Cardiff 2–1 Stoke – England Championship, 24 Feb 2024

Match facts

Cardiff Stoke

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 6

13 Fouls 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (398 league matches this season so far).

Result Cardiff to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.13

Home / Draw / Away

43% 27% 30%

CardiffDrawStoke

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.6% 1–0 11.2% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.24points / match

1.12scored / match

1.42conceded / match

12 5 16

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 37:47

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

0.91scored / match

1.39conceded / match

9 8 16

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 30:46

Cardiff all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.12 Goals scored 0.91

1.42 Goals conceded 1.39

2.55 Total goals 2.30

10.61 Shots 12.03

3.64 Shots on target 3.24

12.12 Shots faced 11.48

4.42 Corners 6.18

5.21 Corners against 4.97

9.64 Fouls 12.27

1.76 Yellow cards 2.36

0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.52

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

36% Wins 27%

15% Draws 24%

48% Losses 48%

94% Over 0.5 goals 88%

76% Over 1.5 goals 61%

48% Over 2.5 goals 39%

24% Over 3.5 goals 27%

12% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

42% Both teams scored 42%

27% Clean sheets 27%

36% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 15%

45% Draws 48%

30% Losses 36%

67% Over 0.5 goals 70%

33% Over 1.5 goals 39%

9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

2

D

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

1

3

L

1

W

2

L

2

L

1

4

L

D

Stoke all matches

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

5

L

1

3

L

1

W

1

L

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.31points / match

1.13scored / match

1.25conceded / match

6 3 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:20

Stoke before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.13scored / match

1.56conceded / match

4 4 8

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:25

Cardiff at home away Stoke

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded 1.56

2.38 Total goals 2.69

11.25 Shots 10.56

3.94 Shots on target 3.13

9.38 Shots faced 13.06

4.75 Corners 5.56

3.75 Corners against 6.38

8.19 Fouls 11.63

1.19 Yellow cards 2.19

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%

19% Draws 25%

44% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

75% Over 1.5 goals 75%

38% Over 2.5 goals 44%

19% Over 3.5 goals 38%

13% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

38% Both teams scored 56%

31% Clean sheets 19%

38% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 19%

50% Draws 38%

31% Losses 44%

63% Over 0.5 goals 94%

31% Over 1.5 goals 56%

6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

2

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

2

D

2

L

3

L

2

L

D

Stoke away

2

W

D

2

4

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

3

L

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.02.24	Cardiff – Blackburn	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.05	1.80
17.02.24	Norwich – Cardiff	4–1 (2–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.88	1.98
13.02.24	West Brom – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	1.65	3.75	5.75	2.25	1.62
10.02.24	Cardiff – Preston	0–2 (0–2)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.35	1.57
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
20.01.24	Plymouth – Cardiff	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.75	2.05
13.01.24	Cardiff – Leeds	0–3 (0–2)	5.25	4.20	1.62	1.93	1.93
01.01.24	QPR – Cardiff	1–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.40	1.53
29.12.23	Cardiff – Leicester	0–2 (0–1)	5.75	4.00	1.62	1.98	1.88
26.12.23	Cardiff – Plymouth	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.75	3.60	1.83	2.03

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Stoke – Coventry	0–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.40	2.50	1.83	2.03
14.02.24	Stoke – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.70
10.02.24	Blackburn – Stoke	3–1 (3–1)	2.40	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.15
03.02.24	Stoke – Leicester	0–5 (0–2)	4.20	3.75	1.83	1.90	1.95
27.01.24	Sunderland – Stoke	3–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.05	1.80
20.01.24	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
13.01.24	Rotherham – Stoke	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.60	1.91	2.03	1.83
01.01.24	Stoke – Ipswich	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.30	2.40	1.93	1.93
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.02.24	Cardiff – Blackburn	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.05	1.80
10.02.24	Cardiff – Preston	0–2 (0–2)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.35	1.57
13.01.24	Cardiff – Leeds	0–3 (0–2)	5.25	4.20	1.62	1.93	1.93
29.12.23	Cardiff – Leicester	0–2 (0–1)	5.75	4.00	1.62	1.98	1.88
26.12.23	Cardiff – Plymouth	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.75	3.60	1.83	2.03
13.12.23	Cardiff – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
09.12.23	Cardiff – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
28.11.23	Cardiff – West Brom	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.50	2.30	1.60
11.11.23	Cardiff – Norwich	2–3 (2–1)	2.00	3.50	3.60	1.85	2.00
28.10.23	Cardiff – Bristol City	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.50	3.25	2.15	1.67

