Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Leeds 1–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.59
Draw 5.50 fair 4.67
Away 8.00 fair 6.29
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Stoke
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 2
7 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (419 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.93 – 0.85
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.9% 2–0 11.5% 1–1 10.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
1.86scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 65:28
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
0.94scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 33:48
Leeds all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 0.94
0.80 Goals conceded 1.37
2.66 Total goals 2.31
15.49 Shots 12.06
5.26 Shots on target 3.37
9.20 Shots faced 11.43
5.43 Corners 6.17
4.57 Corners against 4.83
10.31 Fouls 12.43
1.49 Yellow cards 2.37
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

63% Wins 29%
20% Draws 23%
17% Losses 49%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
71% Over 1.5 goals 63%
54% Over 2.5 goals 40%
29% Over 3.5 goals 26%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
46% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 29%
17% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 17%
40% Draws 46%
17% Losses 37%
69% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Stoke all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.53points / match
2.24scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 38:12
Stoke before this match, away
0.94points / match
1.12scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 19:27
Leeds at home away Stoke

Per match

2.24 Goals scored 1.12
0.71 Goals conceded 1.59
2.94 Total goals 2.71
17.59 Shots 10.76
6.12 Shots on target 3.29
7.47 Shots faced 12.94
6.12 Corners 5.59
2.65 Corners against 6.12
10.59 Fouls 11.76
1.53 Yellow cards 2.18
1.24 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

76% Wins 24%
24% Draws 24%
0% Losses 53%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
82% Over 1.5 goals 76%
71% Over 2.5 goals 47%
35% Over 3.5 goals 35%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
59% Both teams scored 59%
41% Clean sheets 18%
6% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 18%
35% Draws 35%
12% Losses 47%
76% Over 0.5 goals 94%
53% Over 1.5 goals 59%
24% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Huddersfield – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.80 2.00
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Plymouth – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.48 2.60
13.02.24 Swansea – Leeds 0–4 (0–3) 5.254.331.57 1.67 2.15
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.201.62 1.93 1.93
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
17.02.24 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.83 2.03
14.02.24 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
10.02.24 Blackburn – Stoke 3–1 (3–1) 2.403.602.88 1.67 2.15
03.02.24 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
27.01.24 Sunderland – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.80
20.01.24 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
01.01.24 Stoke – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.93 1.93

