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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: W Finnie

Plymouth 3–3 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 6.00 fair 3.02
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 4.19
Away 1.48 fair 2.32
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Plymouth Middlesbrough
12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 6
8 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.65
Home / Draw / Away
PlymouthDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 9% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Plymouth before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
0.95scored / match
2.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:42
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.67scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 35:25
Plymouth all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.67
2.10 Goals conceded 1.19
3.05 Total goals 2.86
10.50 Shots 14.95
3.50 Shots on target 5.14
17.25 Shots faced 9.05
3.10 Corners 5.95
6.75 Corners against 4.76
10.70 Fouls 9.52
1.85 Yellow cards 1.52
0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.95 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

20% Wins 48%
25% Draws 19%
55% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
55% Over 2.5 goals 43%
40% Over 3.5 goals 33%
20% Over 4.5 goals 19%
10% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 48%
5% Clean sheets 29%
45% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 38%
35% Draws 33%
55% Losses 29%
75% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 43%
15% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Plymouth before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.78scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:13
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.90scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:14
Plymouth at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.90
1.44 Goals conceded 1.40
3.22 Total goals 3.30
14.00 Shots 12.50
5.33 Shots on target 5.40
13.44 Shots faced 10.30
4.67 Corners 5.10
5.56 Corners against 5.70
9.78 Fouls 10.00
2.11 Yellow cards 1.60
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

44% Wins 40%
33% Draws 20%
22% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 70%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
44% Over 3.5 goals 40%
22% Over 4.5 goals 30%
11% Over 5.5 goals 20%
78% Both teams scored 60%
11% Clean sheets 20%
11% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 30%
33% Draws 40%
44% Losses 30%
67% Over 0.5 goals 70%
22% Over 1.5 goals 40%
11% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Sheffield United – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.57 2.38
10.12.24 Plymouth – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 4.503.901.70 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.00 1.67 2.20
26.11.24 Norwich – Plymouth 6–1 (2–1) 1.454.506.50 1.57 2.38
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
05.11.24 Plymouth – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.00 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Plymouth – Preston 3–3 (0–2) 2.703.402.50 1.93 1.93
23.10.24 Millwall – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.105.25 1.80 2.00

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10

Plymouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Plymouth – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 4.503.901.70 1.73 2.10
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 Plymouth – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.00 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Plymouth – Preston 3–3 (0–2) 2.703.402.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Plymouth – Blackburn 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.702.10 1.67 2.20
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
14.09.24 Plymouth – Sunderland 3–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.75 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.702.30 1.67 2.15
04.05.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.62 2.30

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 West Brom – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Sunderland – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.80 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Plymouth winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24E1 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
04.11.23E1 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 21 14 5 2 30 11 +19 47
2 Leeds 21 12 6 3 37 15 +22 42
3 Burnley 21 11 8 2 26 8 +18 41
4 Sunderland 21 11 7 3 32 17 +15 40
5 Blackburn 20 11 4 5 25 17 +8 37
6 Middlesbrough 21 10 4 7 35 25 +10 34
7 Watford 20 10 4 6 29 26 +3 34
8 West Brom 21 7 11 3 24 16 +8 32
9 Sheffield Weds 22 9 5 8 28 30 -2 32
10 Bristol City 21 6 9 6 26 26 0 27
11 Swansea 22 7 6 9 24 24 0 27
12 Norwich 21 6 8 7 36 32 +4 26
13 Millwall 20 6 7 7 20 18 +2 25
14 Luton 22 7 4 11 25 38 -13 25
15 Derby 22 6 6 10 27 28 -1 24
16 Coventry 22 6 6 10 28 34 -6 24
17 Preston 21 4 11 6 21 27 -6 23
18 QPR 21 4 10 7 21 27 -6 22
19 Stoke 22 5 7 10 23 30 -7 22
20 Portsmouth 20 4 8 8 25 35 -10 20
21 Hull 22 4 7 11 21 31 -10 19
22 Oxford 20 4 6 10 21 33 -12 18
23 Cardiff 20 4 6 10 19 32 -13 18
24 Plymouth 20 4 5 11 19 42 -23 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 9 1 1 25 6 +19 28
2 Sheffield United 10 9 1 0 16 2 +14 28
3 Watford 10 8 2 0 15 5 +10 26
4 Sunderland 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
5 Blackburn 10 7 1 2 15 7 +8 22
6 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
7 Burnley 10 5 5 0 13 3 +10 20
8 Middlesbrough 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20
9 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 9 +8 17
10 Millwall 11 5 2 4 13 9 +4 17
11 Norwich 10 4 4 2 26 15 +11 16
12 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
13 Oxford 11 4 4 3 14 15 -1 16
14 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 13 +3 15
15 West Brom 10 3 6 1 8 5 +3 15
16 Preston 11 3 6 2 11 10 +1 15
17 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
18 Coventry 10 4 2 4 18 16 +2 14
19 Stoke 11 3 5 3 17 15 +2 14
20 Swansea 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
21 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
22 Cardiff 10 4 0 6 11 14 -3 12
23 QPR 11 2 5 4 13 16 -3 11
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 11 6 3 2 13 5 +8 21
2 Sheffield United 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
3 Sunderland 11 5 3 3 15 11 +4 18
4 West Brom 11 4 5 2 16 11 +5 17
5 Sheffield Weds 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16
6 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
7 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14
8 Leeds 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
11 QPR 10 2 5 3 8 11 -3 11
12 Norwich 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
13 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
14 Millwall 9 1 5 3 7 9 -2 8
15 Watford 10 2 2 6 14 21 -7 8
16 Hull 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
17 Preston 10 1 5 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
19 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
20 Portsmouth 10 1 4 5 12 24 -12 7
21 Cardiff 10 0 6 4 8 18 -10 6
22 Luton 10 1 1 8 7 23 -16 4
23 Oxford 9 0 2 7 7 18 -11 2
24 Plymouth 11 0 2 9 3 29 -26 2

