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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Davies

Birmingham 0–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.80 fair 2.60
Draw 3.60 fair 4.17
Away ✓ 2.40 fair 2.66
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Middlesbrough
9 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
9 Fouls 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (442 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.53
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.17scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 42:57
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.44scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 52:52
Birmingham all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.44
1.58 Goals conceded 1.44
2.75 Total goals 2.89
12.75 Shots 13.67
4.06 Shots on target 5.03
14.11 Shots faced 11.56
4.58 Corners 6.06
6.36 Corners against 5.03
12.89 Fouls 10.92
2.28 Yellow cards 1.75
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

28% Wins 42%
25% Draws 14%
47% Losses 44%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
50% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 28%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
8% Over 5.5 goals 6%
56% Both teams scored 58%
19% Clean sheets 19%
33% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 19%
44% Draws 42%
28% Losses 39%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 39%
11% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.59points / match
1.53scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:22
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.78scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:31
Birmingham at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.78
1.29 Goals conceded 1.72
2.82 Total goals 3.50
12.47 Shots 13.50
3.94 Shots on target 4.83
12.41 Shots faced 12.11
5.12 Corners 5.28
6.06 Corners against 5.50
13.12 Fouls 10.44
2.06 Yellow cards 2.00
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

41% Wins 44%
35% Draws 11%
24% Losses 44%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 94%
59% Over 2.5 goals 78%
41% Over 3.5 goals 39%
18% Over 4.5 goals 28%
6% Over 5.5 goals 11%
65% Both teams scored 72%
29% Clean sheets 11%
24% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 17%
41% Draws 33%
29% Losses 50%
71% Over 0.5 goals 72%
41% Over 1.5 goals 39%
18% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Ipswich – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.50 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
13.02.24 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.57 2.35
09.02.24 Sheffield Weds – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
03.02.24 West Brom – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.95 1.90
20.01.24 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
20.01.24 Middlesbrough – Rotherham 1–1 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
13.02.24 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.57 2.35
13.01.24 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Birmingham – Stoke 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
25.11.23 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.25 1.62
04.11.23 Birmingham – Ipswich 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 5.754.001.60 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.08
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
02.01.23E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
05.10.22E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
15.03.22E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