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
10.02.24 Blackburn – Stoke 3–1 (3–1) 2.403.602.88 1.67 2.15
27.01.24 Sunderland – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 Rotherham – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.91 2.03 1.83
29.12.23 Watford – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Birmingham – Stoke 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
17.12.23 West Brom – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 Plymouth – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.08
28.11.23 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
11.11.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsStoke wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.23E1 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 35 25 3 7 71 31 +40 78
2 Ipswich 35 22 9 4 70 45 +25 75
3 Leeds 35 22 7 6 65 28 +37 73
4 Southampton 35 21 7 7 69 45 +24 70
5 West Brom 35 17 8 10 51 33 +18 59
6 Hull 35 16 8 11 50 43 +7 56
7 Norwich 35 16 7 12 60 51 +9 55
8 Preston 35 15 8 12 47 52 -5 53
9 Coventry 35 13 12 10 52 42 +10 51
10 Sunderland 35 14 5 16 46 40 +6 47
11 Cardiff 35 14 5 16 40 48 -8 47
12 Watford 35 11 11 13 50 48 +2 44
13 Bristol City 35 12 8 15 39 40 -1 44
14 Middlesbrough 34 13 5 16 47 51 -4 44
15 Swansea 35 11 9 15 45 56 -11 42
16 Plymouth 35 10 10 15 53 59 -6 40
17 Blackburn 35 11 6 18 49 62 -13 39
18 Millwall 35 10 9 16 34 47 -13 39
19 QPR 35 10 8 17 34 46 -12 38
20 Birmingham 34 10 8 16 41 55 -14 38
21 Huddersfield 35 8 14 13 41 56 -15 38
22 Stoke 35 10 8 17 33 48 -15 38
23 Sheffield Weds 35 10 5 20 29 53 -24 35
24 Rotherham 35 3 10 22 30 67 -37 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 17 13 4 0 38 12 +26 43
2 Leicester 18 13 1 4 35 13 +22 40
3 Ipswich 17 12 4 1 44 27 +17 40
4 West Brom 18 12 3 3 29 14 +15 39
5 Norwich 18 12 2 4 32 18 +14 38
6 Southampton 17 11 2 4 41 22 +19 35
7 Preston 18 9 4 5 27 29 -2 31
8 Sunderland 17 10 0 7 29 21 +8 30
9 Coventry 17 7 8 2 24 17 +7 29
10 Plymouth 18 8 4 6 38 32 +6 28
11 Birmingham 17 7 6 4 26 22 +4 27
12 Hull 17 7 5 5 24 17 +7 26
13 Bristol City 18 7 3 8 21 20 +1 24
14 Cardiff 17 7 3 7 20 21 -1 24
15 Huddersfield 18 5 7 6 22 24 -2 22
16 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 19 21 -2 22
17 Stoke 18 6 4 8 14 21 -7 22
18 Middlesbrough 17 6 3 8 17 20 -3 21
19 Blackburn 17 6 3 8 24 28 -4 21
20 Watford 17 5 5 7 27 23 +4 20
21 Swansea 18 5 5 8 20 26 -6 20
22 Millwall 18 5 4 9 15 27 -12 19
23 QPR 17 4 5 8 19 25 -6 17
24 Rotherham 18 3 6 9 17 24 -7 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 17 12 2 3 36 18 +18 38
2 Ipswich 18 10 5 3 26 18 +8 35
3 Southampton 18 10 5 3 28 23 +5 35
4 Leeds 18 9 3 6 27 16 +11 30
5 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30
6 Watford 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24
7 Middlesbrough 17 7 2 8 30 31 -1 23
8 Cardiff 18 7 2 9 20 27 -7 23
9 Coventry 18 6 4 8 28 25 +3 22
10 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22
11 Swansea 17 6 4 7 25 30 -5 22
12 QPR 18 6 3 9 15 21 -6 21
13 West Brom 17 5 5 7 22 19 +3 20
14 Millwall 17 5 5 7 19 20 -1 20
15 Bristol City 17 5 5 7 18 20 -2 20
16 Blackburn 18 5 3 10 25 34 -9 18
17 Sunderland 18 4 5 9 17 19 -2 17
18 Norwich 17 4 5 8 28 33 -5 17
19 Stoke 17 4 4 9 19 27 -8 16
20 Huddersfield 17 3 7 7 19 32 -13 16
21 Sheffield Weds 18 4 1 13 10 32 -22 13
22 Plymouth 17 2 6 9 15 27 -12 12
23 Birmingham 17 3 2 12 15 33 -18 11
24 Rotherham 17 0 4 13 13 43 -30 4

