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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Madley

Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.50 fair 2.41
Draw 3.50 fair 4.10
Away 2.00 fair 2.94
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Middlesbrough
3 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 8
13 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (13 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
0.00points / match
2.00scored / match
4.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:4
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:0
Derby all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
4.00 Goals conceded 0.00
6.00 Total goals 1.00
12.00 Shots 18.00
4.00 Shots on target 4.00
11.00 Shots faced 5.00
9.00 Corners 6.00
1.00 Corners against 9.00
10.00 Fouls 14.00
3.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
100% Over 4.5 goals 0%
100% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Derby before this match, at home

No matches yet this season.

Middlesbrough before this match, away

No matches yet this season.

Derby at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

How often Full Time

How often Half Time

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
23.03.24E2 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24E2 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.08.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.33 1.73 2.08
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
06.04.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
01.04.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
16.03.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24E2 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.24E2 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03
27.02.24E2 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
17.02.24E2 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24E2 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
27.01.24E2 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22E1 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
21.08.21E1 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
2 Burnley 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
3 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
4 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
7 Oxford 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
8 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
9 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Stoke 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Coventry 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
12 Leeds 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
13 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
14 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Hull 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
16 Millwall 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
17 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Derby 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
19 QPR 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
20 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
21 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Luton 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
24 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
2 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
3 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Coventry 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Stoke 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
7 Leeds 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
8 Hull 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
9 Bristol City 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Burnley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Derby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Norwich 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Portsmouth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Sheffield United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Sunderland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Swansea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Watford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 West Brom 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 Millwall 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
21 QPR 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
22 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
24 Luton 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
2 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
3 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
6 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
7 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 Blackburn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Cardiff 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Hull 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Leeds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Luton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Millwall 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Preston 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 QPR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Sheffield Weds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Stoke 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Oxford 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
20 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
21 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
22 Derby 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
23 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
24 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

Derby   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
2 2 Burnley 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
3 3 Blackburn 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
4 4 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
5 7 Oxford 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
6 8 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
7 11 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
8 12 Leeds 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
9 13 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
10 16 Millwall 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
11 18 Derby 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
12 19 QPR 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
13 23 Luton 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
14 24 Plymouth 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
15 5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
16 6 Sunderland 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
17 9 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 10 Stoke 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
19 14 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 15 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
21 17 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
22 20 Cardiff 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
23 21 Norwich 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 22 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
2 3 Blackburn 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
3 11 Coventry 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
4 12 Leeds 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
5 16 Millwall 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
6 19 QPR 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
7 23 Luton 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
8 2 Burnley 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 4 West Brom 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 5 Sheffield United 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 6 Sunderland 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 7 Oxford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
13 8 Watford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 9 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
15 10 Stoke 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 13 Portsmouth 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 14 Bristol City 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 15 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 17 Swansea 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 18 Derby 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 20 Cardiff 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
22 21 Norwich 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 22 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 24 Plymouth 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Burnley 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
2 4 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
3 7 Oxford 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
4 8 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
5 13 Portsmouth 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1
6 18 Derby 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
7 24 Plymouth 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
8 1 Sheffield Weds 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 3 Blackburn 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
11 6 Sunderland 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
12 9 Middlesbrough 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 10 Stoke 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 11 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
15 12 Leeds 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 14 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 15 Hull 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 16 Millwall 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 17 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 19 QPR 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 20 Cardiff 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 21 Norwich 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
23 22 Preston 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 23 Luton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38