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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

QPR 3–1 Watford

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.32
Draw 3.40 fair 3.97
Away 2.70 fair 3.15
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Watford
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 6
16 Fouls 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (284 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 24:32
Watford before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.43scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 33:31
QPR all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.43
1.33 Goals conceded 1.35
2.33 Total goals 2.78
11.83 Shots 11.91
3.63 Shots on target 4.00
12.50 Shots faced 13.48
5.17 Corners 5.22
6.33 Corners against 5.57
9.92 Fouls 12.43
1.96 Yellow cards 2.17
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

21% Wins 48%
46% Draws 17%
33% Losses 35%
88% Over 0.5 goals 96%
88% Over 1.5 goals 74%
38% Over 2.5 goals 65%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
4% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
58% Both teams scored 61%
25% Clean sheets 22%
29% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 17%
50% Draws 43%
38% Losses 39%
67% Over 0.5 goals 65%
38% Over 1.5 goals 26%
8% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Watford all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.17points / match
1.25scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 15:17
Watford before this match, away
0.73points / match
1.36scored / match
2.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:23
QPR at home away Watford

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.36
1.42 Goals conceded 2.09
2.67 Total goals 3.45
15.25 Shots 10.18
5.33 Shots on target 3.27
8.58 Shots faced 15.36
6.17 Corners 4.64
4.83 Corners against 6.45
9.50 Fouls 12.73
1.75 Yellow cards 1.82
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

25% Wins 18%
42% Draws 18%
33% Losses 64%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 82%
50% Over 2.5 goals 73%
25% Over 3.5 goals 36%
8% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
75% Both teams scored 64%
25% Clean sheets 0%
8% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 18%
50% Draws 27%
42% Losses 55%
83% Over 0.5 goals 82%
58% Over 1.5 goals 36%
8% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Norwich – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.704.33 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Swansea – QPR 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 QPR – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.90 2.50 1.53
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 QPR – Norwich 3–0 (2–0) 3.003.302.35 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Watford – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.252.55 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Hull – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.90 1.95
30.11.24 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
26.11.24 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 QPR – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.90 2.50 1.53
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 QPR – Norwich 3–0 (2–0) 3.003.302.35 1.93 1.93
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 QPR – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.85 2.00
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Hull – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.90 1.95
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsWatford wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24E1 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
14.01.24E1 QPR – Watford 1–2 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.15 1.67
05.08.23E1 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
11.03.23E1 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
27.08.22E1 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 24 15 6 3 44 15 +29 51
2 Sheffield United 24 15 6 3 33 14 +19 51
3 Burnley 24 13 9 2 30 9 +21 48
4 Sunderland 24 12 8 4 36 21 +15 44
5 Blackburn 23 11 5 7 27 21 +6 38
6 Middlesbrough 24 10 7 7 41 31 +10 37
7 Watford 23 11 4 8 33 31 +2 37
8 West Brom 24 8 12 4 28 19 +9 36
9 Swansea 24 9 6 9 29 25 +4 33
10 Bristol City 24 8 9 7 30 28 +2 33
11 Sheffield Weds 24 9 6 9 32 36 -4 33
12 Norwich 24 7 9 8 40 36 +4 30
13 Millwall 23 7 8 8 22 20 +2 29
14 Preston 24 6 11 7 26 30 -4 29
15 Coventry 24 7 7 10 32 34 -2 28
16 Derby 24 7 6 11 29 30 -1 27
17 QPR 24 5 11 8 24 32 -8 26
18 Stoke 24 6 7 11 24 32 -8 25
19 Luton 24 7 4 13 26 41 -15 25
20 Oxford 23 6 6 11 26 39 -13 24
21 Hull 24 5 7 12 22 32 -10 22
22 Cardiff 23 5 6 12 23 38 -15 21
23 Portsmouth 22 4 8 10 26 40 -14 20
24 Plymouth 23 4 6 13 22 51 -29 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 12 10 1 1 29 6 +23 31
2 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
3 Watford 12 9 2 1 18 8 +10 29
4 Sunderland 11 7 4 0 19 7 +12 25
5 Burnley 11 6 5 0 15 4 +11 23
6 Blackburn 12 7 2 3 17 10 +7 23
7 Middlesbrough 13 6 4 3 19 14 +5 22
8 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22
9 Preston 13 5 6 2 15 11 +4 21
10 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
11 Norwich 12 5 5 2 29 17 +12 20
12 Derby 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
13 Bristol City 12 5 5 2 18 10 +8 20
14 Millwall 12 6 2 4 14 9 +5 20
15 Swansea 12 5 4 3 19 13 +6 19
16 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18
17 West Brom 11 4 6 1 10 5 +5 18
18 Stoke 13 4 5 4 18 17 +1 17
19 Plymouth 10 4 4 2 19 16 +3 16
20 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
21 QPR 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
22 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
23 Cardiff 11 4 0 7 11 16 -5 12
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 13 7 4 2 15 5 +10 25
2 Sheffield United 12 6 4 2 16 9 +7 22
3 Leeds 12 5 5 2 15 9 +6 20
4 Sunderland 13 5 4 4 17 14 +3 19
5 West Brom 13 4 6 3 18 14 +4 18
6 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
7 Middlesbrough 11 4 3 4 22 17 +5 15
8 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13
11 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
12 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11
13 Norwich 12 2 4 6 11 19 -8 10
14 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
15 Millwall 11 1 6 4 8 11 -3 9
16 Cardiff 12 1 6 5 12 22 -10 9
17 Watford 11 2 2 7 15 23 -8 8
18 Preston 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
19 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
20 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
21 Portsmouth 12 1 4 7 13 29 -16 7
22 Luton 12 1 1 10 8 26 -18 4
23 Oxford 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2
24 Plymouth 13 0 2 11 3 35 -32 2

