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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Rotherham 0–1 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.33 fair 3.24
Draw 3.50 fair 4.05
Away ✓ 1.85 fair 2.25
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rotherham Watford
19 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 6
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (381 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.58
Home / Draw / Away
RotherhamDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Rotherham before this match, all matches
0.61points / match
0.84scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 26:59
Watford before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.50scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 48:45
Rotherham all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.50
1.90 Goals conceded 1.41
2.74 Total goals 2.91
7.55 Shots 13.59
2.39 Shots on target 4.31
15.71 Shots faced 12.44
3.48 Corners 5.44
7.45 Corners against 4.72
10.84 Fouls 12.44
1.84 Yellow cards 2.34
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.66
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

10% Wins 31%
32% Draws 34%
58% Losses 34%
97% Over 0.5 goals 91%
90% Over 1.5 goals 75%
52% Over 2.5 goals 53%
23% Over 3.5 goals 34%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
58% Both teams scored 56%
10% Clean sheets 25%
35% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 6%
52% Draws 66%
39% Losses 28%
68% Over 0.5 goals 63%
39% Over 1.5 goals 47%
6% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rotherham all matches
Watford all matches
Rotherham before this match, at home
0.94points / match
1.06scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:22
Watford before this match, away
1.31points / match
1.38scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:24
Rotherham at home away Watford

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded 1.50
2.44 Total goals 2.88
8.00 Shots 11.38
2.69 Shots on target 3.38
14.31 Shots faced 15.56
3.81 Corners 3.69
7.69 Corners against 6.38
9.81 Fouls 13.25
1.50 Yellow cards 2.69
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

19% Wins 31%
38% Draws 38%
44% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
44% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
69% Both teams scored 56%
13% Clean sheets 19%
19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 0%
56% Draws 69%
25% Losses 31%
63% Over 0.5 goals 56%
31% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rotherham at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rotherham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Rotherham – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 5.003.401.80 2.30 1.60
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
01.01.24 Blackburn – Rotherham 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
29.12.23 Rotherham – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 6.504.201.53 1.93 1.93
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05
23.12.23 Leicester – Rotherham 3–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.44 2.70
16.12.23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
10.02.24 Watford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Watford – Cardiff 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 2.03 1.83
31.01.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.85
20.01.24 Bristol City – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.253.00 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 QPR – Watford 1–2 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Plymouth – Watford 3–3 (3–2) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.15
29.12.23 Watford – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Watford – Bristol City 1–4 (0–2) 1.953.404.20 2.10 1.70
23.12.23 Blackburn – Watford 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.08

Rotherham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Rotherham – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 5.003.401.80 2.30 1.60
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
29.12.23 Rotherham – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 6.504.201.53 1.93 1.93
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05
12.12.23 Rotherham – West Brom 0–2 (0–0) 5.253.801.70 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15
07.11.23 Rotherham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.501.50 1.73 2.08
04.11.23 Rotherham – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.10 1.70