30.10.21E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 37 26 4 7 74 33 +41 82
2 Leeds 37 24 7 6 68 28 +40 79
3 Ipswich 37 23 9 5 74 49 +25 78
4 Southampton 36 22 7 7 73 47 +26 73
5 West Brom 37 18 9 10 57 36 +21 63
6 Norwich 37 17 7 13 66 54 +12 58
7 Hull 37 16 10 11 53 46 +7 58
8 Coventry 37 15 12 10 59 43 +16 57
9 Preston 36 15 8 13 48 54 -6 53
10 Cardiff 37 16 5 16 43 49 -6 53
11 Middlesbrough 36 15 5 16 52 52 0 50
12 Sunderland 37 14 5 18 48 45 +3 47
13 Bristol City 37 13 8 16 42 43 -1 47
14 Watford 37 11 12 14 52 51 +1 45
15 Swansea 37 11 10 16 46 58 -12 43
16 Millwall 37 11 10 16 36 48 -12 43
17 Plymouth 37 10 11 16 54 61 -7 41
18 Blackburn 37 11 8 18 51 64 -13 41
19 Stoke 37 11 8 18 35 50 -15 41
20 QPR 37 10 9 18 36 50 -14 39
21 Birmingham 36 10 9 17 42 57 -15 39
22 Huddersfield 37 8 14 15 42 61 -19 38
23 Sheffield Weds 37 11 5 21 30 55 -25 38
24 Rotherham 37 3 10 24 30 77 -47 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 18 14 4 0 39 12 +27 46
2 Ipswich 18 13 4 1 47 29 +18 43
3 Norwich 19 13 2 4 37 18 +19 41
4 Leicester 18 13 1 4 35 13 +22 40
5 West Brom 18 12 3 3 29 14 +15 39
6 Southampton 18 12 2 4 45 24 +21 38
7 Coventry 18 8 8 2 29 17 +12 32
8 Preston 19 9 4 6 28 31 -3 31
9 Sunderland 18 10 0 8 29 22 +7 30
10 Cardiff 19 9 3 7 23 22 +1 30
11 Hull 19 7 7 5 27 20 +7 28
12 Plymouth 18 8 4 6 38 32 +6 28
13 Birmingham 17 7 6 4 26 22 +4 27
14 Bristol City 19 8 3 8 22 20 +2 27
15 Sheffield Weds 19 7 4 8 20 23 -3 25
16 Middlesbrough 18 7 3 8 20 21 -1 24
17 Blackburn 19 6 5 8 26 30 -4 23
18 Huddersfield 19 5 7 7 23 28 -5 22
19 Stoke 18 6 4 8 14 21 -7 22
20 Millwall 19 6 4 9 16 27 -11 22
21 Watford 19 5 6 8 29 26 +3 21
22 Swansea 18 5 5 8 20 26 -6 20
23 QPR 19 4 6 9 21 29 -8 18
24 Rotherham 18 3 6 9 17 24 -7 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 19 13 3 3 39 20 +19 42
2 Ipswich 19 10 5 4 27 20 +7 35
3 Southampton 18 10 5 3 28 23 +5 35
4 Leeds 19 10 3 6 29 16 +13 33
5 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30
6 Middlesbrough 18 8 2 8 32 31 +1 26
7 Coventry 19 7 4 8 30 26 +4 25
8 West Brom 19 6 6 7 28 22 +6 24
9 Watford 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
10 Swansea 19 6 5 8 26 32 -6 23
11 Cardiff 18 7 2 9 20 27 -7 23
12 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22
13 Millwall 18 5 6 7 20 21 -1 21
14 QPR 18 6 3 9 15 21 -6 21
15 Bristol City 18 5 5 8 20 23 -3 20
16 Stoke 19 5 4 10 21 29 -8 19
17 Blackburn 18 5 3 10 25 34 -9 18
18 Sunderland 19 4 5 10 19 23 -4 17
19 Norwich 18 4 5 9 29 36 -7 17
20 Huddersfield 18 3 7 8 19 33 -14 16
21 Plymouth 19 2 7 10 16 29 -13 13
22 Sheffield Weds 18 4 1 13 10 32 -22 13
23 Birmingham 19 3 3 13 16 35 -19 12
24 Rotherham 19 0 4 15 13 53 -40 4

Birmingham   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Blackburn 37 11 26 1.4 1.7 11 8 18 51 64 41
2 3 Ipswich 37 13 24 2.0 1.3 23 9 5 74 49 78
3 4 Southampton 36 13 23 2.0 1.3 22 7 7 73 47 73
4 6 Norwich 37 14 23 1.8 1.5 17 7 13 66 54 58
5 15 Swansea 37 14 23 1.2 1.6 11 10 16 46 58 43
6 17 Plymouth 37 14 23 1.5 1.6 10 11 16 54 61 41
7 1 Leicester 37 15 22 2.0 0.9 26 4 7 74 33 82
8 9 Preston 36 14 22 1.3 1.5 15 8 13 48 54 53
9 7 Hull 37 16 21 1.4 1.2 16 10 11 53 46 58
10 8 Coventry 37 16 21 1.6 1.2 15 12 10 59 43 57
11 11 Middlesbrough 36 16 20 1.4 1.4 15 5 16 52 52 50
12 12 Sunderland 37 17 20 1.3 1.2 14 5 18 48 45 47
13 24 Rotherham 37 17 20 0.8 2.1 3 10 24 30 77 19
14 2 Leeds 37 18 19 1.8 0.8 24 7 6 68 28 79
15 14 Watford 37 18 19 1.4 1.4 11 12 14 52 51 45
16 10 Cardiff 37 19 18 1.2 1.3 16 5 16 43 49 53
17 21 Birmingham 36 18 18 1.2 1.6 10 9 17 42 57 39