Stoke away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.24	Blackburn – Stoke	3–1 (3–1)	2.40	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.15
27.01.24	Sunderland – Stoke	3–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.05	1.80
13.01.24	Rotherham – Stoke	0–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.60	1.91	2.03	1.83
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Birmingham – Stoke	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.05	1.75
17.12.23	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.80	4.50	2.10	1.70
02.12.23	Plymouth – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.08
28.11.23	QPR – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.25	1.62
11.11.23	Coventry – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
28.10.23	Middlesbrough – Stoke	0–2 (0–2)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4

Cardiff winsDrawsStoke wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.11.23E1	Stoke – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
22.04.23E1	Cardiff – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.10	1.73
10.12.22E1	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
16.03.22E1	Cardiff – Stoke	2–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.30	3.00	2.37	1.57
30.10.21E1	Stoke – Cardiff	3–3 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.00	1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	34	25	3	6	70	29	+41	78
2	Leeds	34	22	6	6	64	27	+37	72
3	Ipswich	33	20	9	4	65	44	+21	69
4	Southampton	33	20	7	6	64	40	+24	67
5	West Brom	34	16	8	10	49	32	+17	56
6	Hull	34	16	7	11	50	43	+7	55
7	Preston	34	15	7	12	47	52	-5	52
8	Coventry	34	13	12	9	51	40	+11	51
9	Norwich	33	15	6	12	58	50	+8	51
10	Sunderland	33	14	5	14	45	37	+8	47
11	Watford	33	11	11	11	49	45	+4	44
12	Bristol City	33	12	8	13	38	37	+1	44
13	Middlesbrough	32	13	5	14	47	47	0	44
14	Cardiff	33	12	5	16	37	47	-10	41
15	Birmingham	32	10	8	14	37	48	-11	38
16	Blackburn	33	11	5	17	47	59	-12	38
17	Plymouth	33	9	10	14	51	57	-6	37
18	Swansea	33	9	9	15	41	54	-13	36
19	Stoke	33	9	8	16	30	46	-16	35
20	Huddersfield	33	7	13	13	38	54	-16	34
21	Millwall	33	8	9	16	31	46	-15	33
22	QPR	33	8	8	17	30	44	-14	32
23	Sheffield Weds	33	8	5	20	26	52	-26	29
24	Rotherham	33	3	10	20	29	64	-35	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	13	4	0	38	12	+26	43
2	Leicester	17	13	1	3	34	11	+23	40
3	Ipswich	16	11	4	1	41	26	+15	37
4	West Brom	17	11	3	3	27	13	+14	36
5	Southampton	16	11	2	3	40	20	+20	35
6	Norwich	17	11	2	4	31	18	+13	35
7	Sunderland	16	10	0	6	28	19	+9	30
8	Preston	17	9	3	5	27	29	-2	30
9	Coventry	17	7	8	2	24	17	+7	29
10	Plymouth	17	8	4	5	38	30	+8	28
11	Birmingham	16	7	6	3	23	18	+5	27
12	Hull	17	7	5	5	24	17	+7	26
13	Bristol City	17	7	3	7	21	19	+2	24
14	Middlesbrough	16	6	3	7	17	18	-1	21
15	Huddersfield	17	5	6	6	21	23	-2	21
16	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	18	20	-2	21
17	Watford	16	5	5	6	26	21	+5	20
18	Blackburn	16	6	2	8	23	27	-4	20
19	Sheffield Weds	16	5	4	7	17	20	-3	19
20	Stoke	17	5	4	8	12	21	-9	19
21	Swansea	17	4	5	8	18	25	-7	17
22	Millwall	17	4	4	9	14	27	-13	16
23	Rotherham	17	3	6	8	17	23	-6	15
24	QPR	16	3	5	8	17	24	-7	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	17	12	2	3	36	18	+18	38
2	Ipswich	17	9	5	3	24	18	+6	32
3	Southampton	17	9	5	3	24	20	+4	32
4	Leeds	17	9	2	6	26	15	+11	29
5	Hull	17	9	2	6	26	26	0	29
6	Watford	17	6	6	5	23	24	-1	24
7	Middlesbrough	16	7	2	7	30	29	+1	23
8	Coventry	17	6	4	7	27	23	+4	22
9	Preston	17	6	4	7	20	23	-3	22
10	West Brom	17	5	5	7	22	19	+3	20
11	Bristol City	16	5	5	6	17	18	-1	20
12	Cardiff	17	6	2	9	19	27	-8	20
13	Swansea	16	5	4	7	23	29	-6	19
14	QPR	17	5	3	9	13	20	-7	18
15	Blackburn	17	5	3	9	24	32	-8	18
16	Sunderland	17	4	5	8	17	18	-1	17
17	Millwall	16	4	5	7	17	19	-2	17
18	Norwich	16	4	4	8	27	32	-5	16
19	Stoke	16	4	4	8	18	25	-7	16
20	Huddersfield	16	2	7	7	17	31	-14	13
21	Birmingham	16	3	2	11	14	30	-16	11
22	Sheffield Weds	17	3	1	13	9	32	-23	10
23	Plymouth	16	1	6	9	13	27	-14	9
24	Rotherham	16	0	4	12	12	41	-29	4

