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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Watford 1–2 Cardiff

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.95 fair 1.69
Draw 3.40 fair 4.47
Away ✓ 3.90 fair 5.42
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Cardiff
9 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
15 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (275 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.86 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.4% 1–1 10.6% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.45scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:29
Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
0.95scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 21:37
Watford all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 0.95
1.32 Goals conceded 1.68
2.77 Total goals 2.64
12.05 Shots 12.77
4.14 Shots on target 4.36
13.68 Shots faced 12.18
5.27 Corners 5.23
5.73 Corners against 4.59
12.32 Fouls 11.77
2.18 Yellow cards 1.86
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

50% Wins 18%
18% Draws 27%
32% Losses 55%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
73% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 36%
18% Over 3.5 goals 32%
14% Over 4.5 goals 18%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 41%
23% Clean sheets 18%
23% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 14%
45% Draws 45%
36% Losses 41%
64% Over 0.5 goals 68%
23% Over 1.5 goals 32%
9% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Cardiff all matches
Watford before this match, at home
2.64points / match
1.55scored / match
0.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:6
Cardiff before this match, away
0.55points / match
0.91scored / match
1.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:21
Watford at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.91
0.55 Goals conceded 1.91
2.09 Total goals 2.82
13.91 Shots 10.82
5.00 Shots on target 3.18
12.00 Shots faced 13.18
5.91 Corners 3.73
5.00 Corners against 5.27
11.91 Fouls 11.82
2.55 Yellow cards 2.09
0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

82% Wins 0%
18% Draws 55%
0% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 73%
55% Over 2.5 goals 45%
0% Over 3.5 goals 45%
0% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 64%
45% Clean sheets 9%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 0%
64% Draws 55%
18% Losses 45%
45% Over 0.5 goals 73%
9% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Watford – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.252.55 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 Hull – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.00 1.90 1.95
30.11.24 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
26.11.24 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
22.11.24 Plymouth – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.402.25 1.73 2.10
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.402.00 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67
30.11.24 Coventry – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.33 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.60 2.03 1.83
09.11.24 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–3 (0–1) 2.303.403.00 1.95 1.90
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Cardiff – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.73 2.10

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Watford – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
15.12.24 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.252.55 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
26.11.24 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Watford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.85 2.00
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
14.09.24 Watford – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
30.11.24 Coventry – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.33 1.88 1.98
23.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.60 2.03 1.83
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
26.10.24 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.00 2.03 1.83
06.10.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.904.20 2.00 1.85
28.09.24 Hull – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.50 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
25.08.24 Swansea – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.503.90 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsCardiff wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24E1 Watford – Cardiff 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.604.33 2.03 1.83
07.10.23E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.75
19.04.23E1 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
02.11.22E1 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 24 15 6 3 33 14 +19 51
2 Leeds 23 14 6 3 43 15 +28 48
3 Burnley 23 13 8 2 30 9 +21 47
4 Sunderland 23 12 8 3 36 20 +16 44
5 Blackburn 22 11 5 6 27 20 +7 38
6 Watford 22 11 4 7 32 29 +3 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 41 31 +10 36
8 West Brom 24 8 12 4 28 19 +9 36
9 Sheffield Weds 24 9 6 9 32 36 -4 33
10 Norwich 24 7 9 8 40 36 +4 30
11 Swansea 23 8 6 9 27 24 +3 30
12 Bristol City 23 7 9 7 27 28 -1 30
13 Preston 24 6 11 7 26 30 -4 29
14 Millwall 22 7 7 8 22 20 +2 28
15 Derby 23 7 6 10 29 29 0 27
16 Coventry 23 7 6 10 32 34 -2 27
17 QPR 24 5 11 8 24 32 -8 26
18 Luton 23 7 4 12 25 39 -14 25
19 Stoke 23 5 7 11 23 32 -9 22
20 Oxford 22 5 6 11 24 39 -15 21
21 Portsmouth 21 4 8 9 26 37 -11 20
22 Hull 23 4 7 12 21 32 -11 19
23 Cardiff 22 4 6 12 21 37 -16 18
24 Plymouth 22 4 6 12 22 49 -27 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 12 10 1 1 29 6 +23 31
2 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
3 Watford 11 9 2 0 17 6 +11 29
4 Sunderland 11 7 4 0 19 7 +12 25
5 Burnley 11 6 5 0 15 4 +11 23
6 Blackburn 11 7 2 2 17 9 +8 23
7 Middlesbrough 12 6 3 3 19 14 +5 21
8 Preston 13 5 6 2 15 11 +4 21
9 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
10 Norwich 12 5 5 2 29 17 +12 20
11 Derby 11 6 2 3 19 10 +9 20
12 Millwall 12 6 2 4 14 9 +5 20
13 Oxford 12 5 4 3 17 17 0 19
14 West Brom 11 4 6 1 10 5 +5 18
15 Coventry 11 5 2 4 22 16 +6 17
16 Bristol City 11 4 5 2 15 10 +5 17
17 Swansea 11 4 4 3 17 12 +5 16
18 Plymouth 10 4 4 2 19 16 +3 16
19 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
20 Stoke 12 3 5 4 17 17 0 14
21 QPR 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
22 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
23 Cardiff 11 4 0 7 11 16 -5 12
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 12 7 3 2 15 5 +10 24
2 Sheffield United 12 6 4 2 16 9 +7 22
3 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 17 13 +4 19
4 West Brom 13 4 6 3 18 14 +4 18
5 Leeds 11 4 5 2 14 9 +5 17
6 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
7 Middlesbrough 11 4 3 4 22 17 +5 15
8 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13
11 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
12 Norwich 12 2 4 6 11 19 -8 10
13 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
14 Millwall 10 1 5 4 8 11 -3 8
15 Watford 11 2 2 7 15 23 -8 8
16 Preston 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
17 Hull 11 2 2 7 10 18 -8 8
18 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
19 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
20 Portsmouth 11 1 4 6 13 26 -13 7
21 Cardiff 11 0 6 5 10 21 -11 6
22 Luton 11 1 1 9 7 24 -17 4
23 Oxford 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2
24 Plymouth 12 0 2 10 3 33 -30 2

