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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Middlesbrough 2–1 Plymouth

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.50
Draw 5.00 fair 5.17
Away 7.00 fair 7.12
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Plymouth
22 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 5
12 Corners 1
8 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (505 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 2.14 – 0.87
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawPlymouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.3% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.45scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 61:51
Plymouth before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
1.05scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 44:82
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Plymouth

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.05
1.21 Goals conceded 1.95
2.67 Total goals 3.00
14.05 Shots 9.02
4.60 Shots on target 3.05
10.33 Shots faced 15.31
5.07 Corners 3.07
4.90 Corners against 6.43
9.48 Fouls 11.67
1.40 Yellow cards 1.76
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

40% Wins 21%
21% Draws 31%
38% Losses 48%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
64% Over 1.5 goals 81%
45% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 36%
17% Over 4.5 goals 19%
12% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 52%
29% Clean sheets 7%
26% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 14%
38% Draws 36%
29% Losses 50%
76% Over 0.5 goals 69%
36% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Plymouth all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.38scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:22
Plymouth before this match, away
0.43points / match
0.38scored / match
2.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 8:46
Middlesbrough at home away Plymouth

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.38
1.05 Goals conceded 2.19
2.43 Total goals 2.57
15.57 Shots 6.71
4.48 Shots on target 1.90
8.86 Shots faced 18.24
5.62 Corners 2.38
4.33 Corners against 7.52
9.29 Fouls 12.81
1.24 Yellow cards 1.90
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.19
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

48% Wins 5%
24% Draws 29%
29% Losses 67%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
62% Over 1.5 goals 76%
38% Over 2.5 goals 43%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 5%
43% Both teams scored 29%
33% Clean sheets 10%
29% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 5%
33% Draws 48%
29% Losses 48%
81% Over 0.5 goals 62%
38% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Plymouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.10 1.73
08.04.25 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
04.04.25 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.402.40 1.98 1.88
29.03.25 Middlesbrough – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.88 1.98
15.03.25 Luton – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.63 1.95 1.90
11.03.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
08.03.25 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.402.50 1.93 1.93
01.03.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 1.90 1.95
25.02.25 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
21.02.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.00 1.93 1.93

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Plymouth – Sheffield United 2–1 (0–1) 5.254.001.60 1.93 1.93
09.04.25 Swansea – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.584.005.00 2.03 1.83
05.04.25 Plymouth – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.601.80 1.93 1.93
29.03.25 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.75 2.03 1.83
15.03.25 Plymouth – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53
12.03.25 Portsmouth – Plymouth 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
08.03.25 Plymouth – Sheffield Weds 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.502.00 1.94 1.79
04.03.25 Hull – Plymouth 2–0 (0–0) 1.623.605.75 2.00 1.80
22.02.25 Plymouth – Cardiff 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.502.50 2.00 1.85
19.02.25 Luton – Plymouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.604.75 2.00 1.80

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.25 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
29.03.25 Middlesbrough – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.88 1.98
11.03.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
01.03.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 1.90 1.95
15.02.25 Middlesbrough – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.62 2.30
03.02.25 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 2–3 (1–1) 2.353.403.00 1.93 1.93
21.01.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.75 2.00 1.85
04.01.25 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.25 1.73 2.10
29.12.24 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 3–3 (3–0) 1.653.905.00 1.73 2.10

Plymouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.25 Swansea – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.584.005.00 2.03 1.83
29.03.25 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.75 2.03 1.83
12.03.25 Portsmouth – Plymouth 1–2 (0–1) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
04.03.25 Hull – Plymouth 2–0 (0–0) 1.623.605.75 2.00 1.80
19.02.25 Luton – Plymouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.604.75 2.00 1.80
15.02.25 Blackburn – Plymouth 2–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.00 1.85
25.01.25 Sunderland – Plymouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.57 2.38
04.01.25 Stoke – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.334.33 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Oxford – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 1.85 2.00
26.12.24 Coventry – Plymouth 4–0 (4–0) 1.335.757.50 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsPlymouth wins
3matches
4.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24E1 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–0) 6.004.501.48 1.57 2.38
24.02.24E1 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
04.11.23E1 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (2–1) 4.003.601.91 1.60 2.30

