Hamilton 1–0 Dunfermline – Scotland Championship, 25 Feb 2025

Match facts

Hamilton Dunfermline

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 6

12 Fouls 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (124 league matches this season so far).

Result Hamilton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.20

Home / Draw / Away

43% 26% 31%

HamiltonDrawDunfermline

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Hamilton before this match, all matches

0.96points / match

1.16scored / match

1.88conceded / match

7 3 15

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 29:47

Dunfermline before this match, all matches

0.96points / match

0.96scored / match

1.28conceded / match

6 6 13

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 24:32

Hamilton all matches all matches Dunfermline

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 0.96

1.88 Goals conceded 1.28

3.04 Total goals 2.24

7.76 Shots 9.20

3.56 Shots on target 3.48

11.32 Shots faced 7.76

4.48 Corners 5.08

6.24 Corners against 4.20

13.08 Fouls 11.24

2.04 Yellow cards 2.12

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.28

0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

28% Wins 24%

12% Draws 24%

60% Losses 52%

96% Over 0.5 goals 88%

80% Over 1.5 goals 68%

64% Over 2.5 goals 36%

36% Over 3.5 goals 16%

20% Over 4.5 goals 12%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

44% Both teams scored 36%

20% Clean sheets 24%

40% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 12%

48% Draws 52%

32% Losses 36%

60% Over 0.5 goals 56%

44% Over 1.5 goals 16%

28% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton all matches

2

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

1

2

L

3

L

3

L

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

2

L

Dunfermline all matches

3

2

W

2

L

2

L

3

D

4

1

W

2

L

3

L

3

1

W

D

Hamilton before this match, at home

1.33points / match

1.25scored / match

1.67conceded / match

5 1 6

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:20

Dunfermline before this match, away

0.42points / match

0.58scored / match

1.50conceded / match

1 2 9

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 7:18

Hamilton at home away Dunfermline

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.58

1.67 Goals conceded 1.50

2.92 Total goals 2.08

8.83 Shots 8.92

4.08 Shots on target 3.42

10.25 Shots faced 9.00

5.00 Corners 4.17

5.25 Corners against 5.08

15.08 Fouls 12.08

2.08 Yellow cards 2.50

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.33

0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

42% Wins 8%

8% Draws 17%

50% Losses 75%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

83% Over 1.5 goals 67%

67% Over 2.5 goals 33%

33% Over 3.5 goals 8%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 33%

25% Clean sheets 8%

25% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%

58% Draws 33%

25% Losses 50%

58% Over 0.5 goals 67%

42% Over 1.5 goals 17%

33% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamilton at home

2

D

1

W

1

3

L

3

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

3

L

2

L

Dunfermline away

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

L

2

L

4

1

W

3

L

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamilton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Raith Rvs – Hamilton	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.08
18.02.25	Morton – Hamilton	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.20	2.03	1.83
15.02.25	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.40	3.80	1.73	2.08
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
28.01.25	Hamilton – Raith Rvs	0–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.10	2.50	2.05	1.75
25.01.25	Livingston – Hamilton	3–0 (2–0)	1.48	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00
10.01.25	Hamilton – Partick	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.60	2.10	1.75	2.05
28.12.24	Hamilton – Airdrie Utd	3–2 (2–2)	1.80	3.60	3.50	1.75	2.05
21.12.24	Falkirk – Hamilton	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	4.75	9.00	1.44	2.63
14.12.24	Hamilton – Queens Park	2–1 (2–1)	3.30	3.25	2.10	1.85	2.00

Dunfermline all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Dunfermline – Queens Park	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.70	3.10	2.08	1.73
15.02.25	Livingston – Dunfermline	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	4.75	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Dunfermline – Raith Rvs	3–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
25.01.25	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	3–0 (2–0)	4.10	3.25	1.83	2.15	1.63
14.01.25	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36
04.01.25	Partick – Dunfermline	1–4 (1–3)	1.73	4.10	3.60	2.08	1.73
27.12.24	Dunfermline – Falkirk	3–3 (1–1)	5.00	3.70	1.62	2.15	1.67
21.12.24	Morton – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.30	2.38	1.53
14.12.24	Raith Rvs – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.25	2.35	1.57
07.12.24	Dunfermline – Hamilton	3–2 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83

Hamilton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
28.01.25	Hamilton – Raith Rvs	0–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.10	2.50	2.05	1.75
10.01.25	Hamilton – Partick	1–2 (0–0)	2.90	3.60	2.10	1.75	2.05
28.12.24	Hamilton – Airdrie Utd	3–2 (2–2)	1.80	3.60	3.50	1.75	2.05
14.12.24	Hamilton – Queens Park	2–1 (2–1)	3.30	3.25	2.10	1.85	2.00
09.11.24	Hamilton – Livingston	1–3 (1–1)	3.40	3.20	1.95	2.00	1.85
26.10.24	Hamilton – Morton	3–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.60	2.80	1.98	1.88
18.10.24	Hamilton – Falkirk	1–3 (0–3)	5.75	3.90	1.55	1.62	2.25
28.09.24	Hamilton – Partick	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.25	1.70	2.10
31.08.24	Hamilton – Airdrie Utd	2–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.83	2.03

