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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Luton 1–5 Brentford

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.10 fair 2.39
Draw 3.75 fair 4.41
Away ✓ 2.15 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.53

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Brentford
6 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 9
4 Corners 9
13 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (323 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.61
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBrentford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.76points / match
1.39scored / match
2.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 46:70
Brentford before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
1.42scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 47:58
Luton all matches all matches Brentford

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.42
2.12 Goals conceded 1.76
3.52 Total goals 3.18
11.48 Shots 12.55
3.64 Shots on target 4.42
17.33 Shots faced 14.67
5.39 Corners 4.61
5.91 Corners against 6.06
11.27 Fouls 10.09
1.82 Yellow cards 2.33
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

18% Wins 24%
21% Draws 24%
61% Losses 52%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
88% Over 1.5 goals 85%
70% Over 2.5 goals 67%
42% Over 3.5 goals 42%
27% Over 4.5 goals 21%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
79% Both teams scored 67%
6% Clean sheets 18%
15% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 21%
30% Draws 48%
45% Losses 30%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
30% Over 1.5 goals 33%
18% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Brentford all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.94points / match
1.50scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:27
Brentford before this match, away
0.69points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:28
Luton at home away Brentford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.25
1.69 Goals conceded 1.75
3.19 Total goals 3.00
14.06 Shots 10.69
4.38 Shots on target 4.31
13.88 Shots faced 15.19
6.88 Corners 4.38
4.81 Corners against 6.44
11.19 Fouls 11.13
1.88 Yellow cards 2.81
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

25% Wins 19%
19% Draws 13%
56% Losses 69%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 81%
69% Over 2.5 goals 63%
31% Over 3.5 goals 25%
19% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
81% Both teams scored 56%
13% Clean sheets 19%
6% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 25%
31% Draws 38%
50% Losses 38%
69% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Brentford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
03.04.24 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Brentford – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
26.02.24 West Ham – Brentford 4–2 (2–1) 2.503.502.75 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20

Brentford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
09.03.24 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
26.02.24 West Ham – Brentford 4–2 (2–1) 2.503.502.75 1.70 2.10
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
10.02.24 Wolves – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.603.40 1.75 2.05
31.01.24 Tottenham – Brentford 3–2 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
09.12.23 Sheffield United – Brentford 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.801.75 1.95 1.95
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsBrentford wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23E0 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 32 22 7 3 76 32 +44 73
2 Arsenal 32 22 5 5 75 26 +49 71
3 Liverpool 32 21 8 3 72 31 +41 71
4 Aston Villa 33 19 6 8 68 49 +19 63
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60
6 Newcastle 32 15 5 12 69 52 +17 50
7 Man United 32 15 5 12 47 48 -1 50
8 West Ham 33 13 9 11 52 58 -6 48
9 Chelsea 31 13 8 10 61 52 +9 47
10 Brighton 32 11 11 10 52 50 +2 44
11 Wolves 32 12 7 13 46 51 -5 43
12 Fulham 33 12 6 15 49 51 -2 42
13 Bournemouth 32 11 9 12 47 57 -10 42
14 Everton 32 9 8 15 32 48 -16 35
15 Crystal Palace 32 8 9 15 37 54 -17 33
16 Brentford 33 8 8 17 47 58 -11 32
17 Nott'm Forest 33 7 9 17 42 58 -16 30
18 Luton 33 6 7 20 46 70 -24 25
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 33 68 -35 20
20 Sheffield United 32 3 7 22 30 84 -54 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 17 13 3 1 43 15 +28 42
2 Man City 17 12 5 0 43 14 +29 41
3 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 38 15 +23 38
4 Newcastle 17 11 3 3 43 20 +23 36
5 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36
6 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 40 22 +18 35
7 Fulham 16 9 1 6 29 16 +13 28
8 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 35 25 +10 28
9 Brighton 15 7 6 2 28 19 +9 27
10 Man United 15 8 2 5 23 22 +1 26
11 West Ham 17 6 7 4 26 25 +1 25
12 Wolves 15 7 3 5 23 23 0 24
13 Bournemouth 17 6 6 5 23 26 -3 24
14 Brentford 17 5 6 6 27 30 -3 21
15 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 25 25 0 20
16 Everton 15 4 4 7 16 18 -2 16
17 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16
18 Luton 16 4 3 9 24 27 -3 15
19 Burnley 17 2 4 11 17 37 -20 10
20 Sheffield United 16 2 4 10 17 47 -30 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 10 3 3 37 11 +26 33
2 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32
3 Liverpool 15 8 5 2 29 16 +13 29
4 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 28 27 +1 28
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24
6 Man United 17 7 3 7 24 26 -2 24
7 West Ham 16 7 2 7 26 33 -7 23
8 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 27 -1 19
9 Wolves 17 5 4 8 23 28 -5 19
10 Everton 17 5 4 8 16 30 -14 19
11 Bournemouth 15 5 3 7 24 31 -7 18
12 Brighton 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17
13 Crystal Palace 17 4 5 8 16 30 -14 17
14 Newcastle 15 4 2 9 26 32 -6 14
15 Fulham 17 3 5 9 20 35 -15 14
16 Brentford 16 3 2 11 20 28 -8 11
17 Burnley 16 2 4 10 16 31 -15 10
18 Nott'm Forest 16 2 4 10 17 33 -16 10
19 Luton 17 2 4 11 22 43 -21 10
20 Sheffield United 16 1 3 12 13 37 -24 6

