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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Birmingham 0–1 Cardiff

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.91 fair 2.41
Draw 3.50 fair 3.85
Away ✓ 4.20 fair 3.07
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Cardiff
12 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
15 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (495 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.02points / match
1.10scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 45:63
Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.12scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 46:57
Birmingham all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.12
1.54 Goals conceded 1.39
2.63 Total goals 2.51
12.93 Shots 10.61
3.98 Shots on target 3.71
13.98 Shots faced 12.51
4.32 Corners 4.29
6.22 Corners against 5.34
12.54 Fouls 9.83
2.12 Yellow cards 1.80
0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.51
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

27% Wins 41%
22% Draws 12%
51% Losses 46%
93% Over 0.5 goals 95%
71% Over 1.5 goals 76%
49% Over 2.5 goals 49%
29% Over 3.5 goals 22%
12% Over 4.5 goals 10%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 44%
20% Clean sheets 27%
34% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 24%
46% Draws 44%
29% Losses 32%
66% Over 0.5 goals 68%
32% Over 1.5 goals 37%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Cardiff all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.35scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 27:24
Cardiff before this match, away
1.30points / match
1.10scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 22:30
Birmingham at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.10
1.20 Goals conceded 1.50
2.55 Total goals 2.60
12.95 Shots 10.00
3.80 Shots on target 3.35
12.05 Shots faced 15.05
4.85 Corners 4.05
5.65 Corners against 6.80
12.50 Fouls 11.05
1.80 Yellow cards 2.20
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
30% Draws 10%
30% Losses 50%
85% Over 0.5 goals 95%
60% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 55%
35% Over 3.5 goals 25%
15% Over 4.5 goals 10%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 45%
30% Clean sheets 25%
30% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
40% Draws 45%
35% Losses 30%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
35% Over 1.5 goals 35%
15% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Leicester – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
01.04.24 Birmingham – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.08 1.73
29.03.24 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Birmingham – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Ipswich – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.50 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Cardiff – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 3.103.302.38 2.10 1.73
01.04.24 Coventry – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.206.25 1.75 2.05
29.03.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–2) 2.553.102.90 2.25 1.62
16.03.24 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
09.03.24 Cardiff – Ipswich 2–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
06.03.24 Cardiff – Huddersfield 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.253.00 2.25 1.62
02.03.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.25 1.62
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
20.02.24 Cardiff – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.05 1.80
17.02.24 Norwich – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Birmingham – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Birmingham – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
13.02.24 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.57 2.35
