Cardiff 2–1 Derby – England Championship, 25 Jan 2025

Match facts

Cardiff Derby

17 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 10

12 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (339 league matches this season so far).

Result Cardiff to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.13

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 29%

CardiffDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.11scored / match

1.54conceded / match

6 10 12

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 31:43

Derby before this match, all matches

0.96points / match

1.11scored / match

1.36conceded / match

7 6 15

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 31:38

Cardiff all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.11

1.54 Goals conceded 1.36

2.64 Total goals 2.46

12.36 Shots 10.82

4.21 Shots on target 3.43

11.43 Shots faced 11.96

4.96 Corners 5.43

4.68 Corners against 5.79

11.68 Fouls 12.29

1.82 Yellow cards 1.93

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.43

0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

21% Wins 25%

36% Draws 21%

43% Losses 54%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

86% Over 1.5 goals 75%

39% Over 2.5 goals 43%

29% Over 3.5 goals 14%

14% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

50% Both teams scored 54%

18% Clean sheets 21%

36% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 25%

46% Draws 36%

36% Losses 39%

68% Over 0.5 goals 75%

36% Over 1.5 goals 21%

11% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

2

L

2

D

2

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

D

3

W

2

D

Derby all matches

2

L

D

4

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

4

L

1

L

2

L

1

L

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.21points / match

1.14scored / match

1.29conceded / match

5 2 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:18

Derby before this match, away

0.50points / match

0.86scored / match

1.71conceded / match

1 4 9

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:24

Cardiff at home away Derby

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 0.86

1.29 Goals conceded 1.71

2.43 Total goals 2.57

14.07 Shots 8.57

5.21 Shots on target 2.71

10.71 Shots faced 13.29

6.43 Corners 5.07

4.36 Corners against 6.07

11.36 Fouls 12.21

1.57 Yellow cards 2.14

0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.21

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

36% Wins 7%

14% Draws 29%

50% Losses 64%

100% Over 0.5 goals 93%

93% Over 1.5 goals 79%

29% Over 2.5 goals 43%

14% Over 3.5 goals 14%

7% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 14%

29% Both teams scored 64%

29% Clean sheets 7%

43% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 7%

43% Draws 43%

29% Losses 50%

57% Over 0.5 goals 71%

14% Over 1.5 goals 21%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

5

W

2

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

L

2

L

2

L

1

D

1

D

3

W

Derby away

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

D

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
01.01.25	Cardiff – Coventry	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Oxford – Cardiff	3–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
21.12.24	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–0)	3.70	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.73
14.12.24	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.25	1.90	1.95
11.12.24	Cardiff – Preston	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.20	1.67

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.25	Derby – Sunderland	0–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.30	2.10	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Derby – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.38	1.57
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
13.12.24	Derby – Portsmouth	4–0 (3–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.30	1.62
10.12.24	Burnley – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.50	5.25	2.63	1.50
07.12.24	Leeds – Derby	2–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.88	1.98

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	Cardiff – Coventry	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.50	2.30	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–0)	3.70	3.40	2.00	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Cardiff – Preston	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.20	2.20	1.67
27.11.24	Cardiff – QPR	0–2 (0–1)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.00	1.80
09.11.24	Cardiff – Blackburn	1–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.95	1.90
02.11.24	Cardiff – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.10
22.10.24	Cardiff – Portsmouth	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	1.98	1.88
19.10.24	Cardiff – Plymouth	5–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.50	3.50	1.83	2.03

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.10	1.73
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
10.12.24	Burnley – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.50	5.25	2.63	1.50
07.12.24	Leeds – Derby	2–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.88	1.98
23.11.24	Preston – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.67
06.11.24	Coventry – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	1.75	3.70	4.50	1.90	1.95
02.11.24	Stoke – Derby	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83
22.10.24	Oxford – Derby	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.25	2.75	2.10	1.73
19.10.24	Millwall – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	4.10	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Cardiff winsDrawsDerby wins

3matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.09.24E1	Derby – Cardiff	1–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	2.10	1.73
07.05.22E1	Derby – Cardiff	0–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.83	2.02
01.03.22E1	Cardiff – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	29	18	6	5	40	21	+19	60
2	Leeds	28	17	8	3	53	19	+34	59
3	Burnley	28	15	11	2	36	9	+27	56
4	Sunderland	28	15	9	4	40	22	+18	54
5	Middlesbrough	28	12	8	8	46	34	+12	44
6	Blackburn	28	12	6	10	31	26	+5	42
7	West Brom	28	9	14	5	33	24	+9	41
8	Watford	28	12	5	11	39	39	0	41
9	Norwich	29	10	9	10	48	42	+6	39
10	Bristol City	28	9	11	8	35	33	+2	38
11	QPR	28	9	11	8	32	35	-3	38
12	Sheffield Weds	28	10	8	10	40	45	-5	38
13	Oxford	29	9	9	11	33	43	-10	36
14	Coventry	28	9	8	11	37	37	0	35
15	Millwall	28	8	10	10	27	26	+1	34
16	Preston	28	7	13	8	30	35	-5	34
17	Swansea	29	9	7	13	32	40	-8	34
18	Hull	29	7	8	14	30	38	-8	29
19	Stoke	29	6	11	12	26	36	-10	29
20	Portsmouth	27	7	8	12	35	46	-11	29
21	Cardiff	28	6	10	12	31	43	-12	28
22	Derby	28	7	6	15	31	38	-7	27
23	Luton	29	7	5	17	29	48	-19	26
24	Plymouth	28	4	9	15	25	60	-35	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	15	12	2	1	35	7	+28	38
2	Sheffield United	14	10	2	2	19	8	+11	32
3	Sunderland	13	9	4	0	22	8	+14	31
4	Watford	14	9	2	3	20	12	+8	29
5	Oxford	15	8	4	3	23	19	+4	28
6	Norwich	14	7	5	2	36	19	+17	26
7	Middlesbrough	15	7	5	3	22	15	+7	26
8	Blackburn	15	8	2	5	20	13	+7	26
9	Burnley	13	6	7	0	15	4	+11	25
10	Bristol City	13	6	5	2	19	10	+9	23
11	Portsmouth	13	6	4	3	22	13	+9	22
12	West Brom	13	5	7	1	14	7	+7	22
13	Preston	14	5	7	2	16	12	+4	22
14	Luton	15	6	4	5	18	17	+1	22
15	Coventry	13	6	3	4	23	16	+7	21
16	Millwall	15	6	3	6	16	13	+3	21
17	Sheffield Weds	15	5	6	4	24	22	+2	21
18	Swansea	14	5	5	4	21	16	+5	20
19	Derby	14	6	2	6	19	14	+5	20
20	QPR	14	5	5	4	20	19	+1	20
21	Stoke	15	4	7	4	18	17	+1	19
22	Plymouth	14	4	6	4	22	25	-3	18
23	Cardiff	14	5	2	7	16	18	-2	17
24	Hull	15	2	6	7	15	20	-5	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	15	9	4	2	21	5	+16	31
2	Sheffield United	15	8	4	3	21	13	+8	28
3	Sunderland	15	6	5	4	18	14	+4	23
4	Leeds	13	5	6	2	18	12	+6	21
5	West Brom	15	4	7	4	19	17	+2	19
6	Middlesbrough	13	5	3	5	24	19	+5	18
7	QPR	14	4	6	4	12	16	-4	18
8	Hull	14	5	2	7	15	18	-3	17
9	Sheffield Weds	13	5	2	6	16	23	-7	17
10	Blackburn	13	4	4	5	11	13	-2	16
11	Bristol City	15	3	6	6	16	23	-7	15
12	Coventry	15	3	5	7	14	21	-7	14
13	Swansea	15	4	2	9	11	24	-13	14
14	Millwall	13	2	7	4	11	13	-2	13
15	Norwich	15	3	4	8	12	23	-11	13
16	Watford	14	3	3	8	19	27	-8	12
17	Preston	14	2	6	6	14	23	-9	12
18	Cardiff	14	1	8	5	15	25	-10	11
19	Stoke	14	2	4	8	8	19	-11	10
20	Oxford	14	1	5	8	10	24	-14	8
21	Derby	14	1	4	9	12	24	-12	7
22	Portsmouth	14	1	4	9	13	33	-20	7
23	Luton	14	1	1	12	11	31	-20	4
24	Plymouth	14	0	3	11	3	35	-32	3

Cardiff Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Portsmouth	27	8	19	1.3	1.7	7	8	12	35	46	29
2	8	Watford	28	10	18	1.4	1.4	12	5	11	39	39	41
3	9	Norwich	29	13	16	1.7	1.4	10	9	10	48	42	39
4	12	Sheffield Weds	28	12	16	1.4	1.6	10	8	10	40	45	38
5	23	Luton	29	13	16	1.0	1.7	7	5	17	29	48	26
6	14	Coventry	28	13	15	1.3	1.3	9	8	11	37	37	35
7	17	Swansea	29	14	15	1.1	1.4	9	7	13	32	40	34
8	24	Plymouth	28	13	15	0.9	2.1	4	9	15	25	60	21
9	4	Sunderland	28	16	12	1.4	0.8	15	9	4	40	22	54
10	5	Middlesbrough	28	16	12	1.6	1.2	12	8	8	46	34	44
11	10	Bristol City	28	16	12	1.2	1.2	9	11	8	35	33	38
12	11	QPR	28	16	12	1.1	1.2	9	11	8	32	35	38
13	13	Oxford	29	17	12	1.1	1.5	9	9	11	33	43	36
14	16	Preston	28	16	12	1.1	1.2	7	13	8	30	35	34
15	22	Derby	28	16	12	1.1	1.4	7	6	15	31	38	27
16	2	Leeds	28	17	11	1.9	0.7	17	8	3	53	19	59
17	18	Hull	29	18	11	1.0	1.3	7	8	14	30	38	29
18	21	Cardiff	28	17	11	1.1	1.5	6	10	12	31	43	28
19	7	West Brom	28	18	10	1.2	0.9	9	14	5	33	24	41
20	19	Stoke	29	19	10	0.9	1.2	6	11	12	26	36	29
21	1	Sheffield United	29	20	9	1.4	0.7	18	6	5	40	21	60
22	6	Blackburn	28	19	9	1.1	0.9	12	6	10	31	26	42
23	15	Millwall	28	21	7	1.0	0.9	8	10	10	27	26	34
24	3	Burnley	28	22	6	1.3	0.3	15	11	2	36	9	56

