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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Gill

Derby 3–0 Port Vale

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.61
Draw 4.33 fair 4.73
Away 7.50 fair 5.95
Under 2.5 2.03 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Port Vale
20 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
7 Corners 4
14 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (412 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.98 – 0.92
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPort Vale
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.9% 2–0 10.8% 1–1 10%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.71scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 60:33
Port Vale before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
1.03scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 34:54
Derby all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.03
0.94 Goals conceded 1.64
2.66 Total goals 2.67
12.51 Shots 12.58
4.40 Shots on target 4.18
9.77 Shots faced 12.39
6.57 Corners 5.52
5.00 Corners against 5.76
10.60 Fouls 10.03
1.83 Yellow cards 1.82
0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.34 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

57% Wins 24%
17% Draws 24%
26% Losses 52%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
74% Over 1.5 goals 67%
57% Over 2.5 goals 48%
26% Over 3.5 goals 27%
11% Over 4.5 goals 21%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
54% Both teams scored 45%
40% Clean sheets 21%
11% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 21%
49% Draws 52%
11% Losses 27%
66% Over 0.5 goals 61%
29% Over 1.5 goals 27%
11% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Port Vale all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.71scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:17
Port Vale before this match, away
0.88points / match
0.81scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 13:30
Derby at home away Port Vale

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 0.81
1.00 Goals conceded 1.88
2.71 Total goals 2.69
12.88 Shots 10.25
4.18 Shots on target 3.13
8.35 Shots faced 13.88
6.35 Corners 4.75
4.29 Corners against 6.19
10.65 Fouls 11.50
1.88 Yellow cards 1.88
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

53% Wins 19%
24% Draws 31%
24% Losses 50%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
82% Over 1.5 goals 81%
59% Over 2.5 goals 50%
24% Over 3.5 goals 19%
12% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 50%
35% Clean sheets 19%
6% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 19%
53% Draws 50%
12% Losses 31%
59% Over 0.5 goals 56%
18% Over 1.5 goals 19%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Port Vale away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.24 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
24.02.24 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05

Port Vale all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.24 Port Vale – Fleetwood Town 2–2 (2–0) 2.453.302.90 2.03 1.83
24.02.24 Port Vale – Lincoln 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.202.75 2.25 1.62
20.02.24 Reading – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
17.02.24 Cheltenham – Port Vale 3–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Port Vale – Stevenage 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.602.15 2.05 1.80
06.02.24 Port Vale – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 2.10 1.70
03.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Port Vale 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.88 1.98
27.01.24 Port Vale – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
06.01.24 Port Vale – Charlton 3–3 (1–1) 2.253.603.00 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Carlisle – Port Vale 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.02.24 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83
16.12.23 Derby – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.90 1.95
25.11.23 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05

