Swansea 1–0 Derby – England Championship, 5 Apr 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Swansea Derby

3 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 3

7 Fouls 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (472 league matches this season so far).

Result Swansea to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.98

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.03

Home / Draw / Away

47% 26% 27%

SwanseaDrawDerby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.4% 1–0 12.1% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

1.03scored / match

1.31conceded / match

12 9 18

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 40:51

Derby before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

1.08scored / match

1.31conceded / match

11 8 20

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 42:51

Swansea all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.08

1.31 Goals conceded 1.31

2.33 Total goals 2.38

10.33 Shots 10.10

3.59 Shots on target 3.15

11.54 Shots faced 11.67

4.92 Corners 4.97

4.87 Corners against 5.33

10.28 Fouls 11.92

1.64 Yellow cards 1.90

0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

31% Wins 28%

23% Draws 21%

46% Losses 51%

92% Over 0.5 goals 95%

62% Over 1.5 goals 72%

46% Over 2.5 goals 41%

18% Over 3.5 goals 15%

8% Over 4.5 goals 10%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

44% Both teams scored 49%

26% Clean sheets 23%

38% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 26%

31% Draws 44%

31% Losses 31%

74% Over 0.5 goals 64%

31% Over 1.5 goals 23%

13% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches

2

L

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

3

W

D

1

W

1

L

2

L

2

D

Derby all matches

1

L

1

D

4

L

1

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

W

3

2

W

2

W

Swansea before this match, at home

1.37points / match

1.32scored / match

1.11conceded / match

7 5 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 25:21

Derby before this match, away

0.58points / match

0.89scored / match

1.79conceded / match

2 5 12

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 17:34

Swansea at home away Derby

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 0.89

1.11 Goals conceded 1.79

2.42 Total goals 2.68

11.05 Shots 8.21

4.21 Shots on target 2.79

9.79 Shots faced 13.26

4.58 Corners 4.95

4.68 Corners against 5.58

11.16 Fouls 12.05

1.37 Yellow cards 2.11

0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.26

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

37% Wins 11%

26% Draws 26%

37% Losses 63%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

68% Over 1.5 goals 79%

42% Over 2.5 goals 47%

16% Over 3.5 goals 21%

11% Over 4.5 goals 16%

5% Over 5.5 goals 11%

42% Both teams scored 63%

37% Clean sheets 5%

26% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 11%

26% Draws 47%

16% Losses 42%

79% Over 0.5 goals 63%

42% Over 1.5 goals 26%

21% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home

2

3

L

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

3

W

1

W

2

L

Derby away

2

L

D

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

D

4

L

1

L

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
22.02.25	Swansea – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Swansea – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.10	1.73
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Swansea – Coventry	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.85

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.04.25	Derby – Preston	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
15.03.25	Plymouth – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.50	1.53
11.03.25	Derby – Coventry	2–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.20	2.32	1.53
08.03.25	Derby – Blackburn	2–1 (2–1)	2.70	3.00	2.75	2.38	1.57
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
14.02.25	QPR – Derby	4–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.63	1.50
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
08.02.25	Norwich – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.98	1.88
01.02.25	Derby – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.10	2.15	2.20	1.67

Swansea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	Swansea – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Swansea – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Swansea – Coventry	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.85
21.01.25	Swansea – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Swansea – West Brom	1–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Swansea – QPR	3–0 (3–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
14.12.24	Swansea – Sunderland	2–3 (2–1)	2.63	3.20	2.70	2.10	1.73

