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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Cardiff 1–4 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.60 fair 2.71
Draw 3.60 fair 4.00
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.62
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Middlesbrough
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 1
7 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (528 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–2 8.5% 0–1 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.14scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 50:61
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.45scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 64:60
Cardiff all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.45
1.39 Goals conceded 1.36
2.52 Total goals 2.82
10.59 Shots 13.64
3.80 Shots on target 4.89
12.75 Shots faced 11.59
4.27 Corners 6.09
5.34 Corners against 5.16
9.82 Fouls 10.75
1.80 Yellow cards 1.82
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

43% Wins 41%
11% Draws 20%
45% Losses 39%
95% Over 0.5 goals 98%
75% Over 1.5 goals 84%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
23% Over 3.5 goals 27%
9% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
45% Both teams scored 57%
27% Clean sheets 25%
32% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 23%
43% Draws 39%
34% Losses 39%
68% Over 0.5 goals 70%
36% Over 1.5 goals 39%
11% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.18scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:28
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.45points / match
1.68scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 37:35
Cardiff at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.68
1.27 Goals conceded 1.59
2.45 Total goals 3.27
11.23 Shots 13.05
4.18 Shots on target 4.73
10.59 Shots faced 12.68
4.50 Corners 5.05
4.00 Corners against 5.68
8.82 Fouls 10.05
1.41 Yellow cards 2.00
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

45% Wins 41%
14% Draws 23%
41% Losses 36%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 91%
45% Over 2.5 goals 68%
18% Over 3.5 goals 36%
9% Over 4.5 goals 23%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
45% Both teams scored 73%
27% Clean sheets 14%
32% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 18%
41% Draws 32%
36% Losses 50%
68% Over 0.5 goals 77%
36% Over 1.5 goals 41%
9% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Cardiff – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 8.004.501.40 1.62 2.30
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
10.04.24 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 2.10 1.73
06.04.24 Cardiff – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 3.103.302.38 2.10 1.73
01.04.24 Coventry – Cardiff 1–2 (1–1) 1.534.206.25 1.75 2.05
29.03.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–2) 2.553.102.90 2.25 1.62
16.03.24 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.70
09.03.24 Cardiff – Ipswich 2–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
06.03.24 Cardiff – Huddersfield 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.253.00 2.25 1.62
02.03.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.25 1.62

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.24 Middlesbrough – Leeds 3–4 (2–3) 4.203.801.80 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
06.04.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00
01.04.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.83 2.03
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
16.03.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Cardiff – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 8.004.501.40 1.62 2.30
06.04.24 Cardiff – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 3.103.302.38 2.10 1.73
29.03.24 Cardiff – Sunderland 0–2 (0–2) 2.553.102.90 2.25 1.62
09.03.24 Cardiff – Ipswich 2–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.93 1.93
06.03.24 Cardiff – Huddersfield 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.253.00 2.25 1.62
24.02.24 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.252.63 2.30 1.60
20.02.24 Cardiff – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.05 1.80
10.02.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.35 1.57
13.01.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.201.62 1.93 1.93
29.12.23 Cardiff – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.62 1.98 1.88