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
31.01.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.85
20.01.24 Bristol City – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.253.00 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 QPR – Watford 1–2 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Plymouth – Watford 3–3 (3–2) 3.103.602.20 1.67 2.15
23.12.23 Blackburn – Watford 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Preston – Watford 1–5 (1–1) 2.803.302.55 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Hull – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 2.08 1.73
25.11.23 Leicester – Watford 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.93 1.93
04.11.23 Huddersfield – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rotherham winsDrawsWatford wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23E1 Watford – Rotherham 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.50 1.98 1.88
21.01.23E1 Watford – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.554.206.00 1.93 1.93
03.09.22E1 Rotherham – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.302.25 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 32 25 3 4 68 24 +44 78
2 Leeds 33 21 6 6 61 26 +35 69
3 Southampton 32 20 7 5 63 38 +25 67
4 Ipswich 31 18 9 4 59 40 +19 63
5 West Brom 32 15 7 10 45 31 +14 52
6 Coventry 32 12 12 8 50 37 +13 48
7 Norwich 32 14 6 12 54 49 +5 48
8 Hull 31 14 6 11 45 40 +5 48
9 Preston 32 14 6 12 42 50 -8 48
10 Sunderland 32 14 5 13 44 35 +9 47
11 Bristol City 32 12 8 12 38 36 +2 44
12 Watford 32 10 11 11 48 45 +3 41
13 Middlesbrough 31 12 5 14 45 46 -1 41
14 Cardiff 31 12 4 15 36 43 -7 40
15 Plymouth 32 9 10 13 51 54 -3 37
16 Blackburn 31 11 3 17 45 57 -12 36
17 Swansea 32 9 9 14 40 52 -12 36
18 Birmingham 31 9 8 14 35 47 -12 35
19 Stoke 32 9 8 15 30 45 -15 35
20 Huddersfield 32 7 13 12 37 52 -15 34
21 Millwall 32 8 9 15 31 44 -13 33
22 QPR 32 7 8 17 29 44 -15 29
23 Sheffield Weds 32 7 5 20 24 52 -28 26
24 Rotherham 31 3 10 18 26 59 -33 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 12 4 0 35 11 +24 40
2 Leicester 16 13 1 2 33 9 +24 40
3 West Brom 17 11 3 3 27 13 +14 36
4 Southampton 15 11 2 2 39 18 +21 35
5 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 37 23 +14 34
6 Norwich 16 10 2 4 27 17 +10 32
7 Sunderland 16 10 0 6 28 19 +9 30
8 Coventry 16 7 8 1 24 14 +10 29
9 Preston 16 9 2 5 25 27 -2 29
10 Plymouth 16 8 4 4 38 27 +11 28
11 Hull 16 7 4 5 23 16 +7 25
12 Birmingham 15 6 6 3 21 17 +4 24
13 Bristol City 16 7 3 6 21 18 +3 24
14 Huddersfield 16 5 6 5 20 21 -1 21
15 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 17 18 -1 21
16 Watford 16 5 5 6 26 21 +5 20
17 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 20 -2 20
18 Blackburn 16 6 2 8 23 27 -4 20
19 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
20 Stoke 16 5 4 7 12 20 -8 19
21 Swansea 16 4 5 7 17 23 -6 17
22 Millwall 16 4 4 8 14 25 -11 16
23 Rotherham 16 3 6 7 17 22 -5 15
24 QPR 16 3 5 8 17 24 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 16 12 2 2 35 15 +20 38
2 Southampton 17 9 5 3 24 20 +4 32
3 Leeds 17 9 2 6 26 15 +11 29
4 Ipswich 16 8 5 3 22 17 +5 29
5 Hull 15 7 2 6 22 24 -2 23
6 Watford 16 5 6 5 22 24 -2 21
7 Middlesbrough 15 6 2 7 28 28 0 20
8 Bristol City 16 5 5 6 17 18 -1 20
9 Cardiff 16 6 2 8 18 23 -5 20
10 Coventry 16 5 4 7 26 23 +3 19
11 Swansea 16 5 4 7 23 29 -6 19
12 Preston 16 5 4 7 17 23 -6 19
13 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 16 16 0 17
14 Millwall 16 4 5 7 17 19 -2 17
15 West Brom 15 4 4 7 18 18 0 16
16 Norwich 16 4 4 8 27 32 -5 16
17 Stoke 16 4 4 8 18 25 -7 16
18 Blackburn 15 5 1 9 22 30 -8 16
19 QPR 16 4 3 9 12 20 -8 15
20 Huddersfield 16 2 7 7 17 31 -14 13
21 Birmingham 16 3 2 11 14 30 -16 11
22 Plymouth 16 1 6 9 13 27 -14 9
23 Sheffield Weds 16 2 1 13 7 32 -25 7
24 Rotherham 15 0 4 11 9 37 -28 4

