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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Luton 1–2 Sunderland

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.55 fair 2.59
Draw 3.30 fair 3.93
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 2.78
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Sunderland
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
10 Corners 3
14 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (127 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawSunderland
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 8.8% 2–1 8.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.10scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 11:15
Sunderland before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
1.90scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:8
Luton all matches all matches Sunderland

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.90
1.50 Goals conceded 0.80
2.60 Total goals 2.70
12.10 Shots 12.70
3.80 Shots on target 4.00
12.80 Shots faced 10.40
7.50 Corners 4.40
4.50 Corners against 4.30
13.10 Fouls 10.10
2.30 Yellow cards 1.90
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

30% Wins 70%
20% Draws 10%
50% Losses 20%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 40%
30% Clean sheets 60%
30% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 70%
20% Draws 20%
40% Losses 10%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Sunderland all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:9
Sunderland before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:6
Luton at home away Sunderland

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.80
1.80 Goals conceded 1.20
3.60 Total goals 3.00
12.20 Shots 13.20
4.00 Shots on target 4.40
12.40 Shots faced 10.40
6.60 Corners 4.80
4.80 Corners against 4.00
13.60 Fouls 10.60
2.40 Yellow cards 1.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

40% Wins 60%
20% Draws 0%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
100% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 60%
20% Draws 20%
20% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 0%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Sunderland away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
21.09.24 Luton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.85 2.00
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.402.38 1.73 2.10
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Portsmouth – Sunderland 1–3 (0–1) 3.303.702.05 2.00 1.85
24.08.24 Sunderland – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.90 1.95
18.08.24 Sunderland – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (3–0) 2.203.303.30 1.95 1.90
10.08.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.50 2.20 1.65

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Luton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.85 2.00
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98
19.05.24E0 Luton – Fulham 2–4 (1–2) 2.903.902.20 1.44 2.75
03.05.24E0 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
20.04.24E0 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
06.04.24E0 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
16.03.24E0 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15

Sunderland away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.402.38 1.73 2.10
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Portsmouth – Sunderland 1–3 (0–1) 3.303.702.05 2.00 1.85
10.08.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.50 2.20 1.65
27.04.24 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
13.04.24 West Brom – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.73
09.04.24 Leeds – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
29.03.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–2) 2.553.102.90 2.25 1.62
09.03.24 Southampton – Sunderland 4–2 (2–0) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsSunderland wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23E1 Sunderland – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.20 1.67
29.10.22E1 Luton – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 6 4 1 19 8 +11 22
2 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 19 8 +11 22
3 Burnley 10 6 3 1 16 4 +12 21
4 Sheffield United 10 6 3 1 12 5 +7 21
5 West Brom 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
6 Blackburn 10 5 3 2 16 11 +5 18
7 Norwich 11 4 5 2 19 13 +6 17
8 Watford 11 5 1 5 15 19 -4 16
9 Bristol City 11 3 6 2 14 16 -2 15
10 Oxford 11 3 5 3 15 13 +2 14
11 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
12 Derby 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
13 Swansea 11 3 4 4 8 7 +1 13
14 Preston 11 3 4 4 10 14 -4 13
15 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 15 -2 12
16 Hull 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12
17 Sheffield Weds 11 3 3 5 11 17 -6 12
18 Luton 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11
19 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
20 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 10 18 -8 11
21 Millwall 10 2 4 4 13 12 +1 10
22 Coventry 11 2 3 6 11 15 -4 9
23 QPR 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
24 Portsmouth 11 1 5 5 11 23 -12 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 5 5 0 0 12 3 +9 15
2 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
3 Leeds 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
4 Watford 5 4 1 0 10 4 +6 13
5 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
6 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
7 Oxford 6 3 3 0 8 3 +5 12
8 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
9 Preston 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11
10 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
11 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
12 Swansea 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
13 Bristol City 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
14 Cardiff 6 3 0 3 8 6 +2 9
15 Stoke 6 2 2 2 12 9 +3 8
16 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
17 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
18 West Brom 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
19 Millwall 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
20 Luton 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
21 Coventry 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
22 Hull 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5
23 QPR 6 0 3 3 6 11 -5 3
24 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 2 7 -5 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
2 Burnley 5 3 1 1 7 2 +5 10
3 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Sunderland 5 3 0 2 9 6 +3 9
5 Sheffield United 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8
6 Norwich 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
7 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
8 Middlesbrough 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
9 Bristol City 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6
10 QPR 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
11 Portsmouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
12 Swansea 6 1 1 4 2 5 -3 4
13 Luton 5 1 1 3 2 6 -4 4
14 Stoke 5 1 1 3 1 6 -5 4
15 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
16 Millwall 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
17 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
18 Coventry 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Watford 6 1 0 5 5 15 -10 3
20 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
21 Derby 6 0 2 4 5 11 -6 2
22 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
23 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
24 Plymouth 5 0 1 4 1 12 -11 1

