL
17 Santa Clara 9 1 3 5 7 13 -6 6 LLDLDL
18 AVS 9 0 2 7 7 28 -21 2 LLLLLD

Sp Braga   Alverca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 19 6 13 2.7 0.5 15 3 1 52 10 48 OOOUOO
2 3 Benfica 19 7 12 2.2 0.6 13 6 0 42 11 45 OUOOUO
3 8 Estoril 19 7 12 1.9 1.6 7 5 7 37 31 26 OUOOOO
4 12 Rio Ave 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 4 8 7 22 35 20 UOOOUO
5 15 Arouca 19 7 12 1.1 2.3 4 5 10 20 44 17 UUOOUO
6 18 AVS 19 7 12 0.7 2.5 0 5 14 14 47 5 OOUUUO
7 5 Sp Braga 18 7 11 1.8 1.0 8 6 4 32 18 30 OUUOOU
8 6 Moreirense 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 9 3 7 26 26 30 OUUUOU
9 13 Estrela 19 8 11 1.2 1.9 4 7 8 23 36 19 OUOOOO
10 17 Tondela 19 8 11 0.6 1.7 3 3 13 12 33 12 OOOUUO
11 10 Alverca 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 7 2 9 19 28 23 UUOOUO
12 11 Nacional 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 5 5 9 26 28 20 OOOOOO
13 16 Casa Pia 19 9 10 1.1 2.0 3 6 10 20 38 15 UOUOOO
14 1 Porto 18 9 9 2.1 0.2 17 1 0 37 4 52 UOOUUU
15 9 Guimaraes 19 11 8 1.1 1.4 7 4 8 20 27 25 UOUOUO
16 7 Famalicao 19 12 7 1.3 0.7 8 5 6 24 14 29 OUOUUO
17 14 Santa Clara 19 13 6 0.7 1.1 4 5 10 14 21 17 UUUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 18 13 5 1.3 0.7 8 7 3 24 13 31 UUOOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.3 7 1 1 30 3 22 UUOOOO
2 11 Nacional 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 3 1 5 16 17 10 OUOOOO
3 3 Benfica 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 6 4 0 23 7 22 OOUUOO
4 6 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 6 1 2 14 11 19 OOOOUU
5 7 Famalicao 10 4 6 1.6 0.8 4 2 4 16 8 14 UUOOOO
6 9 Guimaraes 10 4 6 1.4 1.4 4 3 3 14 14 15 OOUOOU
7 13 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10 OUOUOO
8 15 Arouca 10 4 6 1.1 2.1 2 3 5 11 21 9 UUOUOO
9 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
10 8 Estoril 10 5 5 2.1 1.4 5 3 2 21 14 18 UOOUOO
11 10 Alverca 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 5 1 4 9 14 16 OUUOUO
12 12 Rio Ave 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9 OOUUOU
13 18 AVS 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 0 3 7 7 19 3 OUOOUU
14 1 Porto 8 4 4 2.0 0.2 7 1 0 16 2 22 UUOUOU
15 17 Tondela 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 2 6 6 13 5 OUUOOU
16 14 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 0.8 3 2 5 7 8 11 UOUUUU
17 16 Casa Pia 9 6 3 1.1 2.0 0 5 4 10 18 5 OOUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 UUUOUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Estoril 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 2 2 5 16 17 8 OOUOOO
2 12 Rio Ave 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 5 3 12 20 11 OUOOOO
3 16 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
4 17 Tondela 10 3 7 0.6 2.0 2 1 7 6 20 7 OOUOUO
5 18 AVS 9 2 7 0.8 3.1 0 2 7 7 28 2 OUOOUO
6 2 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.7 8 2 0 22 7 26 OOUOUO
7 3 Benfica 9 3 6 2.1 0.4 7 2 0 19 4 23 UOOOOU
8 5 Sp Braga 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 4 4 2 18 11 16 OOOUOU
9 15 Arouca 9 3 6 1.0 2.6 2 2 5 9 23 8 OOOUOU
10 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.1 0.2 10 0 0 21 2 30 OUUOUU
11 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 3 2 5 12 15 11 UOOUUO
12 10 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
13 13 Estrela 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9 UOOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 11 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 UUUOOO
16 14 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 1 3 5 7 13 6 OUUUOU
17 9 Guimaraes 9 7 2 0.7 1.4 3 1 5 6 13 10 UUUUUO
18 7 Famalicao 9 8 1 0.9 0.7 4 3 2 8 6 15 UUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10