Derby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Plymouth – Derby	2–3 (1–2)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.50	1.53
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
14.02.25	QPR – Derby	4–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.20	4.00	2.63	1.50
08.02.25	Norwich – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.98	1.88
25.01.25	Cardiff – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Derby	4–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.10	1.73
20.12.24	Luton – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.30	1.62
10.12.24	Burnley – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.50	5.25	2.63	1.50
07.12.24	Leeds – Derby	2–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.88	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Swansea winsDrawsDerby wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.11.24E1	Derby – Swansea	1–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	2.20	1.67
09.04.22E1	Swansea – Derby	2–1 (2–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.66
02.10.21E1	Derby – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.10	3.10	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	39	26	7	6	56	29	+27	85
2	Burnley	40	23	15	2	55	12	+43	84
3	Leeds	40	23	13	4	79	28	+51	82
4	Sunderland	40	21	12	7	57	37	+20	75
5	Middlesbrough	40	17	9	14	61	49	+12	60
6	Coventry	40	17	8	15	57	53	+4	59
7	West Brom	40	13	18	9	48	36	+12	57
8	Bristol City	39	14	15	10	49	42	+7	57
9	Watford	39	15	8	16	47	51	-4	53
10	Norwich	39	13	13	13	61	54	+7	52
11	Blackburn	40	15	7	18	42	43	-1	52
12	Sheffield Weds	39	14	10	15	54	60	-6	52
13	Millwall	39	13	12	14	37	40	-3	51
14	Preston	39	10	17	12	39	46	-7	47
15	QPR	39	11	12	16	45	53	-8	45
16	Swansea	39	12	9	18	40	51	-11	45
17	Portsmouth	39	12	9	18	47	61	-14	45
18	Stoke	39	10	12	17	40	52	-12	42
19	Oxford	39	10	12	17	40	57	-17	42
20	Derby	39	11	8	20	42	51	-9	41
21	Hull	39	10	11	18	39	48	-9	41
22	Cardiff	39	9	13	17	43	63	-20	40
23	Luton	40	10	9	21	36	61	-25	39
24	Plymouth	39	7	13	19	40	77	-37	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	20	15	4	1	49	11	+38	49
2	Sheffield United	20	14	3	3	30	15	+15	45
3	Sunderland	20	12	7	1	32	15	+17	43
4	Burnley	20	11	9	0	28	5	+23	42
5	Bristol City	19	10	6	3	28	15	+13	36
6	Coventry	20	11	3	6	35	24	+11	36
7	Watford	20	11	3	6	24	19	+5	36
8	West Brom	20	9	8	3	25	13	+12	35
9	Portsmouth	20	10	5	5	29	18	+11	35
10	Middlesbrough	20	10	5	5	29	21	+8	35
11	Norwich	20	9	7	4	45	27	+18	34
12	Blackburn	20	10	3	7	26	19	+7	33
13	Oxford	19	9	5	5	27	25	+2	32
14	Preston	19	7	10	2	21	15	+6	31
15	Derby	20	9	3	8	25	17	+8	30
16	Stoke	20	7	8	5	26	22	+4	29
17	Millwall	19	8	4	7	20	17	+3	28
18	Luton	20	7	7	6	21	20	+1	28
19	QPR	19	7	6	6	29	26	+3	27
20	Swansea	19	7	5	7	25	21	+4	26
21	Plymouth	19	6	7	6	32	34	-2	25
22	Cardiff	20	7	4	9	23	25	-2	25
23	Sheffield Weds	19	5	7	7	27	28	-1	22
24	Hull	20	4	7	9	21	25	-4	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	20	12	6	2	27	7	+20	42
2	Sheffield United	19	12	4	3	26	14	+12	40
3	Leeds	20	8	9	3	30	17	+13	33
4	Sunderland	20	9	5	6	25	22	+3	32
5	Sheffield Weds	20	9	3	8	27	32	-5	30
6	Middlesbrough	20	7	4	9	32	28	+4	25
7	Millwall	20	5	8	7	17	23	-6	23
8	Coventry	20	6	5	9	22	29	-7	23
9	West Brom	20	4	10	6	23	23	0	22
10	Hull	19	6	4	9	18	23	-5	22
11	Bristol City	20	4	9	7	21	27	-6	21
12	Blackburn	20	5	4	11	16	24	-8	19
13	Swansea	20	5	4	11	15	30	-15	19
14	Norwich	19	4	6	9	16	27	-11	18
15	QPR	20	4	6	10	16	27	-11	18
16	Watford	19	4	5	10	23	32	-9	17
17	Preston	20	3	7	10	18	31	-13	16
18	Cardiff	19	2	9	8	20	38	-18	15
19	Stoke	19	3	4	12	14	30	-16	13
20	Derby	19	2	5	12	17	34	-17	11
21	Luton	20	3	2	15	15	41	-26	11
22	Oxford	20	1	7	12	13	32	-19	10
23	Portsmouth	19	2	4	13	18	43	-25	10
24	Plymouth	20	1	6	13	8	43	-35	9

Swansea Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	39	14	25	1.2	1.6	12	9	18	47	61	45
2	6	Coventry	40	17	23	1.4	1.3	17	8	15	57	53	59
3	9	Watford	39	17	22	1.2	1.3	15	8	16	47	51	53
4	12	Sheffield Weds	39	17	22	1.4	1.5	14	10	15	54	60	52
5	24	Plymouth	39	18	21	1.0	2.0	7	13	19	40	77	34
6	15	QPR	39	19	20	1.2	1.4	11	12	16	45	53	45
7	4	Sunderland	40	21	19	1.4	0.9	21	12	7	57	37	75
8	5	Middlesbrough	40	21	19	1.5	1.2	17	9	14	61	49	60
9	10	Norwich	39	20	19	1.6	1.4	13	13	13	61	54	52
10	16	Swansea	39	21	18	1.0	1.3	12	9	18	40	51	45
11	22	Cardiff	39	21	18	1.1	1.6	9	13	17	43	63	40
12	23	Luton	40	22	18	0.9	1.5	10	9	21	36	61	39
13	3	Leeds	40	23	17	2.0	0.7	23	13	4	79	28	82
14	14	Preston	39	23	16	1.0	1.2	10	17	12	39	46	47
15	18	Stoke	39	23	16	1.0	1.3	10	12	17	40	52	42
16	20	Derby	39	23	16	1.1	1.3	11	8	20	42	51	41
17	8	Bristol City	39	24	15	1.3	1.1	14	15	10	49	42	57
18	11	Blackburn	40	25	15	1.1	1.1	15	7	18	42	43	52
19	19	Oxford	39	24	15	1.0	1.5	10	12	17	40	57	42
20	1	Sheffield United	39	25	14	1.4	0.7	26	7	6	56	29	85
21	7	West Brom	40	27	13	1.2	0.9	13	18	9	48	36	57
22	21	Hull	39	26	13	1.0	1.2	10	11	18	39	48	41
23	2	Burnley	40	30	10	1.4	0.3	23	15	2	55	12	84
24	13	Millwall	39	29	10	0.9	1.0	13	12	14	37	40	51

