Hamilton 3–1 Kelty Hearts
Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.30
fair 1.79
Draw
4.75
fair 4.45
Away
8.00
fair 4.65
Under 2.5
2.25
fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓
1.62
fair 1.77
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hamilton
Kelty Hearts
7
Shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
1
Corners
7
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (69 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hamilton to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.80
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
56%
23%
22%
HamiltonDrawKelty Hearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
44%
56%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
17%
4
18%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
1–0 9.9%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
2.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
7
3
4
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 28:12
Kelty Hearts
before this match, all matches
0.64points / match
0.86scored / match
2.00conceded / match
2
3
9
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 12:28
Hamilton all matches
all matches Kelty Hearts
Per match
2.00
Goals scored
0.86
0.86
Goals conceded
2.00
2.86
Total goals
2.86
10.86
Shots
6.29
5.71
Shots on target
2.79
8.14
Shots faced
13.71
4.57
Corners
3.29
3.21
Corners against
6.57
9.50
Fouls
11.14
1.50
Yellow cards
2.64
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.50
0.29
1st-half goals conceded
1.07
How often Full Time
50%
Wins
14%
21%
Draws
21%
29%
Losses
64%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
86%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
64%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
36%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
7%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
50%
43%
Clean sheets
7%
14%
Failed to score
43%
How often Half Time
57%
Wins
21%
29%
Draws
29%
14%
Losses
50%
79%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
36%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton all matches
D
2
2
D
4
W
2
W
3
1
W
4
W
1
2
L
1
1
D
3
W
1
2
L
Kelty Hearts all matches
1
L
4
L
2
W
1
2
L
2
L
2
2
D
3
L
3
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
Hamilton
before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.71scored / match
0.71conceded / match
4
1
2
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 12:5
Kelty Hearts
before this match, away
1.14points / match
1.43scored / match
1.71conceded / match
2
2
3
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 10:12
Hamilton at home
away Kelty Hearts
Per match
1.71
Goals scored
1.43
0.71
Goals conceded
1.71
2.43
Total goals
3.14
10.43
Shots
6.29
5.57
Shots on target
2.71
8.86
Shots faced
15.00
4.14
Corners
3.00
3.57
Corners against
6.00
8.57
Fouls
11.00
1.00
Yellow cards
3.29
0.86
1st-half goals scored
0.86
0.14
1st-half goals conceded
0.86
How often Full Time
57%
Wins
29%
14%
Draws
29%
29%
Losses
43%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
86%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
86%
14%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
43%
Both teams scored
71%
57%
Clean sheets
14%
14%
Failed to score
14%
How often Half Time
71%
Wins
43%
14%
Draws
29%
14%
Losses
29%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
14%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hamilton at home
3
L
D
3
L
2
W
1
2
L
D
2
W
3
1
W
1
2
L
3
W
Kelty Hearts away
1
2
L
2
W
2
2
D
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
2
L
2
W
2
2
D
3
L
2
2
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.11.25 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 2–1 (2–1) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.73 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 08.11.25 | Hamilton – Peterhead | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 01.11.25 | East Fife – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 24.10.25 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 18.10.25 | Montrose – Hamilton | 0–4 (0–1) | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 04.10.25 | Hamilton – Inverness C | 3–1 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 27.09.25 | Hamilton – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 20.09.25 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–4 (0–3) | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 13.09.25 | Peterhead – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.08.25 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
Kelty Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.11.25 | Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.73 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 08.11.25 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.50 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 01.11.25 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.48 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 25.10.25 | Kelty Hearts – East Fife | 0–3 (0–1) | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 18.10.25 | Inverness C – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (1–2) | 1.17 | 6.25 | 13.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 07.10.25 | Kelty Hearts – Alloa | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 04.10.25 | Kelty Hearts – Peterhead | 1–2 (1–1) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.09.25 | Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 20.09.25 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–4 (0–3) | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 13.09.25 | Kelty Hearts – Stenhousemuir | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
Hamilton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.11.25 | Hamilton – Peterhead | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.10.25 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 04.10.25 | Hamilton – Inverness C | 3–1 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 27.09.25 | Hamilton – Stenhousemuir | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.08.25 | Hamilton – Cove Rangers | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 16.08.25 | Hamilton – East Fife | 1–2 (1–0) | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 02.08.25 | Hamilton – Montrose | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
| 26.04.25SC1 | Hamilton – Livingston | 0–3 (0–2) | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.65 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 19.04.25SC1 | Hamilton – Queens Park | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.70 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 29.03.25SC1 | Hamilton – Raith Rvs | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
Kelty Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.11.25 | Stenhousemuir – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (0–1) | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.50 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 01.11.25 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.48 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 18.10.25 | Inverness C – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (1–2) | 1.17 | 6.25 | 13.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 27.09.25 | Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 30.08.25 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.55 | 3.70 | 5.25 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 23.08.25 | East Fife – Kelty Hearts | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 09.08.25 | Montrose – Kelty Hearts | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 26.04.25 | Cove Rangers – Kelty Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 12.04.25 | Inverness C – Kelty Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.38 | 3.90 | 7.00 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 29.03.25 | Annan Athletic – Kelty Hearts | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 1
Hamilton winsDrawsKelty Hearts wins
5matches
3.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.09.25SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–4 (0–3) | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 04.05.24SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 02.03.24SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–5 (0–3) | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 23.12.23SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 12.08.23SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Scotland League One table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 | Alloa | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 | East Fife | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Queen of Sth | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Montrose | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 12 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 9 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Peterhead | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 | East Fife | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | Hamilton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Queen of Sth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Montrose | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Alloa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 11 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Queen of Sth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | East Fife | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Montrose | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
Hamilton Kelty Hearts
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Peterhead | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 2 | 9 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 4 | 10 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | 6 | Queen of Sth | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | 8 | Montrose | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | East Fife | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 7 | 10 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | Inverness C | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 31 |
| 9 | 3 | Alloa | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 10 | 4 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 23 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Montrose | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | Peterhead | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | Hamilton | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | 4 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | Queen of Sth | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | 9 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | Inverness C | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | 10 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | Alloa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | East Fife | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Peterhead | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | Hamilton | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | East Fife | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | Queen of Sth | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | Alloa | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | Inverness C | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | 8 | Montrose | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