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 42 25 13 4 82 29 +53 88
2 Burnley 42 24 16 2 57 13 +44 88
3 Sheffield United 42 26 7 9 57 33 +24 85
4 Sunderland 42 21 13 8 57 38 +19 76
5 Bristol City 42 16 16 10 54 45 +9 64
6 Coventry 42 18 9 15 59 54 +5 63
7 West Brom 42 14 18 10 51 39 +12 60
8 Middlesbrough 42 17 9 16 61 51 +10 60
9 Millwall 42 16 12 14 41 41 0 60
10 Blackburn 42 16 8 18 45 45 0 56
11 Watford 42 16 8 18 50 55 -5 56
12 Swansea 42 15 9 18 45 51 -6 54
13 Norwich 42 13 14 15 63 58 +5 53
14 Sheffield Weds 42 14 11 17 56 64 -8 53
15 QPR 42 12 14 16 49 55 -6 50
16 Preston 42 10 19 13 43 51 -8 49
17 Oxford 42 12 12 18 43 60 -17 48
18 Stoke 42 11 14 17 43 54 -11 47
19 Portsmouth 42 12 10 20 50 66 -16 46
20 Hull 42 11 12 19 41 50 -9 45
21 Derby 43 11 10 22 44 55 -11 43
22 Luton 43 11 10 22 38 63 -25 43
23 Cardiff 42 9 15 18 45 66 -21 42
24 Plymouth 42 9 13 20 44 82 -38 40
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 21 16 4 1 51 12 +39 52
2 Burnley 21 12 9 0 30 6 +24 45
3 Sheffield United 21 14 3 4 30 16 +14 45
4 Sunderland 21 12 7 2 32 16 +16 43
5 Bristol City 21 12 6 3 32 17 +15 42
6 Coventry 21 12 3 6 36 24 +12 39
7 Watford 21 12 3 6 25 19 +6 39
8 West Brom 21 10 8 3 27 14 +13 38
9 Portsmouth 21 10 6 5 31 20 +11 36
10 Norwich 21 9 8 4 45 27 +18 35
11 Middlesbrough 21 10 5 6 29 22 +7 35
12 Oxford 21 10 5 6 29 28 +1 35
13 Blackburn 21 10 4 7 28 21 +7 34
14 Millwall 21 10 4 7 23 18 +5 34
15 Preston 21 7 12 2 24 18 +6 33
16 Swansea 21 9 5 7 29 21 +8 32
17 Derby 22 9 4 9 25 18 +7 31
18 Plymouth 21 8 7 6 36 36 0 31
19 Stoke 21 7 9 5 27 23 +4 30
20 QPR 21 7 8 6 30 27 +3 29
21 Luton 21 7 7 7 21 21 0 28
22 Cardiff 21 7 4 10 23 26 -3 25
23 Sheffield Weds 21 5 7 9 27 30 -3 22
24 Hull 21 4 8 9 22 26 -4 20
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 12 7 2 27 7 +20 43
2 Sheffield United 21 12 4 5 27 17 +10 40
3 Leeds 21 9 9 3 31 17 +14 36
4 Sunderland 21 9 6 6 25 22 +3 33
5 Sheffield Weds 21 9 4 8 29 34 -5 31
6 Millwall 21 6 8 7 18 23 -5 26
7 Middlesbrough 21 7 4 10 32 29 +3 25
8 Hull 21 7 4 10 19 24 -5 25
9 Coventry 21 6 6 9 23 30 -7 24
10 West Brom 21 4 10 7 24 25 -1 22
11 Bristol City 21 4 10 7 22 28 -6 22
12 Blackburn 21 6 4 11 17 24 -7 22
13 Swansea 21 6 4 11 16 30 -14 22
14 QPR 21 5 6 10 19 28 -9 21
15 Norwich 21 4 6 11 18 31 -13 18
16 Watford 21 4 5 12 25 36 -11 17
17 Stoke 21 4 5 12 16 31 -15 17
18 Cardiff 21 2 11 8 22 40 -18 17
19 Preston 21 3 7 11 19 33 -14 16
20 Luton 22 4 3 15 17 42 -25 15
21 Oxford 21 2 7 12 14 32 -18 13
22 Derby 21 2 6 13 19 37 -18 12
23 Portsmouth 21 2 4 15 19 46 -27 10
24 Plymouth 21 1 6 14 8 46 -38 9

