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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Luton 2–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.75 fair 2.43
Draw 3.80 fair 4.50
Away 1.91 fair 2.73
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 3.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Bournemouth
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 2
7 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (304 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.47
Expected goals 1.81 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.2% 2–1 8.3% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
1.39scored / match
2.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 43:64
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.47scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 44:53
Luton all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.47
2.06 Goals conceded 1.77
3.45 Total goals 3.23
11.48 Shots 14.07
3.52 Shots on target 5.00
17.13 Shots faced 13.70
5.48 Corners 6.47
5.84 Corners against 5.57
11.58 Fouls 13.23
1.94 Yellow cards 2.07
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

16% Wins 37%
23% Draws 27%
61% Losses 37%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 90%
68% Over 2.5 goals 67%
42% Over 3.5 goals 47%
26% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 7%
77% Both teams scored 60%
6% Clean sheets 23%
16% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 23%
29% Draws 43%
45% Losses 33%
74% Over 0.5 goals 73%
32% Over 1.5 goals 40%
19% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.80points / match
1.47scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:26
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.29points / match
1.64scored / match
2.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:29
Luton at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.64
1.73 Goals conceded 2.07
3.20 Total goals 3.71
13.73 Shots 13.93
4.07 Shots on target 4.79
14.27 Shots faced 16.29
6.87 Corners 5.57
5.00 Corners against 5.64
11.47 Fouls 13.36
2.00 Yellow cards 2.43
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

20% Wins 36%
20% Draws 21%
60% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
87% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 79%
33% Over 3.5 goals 64%
20% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
80% Both teams scored 71%
13% Clean sheets 21%
7% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 36%
27% Draws 29%
53% Losses 36%
73% Over 0.5 goals 86%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Crystal Palace – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.20 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
03.02.24 Newcastle – Luton 4–4 (2–2) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Bournemouth – Everton 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.70 2.10
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
01.02.24 West Ham – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.752.75 1.62 2.25

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.73 2.08
01.02.24 West Ham – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.752.75 1.62 2.25
31.12.23 Tottenham – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–0) 1.754.204.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
06.12.23 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.01 1.89
25.11.23 Sheffield United – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 3.203.502.20 1.85 2.05
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsBournemouth wins
3matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.24E0 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
15.01.22E1 Luton – Bournemouth 3–2 (2–0) 2.803.402.45 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E1 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 21 7 2 70 28 +42 70
2 Man City 31 21 7 3 71 31 +40 70
3 Arsenal 30 21 5 4 72 24 +48 68
4 Aston Villa 31 18 5 8 63 46 +17 59
5 Tottenham 30 17 6 7 62 44 +18 57
6 Man United 30 15 3 12 43 44 -1 48
7 West Ham 31 12 9 10 50 55 -5 45
8 Newcastle 30 13 5 12 64 52 +12 44
9 Brighton 30 11 10 9 51 46 +5 43
10 Chelsea 29 12 7 10 53 50 +3 43
11 Wolves 30 12 6 12 43 47 -4 42
12 Bournemouth 30 11 8 11 44 53 -9 41
13 Fulham 31 11 6 14 47 50 -3 39
14 Everton 30 8 8 14 31 42 -11 32
15 Crystal Palace 31 7 9 15 36 54 -18 30
16 Nott'm Forest 31 7 8 16 39 53 -14 29
17 Brentford 31 7 7 17 42 55 -13 28
18 Luton 31 5 7 19 43 64 -21 22
19 Burnley 31 4 7 20 32 66 -34 19
20 Sheffield United 30 3 6 21 28 80 -52 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 43 14 +29 42
2 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 38 13 +25 38
3 Man City 16 11 5 0 38 13 +25 38
4 Aston Villa 15 11 1 3 37 19 +18 34
5 Newcastle 16 10 3 3 39 20 +19 33
6 Tottenham 15 11 0 4 31 20 +11 33
7 Fulham 15 9 1 5 29 15 +14 28
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
9 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 29 25 +4 25
10 West Ham 16 6 7 3 26 23 +3 25
11 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
12 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
13 Bournemouth 16 6 5 5 21 24 -3 23
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 23 23 0 19
15 Brentford 16 4 6 6 25 30 -5 18
16 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 21 24 -3 16
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 15 3 3 9 22 26 -4 12
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 16 36 -20 9
20 Sheffield United 15 2 3 10 15 45 -30 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32
2 Arsenal 15 9 3 3 34 11 +23 30
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 26 27 -1 25
5 Tottenham 15 6 6 3 31 24 +7 24
6 Man United 16 7 2 7 22 24 -2 23
7 West Ham 15 6 2 7 24 32 -8 20
8 Everton 16 5 4 7 16 24 -8 19
9 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
10 Wolves 16 5 3 8 21 26 -5 18
11 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
12 Brighton 16 4 4 8 23 30 -7 16
13 Crystal Palace 16 3 5 8 15 30 -15 14
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11
15 Fulham 16 2 5 9 18 35 -17 11
16 Brentford 15 3 1 11 17 25 -8 10
17 Burnley 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
18 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
19 Luton 16 2 4 10 21 38 -17 10
20 Sheffield United 15 1 3 11 13 35 -22 6