18 22 Huddersfield 37 19 18 1.1 1.6 8 14 15 42 61 38
19 5 West Brom 37 20 17 1.5 1.0 18 9 10 57 36 63
20 20 QPR 37 20 17 1.0 1.4 10 9 18 36 50 39
21 23 Sheffield Weds 37 20 17 0.8 1.5 11 5 21 30 55 38
22 13 Bristol City 37 22 15 1.1 1.2 13 8 16 42 43 47
23 16 Millwall 37 22 15 1.0 1.3 11 10 16 36 48 43
24 19 Stoke 37 22 15 0.9 1.4 11 8 18 35 50 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 18 3 15 2.6 1.6 13 4 1 47 29 43
2 4 Southampton 18 4 14 2.5 1.3 12 2 4 45 24 38
3 9 Preston 19 5 14 1.5 1.6 9 4 6 28 31 31
4 17 Plymouth 18 4 14 2.1 1.8 8 4 6 38 32 28
5 2 Leeds 18 6 12 2.2 0.7 14 4 0 39 12 46
6 12 Sunderland 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 10 0 8 29 22 30
7 18 Blackburn 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 6 5 8 26 30 23
8 14 Watford 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 5 6 8 29 26 21
9 15 Swansea 18 7 11 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 26 20
10 1 Leicester 18 8 10 1.9 0.7 13 1 4 35 13 40
11 6 Norwich 19 9 10 1.9 0.9 13 2 4 37 18 41
12 20 QPR 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 4 6 9 21 29 18
13 21 Birmingham 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 7 6 4 26 22 27
14 22 Huddersfield 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 5 7 7 23 28 22
15 23 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 1.1 1.2 7 4 8 20 23 25
16 7 Hull 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 5 27 20 28
17 8 Coventry 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 8 8 2 29 17 32
18 10 Cardiff 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 9 3 7 23 22 30
19 16 Millwall 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 6 4 9 16 27 22
20 5 West Brom 18 11 7 1.6 0.8 12 3 3 29 14 39
21 24 Rotherham 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 9 17 24 15
22 11 Middlesbrough 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 7 3 8 20 21 24
23 13 Bristol City 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 8 3 8 22 20 27
24 19 Stoke 18 12 6 0.8 1.2 6 4 8 14 21 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Middlesbrough 18 4 14 1.8 1.7 8 2 8 32 31 26
2 18 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.4 1.9 5 3 10 25 34 18
3 6 Norwich 18 5 13 1.6 2.0 4 5 9 29 36 17
4 7 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30
5 8 Coventry 19 6 13 1.6 1.4 7 4 8 30 26 25
6 24 Rotherham 19 6 13 0.7 2.8 0 4 15 13 53 4
7 1 Leicester 19 7 12 2.1 1.1 13 3 3 39 20 42
8 15 Swansea 19 7 12 1.4 1.7 6 5 8 26 32 23
9 5 West Brom 19 9 10 1.5 1.2 6 6 7 28 22 24
10 10 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 9 20 27 23
11 3 Ipswich 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 4 27 20 35
12 4 Southampton 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 10 5 3 28 23 35
13 13 Bristol City 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 8 20 23 20
14 17 Plymouth 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 2 7 10 16 29 13
15 19 Stoke 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 10 21 29 19
16 9 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22
17 12 Sunderland 19 11 8 1.0 1.2 4 5 10 19 23 17
18 14 Watford 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
19 21 Birmingham 19 11 8 0.8 1.8 3 3 13 16 35 12
20 22 Huddersfield 18 10 8 1.1 1.8 3 7 8 19 33 16
21 23 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.6 1.8 4 1 13 10 32 13
22 2 Leeds 19 12 7 1.5 0.8 10 3 6 29 16 33
23 16 Millwall 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 20 21 21
24 20 QPR 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 6 3 9 15 21 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51