Rotherham   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Blackburn 31 7 24 1.5 1.8 11 3 17 45 57 36
2 15 Plymouth 32 10 22 1.6 1.7 9 10 13 51 54 37
3 7 Norwich 32 12 20 1.7 1.5 14 6 12 54 49 48
4 17 Swansea 32 12 20 1.2 1.6 9 9 14 40 52 36
5 3 Southampton 32 13 19 2.0 1.2 20 7 5 63 38 67
6 4 Ipswich 31 12 19 1.9 1.3 18 9 4 59 40 63
7 9 Preston 32 13 19 1.3 1.6 14 6 12 42 50 48
8 1 Leicester 32 14 18 2.1 0.8 25 3 4 68 24 78
9 2 Leeds 33 15 18 1.8 0.8 21 6 6 61 26 69
10 8 Hull 31 13 18 1.5 1.3 14 6 11 45 40 48
11 13 Middlesbrough 31 13 18 1.5 1.5 12 5 14 45 46 41
12 6 Coventry 32 15 17 1.6 1.2 12 12 8 50 37 48
13 10 Sunderland 32 15 17 1.4 1.1 14 5 13 44 35 47
14 12 Watford 32 15 17 1.5 1.4 10 11 11 48 45 41
15 23 Sheffield Weds 32 16 16 0.8 1.6 7 5 20 24 52 26
16 24 Rotherham 31 15 16 0.8 1.9 3 10 18 26 59 19
17 14 Cardiff 31 16 15 1.2 1.4 12 4 15 36 43 40
18 18 Birmingham 31 16 15 1.1 1.5 9 8 14 35 47 35
19 20 Huddersfield 32 17 15 1.2 1.6 7 13 12 37 52 34
20 21 Millwall 32 18 14 1.0 1.4 8 9 15 31 44 33
21 22 QPR 32 18 14 0.9 1.4 7 8 17 29 44 29
22 5 West Brom 32 19 13 1.4 1.0 15 7 10 45 31 52
23 11 Bristol City 32 19 13 1.2 1.1 12 8 12 38 36 44
24 19 Stoke 32 19 13 0.9 1.4 9 8 15 30 45 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Plymouth 16 3 13 2.4 1.7 8 4 4 38 27 28
2 4 Ipswich 15 3 12 2.5 1.5 10 4 1 37 23 34
3 9 Preston 16 4 12 1.6 1.7 9 2 5 25 27 29
4 16 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.4 1.7 6 2 8 23 27 20
5 2 Leeds 16 5 11 2.2 0.7 12 4 0 35 11 40
6 3 Southampton 15 4 11 2.6 1.2 11 2 2 39 18 35
7 10 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 10 0 6 28 19 30
8 12 Watford 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 5 5 6 26 21 20
9 17 Swansea 16 7 9 1.1 1.4 4 5 7 17 23 17
10 1 Leicester 16 8 8 2.1 0.6 13 1 2 33 9 40
11 7 Norwich 16 8 8 1.7 1.1 10 2 4 27 17 32
12 18 Birmingham 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 6 6 3 21 17 24
13 20 Huddersfield 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 5 6 5 20 21 21
14 21 Millwall 16 8 8 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 25 16
15 22 QPR 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 5 8 17 24 14
16 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
17 8 Hull 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 7 4 5 23 16 25
18 24 Rotherham 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 3 6 7 17 22 15
19 5 West Brom 17 11 6 1.6 0.8 11 3 3 27 13 36
20 6 Coventry 16 10 6 1.5 0.9 7 8 1 24 14 29
21 11 Bristol City 16 10 6 1.3 1.1 7 3 6 21 18 24
22 14 Cardiff 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 20 20
23 19 Stoke 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 5 4 7 12 20 19
24 13 Middlesbrough 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 7 17 18 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Middlesbrough 15 2 13 1.9 1.9 6 2 7 28 28 20
2 7 Norwich 16 4 12 1.7 2.0 4 4 8 27 32 16
3 16 Blackburn 15 3 12 1.5 2.0 5 1 9 22 30 16
4 6 Coventry 16 5 11 1.6 1.4 5 4 7 26 23 19
5 8 Hull 15 4 11 1.5 1.6 7 2 6 22 24 23
6 17 Swansea 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 7 23 29 19
7 1 Leicester 16 6 10 2.2 0.9 12 2 2 35 15 38
8 14 Cardiff 16 7 9 1.1 1.4 6 2 8 18 23 20
9 15 Plymouth 16 7 9 0.8 1.7 1 6 9 13 27 9
10 24 Rotherham 15 6 9 0.6 2.5 0 4 11 9 37 4
11 3 Southampton 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 9 5 3 24 20 32
12 12 Watford 16 8 8 1.4 1.5 5 6 5 22 24 21
13 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 0.4 2.0 2 1 13 7 32 7
14 2 Leeds 17 10 7 1.5 0.9 9 2 6 26 15 29
15 4 Ipswich 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 8 5 3 22 17 29
16 5 West Brom 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 4 4 7 18 18 16
17 9 Preston 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 5 4 7 17 23 19
18 11 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 5 6 17 18 20
19 18 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 11 14 30 11
20 19 Stoke 16 9 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 18 25 16
21 20 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 17 31 13
22 10 Sunderland 16 10 6 1.0 1.0 4 5 7 16 16 17
23 21 Millwall 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 7 17 19 17
24 22 QPR 16 10 6 0.8 1.2 4 3 9 12 20 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51