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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Southampton 0–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.75 fair 1.70
Draw 4.33 fair 4.77
Away ✓ 4.00 fair 4.95
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Stoke
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 8
8 Corners 7
4 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (528 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 2.06 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.6% 2–0 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
1.93scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 85:61
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.00scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 44:60
Southampton all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 1.00
1.39 Goals conceded 1.36
3.32 Total goals 2.36
15.61 Shots 12.48
5.84 Shots on target 3.48
11.02 Shots faced 11.41
7.55 Corners 5.93
3.93 Corners against 4.95
9.82 Fouls 12.61
2.16 Yellow cards 2.41
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

57% Wins 30%
20% Draws 25%
23% Losses 45%
98% Over 0.5 goals 91%
86% Over 1.5 goals 68%
66% Over 2.5 goals 43%
39% Over 3.5 goals 23%
23% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 2%
66% Both teams scored 43%
27% Clean sheets 27%
9% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 16%
27% Draws 43%
20% Losses 41%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
45% Over 1.5 goals 36%
23% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Stoke all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
2.18points / match
2.45scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 54:28
Stoke before this match, away
1.05points / match
1.09scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:33
Southampton at home away Stoke

Per match

2.45 Goals scored 1.09
1.27 Goals conceded 1.50
3.73 Total goals 2.59
16.18 Shots 11.09
6.41 Shots on target 3.32
10.00 Shots faced 12.59
7.59 Corners 5.23
3.55 Corners against 5.91
9.55 Fouls 12.36
2.36 Yellow cards 2.32
1.23 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

68% Wins 27%
14% Draws 23%
18% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
91% Over 1.5 goals 77%
77% Over 2.5 goals 45%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
14% Over 5.5 goals 5%
68% Both teams scored 55%
27% Clean sheets 18%
5% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