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Ipswich – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.20 1.62 2.30
10.04.24 Hull – Middlesbrough 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
29.03.24 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.25 1.48 2.60
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 1.95 1.90
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
11.02.23E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
13.09.22E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
27.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
23.10.21E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 44 30 4 10 86 39 +47 94
2 Leeds 45 27 9 9 80 41 +39 90
3 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 85 53 +32 89
4 Southampton 44 25 9 10 85 61 +24 84
5 West Brom 44 20 12 12 67 44 +23 72
6 Norwich 44 21 9 14 77 61 +16 72
7 Hull 44 19 12 13 65 56 +9 69
8 Coventry 43 17 12 14 68 55 +13 63
9 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 64 60 +4 63
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 56 61 -5 63
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 50 61 -11 62
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 51 47 +4 59
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 52 51 +1 56
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 57 62 -5 56
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 59 58 +1 53
16 QPR 45 14 11 20 45 57 -12 53
17 Millwall 44 14 11 19 43 55 -12 53
18 Stoke 44 13 11 20 44 60 -16 50
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 58 74 -16 49
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 58 69 -11 48
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 39 68 -29 47
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 48 64 -16 46
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 47 74 -27 44
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 32 85 -53 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 22 16 5 1 44 14 +30 53
2 Leicester 22 17 1 4 47 16 +31 52
3 Ipswich 22 15 6 1 57 32 +25 51
4 Southampton 22 15 3 4 54 28 +26 48
5 Norwich 22 15 3 4 41 20 +21 48
6 West Brom 22 14 4 4 35 17 +18 46
7 Preston 22 11 4 7 35 33 +2 37
8 Coventry 21 9 8 4 34 23 +11 35
9 Bristol City 22 10 4 8 29 21 +8 34
10 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 30 25 +5 33
11 Cardiff 22 10 3 9 26 28 -2 33
12 Hull 22 8 8 6 32 24 +8 32
13 Plymouth 22 9 5 8 40 35 +5 32
14 Sunderland 22 10 2 10 30 28 +2 32
15 Middlesbrough 22 9 4 9 27 25 +2 31
16 Swansea 22 8 5 9 26 27 -1 29
17 Millwall 22 8 5 9 21 29 -8 29
18 Sheffield Weds 22 7 7 8 24 27 -3 28
19 QPR 23 7 6 10 28 32 -4 27
20 Stoke 22 7 6 9 20 27 -7 27
21 Huddersfield 22 6 7 9 25 35 -10 25
22 Watford 22 5 9 8 31 28 +3 24
23 Blackburn 22 6 6 10 27 34 -7 24
24 Rotherham 22 4 8 10 19 26 -7 20
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 22 13 3 6 39 23 +16 42
2 Ipswich 21 11 5 5 28 21 +7 38
3 Leeds 23 11 4 8 36 27 +9 37
4 Hull 22 11 4 7 33 32 +1 37
5 Southampton 22 10 6 6 31 33 -2 36
6 Middlesbrough 22 9 5 8 37 35 +2 32
7 Watford 22 7 8 7 28 30 -2 29
8 Cardiff 22 9 2 11 24 33 -9 29
9 Coventry 22 8 4 10 34 32 +2 28
10 Swansea 22 7 6 9 31 35 -4 27
11 West Brom 22 6 8 8 32 27 +5 26
12 Preston 22 7 5 10 21 28 -7 26
13 QPR 22 7 5 10 17 25 -8 26
14 Bristol City 22 6 7 9 22 26 -4 25
15 Blackburn 22 7 4 11 31 40 -9 25
16 Sunderland 22 6 6 10 22 23 -1 24
17 Millwall 22 6 6 10 22 26 -4 24
18 Norwich 22 6 6 10 36 41 -5 24
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 24 33 -9 23
20 Huddersfield 22 3 10 9 22 39 -17 19
21 Sheffield Weds 22 6 1 15 15 41 -26 19
22 Plymouth 22 3 7 12 18 34 -16 16
23 Birmingham 22 3 4 15 18 39 -21 13
24 Rotherham 22 0 4 18 13 59 -46 4

