West Brom 1–3 Derby – England Championship, 21 Apr 2025

Match facts

West Brom Derby

13 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 3

10 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (516 league matches this season so far).

Result West Brom to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.53 – 0.81

Home / Draw / Away

54% 26% 20%

West BromDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

57% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.7% 1–1 12% 2–0 11.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

West Brom before this match, all matches

1.40points / match

1.19scored / match

0.95conceded / match

14 18 11

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 51:41

Derby before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.02scored / match

1.28conceded / match

11 10 22

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 44:55

West Brom all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.02

0.95 Goals conceded 1.28

2.14 Total goals 2.30

12.56 Shots 10.21

3.77 Shots on target 3.14

10.93 Shots faced 11.37

5.51 Corners 5.05

4.77 Corners against 5.26

9.26 Fouls 12.05

1.72 Yellow cards 1.95

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

33% Wins 26%

42% Draws 23%

26% Losses 51%

86% Over 0.5 goals 93%

72% Over 1.5 goals 67%

35% Over 2.5 goals 40%

14% Over 3.5 goals 16%

5% Over 4.5 goals 9%

2% Over 5.5 goals 5%

56% Both teams scored 47%

30% Clean sheets 23%

28% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 23%

49% Draws 47%

19% Losses 30%

65% Over 0.5 goals 60%

30% Over 1.5 goals 21%

14% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

West Brom all matches

2

W

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

L

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

Derby all matches

1

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

W

3

2

W

2

W

1

L

D

2

D

1

L

West Brom before this match, at home

1.81points / match

1.29scored / match

0.67conceded / match

10 8 3

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:14

Derby before this match, away

0.57points / match

0.90scored / match

1.76conceded / match

2 6 13

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:37

West Brom at home away Derby

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.90

0.67 Goals conceded 1.76

1.95 Total goals 2.67

14.71 Shots 8.48

3.90 Shots on target 2.81

10.00 Shots faced 12.86

7.05 Corners 4.76

3.86 Corners against 5.52

8.38 Fouls 12.33

2.10 Yellow cards 2.19

0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.24

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

48% Wins 10%

38% Draws 29%

14% Losses 62%

81% Over 0.5 goals 95%

57% Over 1.5 goals 76%

29% Over 2.5 goals 48%

19% Over 3.5 goals 24%

5% Over 4.5 goals 14%

5% Over 5.5 goals 10%

38% Both teams scored 62%

48% Clean sheets 5%

33% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 10%

48% Draws 52%

14% Losses 38%

57% Over 0.5 goals 57%

24% Over 1.5 goals 24%

19% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

West Brom at home

3

1

W

1

D

5

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

2

W

1

W

1

D

1

L

2

1

W

Derby away

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

4

L

1

L

3

2

W

1

L

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

West Brom all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Coventry – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.60	3.10	1.98	1.88
12.04.25	West Brom – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	4.75	2.10	1.73
08.04.25	Bristol City – West Brom	2–1 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.87	2.10	1.73
05.04.25	West Brom – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
29.03.25	Norwich – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.03	1.83
15.03.25	West Brom – Hull	1–1 (0–0)	1.90	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
11.03.25	Burnley – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.87	3.20	4.33	2.63	1.50
08.03.25	West Brom – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.73
01.03.25	Leeds – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.36	4.50	9.00	1.80	2.00
22.02.25	West Brom – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Derby – Luton	0–1 (0–1)	2.60	2.90	3.00	2.75	1.44
12.04.25	Portsmouth – Derby	2–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.63	1.50
08.04.25	Derby – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.30	1.82	2.75	1.44
05.04.25	Swansea – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.75	2.38	1.57
02.04.25	Derby – Preston	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
15.03.25	Plymouth – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.50	1.53
11.03.25	Derby – Coventry	2–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.20	2.32	1.53
08.03.25	Derby – Blackburn	2–1 (2–1)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.38	1.57
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40