Luton   Sunderland

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 11 2 9 1.4 1.7 5 1 5 15 19 16
2 24 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.0 2.1 1 5 5 11 23 8
3 6 Blackburn 10 4 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 2 16 11 18
4 17 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 3 3 5 11 17 12
5 18 Luton 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11
6 2 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.9 0.8 7 1 2 19 8 22
7 7 Norwich 11 6 5 1.7 1.2 4 5 2 19 13 17
8 9 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 3 6 2 14 16 15
9 10 Oxford 11 6 5 1.4 1.2 3 5 3 15 13 14
10 14 Preston 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 4 4 10 14 13
11 15 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 3 3 5 13 15 12
12 20 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 5 10 18 11
13 22 Coventry 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 6 11 15 9
14 23 QPR 11 6 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
15 1 Leeds 11 7 4 1.7 0.7 6 4 1 19 8 22
16 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
17 12 Derby 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
18 16 Hull 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12
19 21 Millwall 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 2 4 4 13 12 10
20 3 Burnley 10 7 3 1.6 0.4 6 3 1 16 4 21
21 19 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
22 11 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
23 13 Swansea 11 9 2 0.7 0.6 3 4 4 8 7 13
24 4 Sheffield United 10 9 1 1.2 0.5 6 3 1 12 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Luton 5 0 5 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
2 8 Watford 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 4 1 0 10 4 13
3 15 Stoke 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 2 2 2 12 9 8
4 22 Coventry 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
5 1 Leeds 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
6 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 5 0 0 12 3 15
7 7 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
8 20 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
9 21 Millwall 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
10 23 QPR 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 0 3 3 6 11 3
11 2 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
12 3 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
13 9 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
14 12 Derby 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
15 14 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11
16 17 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
17 24 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 3 2 2 7 3
18 4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 4 1 0 7 2 13
19 10 Oxford 6 5 1 1.3 0.5 3 3 0 8 3 12
20 11 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
21 13 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
22 16 Hull 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5
23 19 Cardiff 6 5 1 1.3 1.0 3 0 3 8 6 9
24 5 West Brom 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 1 0 5 5 15 3
2 24 Portsmouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
3 5 West Brom 5 1 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
4 10 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
5 17 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
6 2 Sunderland 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 2 9 6 9
7 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
8 9 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6
9 14 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
10 16 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
11 7 Norwich 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
12 12 Derby 6 4 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 4 5 11 2
13 19 Cardiff 5 3 2 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
14 20 Plymouth 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 1 4 1 12 1
15 23 QPR 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
16 1 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
17 3 Burnley 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 1 1 7 2 10
18 11 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
19 13 Swansea 6 5 1 0.3 0.8 1 1 4 2 5 4
20 15 Stoke 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 3 1 6 4
21 18 Luton 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 1 3 2 6 4
22 21 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
23 22 Coventry 6 5 1 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
24 4 Sheffield United 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51