Cardiff   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Southampton 44 15 29 1.9 1.4 25 9 10 85 61 84
2 19 Blackburn 44 15 29 1.3 1.7 13 10 21 58 74 49
3 6 Norwich 44 17 27 1.8 1.4 21 9 14 77 61 72
4 8 Coventry 43 16 27 1.6 1.3 17 12 14 68 55 63
5 1 Leicester 44 18 26 2.0 0.9 30 4 10 86 39 94
6 3 Ipswich 43 17 26 2.0 1.2 26 11 6 85 53 89
7 7 Hull 44 18 26 1.5 1.3 19 12 13 65 56 69
8 10 Preston 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 18 9 17 56 61 63
9 14 Swansea 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 15 11 18 57 62 56
10 20 Plymouth 44 19 25 1.3 1.6 12 12 20 58 69 48
11 2 Leeds 45 21 24 1.8 0.9 27 9 9 80 41 90
12 9 Middlesbrough 44 22 22 1.5 1.4 18 9 17 64 60 63
13 11 Cardiff 44 22 22 1.1 1.4 19 5 20 50 61 62
14 15 Watford 44 22 22 1.3 1.3 12 17 15 59 58 53
15 24 Rotherham 44 22 22 0.7 1.9 4 12 28 32 85 24
16 13 Sunderland 44 23 21 1.2 1.2 16 8 20 52 51 56
17 22 Birmingham 44 23 21 1.1 1.5 12 10 22 48 64 46
18 23 Huddersfield 44 23 21 1.1 1.7 9 17 18 47 74 44
19 5 West Brom 44 24 20 1.5 1.0 20 12 12 67 44 72
20 16 QPR 45 25 20 1.0 1.3 14 11 20 45 57 53
21 21 Sheffield Weds 44 24 20 0.9 1.5 13 8 23 39 68 47
22 18 Stoke 44 25 19 1.0 1.4 13 11 20 44 60 50
23 17 Millwall 44 27 17 1.0 1.2 14 11 19 43 55 53
24 12 Bristol City 44 28 16 1.2 1.1 16 11 17 51 47 59
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ipswich 22 5 17 2.6 1.5 15 6 1 57 32 51
2 4 Southampton 22 5 17 2.5 1.3 15 3 4 54 28 48
3 10 Preston 22 6 16 1.6 1.5 11 4 7 35 33 37
4 1 Leicester 22 8 14 2.1 0.7 17 1 4 47 16 52
5 20 Plymouth 22 8 14 1.8 1.6 9 5 8 40 35 32
6 2 Leeds 22 9 13 2.0 0.6 16 5 1 44 14 53
7 13 Sunderland 22 9 13 1.4 1.3 10 2 10 30 28 32
8 19 Blackburn 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 6 6 10 27 34 24
9 14 Swansea 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 8 5 9 26 27 29
10 15 Watford 22 10 12 1.4 1.3 5 9 8 31 28 24
11 16 QPR 23 11 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 10 28 32 27
12 23 Huddersfield 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 6 7 9 25 35 25
13 6 Norwich 22 11 11 1.9 0.9 15 3 4 41 20 48
14 8 Coventry 21 10 11 1.6 1.1 9 8 4 34 23 35
15 22 Birmingham 22 11 11 1.4 1.1 9 6 7 30 25 33
16 7 Hull 22 12 10 1.5 1.1 8 8 6 32 24 32
17 11 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 10 3 9 26 28 33
18 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 7 7 8 24 27 28
19 17 Millwall 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 8 5 9 21 29 29
20 18 Stoke 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 7 6 9 20 27 27
21 5 West Brom 22 14 8 1.6 0.8 14 4 4 35 17 46
22 24 Rotherham 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 10 19 26 20
23 9 Middlesbrough 22 15 7 1.2 1.1 9 4 9 27 25 31
24 12 Bristol City 22 15 7 1.3 1.0 10 4 8 29 21 34
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 22 6 16 1.6 1.9 6 6 10 36 41 24
2 7 Hull 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 11 4 7 33 32 37
3 8 Coventry 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 8 4 10 34 32 28
4 19 Blackburn 22 6 16 1.4 1.8 7 4 11 31 40 25
5 9 Middlesbrough 22 7 15 1.7 1.6 9 5 8 37 35 32
6 24 Rotherham 22 8 14 0.6 2.7 0 4 18 13 59 4
7 14 Swansea 22 9 13 1.4 1.6 7 6 9 31 35 27
8 1 Leicester 22 10 12 1.8 1.0 13 3 6 39 23 42
9 4 Southampton 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 10 6 6 31 33 36
10 5 West Brom 22 10 12 1.5 1.2 6 8 8 32 27 26
11 11 Cardiff 22 10 12 1.1 1.5 9 2 11 24 33 29
12 2 Leeds 23 12 11 1.6 1.2 11 4 8 36 27 37
13 20 Plymouth 22 11 11 0.8 1.5 3 7 12 18 34 16
14 15 Watford 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 7 8 7 28 30 29
15 18 Stoke 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 6 5 11 24 33 23
16 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.7 1.9 6 1 15 15 41 19
17 22 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.8 3 4 15 18 39 13
18 3 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 11 5 5 28 21 38
19 10 Preston 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 7 5 10 21 28 26
20 12 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 6 7 9 22 26 25
21 23 Huddersfield 22 13 9 1.0 1.8 3 10 9 22 39 19
22 13 Sunderland 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 6 6 10 22 23 24
23 16 QPR 22 14 8 0.8 1.1 7 5 10 17 25 26
24 17 Millwall 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 6 6 10 22 26 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51