Leeds   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Blackburn 35 9 26 1.4 1.8 11 6 18 49 62 39
2 15 Swansea 35 12 23 1.3 1.6 11 9 15 45 56 42
3 16 Plymouth 35 12 23 1.5 1.7 10 10 15 53 59 40
4 2 Ipswich 35 13 22 2.0 1.3 22 9 4 70 45 75
5 4 Southampton 35 13 22 2.0 1.3 21 7 7 69 45 70
6 1 Leicester 35 14 21 2.0 0.9 25 3 7 71 31 78
7 7 Norwich 35 14 21 1.7 1.5 16 7 12 60 51 55
8 8 Preston 35 14 21 1.3 1.5 15 8 12 47 52 53
9 6 Hull 35 15 20 1.4 1.2 16 8 11 50 43 56
10 3 Leeds 35 16 19 1.9 0.8 22 7 6 65 28 73
11 9 Coventry 35 16 19 1.5 1.2 13 12 10 52 42 51
12 10 Sunderland 35 16 19 1.3 1.1 14 5 16 46 40 47
13 14 Middlesbrough 34 15 19 1.4 1.5 13 5 16 47 51 44
14 12 Watford 35 17 18 1.4 1.4 11 11 13 50 48 44
15 20 Birmingham 34 16 18 1.2 1.6 10 8 16 41 55 38
16 24 Rotherham 35 17 18 0.9 1.9 3 10 22 30 67 19
17 11 Cardiff 35 18 17 1.1 1.4 14 5 16 40 48 47
18 21 Huddersfield 35 18 17 1.2 1.6 8 14 13 41 56 38
19 23 Sheffield Weds 35 18 17 0.8 1.5 10 5 20 29 53 35
20 19 QPR 35 19 16 1.0 1.3 10 8 17 34 46 38
21 5 West Brom 35 20 15 1.5 0.9 17 8 10 51 33 59
22 18 Millwall 35 20 15 1.0 1.3 10 9 16 34 47 39
23 13 Bristol City 35 21 14 1.1 1.1 12 8 15 39 40 44
24 22 Stoke 35 21 14 0.9 1.4 10 8 17 33 48 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 17 3 14 2.6 1.6 12 4 1 44 27 40
2 16 Plymouth 18 4 14 2.1 1.8 8 4 6 38 32 28
3 4 Southampton 17 4 13 2.4 1.3 11 2 4 41 22 35
4 8 Preston 18 5 13 1.5 1.6 9 4 5 27 29 31
5 3 Leeds 17 5 12 2.2 0.7 13 4 0 38 12 43
6 10 Sunderland 17 5 12 1.7 1.2 10 0 7 29 21 30
7 17 Blackburn 17 5 12 1.4 1.6 6 3 8 24 28 21
8 15 Swansea 18 7 11 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 26 20
9 1 Leicester 18 8 10 1.9 0.7 13 1 4 35 13 40
10 12 Watford 17 7 10 1.6 1.4 5 5 7 27 23 20
11 20 Birmingham 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 7 6 4 26 22 27
12 7 Norwich 18 9 9 1.8 1.0 12 2 4 32 18 38
13 19 QPR 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 4 5 8 19 25 17
14 21 Huddersfield 18 9 9 1.2 1.3 5 7 6 22 24 22
15 23 Sheffield Weds 17 8 9 1.1 1.2 6 4 7 19 21 22
16 18 Millwall 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 4 9 15 27 19
17 5 West Brom 18 11 7 1.6 0.8 12 3 3 29 14 39
18 6 Hull 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 5 5 24 17 26
19 9 Coventry 17 10 7 1.4 1.0 7 8 2 24 17 29
20 11 Cardiff 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 3 7 20 21 24
21 24 Rotherham 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 9 17 24 15
22 13 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 20 24
23 22 Stoke 18 12 6 0.8 1.2 6 4 8 14 21 22
24 14 Middlesbrough 17 12 5 1.0 1.2 6 3 8 17 20 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Middlesbrough 17 3 14 1.8 1.8 7 2 8 30 31 23
2 17 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.4 1.9 5 3 10 25 34 18
3 6 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30
4 7 Norwich 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 4 5 8 28 33 17
5 9 Coventry 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 4 8 28 25 22
6 15 Swansea 17 5 12 1.5 1.8 6 4 7 25 30 22
7 1 Leicester 17 6 11 2.1 1.1 12 2 3 36 18 38
8 24 Rotherham 17 6 11 0.8 2.5 0 4 13 13 43 4
9 11 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 9 20 27 23
10 4 Southampton 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 10 5 3 28 23 35
11 16 Plymouth 17 8 9 0.9 1.6 2 6 9 15 27 12
12 2 Ipswich 18 10 8 1.4 1.0 10 5 3 26 18 35
13 5 West Brom 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 5 5 7 22 19 20
14 8 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22
15 12 Watford 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24
16 13 Bristol City 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 5 5 7 18 20 20
17 20 Birmingham 17 9 8 0.9 1.9 3 2 12 15 33 11
18 21 Huddersfield 17 9 8 1.1 1.9 3 7 7 19 32 16
19 22 Stoke 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 9 19 27 16
20 23 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.6 1.8 4 1 13 10 32 13
21 3 Leeds 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 9 3 6 27 16 30
22 10 Sunderland 18 11 7 0.9 1.1 4 5 9 17 19 17
23 18 Millwall 17 10 7 1.1 1.2 5 5 7 19 20 20
24 19 QPR 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 6 3 9 15 21 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51