Watford   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 22 8 14 1.5 1.3 11 4 7 32 29 37
2 10 Norwich 24 10 14 1.7 1.5 7 9 8 40 36 30
3 16 Coventry 23 9 14 1.4 1.5 7 6 10 32 34 27
4 21 Portsmouth 21 7 14 1.2 1.8 4 8 9 26 37 20
5 18 Luton 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 7 4 12 25 39 25
6 24 Plymouth 22 9 13 1.0 2.2 4 6 12 22 49 18
7 9 Sheffield Weds 24 12 12 1.3 1.5 9 6 9 32 36 33
8 4 Sunderland 23 12 11 1.6 0.9 12 8 3 36 20 44
9 7 Middlesbrough 23 12 11 1.8 1.3 10 6 7 41 31 36
10 15 Derby 23 12 11 1.3 1.3 7 6 10 29 29 27
11 20 Oxford 22 11 11 1.1 1.8 5 6 11 24 39 21
12 11 Swansea 23 13 10 1.2 1.0 8 6 9 27 24 30
13 13 Preston 24 14 10 1.1 1.2 6 11 7 26 30 29
14 2 Leeds 23 14 9 1.9 0.7 14 6 3 43 15 48
15 8 West Brom 24 15 9 1.2 0.8 8 12 4 28 19 36
16 12 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.2 1.2 7 9 7 27 28 30
17 17 QPR 24 15 9 1.0 1.3 5 11 8 24 32 26
18 19 Stoke 23 14 9 1.0 1.4 5 7 11 23 32 22
19 5 Blackburn 22 14 8 1.2 0.9 11 5 6 27 20 38
20 22 Hull 23 15 8 0.9 1.4 4 7 12 21 32 19
21 23 Cardiff 22 14 8 1.0 1.7 4 6 12 21 37 18
22 1 Sheffield United 24 19 5 1.4 0.6 15 6 3 33 14 51
23 3 Burnley 23 18 5 1.3 0.4 13 8 2 30 9 47
24 14 Millwall 22 17 5 1.0 0.9 7 7 8 22 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 11 1 10 2.0 1.5 5 2 4 22 16 17
2 10 Norwich 12 4 8 2.4 1.4 5 5 2 29 17 20
3 18 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
4 2 Leeds 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 10 1 1 29 6 31
5 24 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.9 1.6 4 4 2 19 16 16
6 6 Watford 11 5 6 1.5 0.5 9 2 0 17 6 29
7 15 Derby 11 5 6 1.7 0.9 6 2 3 19 10 20
8 17 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
9 19 Stoke 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 3 5 4 17 17 14
10 21 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
11 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.7 0.6 7 4 0 19 7 25
12 7 Middlesbrough 12 7 5 1.6 1.2 6 3 3 19 14 21
13 11 Swansea 11 6 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 3 17 12 16
14 20 Oxford 12 7 5 1.4 1.4 5 4 3 17 17 19
15 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 7 2 2 17 9 23
16 12 Bristol City 11 7 4 1.4 0.9 4 5 2 15 10 17
17 13 Preston 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 6 2 15 11 21
18 3 Burnley 11 8 3 1.4 0.4 6 5 0 15 4 23
19 9 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
20 14 Millwall 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 2 4 14 9 20
21 22 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
22 23 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.5 4 0 7 11 16 12
23 1 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
24 8 West Brom 11 9 2 0.9 0.5 4 6 1 10 5 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
2 6 Watford 11 3 8 1.4 2.1 2 2 7 15 23 8
3 21 Portsmouth 11 3 8 1.2 2.4 1 4 6 13 26 7
4 8 West Brom 13 6 7 1.4 1.1 4 6 3 18 14 18
5 4 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 3 17 13 19
6 7 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 4 22 17 15
7 10 Norwich 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 6 11 19 10
8 13 Preston 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
9 20 Oxford 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 0 2 8 7 22 2
10 24 Plymouth 12 6 6 0.2 2.8 0 2 10 3 33 2
11 11 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
12 12 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13
13 15 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
14 18 Luton 11 6 5 0.6 2.2 1 1 9 7 24 4
15 22 Hull 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 2 7 10 18 8
16 23 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.9 0 6 5 10 21 6
17 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
18 16 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
19 1 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 9 22
20 17 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
21 19 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
22 2 Leeds 11 9 2 1.3 0.8 4 5 2 14 9 17
23 3 Burnley 12 10 2 1.2 0.4 7 3 2 15 5 24
24 14 Millwall 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 1 5 4 8 11 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51