Luton   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 30 6 24 2.1 1.5 17 6 7 62 44 57
2 4 Aston Villa 31 9 22 2.0 1.5 18 5 8 63 46 59
3 8 Newcastle 30 8 22 2.1 1.7 13 5 12 64 52 44
4 13 Fulham 31 10 21 1.5 1.6 11 6 14 47 50 39
5 17 Brentford 31 10 21 1.4 1.8 7 7 17 42 55 28
6 18 Luton 31 10 21 1.4 2.1 5 7 19 43 64 22
7 20 Sheffield United 30 9 21 0.9 2.7 3 6 21 28 80 15
8 1 Liverpool 30 10 20 2.3 0.9 21 7 2 70 28 70
9 7 West Ham 31 11 20 1.6 1.8 12 9 10 50 55 45
10 12 Bournemouth 30 10 20 1.5 1.8 11 8 11 44 53 41
11 2 Man City 31 12 19 2.3 1.0 21 7 3 71 31 70
12 3 Arsenal 30 11 19 2.4 0.8 21 5 4 72 24 68
13 6 Man United 30 11 19 1.4 1.5 15 3 12 43 44 48
14 9 Brighton 30 11 19 1.7 1.5 11 10 9 51 46 43
15 10 Chelsea 29 10 19 1.8 1.7 12 7 10 53 50 43
16 11 Wolves 30 11 19 1.4 1.6 12 6 12 43 47 42
17 19 Burnley 31 12 19 1.0 2.1 4 7 20 32 66 19
18 15 Crystal Palace 31 14 17 1.2 1.7 7 9 15 36 54 30
19 16 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.3 1.7 7 8 16 39 53 29
20 14 Everton 30 16 14 1.0 1.4 8 8 14 31 42 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 15 2 13 2.1 1.3 11 0 4 31 20 33
2 1 Liverpool 16 4 12 2.7 0.9 13 3 0 43 14 42
3 17 Brentford 16 4 12 1.6 1.9 4 6 6 25 30 18
4 20 Sheffield United 15 3 12 1.0 3.0 2 3 10 15 45 9
5 3 Arsenal 15 4 11 2.5 0.9 12 2 1 38 13 38
6 4 Aston Villa 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 11 1 3 37 19 34
7 8 Newcastle 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 3 3 39 20 33
8 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
9 13 Fulham 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 9 1 5 29 15 28
10 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 3 3 9 22 26 12
11 10 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 4 29 25 25
12 11 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
13 12 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.3 1.5 6 5 5 21 24 23
14 15 Crystal Palace 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 4 4 7 21 24 16
15 19 Burnley 16 7 9 1.0 2.2 2 3 11 16 36 9
16 2 Man City 16 8 8 2.4 0.8 11 5 0 38 13 38
17 7 West Ham 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 7 3 26 23 25
18 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
19 16 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 4 7 23 23 19
20 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 6 2 7 24 32 20
2 2 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32
3 4 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.6 1.7 7 4 5 26 27 25
4 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 2.1 1.6 6 6 3 31 24 24
5 8 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11
6 9 Brighton 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 4 4 8 23 30 16
7 12 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
8 13 Fulham 16 5 11 1.1 2.2 2 5 9 18 35 11
9 18 Luton 16 5 11 1.3 2.4 2 4 10 21 38 10
10 10 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
11 11 Wolves 16 6 10 1.3 1.6 5 3 8 21 26 18
12 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
13 6 Man United 16 7 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 7 22 24 23
14 17 Brentford 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 1 11 17 25 10
15 20 Sheffield United 15 6 9 0.9 2.3 1 3 11 13 35 6
16 1 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
17 3 Arsenal 15 7 8 2.3 0.7 9 3 3 34 11 30
18 15 Crystal Palace 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 5 8 15 30 14
19 16 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
20 14 Everton 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 4 7 16 24 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51