13.01.24 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Birmingham – Stoke 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Coventry – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.206.25 1.75 2.05
16.03.24 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
02.03.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.25 1.62
17.02.24 Norwich – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
13.02.24 West Brom – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.25 1.62
03.02.24 Watford – Cardiff 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 2.03 1.83
20.01.24 Plymouth – Cardiff 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.40 1.53
23.12.23 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.25 1.62
16.12.23 Hull – Cardiff 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsCardiff wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.23E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.804.00 2.08 1.73
14.02.23E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
13.08.22E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.04.22E1 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
11.12.21E1 Birmingham – Cardiff 2–2 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 41 28 4 9 79 37 +42 88
2 Leeds 42 26 9 7 76 33 +43 87
3 Ipswich 41 26 9 6 84 52 +32 87
4 Southampton 40 23 9 8 78 52 +26 78
5 West Brom 41 19 12 10 64 41 +23 69
6 Norwich 42 20 8 14 75 60 +15 68
7 Coventry 41 17 12 12 66 49 +17 63
8 Preston 41 18 9 14 56 56 0 63
9 Middlesbrough 41 18 7 16 58 53 +5 61
10 Hull 40 17 10 13 57 52 +5 61
11 Cardiff 41 17 5 19 46 57 -11 56
12 Bristol City 41 15 9 17 44 45 -1 54
13 Sunderland 42 15 8 19 51 50 +1 53
14 Watford 41 12 15 14 57 55 +2 51
15 Swansea 41 12 11 18 49 62 -13 47
16 QPR 42 12 11 19 40 54 -14 47
17 Millwall 42 12 11 19 39 54 -15 47
18 Blackburn 41 12 10 19 56 66 -10 46
19 Stoke 41 12 10 19 40 56 -16 46
20 Plymouth 42 11 12 19 57 66 -9 45
21 Huddersfield 42 9 16 17 46 69 -23 43
22 Sheffield Weds 42 12 7 23 35 66 -31 43
23 Birmingham 41 11 9 21 45 63 -18 42
24 Rotherham 41 4 11 26 32 82 -50 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 21 16 5 0 44 13 +31 53
2 Ipswich 20 15 4 1 56 31 +25 49
3 Norwich 21 15 2 4 40 19 +21 47
4 Leicester 20 15 1 4 40 15 +25 46
5 West Brom 20 13 4 3 33 16 +17 43
6 Southampton 20 13 3 4 48 26 +22 42
7 Preston 21 11 4 6 35 32 +3 37
8 Coventry 20 9 8 3 32 20 +12 35
9 Sunderland 21 10 2 9 30 27 +3 32
10 Middlesbrough 21 9 4 8 24 21 +3 31
11 Birmingham 20 8 6 6 27 24 +3 30
12 Bristol City 20 9 3 8 23 20 +3 30
13 Cardiff 21 9 3 9 24 27 -3 30
14 Plymouth 21 8 5 8 39 35 +4 29
15 Hull 20 7 7 6 27 22 +5 28
16 Sheffield Weds 21 7 6 8 23 26 -3 27
17 Millwall 21 7 5 9 18 28 -10 26
18 Huddersfield 21 6 7 8 25 31 -6 25
19 Blackburn 21 6 6 9 26 31 -5 24
20 Stoke 21 6 6 9 17 27 -10 24
21 Watford 21 5 8 8 31 28 +3 23
22 Swansea 20 6 5 9 22 27 -5 23
23 QPR 21 5 6 10 23 32 -9 21
24 Rotherham 21 4 7 10 19 26 -7 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 21 13 3 5 39 22 +17 42
2 Ipswich 21 11 5 5 28 21 +7 38
3 Southampton 20 10 6 4 30 26 +4 36
4 Leeds 21 10 4 7 32 20 +12 34
5 Hull 20 10 3 7 30 30 0 33
6 Middlesbrough 20 9 3 8 34 32 +2 30
7 Coventry 21 8 4 9 34 29 +5 28
8 Watford 20 7 7 6 26 27 -1 28
9 West Brom 21 6 8 7 31 25 +6 26
10 Preston 20 7 5 8 21 24 -3 26
11 QPR 21 7 5 9 17 22 -5 26
12 Cardiff 20 8 2 10 22 30 -8 26
13 Bristol City 21 6 6 9 21 25 -4 24
14 Swansea 21 6 6 9 27 35 -8 24
15 Blackburn 20 6 4 10 30 35 -5 22
16 Stoke 20 6 4 10 23 29 -6 22
17 Sunderland 21 5 6 10 21 23 -2 21
18 Millwall 21 5 6 10 21 26 -5 21
19 Norwich 21 5 6 10 35 41 -6 21
20 Huddersfield 21 3 9 9 21 38 -17 18
21 Plymouth 21 3 7 11 18 31 -13 16
22 Sheffield Weds 21 5 1 15 12 40 -28 16
23 Birmingham 21 3 3 15 18 39 -21 12
24 Rotherham 20 0 4 16 13 56 -43 4

Birmingham   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 42 15 27 1.8 1.4 20 8 14 75 60 68
2 18 Blackburn 41 14 27 1.4 1.6 12 10 19 56 66 46