59% Wins 14%
14% Draws 41%
27% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
59% Over 1.5 goals 45%
27% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.24 Leicester – Southampton 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.50 2.63
20.04.24 Cardiff – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 8.004.501.40 1.62 2.30
16.04.24 Southampton – Preston 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
09.04.24 Southampton – Coventry 2–1 (2–0) 1.754.004.20 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Blackburn – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 4.004.001.80 1.50 2.63
01.04.24 Ipswich – Southampton 3–2 (1–2) 2.503.602.70 1.57 2.35
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
09.03.24 Southampton – Sunderland 4–2 (2–0) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.35
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.24 Swansea – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
06.04.24 Stoke – West Brom 2–2 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.67
01.04.24 Stoke – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.75
29.03.24 Hull – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.753.75 1.98 1.88
16.03.24 Stoke – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 2.553.252.80 2.00 1.85
09.03.24 Preston – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.08 1.73
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.24 Southampton – Preston 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
09.04.24 Southampton – Coventry 2–1 (2–0) 1.754.004.20 1.44 2.75
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
09.03.24 Southampton – Sunderland 4–2 (2–0) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.24 Swansea – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83
29.03.24 Hull – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.753.75 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Preston – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.08 1.73
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
10.02.24 Blackburn – Stoke 3–1 (3–1) 2.403.602.88 1.67 2.15
27.01.24 Sunderland – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
29.12.23 Watford – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsStoke wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23E1 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 44 30 4 10 86 39 +47 94
2 Leeds 45 27 9 9 80 41 +39 90
3 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 85 53 +32 89
4 Southampton 44 25 9 10 85 61 +24 84
5 West Brom 44 20 12 12 67 44 +23 72
6 Norwich 44 21 9 14 77 61 +16 72
7 Hull 44 19 12 13 65 56 +9 69
8 Coventry 43 17 12 14 68 55 +13 63
9 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 64 60 +4 63
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 56 61 -5 63
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 50 61 -11 62
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 51 47 +4 59
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 52 51 +1 56
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 57 62 -5 56
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 59 58 +1 53
16 QPR 45 14 11 20 45 57 -12 53
17 Millwall 44 14 11 19 43 55 -12 53
18 Stoke 44 13 11 20 44 60 -16 50
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 58 74 -16 49
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 58 69 -11 48
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 39 68 -29 47
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 48 64 -16 46
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 47 74 -27 44
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 32 85 -53 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 22 16 5 1 44 14 +30 53
2 Leicester 22 17 1 4 47 16 +31 52
3 Ipswich 22 15 6 1 57 32 +25 51
4 Southampton 22 15 3 4 54 28 +26 48
5 Norwich 22 15 3 4 41 20 +21 48
6 West Brom 22 14 4 4 35 17 +18 46
7 Preston 22 11 4 7 35 33 +2 37
8 Coventry 21 9 8 4 34 23 +11 35
9 Bristol City 22 10 4 8 29 21 +8 34
10 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 30 25 +5 33
11 Cardiff 22 10 3 9 26 28 -2 33
12 Hull 22 8 8 6 32 24 +8 32
13 Plymouth 22 9 5 8 40 35 +5 32
14 Sunderland 22 10 2 10 30 28 +2 32
15 Middlesbrough 22 9 4 9 27 25 +2 31
16 Swansea 22 8 5 9 26 27 -1 29
17 Millwall 22 8 5 9 21 29 -8 29
18 Sheffield Weds 22 7 7 8 24 27 -3 28
19 QPR 23 7 6 10 28 32 -4 27
20 Stoke 22 7 6 9 20 27 -7 27
21 Huddersfield 22 6 7 9 25 35 -10 25
22 Watford 22 5 9 8 31 28 +3 24
23 Blackburn 22 6 6 10 27 34 -7 24
24 Rotherham 22 4 8 10 19 26 -7 20
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 22 13 3 6 39 23 +16 42
2 Ipswich 21 11 5 5 28 21 +7 38
3 Leeds 23 11 4 8 36 27 +9 37
4 Hull 22 11 4 7 33 32 +1 37
5 Southampton 22 10 6 6 31 33 -2 36
6 Middlesbrough 22 9 5 8 37 35 +2 32
7 Watford 22 7 8 7 28 30 -2 29
8 Cardiff 22 9 2 11 24 33 -9 29
9 Coventry 22 8 4 10 34 32 +2 28
10 Swansea 22 7 6 9 31 35 -4 27
11 West Brom 22 6 8 8 32 27 +5 26
12 Preston 22 7 5 10 21 28 -7 26
13 QPR 22 7 5 10 17 25 -8 26
14 Bristol City 22 6 7 9 22 26 -4 25
15 Blackburn 22 7 4 11 31 40 -9 25
16 Sunderland 22 6 6 10 22 23 -1 24
17 Millwall 22 6 6 10 22 26 -4 24
18 Norwich 22 6 6 10 36 41 -5 24
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 24 33 -9 23
20 Huddersfield 22 3 10 9 22 39 -17 19
21 Sheffield Weds 22 6 1 15 15 41 -26 19
22 Plymouth 22 3 7 12 18 34 -16 16
23 Birmingham 22 3 4 15 18 39 -21 13
24 Rotherham 22 0 4 18 13 59 -46 4