Plymouth   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Luton 22 9 13 1.1 1.7 7 4 11 25 38 25
2 16 Coventry 22 9 13 1.3 1.5 6 6 10 28 34 24
3 20 Portsmouth 20 7 13 1.2 1.8 4 8 8 25 35 20
4 7 Watford 20 8 12 1.4 1.3 10 4 6 29 26 34
5 12 Norwich 21 9 12 1.7 1.5 6 8 7 36 32 26
6 24 Plymouth 20 9 11 0.9 2.1 4 5 11 19 42 17
7 9 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 9 5 8 28 30 32
8 15 Derby 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 6 10 27 28 24
9 4 Sunderland 21 12 9 1.5 0.8 11 7 3 32 17 40
10 6 Middlesbrough 21 12 9 1.7 1.2 10 4 7 35 25 34
11 10 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 6 9 6 26 26 27
12 11 Swansea 22 13 9 1.1 1.1 7 6 9 24 24 27
13 19 Stoke 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 5 7 10 23 30 22
14 22 Oxford 20 11 9 1.1 1.6 4 6 10 21 33 18
15 2 Leeds 21 13 8 1.8 0.7 12 6 3 37 15 42
16 8 West Brom 21 13 8 1.1 0.8 7 11 3 24 16 32
17 17 Preston 21 13 8 1.0 1.3 4 11 6 21 27 23
18 21 Hull 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 4 7 11 21 31 19
19 5 Blackburn 20 13 7 1.2 0.8 11 4 5 25 17 37
20 18 QPR 21 14 7 1.0 1.3 4 10 7 21 27 22
21 23 Cardiff 20 13 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 10 19 32 18
22 1 Sheffield United 21 16 5 1.4 0.5 14 5 2 30 11 47
23 3 Burnley 21 17 4 1.2 0.4 11 8 2 26 8 41
24 13 Millwall 20 16 4 1.0 0.9 6 7 7 20 18 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 10 1 9 1.8 1.6 4 2 4 18 16 14
2 14 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
3 12 Norwich 10 3 7 2.6 1.5 4 4 2 26 15 16
4 2 Leeds 11 5 6 2.3 0.5 9 1 1 25 6 28
5 19 Stoke 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 3 5 3 17 15 14
6 20 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
7 24 Plymouth 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 4 3 2 16 13 15
8 7 Watford 10 5 5 1.5 0.5 8 2 0 15 5 26
9 15 Derby 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 5 2 3 17 9 17
10 18 QPR 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 5 4 13 16 11
11 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.7 0.6 6 4 0 17 6 22
12 6 Middlesbrough 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20
13 10 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
14 11 Swansea 10 6 4 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
15 22 Oxford 11 7 4 1.3 1.4 4 4 3 14 15 16
16 5 Blackburn 10 7 3 1.5 0.7 7 1 2 15 7 22
17 9 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
18 13 Millwall 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 4 13 9 17
19 17 Preston 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 3 6 2 11 10 15
20 21 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
21 23 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 1.4 4 0 6 11 14 12
22 1 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.6 0.2 9 1 0 16 2 28
23 3 Burnley 10 8 2 1.3 0.3 5 5 0 13 3 20
24 8 West Brom 10 8 2 0.8 0.5 3 6 1 8 5 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 10 3 7 1.4 2.1 2 2 6 14 21 8
2 9 Sheffield Weds 10 3 7 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16
3 20 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.2 2.4 1 4 5 12 24 7
4 8 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 5 2 16 11 17
5 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 3 3 15 11 18
6 6 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14
7 10 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
8 11 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
9 12 Norwich 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
10 14 Luton 10 5 5 0.7 2.3 1 1 8 7 23 4
11 15 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
12 17 Preston 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 4 10 17 8
13 21 Hull 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
14 22 Oxford 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 2 7 7 18 2
15 24 Plymouth 11 6 5 0.3 2.6 0 2 9 3 29 2
16 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
17 16 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
18 23 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 0 6 4 8 18 6
19 1 Sheffield United 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
20 19 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
21 2 Leeds 10 8 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
22 3 Burnley 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 6 3 2 13 5 21
23 18 QPR 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 2 5 3 8 11 11
24 13 Millwall 9 8 1 0.8 1.0 1 5 3 7 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51