3 3 Ipswich 41 15 26 2.0 1.3 26 9 6 84 52 87
4 4 Southampton 40 15 25 1.9 1.3 23 9 8 78 52 78
5 7 Coventry 41 16 25 1.6 1.2 17 12 12 66 49 63
6 1 Leicester 41 17 24 1.9 0.9 28 4 9 79 37 88
7 8 Preston 41 17 24 1.4 1.4 18 9 14 56 56 63
8 20 Plymouth 42 18 24 1.4 1.6 11 12 19 57 66 45
9 10 Hull 40 17 23 1.4 1.3 17 10 13 57 52 61
10 15 Swansea 41 18 23 1.2 1.5 12 11 18 49 62 47
11 2 Leeds 42 20 22 1.8 0.8 26 9 7 76 33 87
12 24 Rotherham 41 19 22 0.8 2.0 4 11 26 32 82 23
13 13 Sunderland 42 21 21 1.2 1.2 15 8 19 51 50 53
14 14 Watford 41 20 21 1.4 1.3 12 15 14 57 55 51
15 9 Middlesbrough 41 21 20 1.4 1.3 18 7 16 58 53 61
16 11 Cardiff 41 21 20 1.1 1.4 17 5 19 46 57 56
17 21 Huddersfield 42 22 20 1.1 1.6 9 16 17 46 69 43
18 23 Birmingham 41 21 20 1.1 1.5 11 9 21 45 63 42
19 5 West Brom 41 22 19 1.6 1.0 19 12 10 64 41 69
20 22 Sheffield Weds 42 23 19 0.8 1.6 12 7 23 35 66 43
21 16 QPR 42 24 18 1.0 1.3 12 11 19 40 54 47
22 19 Stoke 41 24 17 1.0 1.4 12 10 19 40 56 46
23 17 Millwall 42 26 16 0.9 1.3 12 11 19 39 54 47
24 12 Bristol City 41 26 15 1.1 1.1 15 9 17 44 45 54
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 20 3 17 2.8 1.6 15 4 1 56 31 49
2 8 Preston 21 5 16 1.7 1.5 11 4 6 35 32 37
3 4 Southampton 20 5 15 2.4 1.3 13 3 4 48 26 42
4 20 Plymouth 21 7 14 1.9 1.7 8 5 8 39 35 29
5 2 Leeds 21 8 13 2.1 0.6 16 5 0 44 13 53
6 13 Sunderland 21 8 13 1.4 1.3 10 2 9 30 27 32
7 1 Leicester 20 8 12 2.0 0.8 15 1 4 40 15 46
8 14 Watford 21 9 12 1.5 1.3 5 8 8 31 28 23
9 18 Blackburn 21 9 12 1.2 1.5 6 6 9 26 31 24
10 6 Norwich 21 10 11 1.9 0.9 15 2 4 40 19 47
11 15 Swansea 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 27 23
12 16 QPR 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 10 23 32 21
13 21 Huddersfield 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 6 7 8 25 31 25
14 7 Coventry 20 10 10 1.6 1.0 9 8 3 32 20 35
15 22 Sheffield Weds 21 11 10 1.1 1.2 7 6 8 23 26 27
16 23 Birmingham 20 10 10 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 27 24 30
17 11 Cardiff 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 9 3 9 24 27 30
18 5 West Brom 20 12 8 1.6 0.8 13 4 3 33 16 43
19 10 Hull 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 6 27 22 28
20 17 Millwall 21 13 8 0.9 1.3 7 5 9 18 28 26
21 19 Stoke 21 13 8 0.8 1.3 6 6 9 17 27 24
22 24 Rotherham 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 4 7 10 19 26 19
23 9 Middlesbrough 21 15 6 1.1 1.0 9 4 8 24 21 31
24 12 Bristol City 20 14 6 1.1 1.0 9 3 8 23 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 21 5 16 1.7 2.0 5 6 10 35 41 21
2 7 Coventry 21 6 15 1.6 1.4 8 4 9 34 29 28
3 10 Hull 20 5 15 1.5 1.5 10 3 7 30 30 33
4 18 Blackburn 20 5 15 1.5 1.8 6 4 10 30 35 22
5 9 Middlesbrough 20 6 14 1.7 1.6 9 3 8 34 32 30
6 24 Rotherham 20 6 14 0.7 2.8 0 4 16 13 56 4
7 1 Leicester 21 9 12 1.9 1.0 13 3 5 39 22 42
8 15 Swansea 21 9 12 1.3 1.7 6 6 9 27 35 24
9 5 West Brom 21 10 11 1.5 1.2 6 8 7 31 25 26
10 11 Cardiff 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 8 2 10 22 30 26
11 4 Southampton 20 10 10 1.5 1.3 10 6 4 30 26 36
12 20 Plymouth 21 11 10 0.9 1.5 3 7 11 18 31 16
13 23 Birmingham 21 11 10 0.9 1.9 3 3 15 18 39 12
14 2 Leeds 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 10 4 7 32 20 34
15 3 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 11 5 5 28 21 38
16 12 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 6 6 9 21 25 24
17 14 Watford 20 11 9 1.3 1.4 7 7 6 26 27 28
18 19 Stoke 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 10 23 29 22
19 21 Huddersfield 21 12 9 1.0 1.8 3 9 9 21 38 18
20 22 Sheffield Weds 21 12 9 0.6 1.9 5 1 15 12 40 16
21 8 Preston 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 7 5 8 21 24 26
22 13 Sunderland 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 5 6 10 21 23 21
23 17 Millwall 21 13 8 1.0 1.2 5 6 10 21 26 21
24 16 QPR 21 14 7 0.8 1.0 7 5 9 17 22 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51