Southampton   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Southampton 44 15 29 1.9 1.4 25 9 10 85 61 84
2 19 Blackburn 44 15 29 1.3 1.7 13 10 21 58 74 49
3 6 Norwich 44 17 27 1.8 1.4 21 9 14 77 61 72
4 8 Coventry 43 16 27 1.6 1.3 17 12 14 68 55 63
5 1 Leicester 44 18 26 2.0 0.9 30 4 10 86 39 94
6 3 Ipswich 43 17 26 2.0 1.2 26 11 6 85 53 89
7 7 Hull 44 18 26 1.5 1.3 19 12 13 65 56 69
8 10 Preston 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 18 9 17 56 61 63
9 14 Swansea 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 15 11 18 57 62 56
10 20 Plymouth 44 19 25 1.3 1.6 12 12 20 58 69 48
11 2 Leeds 45 21 24 1.8 0.9 27 9 9 80 41 90
12 9 Middlesbrough 44 22 22 1.5 1.4 18 9 17 64 60 63
13 11 Cardiff 44 22 22 1.1 1.4 19 5 20 50 61 62
14 15 Watford 44 22 22 1.3 1.3 12 17 15 59 58 53
15 24 Rotherham 44 22 22 0.7 1.9 4 12 28 32 85 24
16 13 Sunderland 44 23 21 1.2 1.2 16 8 20 52 51 56
17 22 Birmingham 44 23 21 1.1 1.5 12 10 22 48 64 46
18 23 Huddersfield 44 23 21 1.1 1.7 9 17 18 47 74 44
19 5 West Brom 44 24 20 1.5 1.0 20 12 12 67 44 72
20 16 QPR 45 25 20 1.0 1.3 14 11 20 45 57 53
21 21 Sheffield Weds 44 24 20 0.9 1.5 13 8 23 39 68 47
22 18 Stoke 44 25 19 1.0 1.4 13 11 20 44 60 50
23 17 Millwall 44 27 17 1.0 1.2 14 11 19 43 55 53
24 12 Bristol City 44 28 16 1.2 1.1 16 11 17 51 47 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 22 5 17 2.6 1.5 15 6 1 57 32 51
2 4 Southampton 22 5 17 2.5 1.3 15 3 4 54 28 48
3 10 Preston 22 6 16 1.6 1.5 11 4 7 35 33 37
4 1 Leicester 22 8 14 2.1 0.7 17 1 4 47 16 52
5 20 Plymouth 22 8 14 1.8 1.6 9 5 8 40 35 32
6 2 Leeds 22 9 13 2.0 0.6 16 5 1 44 14 53
7 13 Sunderland 22 9 13 1.4 1.3 10 2 10 30 28 32
8 19 Blackburn 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 6 6 10 27 34 24
9 14 Swansea 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 8 5 9 26 27 29
10 15 Watford 22 10 12 1.4 1.3 5 9 8 31 28 24
11 16 QPR 23 11 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 10 28 32 27
12 23 Huddersfield 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 6 7 9 25 35 25
13 6 Norwich 22 11 11 1.9 0.9 15 3 4 41 20 48
14 8 Coventry 21 10 11 1.6 1.1 9 8 4 34 23 35
15 22 Birmingham 22 11 11 1.4 1.1 9 6 7 30 25 33
16 7 Hull 22 12 10 1.5 1.1 8 8 6 32 24 32
17 11 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 10 3 9 26 28 33
18 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 7 7 8 24 27 28
19 17 Millwall 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 8 5 9 21 29 29
20 18 Stoke 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 7 6 9 20 27 27
21 5 West Brom 22 14 8 1.6 0.8 14 4 4 35 17 46
22 24 Rotherham 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 10 19 26 20
23 9 Middlesbrough 22 15 7 1.2 1.1 9 4 9 27 25 31
24 12 Bristol City 22 15 7 1.3 1.0 10 4 8 29 21 34
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 22 6 16 1.6 1.9 6 6 10 36 41 24
2 7 Hull 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 11 4 7 33 32 37
3 8 Coventry 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 8 4 10 34 32 28
4 19 Blackburn 22 6 16 1.4 1.8 7 4 11 31 40 25
5 9 Middlesbrough 22 7 15 1.7 1.6 9 5 8 37 35 32
6 24 Rotherham 22 8 14 0.6 2.7 0 4 18 13 59 4
7 14 Swansea 22 9 13 1.4 1.6 7 6 9 31 35 27
8 1 Leicester 22 10 12 1.8 1.0 13 3 6 39 23 42
9 4 Southampton 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 10 6 6 31 33 36
10 5 West Brom 22 10 12 1.5 1.2 6 8 8 32 27 26
11 11 Cardiff 22 10 12 1.1 1.5 9 2 11 24 33 29
12 2 Leeds 23 12 11 1.6 1.2 11 4 8 36 27 37
13 20 Plymouth 22 11 11 0.8 1.5 3 7 12 18 34 16
14 15 Watford 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 7 8 7 28 30 29
15 18 Stoke 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 6 5 11 24 33 23
16 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.7 1.9 6 1 15 15 41 19
17 22 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.8 3 4 15 18 39 13
18 3 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 11 5 5 28 21 38
19 10 Preston 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 7 5 10 21 28 26
20 12 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 6 7 9 22 26 25
21 23 Huddersfield 22 13 9 1.0 1.8 3 10 9 22 39 19
22 13 Sunderland 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 6 6 10 22 23 24
23 16 QPR 22 14 8 0.8 1.1 7 5 10 17 25 26
24 17 Millwall 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 6 6 10 22 26 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51