West Brom at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	West Brom – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	4.75	2.10	1.73
05.04.25	West Brom – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
15.03.25	West Brom – Hull	1–1 (0–0)	1.90	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
08.03.25	West Brom – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.73
22.02.25	West Brom – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	West Brom – Blackburn	0–2 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.33	2.05	1.80
08.02.25	West Brom – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.30	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	West Brom – Portsmouth	5–1 (4–0)	1.62	3.90	5.00	1.98	1.88
18.01.25	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.50	2.00	1.85
01.01.25	West Brom – Preston	3–1 (3–0)	1.83	3.50	4.33	2.30	1.62

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Portsmouth – Derby	2–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.63	1.50
05.04.25	Swansea – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.75	2.38	1.57
15.03.25	Plymouth – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.50	1.53
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
14.02.25	QPR – Derby	4–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.63	1.50
08.02.25	Norwich – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.98	1.88
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.10	1.73
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

West Brom winsDrawsDerby wins

3matches

1.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.24E1	Derby – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.38	1.57
27.12.21E1	Derby – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.50	1.80	2.20	1.66
14.09.21E1	West Brom – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.90	6.50	1.90	1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	43	26	13	4	83	29	+54	91
2	Burnley	43	25	16	2	59	14	+45	91
3	Sheffield United	43	27	7	9	59	33	+26	88
4	Sunderland	43	21	13	9	58	40	+18	76
5	Bristol City	43	17	16	10	56	46	+10	67
6	Coventry	43	19	9	15	61	54	+7	66
7	Middlesbrough	43	18	9	16	63	52	+11	63
8	West Brom	43	14	18	11	51	41	+10	60
9	Millwall	43	16	12	15	42	45	-3	60
10	Blackburn	43	17	8	18	49	46	+3	59
11	Swansea	43	16	9	18	46	51	-5	57
12	Watford	43	16	8	19	51	57	-6	56
13	Norwich	43	13	14	16	66	63	+3	53
14	QPR	43	13	14	16	51	56	-5	53
15	Sheffield Weds	43	14	11	18	56	66	-10	53
16	Stoke	43	12	14	17	45	54	-9	50
17	Preston	43	10	19	14	44	53	-9	49
18	Portsmouth	43	13	10	20	55	69	-14	49
19	Oxford	43	12	12	19	43	61	-18	48
20	Hull	43	11	12	20	41	51	-10	45
21	Derby	43	11	10	22	44	55	-11	43
22	Luton	43	11	10	22	38	63	-25	43
23	Cardiff	43	9	15	19	45	68	-23	42
24	Plymouth	43	9	13	21	45	84	-39	40

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	21	16	4	1	51	12	+39	52
2	Sheffield United	22	15	3	4	32	16	+16	48
3	Burnley	21	12	9	0	30	6	+24	45
4	Bristol City	22	13	6	3	34	18	+16	45
5	Sunderland	21	12	7	2	32	16	+16	43
6	Coventry	22	13	3	6	38	24	+14	42
7	Watford	22	12	3	7	26	21	+5	39
8	West Brom	21	10	8	3	27	14	+13	38
9	Middlesbrough	22	11	5	6	31	23	+8	38
10	Blackburn	22	11	4	7	32	22	+10	37
11	Portsmouth	21	10	6	5	31	20	+11	36
12	Norwich	22	9	8	5	48	32	+16	35
13	Swansea	22	10	5	7	30	21	+9	35
14	Oxford	22	10	5	7	29	29	0	35
15	Millwall	21	10	4	7	23	18	+5	34
16	Stoke	22	8	9	5	29	23	+6	33
17	Preston	22	7	12	3	25	20	+5	33
18	Derby	22	9	4	9	25	18	+7	31
19	Plymouth	21	8	7	6	36	36	0	31
20	QPR	21	7	8	6	30	27	+3	29
21	Luton	21	7	7	7	21	21	0	28
22	Cardiff	21	7	4	10	23	26	-3	25
23	Sheffield Weds	21	5	7	9	27	30	-3	22
24	Hull	21	4	8	9	22	26	-4	20