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	20	5	15	1.8	1.2	11	3	6	35	24	36
2	24	Plymouth	19	6	13	1.7	1.8	6	7	6	32	34	25
3	10	Norwich	20	8	12	2.2	1.4	9	7	4	45	27	34
4	15	QPR	19	7	12	1.5	1.4	7	6	6	29	26	27
5	17	Portsmouth	20	8	12	1.4	0.9	10	5	5	29	18	35
6	3	Leeds	20	9	11	2.5	0.6	15	4	1	49	11	49
7	9	Watford	20	9	11	1.2	0.9	11	3	6	24	19	36
8	4	Sunderland	20	11	9	1.6	0.8	12	7	1	32	15	43
9	18	Stoke	20	11	9	1.3	1.1	7	8	5	26	22	29
10	5	Middlesbrough	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	10	5	5	29	21	35
11	8	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	15	36
12	12	Sheffield Weds	19	11	8	1.4	1.5	5	7	7	27	28	22
13	16	Swansea	19	11	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	7	25	21	26
14	23	Luton	20	12	8	1.1	1.0	7	7	6	21	20	28
15	1	Sheffield United	20	13	7	1.5	0.8	14	3	3	30	15	45
16	11	Blackburn	20	13	7	1.3	0.9	10	3	7	26	19	33
17	19	Oxford	19	12	7	1.4	1.3	9	5	5	27	25	32
18	20	Derby	20	13	7	1.2	0.8	9	3	8	25	17	30
19	21	Hull	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	4	7	9	21	25	19
20	22	Cardiff	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	9	23	25	25
21	14	Preston	19	13	6	1.1	0.8	7	10	2	21	15	31
22	2	Burnley	20	15	5	1.4	0.2	11	9	0	28	5	42
23	7	West Brom	20	15	5	1.2	0.7	9	8	3	25	13	35
24	13	Millwall	19	14	5	1.1	0.9	8	4	7	20	17	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	20	6	14	1.4	1.6	9	3	8	27	32	30
2	17	Portsmouth	19	6	13	0.9	2.3	2	4	13	18	43	10
3	5	Middlesbrough	20	9	11	1.6	1.4	7	4	9	32	28	25
4	9	Watford	19	8	11	1.2	1.7	4	5	10	23	32	17
5	22	Cardiff	19	8	11	1.1	2.0	2	9	8	20	38	15
6	4	Sunderland	20	10	10	1.2	1.1	9	5	6	25	22	32
7	14	Preston	20	10	10	0.9	1.6	3	7	10	18	31	16
8	16	Swansea	20	10	10	0.8	1.5	5	4	11	15	30	19
9	23	Luton	20	10	10	0.8	2.0	3	2	15	15	41	11
10	20	Derby	19	10	9	0.9	1.8	2	5	12	17	34	11
11	6	Coventry	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	5	9	22	29	23
12	7	West Brom	20	12	8	1.1	1.1	4	10	6	23	23	22
13	11	Blackburn	20	12	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	11	16	24	19
14	15	QPR	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	4	6	10	16	27	18
15	19	Oxford	20	12	8	0.7	1.6	1	7	12	13	32	10
16	24	Plymouth	20	12	8	0.4	2.1	1	6	13	8	43	9
17	1	Sheffield United	19	12	7	1.4	0.7	12	4	3	26	14	40
18	8	Bristol City	20	13	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	7	21	27	21
19	10	Norwich	19	12	7	0.8	1.4	4	6	9	16	27	18
20	18	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.6	3	4	12	14	30	13
21	3	Leeds	20	14	6	1.5	0.8	8	9	3	30	17	33
22	21	Hull	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	18	23	22
23	2	Burnley	20	15	5	1.4	0.3	12	6	2	27	7	42
24	13	Millwall	20	15	5	0.8	1.1	5	8	7	17	23	23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.