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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: D Dickinson

St Mirren 2–2 Hearts

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.63 fair 2.29
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 3.97
Away 2.70 fair 3.21
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

St Mirren Hearts
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 4
19 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (205 league matches this season so far).
Result St Mirren to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

St Mirren before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.15scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 39:51
Hearts before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.65scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 56:51
St Mirren all matches all matches Hearts

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.65
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
2.65 Total goals 3.15
11.79 Shots 12.15
3.32 Shots on target 4.18
12.26 Shots faced 14.03
5.38 Corners 5.35
5.18 Corners against 5.15
13.09 Fouls 10.15
2.15 Yellow cards 1.65
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

35% Wins 41%
24% Draws 18%
41% Losses 41%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
74% Over 1.5 goals 85%
50% Over 2.5 goals 62%
26% Over 3.5 goals 38%
12% Over 4.5 goals 21%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 18%
29% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 38%
38% Draws 35%
32% Losses 26%
71% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 41%
12% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Mirren all matches
Hearts all matches
St Mirren before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.24scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:16
Hearts before this match, away
0.82points / match
0.94scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:26
St Mirren at home away Hearts

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 0.94
0.94 Goals conceded 1.53
2.18 Total goals 2.47
11.18 Shots 10.00
3.24 Shots on target 2.94
11.47 Shots faced 14.35
5.59 Corners 5.29
5.59 Corners against 4.88
13.24 Fouls 10.47
2.06 Yellow cards 2.00
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

53% Wins 18%
24% Draws 29%
24% Losses 53%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
59% Over 1.5 goals 76%
35% Over 2.5 goals 47%
18% Over 3.5 goals 24%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 47%
41% Clean sheets 12%
24% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 24%
41% Draws 41%
12% Losses 35%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
24% Over 1.5 goals 35%
6% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

St Mirren at home
Hearts away

Last 10 matches before this match

St Mirren all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
22.04.23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Rangers – St Mirren 5–2 (1–1) 1.186.5017.00 1.57 2.38
08.04.23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 St Mirren – Livingston 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.62
18.03.23 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 2.10 1.73
05.03.23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5 (1–0) 13.006.001.22 1.57 2.38
25.02.23 St Johnstone – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.102.63 2.38 1.57
18.02.23 St Mirren – Ross County 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.20 2.00 1.80
15.02.23 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.203.00 2.20 1.67

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Hearts – Celtic 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
22.04.23 Hearts – Ross County 6–1 (4–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.05
15.04.23 Hibernian – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.25 1.80 2.00
08.04.23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
18.03.23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00
08.03.23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
04.03.23 Hearts – St Johnstone 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.93 1.93
19.02.23 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
04.02.23 Hearts – Dundee United 3–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.73 2.10

St Mirren at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.73
01.04.23 St Mirren – Livingston 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.62
05.03.23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5 (1–0) 13.006.001.22 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 St Mirren – Ross County 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.20 2.00 1.80
04.02.23 St Mirren – Hibernian 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.60 2.10 1.73
28.01.23 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.67
07.01.23 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 1.90 1.95
24.12.22 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.63 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 St Mirren – Rangers 1–1 (0–0) 7.504.751.40 1.72 2.10
09.11.22 St Mirren – St Johnstone 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.61

Hearts away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Hibernian – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.25 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
18.03.23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00
08.03.23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
19.02.23 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
29.01.23 Livingston – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.98 1.88
07.01.23 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 1.90 1.95
28.12.22 St Johnstone – Hearts 2–3 (0–2) 3.003.402.30 2.02 1.83
24.12.22 Dundee United – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.502.30 1.85 2.00
09.11.22 Rangers – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
17%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
13.01.23SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00
07.01.23SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 1.90 1.95
26.02.22SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.72
27.11.21SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.755.00 2.00 1.85
07.08.21SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.37 2.10 1.72