Cardiff Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Blackburn	33	8	25	1.4	1.8	11	5	17	47	59	38
2	17	Plymouth	33	10	23	1.5	1.7	9	10	14	51	57	37
3	3	Ipswich	33	12	21	2.0	1.3	20	9	4	65	44	69
4	7	Preston	34	13	21	1.4	1.5	15	7	12	47	52	52
5	9	Norwich	33	12	21	1.8	1.5	15	6	12	58	50	51
6	18	Swansea	33	12	21	1.2	1.6	9	9	15	41	54	36
7	1	Leicester	34	14	20	2.1	0.9	25	3	6	70	29	78
8	4	Southampton	33	13	20	1.9	1.2	20	7	6	64	40	67
9	6	Hull	34	14	20	1.5	1.3	16	7	11	50	43	55
10	2	Leeds	34	15	19	1.9	0.8	22	6	6	64	27	72
11	13	Middlesbrough	32	13	19	1.5	1.5	13	5	14	47	47	44
12	8	Coventry	34	16	18	1.5	1.2	13	12	9	51	40	51
13	10	Sunderland	33	15	18	1.4	1.1	14	5	14	45	37	47
14	11	Watford	33	16	17	1.5	1.4	11	11	11	49	45	44
15	24	Rotherham	33	16	17	0.9	1.9	3	10	20	29	64	19
16	14	Cardiff	33	17	16	1.1	1.4	12	5	16	37	47	41
17	15	Birmingham	32	16	16	1.2	1.5	10	8	14	37	48	38
18	20	Huddersfield	33	17	16	1.2	1.6	7	13	13	38	54	34
19	23	Sheffield Weds	33	17	16	0.8	1.6	8	5	20	26	52	29
20	5	West Brom	34	20	14	1.4	0.9	16	8	10	49	32	56
21	21	Millwall	33	19	14	0.9	1.4	8	9	16	31	46	33
22	22	QPR	33	19	14	0.9	1.3	8	8	17	30	44	32
23	12	Bristol City	33	20	13	1.2	1.1	12	8	13	38	37	44
24	19	Stoke	33	20	13	0.9	1.4	9	8	16	30	46	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Plymouth	17	3	14	2.2	1.8	8	4	5	38	30	28
2	3	Ipswich	16	3	13	2.6	1.6	11	4	1	41	26	37
3	7	Preston	17	4	13	1.6	1.7	9	3	5	27	29	30
4	2	Leeds	17	5	12	2.2	0.7	13	4	0	38	12	43
5	4	Southampton	16	4	12	2.5	1.2	11	2	3	40	20	35
6	16	Blackburn	16	4	12	1.4	1.7	6	2	8	23	27	20
7	10	Sunderland	16	5	11	1.8	1.2	10	0	6	28	19	30
8	18	Swansea	17	7	10	1.1	1.5	4	5	8	18	25	17
9	1	Leicester	17	8	9	2.0	0.6	13	1	3	34	11	40
10	9	Norwich	17	8	9	1.8	1.1	11	2	4	31	18	35
11	11	Watford	16	7	9	1.6	1.3	5	5	6	26	21	20
12	15	Birmingham	16	7	9	1.4	1.1	7	6	3	23	18	27
13	20	Huddersfield	17	8	9	1.2	1.4	5	6	6	21	23	21
14	21	Millwall	17	9	8	0.8	1.6	4	4	9	14	27	16
