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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 4–1 Vallecano

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.13 fair 1.69
Draw 9.50 fair 4.89
Away 19.00 fair 4.91
Under 2.5 3.75 fair 2.80
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.29 fair 1.55

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Vallecano
24 Shots 18
11 Shots on target 7
2.61 Expected goals (xG) 1.22
11 Corners 5
9 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (45 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.13 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.2% 2–0 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:3
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.75scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:10
Real Madrid all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.75
0.75 Goals conceded 2.50
3.25 Total goals 4.25
2.93 xG created 1.25
0.82 xG allowed 1.88
20.00 Shots 10.25
8.75 Shots on target 5.25
10.50 Shots faced 15.75
7.75 Corners 6.25
4.75 Corners against 5.75
9.00 Fouls 14.50
2.25 Yellow cards 2.25
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
25% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 100%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
75% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Vallecano all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 8:1
Vallecano before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.50scored / match
3.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:7
Real Madrid at home away Vallecano

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 3.50
4.50 Total goals 5.00
2.77 xG created 1.49
0.64 xG allowed 2.51
19.50 Shots 8.50
9.50 Shots on target 4.00
12.00 Shots faced 19.50
6.50 Corners 3.50
6.50 Corners against 5.00
8.00 Fouls 14.50
1.50 Yellow cards 2.50
2.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 50%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.09.26 Betis – Real Madrid 1–0 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.36 3.20
30.08.26 Real Madrid – Malaga 4–0 (3–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.33 3.40
26.08.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (1–1) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
22.08.26 Espanol – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.44 1.73 2.10
23.05.26 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 4–2 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Sevilla – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.10
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
10.05.26 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–0 (2–0) 1.625.004.33 1.25 4.00
03.05.26 Espanol – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.901.73 1.57 2.38
24.04.26 Betis – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 3.704.201.85 1.50 2.63

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Vallecano – Santander 3–2 (2–2) 2.253.253.30 1.83 2.03
31.08.26 Barcelona – Vallecano 5–2 (2–1) 1.178.0013.00 1.36 3.20
20.08.26 Vallecano – Alaves 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44
15.08.26 Sevilla – Vallecano 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.30 1.62
23.05.26 Alaves – Vallecano 1–2 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.98 1.88
17.05.26 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.63 1.73 2.10
14.05.26 Valencia – Vallecano 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
11.05.26 Vallecano – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 1.83 2.03
03.05.26 Getafe – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.20 2.75 1.44
26.04.26 Vallecano – Sociedad 3–3 (1–1) 2.703.102.70 2.00 1.80

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.26 Real Madrid – Malaga 4–0 (3–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.33 3.40
26.08.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (1–1) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
23.05.26 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 4–2 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
21.04.26 Real Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 3.00
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03
14.02.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (3–1) 1.335.258.00 1.44 2.75

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.26 Barcelona – Vallecano 5–2 (2–1) 1.178.0013.00 1.36 3.20
15.08.26 Sevilla – Vallecano 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.30 1.62
23.05.26 Alaves – Vallecano 1–2 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.98 1.88
14.05.26 Valencia – Vallecano 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
03.05.26 Getafe – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.20 2.75 1.44
12.04.26 Mallorca – Vallecano 3–0 (2–0) 2.383.253.00 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Barcelona – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 1.257.009.50 1.36 3.20
08.03.26 Sevilla – Vallecano 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Betis – Vallecano 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.404.33 1.93 1.93
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsVallecano wins
10matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
70%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
09.11.25SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38
09.03.25SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–1) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.32
14.12.24SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–3 (2–2) 6.003.801.57 1.89 2.01
18.02.24SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–1) 6.003.751.62 1.88 2.02
05.11.23SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
24.05.23SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.62 2.30
07.11.22SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 4.754.201.65 1.72 2.10
26.02.22SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.66 1.86 2.04
06.11.21SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.50

