St Mirren 2–2 Hearts
Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023
Home
2.63
fair 2.29
Draw ✓
3.25
fair 3.97
Away
2.70
fair 3.21
Under 2.5
1.85
fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓
2.00
fair 1.91
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
13
Shots
11
7
Shots on target
6
7
Corners
4
19
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
1
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (205 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.79
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
44%
25%
31%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
48%
52%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
44%
56%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
17%
1
24%
2
22%
3
15%
4
15%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9%
1–0 9.5%
2–1 9.1%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.15scored / match
1.50conceded / match
12
8
14
WonDrawnLost
34 played · 39:51
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.65scored / match
1.50conceded / match
14
6
14
WonDrawnLost
34 played · 56:51
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
1.15
Goals scored
1.65
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.65
Total goals
3.15
11.79
Shots
12.15
3.32
Shots on target
4.18
12.26
Shots faced
14.03
5.38
Corners
5.35
5.18
Corners against
5.15
13.09
Fouls
10.15
2.15
Yellow cards
1.65
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.82
0.65
1st-half goals conceded
0.56
How often Full Time
35%
Wins
41%
24%
Draws
18%
41%
Losses
41%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
74%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
26%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
12%
Over 4.5 goals
21%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
47%
Both teams scored
50%
29%
Clean sheets
18%
29%
Failed to score
35%
How often Half Time
29%
Wins
38%
38%
Draws
35%
32%
Losses
26%
71%
Over 0.5 goals
74%
32%
Over 1.5 goals
41%
12%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
1
2
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
5
L
1
1
D
3
W
2
W
2
5
L
2
L
1
2
L
Hearts all matches
3
1
W
2
L
3
W
1
3
L
3
L
1
2
L
2
L
1
L
6
1
W
2
L
St Mirren
before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.24scored / match
0.94conceded / match
9
4
4
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 21:16
Hearts
before this match, away
0.82points / match
0.94scored / match
1.53conceded / match
3
5
9
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 16:26
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
1.24
Goals scored
0.94
0.94
Goals conceded
1.53
2.18
Total goals
2.47
11.18
Shots
10.00
3.24
Shots on target
2.94
11.47
Shots faced
14.35
5.59
Corners
5.29
5.59
Corners against
4.88
13.24
Fouls
10.47
2.06
Yellow cards
2.00
0.71
1st-half goals scored
0.53
0.29
1st-half goals conceded
0.71
How often Full Time
53%
Wins
18%
24%
Draws
29%
24%
Losses
53%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
59%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
35%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
18%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
6%
Over 4.5 goals
6%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
41%
Both teams scored
47%
41%
Clean sheets
12%
24%
Failed to score
47%
How often Half Time
47%
Wins
24%
41%
Draws
41%
12%
Losses
35%
71%
Over 0.5 goals
71%
24%
Over 1.5 goals
35%
6%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
2
2
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
1
1
D
1
W
1
L
1
W
1
5
L
3
W
2
L
Hearts away
1
L
2
2
D
3
2
W
1
1
D
D
2
L
1
3
L
3
L
1
2
L
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.05.23 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 22.04.23 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 15.04.23 | Rangers – St Mirren | 5–2 (1–1) | 1.18 | 6.50 | 17.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 08.04.23 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 01.04.23 | St Mirren – Livingston | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 18.03.23 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 05.03.23 | St Mirren – Celtic | 1–5 (1–0) | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 25.02.23 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 18.02.23 | St Mirren – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 15.02.23 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.05.23 | Hearts – Celtic | 0–2 (0–0) | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 22.04.23 | Hearts – Ross County | 6–1 (4–0) | 1.70 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| 15.04.23 | Hibernian – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 08.04.23 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 01.04.23 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 18.03.23 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 08.03.23 | Celtic – Hearts | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.18 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 04.03.23 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.70 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 19.02.23 | Motherwell – Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 04.02.23 | Hearts – Dundee United | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.70 | 3.75 | 5.25 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.04.23 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.04.23 | St Mirren – Livingston | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 05.03.23 | St Mirren – Celtic | 1–5 (1–0) | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.02.23 | St Mirren – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 04.02.23 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 28.01.23 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 07.01.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 24.12.22 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 12.11.22 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.22 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.04.23 | Hibernian – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 01.04.23 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 18.03.23 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 3–0 (3–0) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 08.03.23 | Celtic – Hearts | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.18 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 19.02.23 | Motherwell – Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.01.23 | Livingston – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 07.01.23 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 28.12.22 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 2–3 (0–2) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 24.12.22 | Dundee United – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 09.11.22 | Rangers – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1 1 4
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
17%over 2.5
33%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 35 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 105 | 28 | +77 | 95 |
| 2 | Rangers | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 85 | 34 | +51 | 85 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 34 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 56 | 51 | +5 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 47 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 30 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 11 | +37 | 50 |
| 2 | Celtic | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 12 | +39 | 49 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 14 | +24 | 37 |
| 4 | Hearts | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 25 | +15 | 34 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 31 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 22 | +9 | 30 |
| 7 | Livingston | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 28 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Ross County | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 54 | 16 | +38 | 46 |
| 2 | Rangers | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 35 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 22 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 16 |
| 7 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 8 | Livingston | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 14 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 13 |
| 10 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 12 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 5 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 35 | 9 | 26 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 105 | 28 | 95 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 35 | 10 | 25 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 85 | 34 | 85 |
| 3 | 4 | Hearts | 34 | 13 | 21 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 48 |
| 4 | 3 | Aberdeen | 34 | 14 | 20 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 53 | 53 |
| 5 | 5 | Hibernian | 34 | 14 | 20 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 53 | 47 |
| 6 | 8 | Motherwell | 34 | 15 | 19 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 48 | 40 |
| 7 | 10 | Dundee United | 34 | 16 | 18 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 59 | 31 |
| 8 | 6 | St Mirren | 34 | 17 | 17 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 51 | 44 |
| 9 | 7 | Livingston | 34 | 17 | 17 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 54 | 42 |
| 10 | 9 | St Johnstone | 34 | 17 | 17 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 35 | 54 | 36 |
| 11 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 34 | 18 | 16 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 60 | 31 |
| 12 | 12 | Ross County | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 52 | 30 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 17 | 4 | 13 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 12 | 49 |
| 2 | 4 | Hearts | 17 | 4 | 13 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 18 | 6 | 12 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 11 | 50 |
| 4 | 5 | Hibernian | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | 8 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 18 |
| 6 | 10 | Dundee United | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 20 |
| 7 | 3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 8 | 9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 14 | 37 |
| 8 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 9 | 7 | Livingston | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 28 |
| 10 | 12 | Ross County | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 18 |
| 11 | 6 | St Mirren | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 31 |
| 12 | 9 | St Johnstone | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 16 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 18 | 5 | 13 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 54 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 17 | 4 | 13 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | 3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 6 | 11 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 4 | 6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 35 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | St Johnstone | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 20 |
| 6 | 5 | Hibernian | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 31 | 17 |
| 7 | 7 | Livingston | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 34 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | Hearts | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | Motherwell | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | 10 | Dundee United | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 36 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | Ross County | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51