QPR   Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 23 8 15 1.4 1.3 11 4 8 33 31 37
2 23 Portsmouth 22 7 15 1.2 1.8 4 8 10 26 40 20
3 12 Norwich 24 10 14 1.7 1.5 7 9 8 40 36 30
4 15 Coventry 24 10 14 1.3 1.4 7 7 10 32 34 28
5 19 Luton 24 10 14 1.1 1.7 7 4 13 26 41 25
6 24 Plymouth 23 10 13 1.0 2.2 4 6 13 22 51 18
7 11 Sheffield Weds 24 12 12 1.3 1.5 9 6 9 32 36 33
8 4 Sunderland 24 13 11 1.5 0.9 12 8 4 36 21 44
9 6 Middlesbrough 24 13 11 1.7 1.3 10 7 7 41 31 37
10 9 Swansea 24 13 11 1.2 1.0 9 6 9 29 25 33
11 16 Derby 24 13 11 1.2 1.2 7 6 11 29 30 27
12 20 Oxford 23 12 11 1.1 1.7 6 6 11 26 39 24
13 10 Bristol City 24 14 10 1.2 1.2 8 9 7 30 28 33
14 14 Preston 24 14 10 1.1 1.2 6 11 7 26 30 29
15 1 Leeds 24 15 9 1.8 0.6 15 6 3 44 15 51
16 8 West Brom 24 15 9 1.2 0.8 8 12 4 28 19 36
17 17 QPR 24 15 9 1.0 1.3 5 11 8 24 32 26
18 18 Stoke 24 15 9 1.0 1.3 6 7 11 24 32 25
19 22 Cardiff 23 14 9 1.0 1.7 5 6 12 23 38 21
20 5 Blackburn 23 15 8 1.2 0.9 11 5 7 27 21 38
21 21 Hull 24 16 8 0.9 1.3 5 7 12 22 32 22
22 2 Sheffield United 24 19 5 1.4 0.6 15 6 3 33 14 51
23 3 Burnley 24 19 5 1.2 0.4 13 9 2 30 9 48
24 13 Millwall 23 18 5 1.0 0.9 7 8 8 22 20 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18
2 12 Norwich 12 4 8 2.4 1.4 5 5 2 29 17 20
3 19 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
4 1 Leeds 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 10 1 1 29 6 31
5 7 Watford 12 5 7 1.5 0.7 9 2 1 18 8 29
6 24 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.9 1.6 4 4 2 19 16 16
7 9 Swansea 12 6 6 1.6 1.1 5 4 3 19 13 19
8 16 Derby 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
9 17 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
10 18 Stoke 13 7 6 1.4 1.3 4 5 4 18 17 17
11 23 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
12 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.7 0.6 7 4 0 19 7 25
13 6 Middlesbrough 13 8 5 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 19 14 22
14 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 5 5 2 18 10 20
15 20 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22
16 5 Blackburn 12 8 4 1.4 0.8 7 2 3 17 10 23
17 14 Preston 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 6 2 15 11 21
18 3 Burnley 11 8 3 1.4 0.4 6 5 0 15 4 23
19 11 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
20 13 Millwall 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 2 4 14 9 20
21 21 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
22 22 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.5 4 0 7 11 16 12
23 2 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
24 8 West Brom 11 9 2 0.9 0.5 4 6 1 10 5 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
2 23 Portsmouth 12 3 9 1.1 2.4 1 4 7 13 29 7
3 7 Watford 11 3 8 1.4 2.1 2 2 7 15 23 8
4 8 West Brom 13 6 7 1.4 1.1 4 6 3 18 14 18
5 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 4 17 14 19
6 6 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 4 22 17 15
7 12 Norwich 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 6 11 19 10
8 14 Preston 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
9 19 Luton 12 6 6 0.7 2.2 1 1 10 8 26 4
10 20 Oxford 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 0 2 8 7 22 2
11 22 Cardiff 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 1 6 5 12 22 9
12 24 Plymouth 13 7 6 0.2 2.7 0 2 11 3 35 2
13 9 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
14 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13
15 16 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
16 21 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11
17 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
18 15 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
19 2 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 9 22
20 17 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
21 18 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
22 1 Leeds 12 10 2 1.2 0.8 5 5 2 15 9 20
23 3 Burnley 13 11 2 1.2 0.4 7 4 2 15 5 25
24 13 Millwall 11 9 2 0.7 1.0 1 6 4 8 11 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38