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 35 31 2 2 105 28 +77 95
2 Rangers 35 27 4 4 85 34 +51 85
3 Aberdeen 34 17 2 15 52 53 -1 53
4 Hearts 34 14 6 14 56 51 +5 48
5 Hibernian 34 14 5 15 51 53 -2 47
6 St Mirren 34 12 8 14 39 51 -12 44
7 Livingston 34 12 6 16 33 54 -21 42
8 Motherwell 34 11 7 16 46 48 -2 40
9 St Johnstone 34 10 6 18 35 54 -19 36
10 Dundee United 34 8 7 19 36 59 -23 31
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 7 19 29 60 -31 31
12 Ross County 34 8 6 20 30 52 -22 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 18 16 2 0 48 11 +37 50
2 Celtic 17 16 1 0 51 12 +39 49
3 Aberdeen 17 12 1 4 38 14 +24 37
4 Hearts 17 11 1 5 40 25 +15 34
5 St Mirren 17 9 4 4 21 16 +5 31
6 Hibernian 17 9 3 5 31 22 +9 30
7 Livingston 17 8 4 5 19 20 -1 28
8 Kilmarnock 16 7 5 4 21 24 -3 26
9 Dundee United 17 6 2 9 22 29 -7 20
10 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 22 26 -4 18
11 Ross County 18 5 3 10 19 27 -8 18
12 St Johnstone 17 4 4 9 16 23 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 18 15 1 2 54 16 +38 46
2 Rangers 17 11 2 4 37 23 +14 35
3 Motherwell 17 6 4 7 24 22 +2 22
4 St Johnstone 17 6 2 9 19 31 -12 20
5 Hibernian 17 5 2 10 20 31 -11 17
6 Aberdeen 17 5 1 11 14 39 -25 16
7 Hearts 17 3 5 9 16 26 -10 14
8 Livingston 17 4 2 11 14 34 -20 14
9 St Mirren 17 3 4 10 18 35 -17 13
10 Ross County 16 3 3 10 11 25 -14 12
11 Dundee United 17 2 5 10 14 30 -16 11
12 Kilmarnock 18 1 2 15 8 36 -28 5

St Mirren   Hearts

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 35 9 26 3.0 0.8 31 2 2 105 28 95
2 2 Rangers 35 10 25 2.4 1.0 27 4 4 85 34 85
3 4 Hearts 34 13 21 1.6 1.5 14 6 14 56 51 48
4 3 Aberdeen 34 14 20 1.5 1.6 17 2 15 52 53 53
5 5 Hibernian 34 14 20 1.5 1.6 14 5 15 51 53 47
6 8 Motherwell 34 15 19 1.4 1.4 11 7 16 46 48 40
7 10 Dundee United 34 16 18 1.1 1.7 8 7 19 36 59 31
8 6 St Mirren 34 17 17 1.1 1.5 12 8 14 39 51 44
9 7 Livingston 34 17 17 1.0 1.6 12 6 16 33 54 42
10 9 St Johnstone 34 17 17 1.0 1.6 10 6 18 35 54 36
11 11 Kilmarnock 34 18 16 0.9 1.8 8 7 19 29 60 31
12 12 Ross County 34 20 14 0.9 1.5 8 6 20 30 52 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 17 4 13 3.0 0.7 16 1 0 51 12 49
2 4 Hearts 17 4 13 2.4 1.5 11 1 5 40 25 34
3 2 Rangers 18 6 12 2.7 0.6 16 2 0 48 11 50
4 5 Hibernian 17 6 11 1.8 1.3 9 3 5 31 22 30
5 8 Motherwell 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 3 9 22 26 18
6 10 Dundee United 17 7 10 1.3 1.7 6 2 9 22 29 20
7 3 Aberdeen 17 8 9 2.2 0.8 12 1 4 38 14 37
8 11 Kilmarnock 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 7 5 4 21 24 26
9 7 Livingston 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 8 4 5 19 20 28
10 12 Ross County 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 5 3 10 19 27 18
11 6 St Mirren 17 11 6 1.2 0.9 9 4 4 21 16 31
12 9 St Johnstone 17 11 6 0.9 1.4 4 4 9 16 23 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 18 5 13 3.0 0.9 15 1 2 54 16 46
2 2 Rangers 17 4 13 2.2 1.4 11 2 4 37 23 35
3 3 Aberdeen 17 6 11 0.8 2.3 5 1 11 14 39 16
4 6 St Mirren 17 6 11 1.1 2.1 3 4 10 18 35 13
5 9 St Johnstone 17 6 11 1.1 1.8 6 2 9 19 31 20
6 5 Hibernian 17 8 9 1.2 1.8 5 2 10 20 31 17
7 7 Livingston 17 8 9 0.8 2.0 4 2 11 14 34 14
8 4 Hearts 17 9 8 0.9 1.5 3 5 9 16 26 14
9 8 Motherwell 17 9 8 1.4 1.3 6 4 7 24 22 22
10 10 Dundee United 17 9 8 0.8 1.8 2 5 10 14 30 11
11 11 Kilmarnock 18 11 7 0.4 2.0 1 2 15 8 36 5
12 12 Ross County 16 9 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 10 11 25 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51