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	22	13	7	2	29	8	+21	46
2	Sheffield United	21	12	4	5	27	17	+10	40
3	Leeds	22	10	9	3	32	17	+15	39
4	Sunderland	22	9	6	7	26	24	+2	33
5	Sheffield Weds	22	9	4	9	29	36	-7	31
6	Millwall	22	6	8	8	19	27	-8	26
7	Middlesbrough	21	7	4	10	32	29	+3	25
8	Hull	22	7	4	11	19	25	-6	25
9	Coventry	21	6	6	9	23	30	-7	24
10	QPR	22	6	6	10	21	29	-8	24
11	West Brom	22	4	10	8	24	27	-3	22
12	Bristol City	21	4	10	7	22	28	-6	22
13	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	17	24	-7	22
14	Swansea	21	6	4	11	16	30	-14	22
15	Norwich	21	4	6	11	18	31	-13	18
16	Watford	21	4	5	12	25	36	-11	17
17	Stoke	21	4	5	12	16	31	-15	17
18	Cardiff	22	2	11	9	22	42	-20	17
19	Preston	21	3	7	11	19	33	-14	16
20	Luton	22	4	3	15	17	42	-25	15
21	Oxford	21	2	7	12	14	32	-18	13
22	Portsmouth	22	3	4	15	24	49	-25	13
23	Derby	21	2	6	13	19	37	-18	12
24	Plymouth	22	1	6	15	9	48	-39	9

West Brom Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	43	15	28	1.3	1.6	13	10	20	55	69	49
2	12	Watford	43	18	25	1.2	1.3	16	8	19	51	57	56
3	24	Plymouth	43	18	25	1.0	2.0	9	13	21	45	84	40
4	6	Coventry	43	20	23	1.4	1.3	19	9	15	61	54	66
5	15	Sheffield Weds	43	20	23	1.3	1.5	14	11	18	56	66	53
6	13	Norwich	43	21	22	1.5	1.5	13	14	16	66	63	53
7	14	QPR	43	21	22	1.2	1.3	13	14	16	51	56	53
8	4	Sunderland	43	23	20	1.3	0.9	21	13	9	58	40	76
9	7	Middlesbrough	43	23	20	1.5	1.2	18	9	16	63	52	63
10	11	Swansea	43	24	19	1.1	1.2	16	9	18	46	51	57
11	17	Preston	43	24	19	1.0	1.2	10	19	14	44	53	49
12	23	Cardiff	43	24	19	1.0	1.6	9	15	19	45	68	42
13	1	Leeds	43	25	18	1.9	0.7	26	13	4	83	29	91
14	5	Bristol City	43	25	18	1.3	1.1	17	16	10	56	46	67
15	22	Luton	43	25	18	0.9	1.5	11	10	22	38	63	43
16	10	Blackburn	43	26	17	1.1	1.1	17	8	18	49	46	59
17	21	Derby	43	26	17	1.0	1.3	11	10	22	44	55	43
18	16	Stoke	43	27	16	1.0	1.3	12	14	17	45	54	50
19	19	Oxford	43	27	16	1.0	1.4	12	12	19	43	61	48
20	3	Sheffield United	43	28	15	1.4	0.8	27	7	9	59	33	88
21	8	West Brom	43	28	15	1.2	1.0	14	18	11	51	41	60
22	20	Hull	43	30	13	1.0	1.2	11	12	20	41	51	45
23	2	Burnley	43	31	12	1.4	0.3	25	16	2	59	14	91
24	9	Millwall	43	31	12	1.0	1.0	16	12	15	42	45	60