Port Vale away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.24 Reading – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.85 2.00
17.02.24 Cheltenham – Port Vale 3–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.75 2.05 1.75
03.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Port Vale 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.88 1.98
01.01.24 Carlisle – Port Vale 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Wycombe – Port Vale 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 2.05 1.75
25.11.23 Shrewsbury – Port Vale 2–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.70
11.11.23 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Stevenage – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.80
07.10.23 Portsmouth – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPort Vale wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23E2 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
24.01.23E2 Port Vale – Derby 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.25 1.62
08.10.22E2 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 35 21 10 4 58 30 +28 73
2 Derby 35 20 6 9 60 33 +27 66
3 Bolton 34 20 6 8 60 38 +22 66
4 Barnsley 33 18 9 6 60 37 +23 63
5 Peterboro 33 17 8 8 61 41 +20 59
6 Stevenage 34 17 8 9 48 34 +14 59
7 Oxford 35 16 9 10 57 44 +13 57
8 Leyton Orient 35 15 9 11 43 42 +1 54
9 Blackpool 35 15 8 12 54 41 +13 53
10 Wigan 35 15 7 13 49 43 +6 52
11 Lincoln 35 13 12 10 40 32 +8 51
12 Northampton 34 14 6 14 47 50 -3 48
13 Bristol Rvs 34 13 7 14 47 49 -2 46
14 Reading 35 11 9 15 46 52 -6 42
15 Wycombe 34 10 11 13 43 44 -1 41
16 Exeter 35 11 7 17 26 48 -22 40
17 Cambridge 34 10 8 16 31 42 -11 38
18 Burton 34 10 8 16 29 44 -15 38
19 Shrewsbury 35 11 5 19 26 49 -23 38
20 Charlton 35 8 13 14 49 53 -4 37
21 Cheltenham 33 9 6 18 28 45 -17 33
22 Port Vale 33 8 8 17 34 54 -20 32
23 Fleetwood Town 35 6 10 19 36 58 -22 28
24 Carlisle 34 5 8 21 28 57 -29 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackpool 18 11 4 3 38 17 +21 37
2 Portsmouth 17 11 4 2 30 18 +12 37
3 Bolton 17 11 3 3 35 22 +13 36
4 Wigan 18 10 2 6 25 17 +8 32
5 Derby 17 9 4 4 29 17 +12 31
6 Reading 18 9 4 5 29 19 +10 31
7 Barnsley 17 9 3 5 32 21 +11 30
8 Oxford 18 8 6 4 32 21 +11 30
9 Stevenage 17 8 6 3 22 14 +8 30
10 Peterboro 15 8 4 3 34 17 +17 28
11 Northampton 17 8 4 5 24 19 +5 28
12 Lincoln 17 7 6 4 23 13 +10 27
13 Leyton Orient 17 8 3 6 20 24 -4 27
14 Bristol Rvs 17 7 5 5 26 20 +6 26
15 Cambridge 18 7 4 7 16 19 -3 25
16 Wycombe 17 6 6 5 24 21 +3 24
17 Charlton 18 6 5 7 29 25 +4 23
18 Shrewsbury 17 7 2 8 16 20 -4 23
19 Burton 17 6 4 7 16 18 -2 22
20 Cheltenham 16 6 3 7 18 23 -5 21
21 Exeter 18 5 6 7 11 17 -6 21
22 Port Vale 17 5 3 9 21 24 -3 18
23 Carlisle 17 3 5 9 14 27 -13 14
24 Fleetwood Town 17 3 3 11 15 28 -13 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 18 10 6 2 28 12 +16 36
2 Derby 18 11 2 5 31 16 +15 35
3 Barnsley 16 9 6 1 28 16 +12 33
4 Peterboro 18 9 4 5 27 24 +3 31
5 Bolton 17 9 3 5 25 16 +9 30
6 Stevenage 17 9 2 6 26 20 +6 29
7 Leyton Orient 18 7 6 5 23 18 +5 27
8 Oxford 17 8 3 6 25 23 +2 27
9 Lincoln 18 6 6 6 17 19 -2 24
10 Wigan 17 5 5 7 24 26 -2 20
11 Northampton 17 6 2 9 23 31 -8 20
12 Bristol Rvs 17 6 2 9 21 29 -8 20
13 Exeter 17 6 1 10 15 31 -16 19
14 Wycombe 17 4 5 8 19 23 -4 17
15 Blackpool 17 4 4 9 16 24 -8 16
16 Fleetwood Town 18 3 7 8 21 30 -9 16
17 Burton 17 4 4 9 13 26 -13 16
18 Shrewsbury 18 4 3 11 10 29 -19 15
19 Charlton 17 2 8 7 20 28 -8 14
20 Port Vale 16 3 5 8 13 30 -17 14
21 Cambridge 16 3 4 9 15 23 -8 13
22 Cheltenham 17 3 3 11 10 22 -12 12
23 Reading 17 2 5 10 17 33 -16 11
24 Carlisle 17 2 3 12 14 30 -16 9

