Morton 2–0 Dunfermline
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
2.88
fair 3.08
Draw
3.10
fair 3.60
Away
2.25
fair 2.51
Under 2.5 ✓
1.57
fair 1.73
Over 2.5
2.35
fair 2.36
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Morton
Dunfermline
12
Shots
7
3
Shots on target
0
2
Corners
6
10
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (119 league matches this season so far).
Result
Dunfermline to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.93
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
33%
28%
40%
MortonDrawDunfermline
Under / Over 2.5 goals
58%
42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
52%
48%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
9%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
12%
4
9%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–0 10.4%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Morton
before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
0.96scored / match
1.25conceded / match
5
12
7
WonDrawnLost
24 played · 23:30
Dunfermline
before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.32scored / match
1.09conceded / match
8
5
9
WonDrawnLost
22 played · 29:24
Morton all matches
all matches Dunfermline
Per match
0.96
Goals scored
1.32
1.25
Goals conceded
1.09
2.21
Total goals
2.41
8.21
Shots
8.73
3.04
Shots on target
4.00
11.42
Shots faced
8.45
4.63
Corners
4.91
5.83
Corners against
5.00
12.63
Fouls
10.68
2.46
Yellow cards
2.23
0.42
1st-half goals scored
0.68
0.54
1st-half goals conceded
0.64
How often Full Time
21%
Wins
36%
50%
Draws
23%
29%
Losses
41%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
91%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
17%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
8%
Over 4.5 goals
14%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
58%
Both teams scored
36%
21%
Clean sheets
41%
33%
Failed to score
32%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
36%
38%
Draws
27%
29%
Losses
36%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
82%
17%
Over 1.5 goals
41%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
9%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Morton all matches
3
W
1
L
2
1
W
1
L
5
L
1
1
D
2
3
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
D
Dunfermline all matches
1
W
2
2
D
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
3
L
2
1
W
1
W
2
L
Morton
before this match, at home
1.25points / match
0.83scored / match
1.08conceded / match
3
6
3
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 10:13
Dunfermline
before this match, away
1.55points / match
1.55scored / match
0.91conceded / match
5
2
4
WonDrawnLost
11 played · 17:10
Morton at home
away Dunfermline
Per match
0.83
Goals scored
1.55
1.08
Goals conceded
0.91
1.92
Total goals
2.45
10.08
Shots
8.64
3.58
Shots on target
3.55
11.83
Shots faced
8.27
4.50
Corners
5.36
5.67
Corners against
5.36
13.67
Fouls
10.64
2.75
Yellow cards
2.27
0.42
1st-half goals scored
0.82
0.58
1st-half goals conceded
0.45
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
45%
50%
Draws
18%
25%
Losses
36%
83%
Over 0.5 goals
91%
58%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
17%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
18%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
36%
25%
Clean sheets
45%
42%
Failed to score
27%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
45%
42%
Draws
18%
25%
Losses
36%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
82%
17%
Over 1.5 goals
36%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
9%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Morton at home
1
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
4
L
1
W
2
1
W
1
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
D
Dunfermline away
2
L
5
W
1
2
L
4
W
2
3
L
1
W
1
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Morton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.02.26 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 31.01.26 | Morton – Ross County | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 03.01.26 | Partick – Morton | 3–2 (0–2) | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.12.25 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 05.12.25 | Morton – Queens Park | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 15.11.25 | Ross County – Morton | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Dunfermline all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | Dunfermline – Airdrie Utd | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 24.01.26 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Raith Rvs – Dunfermline | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 13.12.25 | Queens Park – Dunfermline | 1–1 (1–0) | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.12.25 | Dunfermline – Arbroath | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 25.11.25 | Partick – Dunfermline | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.33 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 08.11.25 | Dunfermline – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.10.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
Morton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.02.26 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 31.01.26 | Morton – Ross County | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 13.12.25 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 05.12.25 | Morton – Queens Park | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.11.25 | Morton – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 25.10.25 | Morton – St Johnstone | 0–4 (0–4) | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 11.10.25 | Morton – Partick | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | Morton – Ross County | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 06.09.25 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.75 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Dunfermline away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.01.26 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Raith Rvs – Dunfermline | 1–2 (0–2) | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 13.12.25 | Queens Park – Dunfermline | 1–1 (1–0) | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 25.11.25 | Partick – Dunfermline | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.33 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.10.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 25.10.25 | Ross County – Dunfermline | 3–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 21.10.25 | Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline | 0–4 (0–2) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 19.09.25 | St Johnstone – Dunfermline | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 13.09.25 | Arbroath – Dunfermline | 0–5 (0–2) | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 22.08.25 | Raith Rvs – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 4 5
Morton winsDrawsDunfermline wins
14matches
2.57goals / match
50%over 2.5
43%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.11.25SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 02.08.25SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.60 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
| 02.05.25SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 01.03.25SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 21.12.24SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 19.10.24SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 23.03.24SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 03.02.24SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 0–5 (0–2) | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.11.23SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 1–2 (0–2) | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 23.09.23SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 3–1 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 18.03.22SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.87 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 08.01.22SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 5–0 (3–0) | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.11.21SC1 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–3 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 31.07.21SC1 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 20 | +26 | 49 |
| 2 | Partick | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 28 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 37 |
| 4 | Ayr | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 32 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 29 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 26 | +2 | 29 |
| 7 | Morton | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 27 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 24 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 23 |
| 10 | Ross County | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 9 | +17 | 26 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Morton | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 6 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Dunfermline | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Ross County | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 8 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ayr | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Airdrie Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | Partick | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 8 | Morton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Ross County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 11 |
Morton Dunfermline
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 24 | 12 | 12 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 28 | 44 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbroath | 24 | 12 | 12 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | 8 | Queens Park | 23 | 11 | 12 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 |
| 5 | 10 | Ross County | 24 | 12 | 12 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 39 | 22 |
| 6 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 25 | 15 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 33 | 23 |
| 7 | 4 | Ayr | 23 | 14 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | 5 | Dunfermline | 22 | 13 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 25 | 16 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 29 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 24 | 15 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 30 | 27 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 13 | 6 | 7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | 10 | Ross County | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | 3 | Arbroath | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | 8 | Queens Park | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | Ayr | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | Morton | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | 3 | Arbroath | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 3 | 8 | Queens Park | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | 4 | Ayr | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 6 | 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | 7 | Morton | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | 10 | Ross County | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