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	22	7	15	1.7	1.1	13	3	6	38	24	42
2	24	Plymouth	21	6	15	1.7	1.7	8	7	6	36	36	31
3	13	Norwich	22	9	13	2.2	1.5	9	8	5	48	32	35
4	18	Portsmouth	21	8	13	1.5	1.0	10	6	5	31	20	36
5	1	Leeds	21	9	12	2.4	0.6	16	4	1	51	12	52
6	12	Watford	22	10	12	1.2	1.0	12	3	7	26	21	39
7	14	QPR	21	9	12	1.4	1.3	7	8	6	30	27	29
8	5	Bristol City	22	11	11	1.5	0.8	13	6	3	34	18	45
9	4	Sunderland	21	12	9	1.5	0.8	12	7	2	32	16	43
10	7	Middlesbrough	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	11	5	6	31	23	38
11	10	Blackburn	22	13	9	1.5	1.0	11	4	7	32	22	37
12	11	Swansea	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	10	5	7	30	21	35
13	16	Stoke	22	13	9	1.3	1.0	8	9	5	29	23	33
14	15	Sheffield Weds	21	13	8	1.3	1.4	5	7	9	27	30	22
15	17	Preston	22	14	8	1.1	0.9	7	12	3	25	20	33
16	19	Oxford	22	14	8	1.3	1.3	10	5	7	29	29	35
17	22	Luton	21	13	8	1.0	1.0	7	7	7	21	21	28
18	3	Sheffield United	22	15	7	1.5	0.7	15	3	4	32	16	48
19	20	Hull	21	14	7	1.0	1.2	4	8	9	22	26	20
20	21	Derby	22	15	7	1.1	0.8	9	4	9	25	18	31
21	23	Cardiff	21	14	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	10	23	26	25
22	2	Burnley	21	15	6	1.4	0.3	12	9	0	30	6	45
23	8	West Brom	21	15	6	1.3	0.7	10	8	3	27	14	38
24	9	Millwall	21	15	6	1.1	0.9	10	4	7	23	18	34

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Sheffield Weds	22	7	15	1.3	1.6	9	4	9	29	36	31
2	18	Portsmouth	22	7	15	1.1	2.2	3	4	15	24	49	13
3	12	Watford	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	4	5	12	25	36	17
4	23	Cardiff	22	10	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	9	22	42	17
5	4	Sunderland	22	11	11	1.2	1.1	9	6	7	26	24	33
6	7	Middlesbrough	21	10	11	1.5	1.4	7	4	10	32	29	25
7	17	Preston	21	10	11	0.9	1.6	3	7	11	19	33	16
8	11	Swansea	21	11	10	0.8	1.4	6	4	11	16	30	22
9	14	QPR	22	12	10	1.0	1.3	6	6	10	21	29	24
10	21	Derby	21	11	10	0.9	1.8	2	6	13	19	37	12
11	22	Luton	22	12	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	15	17	42	15
12	24	Plymouth	22	12	10	0.4	2.2	1	6	15	9	48	9
13	8	West Brom	22	13	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	8	24	27	22
14	13	Norwich	21	12	9	0.9	1.5	4	6	11	18	31	18
15	3	Sheffield United	21	13	8	1.3	0.8	12	4	5	27	17	40
16	6	Coventry	21	13	8	1.1	1.4	6	6	9	23	30	24
17	10	Blackburn	21	13	8	0.8	1.1	6	4	11	17	24	22
18	19	Oxford	21	13	8	0.7	1.5	2	7	12	14	32	13
19	5	Bristol City	21	14	7	1.0	1.3	4	10	7	22	28	22
20	16	Stoke	21	14	7	0.8	1.5	4	5	12	16	31	17
21	1	Leeds	22	16	6	1.5	0.8	10	9	3	32	17	39
22	2	Burnley	22	16	6	1.3	0.4	13	7	2	29	8	46
23	9	Millwall	22	16	6	0.9	1.2	6	8	8	19	27	26
24	20	Hull	22	16	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	11	19	25	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.