Derby   Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 35 12 23 1.6 1.3 16 9 10 57 44 57
2 5 Peterboro 33 12 21 1.8 1.2 17 8 8 61 41 59
3 12 Northampton 34 13 21 1.4 1.5 14 6 14 47 50 48
4 2 Derby 35 15 20 1.7 0.9 20 6 9 60 33 66
5 4 Barnsley 33 13 20 1.8 1.1 18 9 6 60 37 63
6 13 Bristol Rvs 34 14 20 1.4 1.4 13 7 14 47 49 46
7 20 Charlton 35 15 20 1.4 1.5 8 13 14 49 53 37
8 1 Portsmouth 35 16 19 1.7 0.9 21 10 4 58 30 73
9 9 Blackpool 35 16 19 1.5 1.2 15 8 12 54 41 53
10 23 Fleetwood Town 35 16 19 1.0 1.7 6 10 19 36 58 28
11 3 Bolton 34 16 18 1.8 1.1 20 6 8 60 38 66
12 6 Stevenage 34 17 17 1.4 1.0 17 8 9 48 34 59
13 14 Reading 35 18 17 1.3 1.5 11 9 15 46 52 42
14 8 Leyton Orient 35 19 16 1.2 1.2 15 9 11 43 42 54
15 10 Wigan 35 19 16 1.4 1.2 15 7 13 49 43 52
16 15 Wycombe 34 18 16 1.3 1.3 10 11 13 43 44 41
17 22 Port Vale 33 17 16 1.0 1.6 8 8 17 34 54 32
18 17 Cambridge 34 19 15 0.9 1.2 10 8 16 31 42 38
19 24 Carlisle 34 20 14 0.8 1.7 5 8 21 28 57 23
20 16 Exeter 35 22 13 0.7 1.4 11 7 17 26 48 40
21 18 Burton 34 21 13 0.9 1.3 10 8 16 29 44 38
22 19 Shrewsbury 35 22 13 0.7 1.4 11 5 19 26 49 38
23 11 Lincoln 35 23 12 1.1 0.9 13 12 10 40 32 51
24 21 Cheltenham 33 21 12 0.8 1.4 9 6 18 28 45 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 18 5 13 1.8 1.2 8 6 4 32 21 30
2 3 Bolton 17 5 12 2.1 1.3 11 3 3 35 22 36
3 4 Barnsley 17 5 12 1.9 1.2 9 3 5 32 21 30
4 20 Charlton 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 5 7 29 25 23
5 5 Peterboro 15 4 11 2.3 1.1 8 4 3 34 17 28
6 9 Blackpool 18 7 11 2.1 0.9 11 4 3 38 17 37
7 1 Portsmouth 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 11 4 2 30 18 37
8 2 Derby 17 7 10 1.7 1.0 9 4 4 29 17 31
9 13 Bristol Rvs 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 7 5 5 26 20 26
10 12 Northampton 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 8 4 5 24 19 28
11 8 Leyton Orient 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 8 3 6 20 24 27
12 10 Wigan 18 10 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 6 25 17 32
13 22 Port Vale 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 5 3 9 21 24 18
14 23 Fleetwood Town 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 3 3 11 15 28 12
15 11 Lincoln 17 10 7 1.4 0.8 7 6 4 23 13 27
16 14 Reading 18 11 7 1.6 1.1 9 4 5 29 19 31
17 15 Wycombe 17 10 7 1.4 1.2 6 6 5 24 21 24
18 19 Shrewsbury 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 7 2 8 16 20 23
19 21 Cheltenham 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 6 3 7 18 23 21
20 6 Stevenage 17 11 6 1.3 0.8 8 6 3 22 14 30
21 17 Cambridge 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 7 16 19 25
22 24 Carlisle 17 11 6 0.8 1.6 3 5 9 14 27 14
23 16 Exeter 18 13 5 0.6 0.9 5 6 7 11 17 21
24 18 Burton 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 6 4 7 16 18 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Northampton 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 6 2 9 23 31 20
2 6 Stevenage 17 6 11 1.5 1.2 9 2 6 26 20 29
3 23 Fleetwood Town 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 3 7 8 21 30 16
4 2 Derby 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 11 2 5 31 16 35
5 5 Peterboro 18 8 10 1.5 1.3 9 4 5 27 24 31
6 7 Oxford 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 6 25 23 27
7 13 Bristol Rvs 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 6 2 9 21 29 20
8 14 Reading 17 7 10 1.0 1.9 2 5 10 17 33 11
9 1 Portsmouth 18 9 9 1.6 0.7 10 6 2 28 12 36
10 15 Wycombe 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 4 5 8 19 23 17
11 17 Cambridge 16 7 9 0.9 1.4 3 4 9 15 23 13
12 4 Barnsley 16 8 8 1.8 1.0 9 6 1 28 16 33
13 8 Leyton Orient 18 10 8 1.3 1.0 7 6 5 23 18 27
14 9 Blackpool 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 4 4 9 16 24 16
15 10 Wigan 17 9 8 1.4 1.5 5 5 7 24 26 20
16 16 Exeter 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 6 1 10 15 31 19
17 18 Burton 17 9 8 0.8 1.5 4 4 9 13 26 16
18 20 Charlton 17 9 8 1.2 1.6 2 8 7 20 28 14
19 22 Port Vale 16 8 8 0.8 1.9 3 5 8 13 30 14
20 24 Carlisle 17 9 8 0.8 1.8 2 3 12 14 30 9
21 3 Bolton 17 11 6 1.5 0.9 9 3 5 25 16 30
22 19 Shrewsbury 18 12 6 0.6 1.6 4 3 11 10 29 15
23 11 Lincoln 18 13 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 6 17 19 24
24 21 Cheltenham 17 12 5 0.6 1.3 3 3 11 10 22 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51