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Norwich	14	4	10	2.6	1.4	7	5	2	36	19	26
2	14	Coventry	13	3	10	1.8	1.2	6	3	4	23	16	21
3	8	Watford	14	5	9	1.4	0.9	9	2	3	20	12	29
4	20	Portsmouth	13	4	9	1.7	1.0	6	4	3	22	13	22
5	24	Plymouth	14	5	9	1.6	1.8	4	6	4	22	25	18
6	2	Leeds	15	7	8	2.3	0.5	12	2	1	35	7	38
7	11	QPR	14	6	8	1.4	1.4	5	5	4	20	19	20
8	23	Luton	15	7	8	1.2	1.1	6	4	5	18	17	22
9	17	Swansea	14	7	7	1.5	1.1	5	5	4	21	16	20
10	4	Sunderland	13	7	6	1.7	0.6	9	4	0	22	8	31
11	12	Sheffield Weds	15	9	6	1.6	1.5	5	6	4	24	22	21
12	13	Oxford	15	9	6	1.5	1.3	8	4	3	23	19	28
13	19	Stoke	15	9	6	1.2	1.1	4	7	4	18	17	19
14	22	Derby	14	8	6	1.4	1.0	6	2	6	19	14	20
15	5	Middlesbrough	15	10	5	1.5	1.0	7	5	3	22	15	26
16	6	Blackburn	15	10	5	1.3	0.9	8	2	5	20	13	26
17	10	Bristol City	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	6	5	2	19	10	23
18	18	Hull	15	10	5	1.0	1.3	2	6	7	15	20	12
19	15	Millwall	15	11	4	1.1	0.9	6	3	6	16	13	21
20	16	Preston	14	10	4	1.1	0.9	5	7	2	16	12	22
21	21	Cardiff	14	10	4	1.1	1.3	5	2	7	16	18	17
22	1	Sheffield United	14	11	3	1.4	0.6	10	2	2	19	8	32
23	3	Burnley	13	10	3	1.2	0.3	6	7	0	15	4	25
24	7	West Brom	13	10	3	1.1	0.5	5	7	1	14	7	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	13	3	10	1.2	1.8	5	2	6	16	23	17
2	20	Portsmouth	14	4	10	0.9	2.4	1	4	9	13	33	7
3	8	Watford	14	5	9	1.4	1.9	3	3	8	19	27	12
4	16	Preston	14	6	8	1.0	1.6	2	6	6	14	23	12
5	17	Swansea	15	7	8	0.7	1.6	4	2	9	11	24	14
6	23	Luton	14	6	8	0.8	2.2	1	1	12	11	31	4
7	5	Middlesbrough	13	6	7	1.8	1.5	5	3	5	24	19	18
8	7	West Brom	15	8	7	1.3	1.1	4	7	4	19	17	19
9	10	Bristol City	15	8	7	1.1	1.5	3	6	6	16	23	15
10	21	Cardiff	14	7	7	1.1	1.8	1	8	5	15	25	11
11	1	Sheffield United	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	8	4	3	21	13	28
12	4	Sunderland	15	9	6	1.2	0.9	6	5	4	18	14	23
13	9	Norwich	15	9	6	0.8	1.5	3	4	8	12	23	13
14	13	Oxford	14	8	6	0.7	1.7	1	5	8	10	24	8
15	18	Hull	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	5	2	7	15	18	17
16	22	Derby	14	8	6	0.9	1.7	1	4	9	12	24	7
17	24	Plymouth	14	8	6	0.2	2.5	0	3	11	3	35	3
18	14	Coventry	15	10	5	0.9	1.4	3	5	7	14	21	14
19	6	Blackburn	13	9	4	0.8	1.0	4	4	5	11	13	16
20	11	QPR	14	10	4	0.9	1.1	4	6	4	12	16	18
21	19	Stoke	14	10	4	0.6	1.4	2	4	8	8	19	10
22	2	Leeds	13	10	3	1.4	0.9	5	6	2	18	12	21
23	3	Burnley	15	12	3	1.4	0.3	9	4	2	21	5	31
24	15	Millwall	13	10	3	0.8	1.0	2	7	4	11	13	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.