Dunfermline away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Livingston – Dunfermline	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	4.75	2.25	1.62
25.01.25	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	3–0 (2–0)	4.10	3.25	1.83	2.15	1.63
04.01.25	Partick – Dunfermline	1–4 (1–3)	1.73	4.10	3.60	2.08	1.73
21.12.24	Morton – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.30	2.38	1.53
14.12.24	Raith Rvs – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.25	2.35	1.57
23.11.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
09.11.24	Queens Park – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
26.10.24	Falkirk – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	1.42	4.10	6.50	1.93	1.93
05.10.24	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.30	2.60	2.00	1.85
21.09.24	Partick – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 2

Hamilton winsDrawsDunfermline wins

6matches

2.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.12.24SC1	Dunfermline – Hamilton	3–2 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83
24.08.24SC1	Hamilton – Dunfermline	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.85	2.00
12.03.22SC1	Hamilton – Dunfermline	2–2 (1–1)	2.10	3.10	3.50	2.15	1.66
15.01.22SC1	Dunfermline – Hamilton	1–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.10	2.30	2.10	1.70
04.12.21SC1	Hamilton – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.45	1.95	1.90
25.09.21SC1	Dunfermline – Hamilton	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	2.87	2.10	1.70

Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	25	16	5	4	49	23	+26	53
2	Livingston	25	14	7	4	34	18	+16	49
3	Ayr	25	14	6	5	41	22	+19	48
4	Partick	26	10	7	9	32	32	0	37
5	Raith Rvs	24	10	3	11	28	31	-3	33
6	Morton	24	7	10	7	25	29	-4	31
7	Queens Park	25	8	6	11	26	28	-2	30
8	Dunfermline	25	6	6	13	24	32	-8	24
9	Hamilton	25	7	3	15	29	47	-18	24
10	Airdrie Utd	24	3	5	16	19	45	-26	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	13	9	3	1	28	9	+19	30
2	Ayr	13	9	2	2	28	12	+16	29
3	Livingston	12	8	3	1	19	6	+13	27
4	Raith Rvs	13	8	2	3	20	11	+9	26
5	Partick	13	6	6	1	20	12	+8	24
6	Morton	12	5	4	3	15	10	+5	19
7	Dunfermline	13	5	4	4	17	14	+3	19
8	Queens Park	12	5	2	5	13	11	+2	17
9	Hamilton	12	5	1	6	15	20	-5	16
10	Airdrie Utd	11	3	2	6	9	18	-9	11

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	12	7	2	3	21	14	+7	23
2	Livingston	13	6	4	3	15	12	+3	22
3	Ayr	12	5	4	3	13	10	+3	19
4	Queens Park	13	3	4	6	13	17	-4	13
5	Partick	13	4	1	8	12	20	-8	13
6	Morton	12	2	6	4	10	19	-9	12
7	Hamilton	13	2	2	9	14	27	-13	8
8	Raith Rvs	11	2	1	8	8	20	-12	7
9	Dunfermline	12	1	2	9	7	18	-11	5
10	Airdrie Utd	13	0	3	10	10	27	-17	3

Hamilton Dunfermline

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Hamilton	25	9	16	1.2	1.9	7	3	15	29	47	24
2	1	Falkirk	25	13	12	2.0	0.9	16	5	4	49	23	53
3	2	Livingston	25	13	12	1.4	0.7	14	7	4	34	18	49
4	4	Partick	26	14	12	1.2	1.2	10	7	9	32	32	37
5	10	Airdrie Utd	24	12	12	0.8	1.9	3	5	16	19	45	14
6	7	Queens Park	25	14	11	1.0	1.1	8	6	11	26	28	30
7	5	Raith Rvs	24	14	10	1.2	1.3	10	3	11	28	31	33
8	3	Ayr	25	16	9	1.6	0.9	14	6	5	41	22	48
9	6	Morton	24	15	9	1.0	1.2	7	10	7	25	29	31
10	8	Dunfermline	25	16	9	1.0	1.3	6	6	13	24	32	24

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Falkirk	13	5	8	2.2	0.7	9	3	1	28	9	30
2	3	Ayr	13	5	8	2.2	0.9	9	2	2	28	12	29
3	9	Hamilton	12	4	8	1.2	1.7	5	1	6	15	20	16
4	4	Partick	13	7	6	1.5	0.9	6	6	1	20	12	24
5	2	Livingston	12	7	5	1.6	0.5	8	3	1	19	6	27
6	8	Dunfermline	13	8	5	1.3	1.1	5	4	4	17	14	19
7	10	Airdrie Utd	11	6	5	0.8	1.6	3	2	6	9	18	11
8	5	Raith Rvs	13	9	4	1.5	0.8	8	2	3	20	11	26
9	7	Queens Park	12	8	4	1.1	0.9	5	2	5	13	11	17
10	6	Morton	12	9	3	1.2	0.8	5	4	3	15	10	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Hamilton	13	5	8	1.1	2.1	2	2	9	14	27	8
2	2	Livingston	13	6	7	1.2	0.9	6	4	3	15	12	22
3	7	Queens Park	13	6	7	1.0	1.3	3	4	6	13	17	13
4	10	Airdrie Utd	13	6	7	0.8	2.1	0	3	10	10	27	3
5	4	Partick	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	4	1	8	12	20	13
6	5	Raith Rvs	11	5	6	0.7	1.8	2	1	8	8	20	7
7	6	Morton	12	6	6	0.8	1.6	2	6	4	10	19	12
8	1	Falkirk	12	8	4	1.8	1.2	7	2	3	21	14	23
9	8	Dunfermline	12	8	4	0.6	1.5	1	2	9	7	18	5
10	3	Ayr	12	11	1	1.1	0.8	5	4	3	13	10	19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.