Spain La Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 17 2 +15 12
2 Alaves 5 3 1 1 11 5 +6 10
3 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
4 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 10 3 +7 9
5 Betis 4 3 0 1 5 5 0 9
6 La Coruna 4 2 2 0 8 5 +3 8
7 Espanol 5 2 1 2 8 5 +3 7
8 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
9 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
10 Santander 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
11 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7
12 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 5 8 -3 7
13 Levante 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
14 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 7 10 -3 4
15 Getafe 4 1 1 2 2 5 -3 4
16 Celta 5 0 3 2 2 5 -3 3
17 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 6 8 -2 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
19 Elche 5 0 2 3 6 13 -7 2
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 1 10 -9 1
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Segunda División

Copa del Rey winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Alaves 3 3 0 0 9 2 +7 9
2 Santander 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7
3 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 8 1 +7 6
4 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 7 2 +5 6
5 Betis 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
6 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 4 4 0 6
7 Espanol 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
8 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
9 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
10 Ath Bilbao 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
11 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
12 Getafe 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
13 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
14 Osasuna 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Levante 1 1 0 0 5 2 +3 3
16 Malaga 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
17 Valencia 3 0 1 2 0 6 -6 1
18 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
19 Celta 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
20 Elche 2 0 0 2 2 8 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 10 0 +10 6
2 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
3 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
4 Espanol 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
5 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
6 Real Madrid 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
7 Celta 3 0 3 0 1 1 0 3
8 Ath Madrid 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
9 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 4 6 -2 3
10 Betis 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
11 Sociedad 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
12 Elche 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
13 Villarreal 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
14 Levante 3 0 2 1 0 3 -3 2
15 Alaves 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Santander 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
17 Valencia 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
18 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
19 Getafe 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
20 Malaga 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

Real Madrid   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Santander 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
2 1 Barcelona 4 1 3 4.2 0.5 4 0 0 17 2 12
3 2 Alaves 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 1 11 5 10
4 3 Sevilla 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
5 4 Real Madrid 4 1 3 2.5 0.8 3 0 1 10 3 9
6 7 Espanol 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 1 2 8 5 7
7 9 Ath Madrid 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
8 11 Sociedad 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7
9 14 Vallecano 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 1 1 2 7 10 4
10 17 Villarreal 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 2 2 6 8 2
11 19 Elche 5 2 3 1.2 2.6 0 2 3 6 13 2
12 6 La Coruna 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 2 0 8 5 8
13 8 Ath Bilbao 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
14 12 Osasuna 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 2 1 2 5 8 7
15 13 Levante 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
16 20 Valencia 5 3 2 0.2 2.0 0 1 4 1 10 1
17 5 Betis 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 3 0 1 5 5 9
18 15 Getafe 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 2 2 5 4
19 16 Celta 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 0 3 2 2 5 3
20 18 Malaga 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Santander 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7
2 2 Alaves 3 1 2 3.0 0.7 3 0 0 9 2 9
3 3 Sevilla 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 2 0 1 4 4 6
4 4 Real Madrid 2 0 2 4.0 0.5 2 0 0 8 1 6
5 7 Espanol 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
6 8 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
7 19 Elche 2 0 2 1.0 4.0 0 0 2 2 8 0
8 1 Barcelona 2 1 1 3.5 1.0 2 0 0 7 2 6
9 6 La Coruna 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
10 9 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
11 11 Sociedad 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
12 13 Levante 1 0 1 5.0 2.0 1 0 0 5 2 3
13 14 Vallecano 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
14 16 Celta 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
15 17 Villarreal 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
16 20 Valencia 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 1 2 0 6 1
17 5 Betis 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
18 12 Osasuna 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
19 15 Getafe 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
20 18 Malaga 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 2 0 2 5.0 0.0 2 0 0 10 0 6
2 9 Ath Madrid 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
3 11 Sociedad 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
4 12 Osasuna 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 1 0 1 4 6 3
5 14 Vallecano 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
6 17 Villarreal 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
7 2 Alaves 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
8 3 Sevilla 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
9 4 Real Madrid 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
10 5 Betis 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
11 6 La Coruna 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
12 7 Espanol 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
13 10 Santander 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
14 13 Levante 3 2 1 0.0 1.0 0 2 1 0 3 2
15 15 Getafe 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
16 18 Malaga 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
17 19 Elche 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
18 20 Valencia 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
19 8 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
20 16 Celta 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 0 3 0 1 1 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51