15	22	QPR	16	8	8	1.1	1.5	3	5	8	17	24	14
16	23	Sheffield Weds	16	8	8	1.1	1.2	5	4	7	17	20	19
17	6	Hull	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	7	5	5	24	17	26
18	8	Coventry	17	10	7	1.4	1.0	7	8	2	24	17	29
19	24	Rotherham	17	10	7	1.0	1.4	3	6	8	17	23	15
20	5	West Brom	17	11	6	1.6	0.8	11	3	3	27	13	36
21	12	Bristol City	17	11	6	1.2	1.1	7	3	7	21	19	24
22	14	Cardiff	16	10	6	1.1	1.2	6	3	7	18	20	21
23	19	Stoke	17	11	6	0.7	1.2	5	4	8	12	21	19
24	13	Middlesbrough	16	11	5	1.1	1.1	6	3	7	17	18	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Middlesbrough	16	2	14	1.9	1.8	7	2	7	30	29	23
2	6	Hull	17	4	13	1.5	1.5	9	2	6	26	26	29
3	16	Blackburn	17	4	13	1.4	1.9	5	3	9	24	32	18
4	9	Norwich	16	4	12	1.7	2.0	4	4	8	27	32	16
5	1	Leicester	17	6	11	2.1	1.1	12	2	3	36	18	38
6	8	Coventry	17	6	11	1.6	1.4	6	4	7	27	23	22
7	18	Swansea	16	5	11	1.4	1.8	5	4	7	23	29	19
8	14	Cardiff	17	7	10	1.1	1.6	6	2	9	19	27	20
9	24	Rotherham	16	6	10	0.8	2.6	0	4	12	12	41	4
10	17	Plymouth	16	7	9	0.8	1.7	1	6	9	13	27	9
11	3	Ipswich	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	3	24	18	32
12	4	Southampton	17	9	8	1.4	1.2	9	5	3	24	20	32
13	5	West Brom	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	5	5	7	22	19	20
14	7	Preston	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	4	7	20	23	22
15	11	Watford	17	9	8	1.4	1.4	6	6	5	23	24	24
16	23	Sheffield Weds	17	9	8	0.5	1.9	3	1	13	9	32	10
17	2	Leeds	17	10	7	1.5	0.9	9	2	6	26	15	29
18	10	Sunderland	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	4	5	8	17	18	17
19	12	Bristol City	16	9	7	1.1	1.1	5	5	6	17	18	20
20	15	Birmingham	16	9	7	0.9	1.9	3	2	11	14	30	11
21	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.1	1.6	4	4	8	18	25	16
22	20	Huddersfield	16	9	7	1.1	1.9	2	7	7	17	31	13
23	21	Millwall	16	10	6	1.1	1.2	4	5	7	17	19	17
24	22	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	5	3	9	13	20	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.