Luton   Brentford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60
2 4 Aston Villa 33 10 23 2.1 1.5 19 6 8 68 49 63
3 6 Newcastle 32 9 23 2.2 1.6 15 5 12 69 52 50
4 18 Luton 33 10 23 1.4 2.1 6 7 20 46 70 25
5 13 Bournemouth 32 10 22 1.5 1.8 11 9 12 47 57 42
6 16 Brentford 33 11 22 1.4 1.8 8 8 17 47 58 32
7 20 Sheffield United 32 10 22 0.9 2.6 3 7 22 30 84 16
8 3 Liverpool 32 11 21 2.2 1.0 21 8 3 72 31 71
9 7 Man United 32 11 21 1.5 1.5 15 5 12 47 48 50
10 8 West Ham 33 12 21 1.6 1.8 13 9 11 52 58 48
11 9 Chelsea 31 10 21 2.0 1.7 13 8 10 61 52 47
12 11 Wolves 32 11 21 1.4 1.6 12 7 13 46 51 43
13 12 Fulham 33 12 21 1.5 1.5 12 6 15 49 51 42
14 1 Man City 32 12 20 2.4 1.0 22 7 3 76 32 73
15 2 Arsenal 32 12 20 2.3 0.8 22 5 5 75 26 71
16 10 Brighton 32 12 20 1.6 1.6 11 11 10 52 50 44
17 19 Burnley 33 14 19 1.0 2.1 4 8 21 33 68 20
18 17 Nott'm Forest 33 15 18 1.3 1.8 7 9 17 42 58 30
19 15 Crystal Palace 32 15 17 1.2 1.7 8 9 15 37 54 33
20 14 Everton 32 17 15 1.0 1.5 9 8 15 32 48 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36
2 20 Sheffield United 16 3 13 1.1 2.9 2 4 10 17 47 10
3 3 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 3 1 43 15 42
4 4 Aston Villa 16 4 12 2.5 1.4 11 2 3 40 22 35
5 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 2.5 1.2 11 3 3 43 20 36
6 16 Brentford 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 6 6 27 30 21
7 2 Arsenal 16 5 11 2.4 0.9 12 2 2 38 15 38
8 7 Man United 15 4 11 1.5 1.5 8 2 5 23 22 26
9 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.5 1.7 4 3 9 24 27 15
10 9 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 8 4 4 35 25 28
11 11 Wolves 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 7 3 5 23 23 24
12 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 1 6 29 16 28
13 13 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 23 26 24
14 1 Man City 17 8 9 2.5 0.8 12 5 0 43 14 41
15 10 Brighton 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 7 6 2 28 19 27
16 15 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 7 25 25 20
18 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.0 2.2 2 4 11 17 37 10
19 8 West Ham 17 9 8 1.5 1.5 6 7 4 26 25 25
20 14 Everton 15 8 7 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 16 18 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 West Ham 16 3 13 1.6 2.1 7 2 7 26 33 23
2 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24
3 13 Bournemouth 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 5 3 7 24 31 18
4 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.3 2.5 2 4 11 22 43 10
5 1 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32
6 4 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 5 28 27 28
7 6 Newcastle 15 4 11 1.7 2.1 4 2 9 26 32 14
8 9 Chelsea 15 4 11 1.7 1.8 5 4 6 26 27 19
9 10 Brighton 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17
10 11 Wolves 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 5 4 8 23 28 19
11 12 Fulham 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 9 20 35 14
12 7 Man United 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 24 26 24
13 16 Brentford 16 6 10 1.2 1.8 3 2 11 20 28 11
14 19 Burnley 16 6 10 1.0 1.9 2 4 10 16 31 10
15 2 Arsenal 16 7 9 2.3 0.7 10 3 3 37 11 33
16 3 Liverpool 15 6 9 1.9 1.1 8 5 2 29 16 29
17 17 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 2.1 2 4 10 17 33 10
18 20 Sheffield United 16 7 9 0.8 2.3 1 3 12 13 37 6
19 14 Everton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 5 4 8 16 30 19
20 15 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 4 5 8 16 30 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51