Middlesbrough   Plymouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Portsmouth 42 15 27 1.2 1.6 12 10 20 50 66 46
2 11 Watford 42 18 24 1.2 1.3 16 8 18 50 55 56
3 24 Plymouth 42 18 24 1.0 2.0 9 13 20 44 82 40
4 6 Coventry 42 19 23 1.4 1.3 18 9 15 59 54 63
5 14 Sheffield Weds 42 19 23 1.3 1.5 14 11 17 56 64 53
6 13 Norwich 42 21 21 1.5 1.4 13 14 15 63 58 53
7 15 QPR 42 21 21 1.2 1.3 12 14 16 49 55 50
8 4 Sunderland 42 23 19 1.4 0.9 21 13 8 57 38 76
9 8 Middlesbrough 42 23 19 1.5 1.2 17 9 16 61 51 60
10 12 Swansea 42 23 19 1.1 1.2 15 9 18 45 51 54
11 23 Cardiff 42 23 19 1.1 1.6 9 15 18 45 66 42
12 1 Leeds 42 24 18 2.0 0.7 25 13 4 82 29 88
13 16 Preston 42 24 18 1.0 1.2 10 19 13 43 51 49
14 22 Luton 43 25 18 0.9 1.5 11 10 22 38 63 43
15 5 Bristol City 42 25 17 1.3 1.1 16 16 10 54 45 64
16 21 Derby 43 26 17 1.0 1.3 11 10 22 44 55 43
17 10 Blackburn 42 26 16 1.1 1.1 16 8 18 45 45 56
18 17 Oxford 42 26 16 1.0 1.4 12 12 18 43 60 48
19 18 Stoke 42 26 16 1.0 1.3 11 14 17 43 54 47
20 3 Sheffield United 42 27 15 1.4 0.8 26 7 9 57 33 85
21 7 West Brom 42 27 15 1.2 0.9 14 18 10 51 39 60
22 20 Hull 42 29 13 1.0 1.2 11 12 19 41 50 45
23 2 Burnley 42 31 11 1.4 0.3 24 16 2 57 13 88
24 9 Millwall 42 31 11 1.0 1.0 16 12 14 41 41 60
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Coventry 21 6 15 1.7 1.1 12 3 6 36 24 39
2 24 Plymouth 21 6 15 1.7 1.7 8 7 6 36 36 31
3 19 Portsmouth 21 8 13 1.5 1.0 10 6 5 31 20 36
4 1 Leeds 21 9 12 2.4 0.6 16 4 1 51 12 52
5 13 Norwich 21 9 12 2.1 1.3 9 8 4 45 27 35
6 15 QPR 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 7 8 6 30 27 29
7 11 Watford 21 10 11 1.2 0.9 12 3 6 25 19 39
8 5 Bristol City 21 11 10 1.5 0.8 12 6 3 32 17 42
9 4 Sunderland 21 12 9 1.5 0.8 12 7 2 32 16 43
10 12 Swansea 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 9 5 7 29 21 32
11 18 Stoke 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 7 9 5 27 23 30
12 8 Middlesbrough 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 10 5 6 29 22 35
13 10 Blackburn 21 13 8 1.3 1.0 10 4 7 28 21 34
14 14 Sheffield Weds 21 13 8 1.3 1.4 5 7 9 27 30 22
15 17 Oxford 21 13 8 1.4 1.3 10 5 6 29 28 35
16 22 Luton 21 13 8 1.0 1.0 7 7 7 21 21 28
17 3 Sheffield United 21 14 7 1.4 0.8 14 3 4 30 16 45
18 16 Preston 21 14 7 1.1 0.9 7 12 2 24 18 33
19 20 Hull 21 14 7 1.0 1.2 4 8 9 22 26 20
20 21 Derby 22 15 7 1.1 0.8 9 4 9 25 18 31
21 23 Cardiff 21 14 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 10 23 26 25
22 2 Burnley 21 15 6 1.4 0.3 12 9 0 30 6 45
23 7 West Brom 21 15 6 1.3 0.7 10 8 3 27 14 38
24 9 Millwall 21 15 6 1.1 0.9 10 4 7 23 18 34
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Sheffield Weds 21 6 15 1.4 1.6 9 4 8 29 34 31
2 19 Portsmouth 21 7 14 0.9 2.2 2 4 15 19 46 10
3 11 Watford 21 8 13 1.2 1.7 4 5 12 25 36 17
4 23 Cardiff 21 9 12 1.0 1.9 2 11 8 22 40 17
5 8 Middlesbrough 21 10 11 1.5 1.4 7 4 10 32 29 25
6 16 Preston 21 10 11 0.9 1.6 3 7 11 19 33 16
7 4 Sunderland 21 11 10 1.2 1.0 9 6 6 25 22 33
8 12 Swansea 21 11 10 0.8 1.4 6 4 11 16 30 22
9 21 Derby 21 11 10 0.9 1.8 2 6 13 19 37 12
10 22 Luton 22 12 10 0.8 1.9 4 3 15 17 42 15
11 7 West Brom 21 12 9 1.1 1.2 4 10 7 24 25 22
12 13 Norwich 21 12 9 0.9 1.5 4 6 11 18 31 18
13 15 QPR 21 12 9 0.9 1.3 5 6 10 19 28 21
14 24 Plymouth 21 12 9 0.4 2.2 1 6 14 8 46 9
15 3 Sheffield United 21 13 8 1.3 0.8 12 4 5 27 17 40
16 6 Coventry 21 13 8 1.1 1.4 6 6 9 23 30 24
17 10 Blackburn 21 13 8 0.8 1.1 6 4 11 17 24 22
18 17 Oxford 21 13 8 0.7 1.5 2 7 12 14 32 13
19 5 Bristol City 21 14 7 1.0 1.3 4 10 7 22 28 22
20 18 Stoke 21 14 7 0.8 1.5 4 5 12 16 31 17
21 1 Leeds 21 15 6 1.5 0.8 9 9 3 31 17 36
22 20 Hull 21 15 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 10 19 24 25
23 2 Burnley 21 16 5 1.3 0.3 12 7 2 27 7 43
24 9 Millwall 21 16 5 0.9 1.1 6 8 7 18 23 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51